Opinion Poll by CURS, 28 April–1 May 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 34.0% 32.2–35.8% 31.7–36.4% 31.2–36.8% 30.4–37.7%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 23.0% 21.5–24.7% 21.0–25.2% 20.6–25.6% 19.9–26.5%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 18.0% 16.6–19.6% 16.2–20.0% 15.9–20.4% 15.2–21.2%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.6%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 6.5% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 118 112–124 110–126 108–127 105–130
Partidul Social Democrat 86 80 74–85 73–87 71–88 69–91
Partidul Național Liberal 49 62 57–68 56–69 55–70 52–73
Uniunea Salvați România 40 35 31–39 30–40 29–41 27–43
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 17 14–20 14–21 13–22 12–24
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri 24 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.4% 99.5%  
107 0.7% 99.1%  
108 1.1% 98%  
109 2% 97%  
110 2% 96%  
111 3% 94%  
112 4% 91%  
113 5% 87%  
114 6% 82%  
115 7% 76%  
116 9% 70%  
117 8% 60%  
118 9% 53% Median
119 8% 44%  
120 8% 36%  
121 6% 28%  
122 6% 22%  
123 4% 17%  
124 4% 13%  
125 3% 9%  
126 2% 6%  
127 1.4% 4%  
128 1.0% 2%  
129 0.6% 1.5%  
130 0.4% 0.9%  
131 0.2% 0.5%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.4% 99.6%  
70 0.8% 99.2%  
71 1.0% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 4% 93%  
75 5% 90%  
76 6% 85%  
77 9% 78%  
78 9% 69%  
79 8% 60%  
80 9% 52% Median
81 8% 43%  
82 7% 35%  
83 7% 28%  
84 5% 21%  
85 5% 15%  
86 4% 10% Last Result
87 2% 6%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.7% 2%  
91 0.4% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.8%  
53 0.5% 99.5%  
54 1.0% 99.0%  
55 2% 98%  
56 3% 96%  
57 4% 94%  
58 5% 90%  
59 7% 84%  
60 9% 77%  
61 10% 69%  
62 10% 59% Median
63 11% 49%  
64 9% 38%  
65 8% 30%  
66 6% 22%  
67 5% 16%  
68 3% 10%  
69 3% 7%  
70 2% 4%  
71 1.1% 2%  
72 0.6% 1.4%  
73 0.4% 0.7%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.5% 99.7%  
28 1.3% 99.2%  
29 3% 98%  
30 4% 95%  
31 7% 91%  
32 10% 84%  
33 11% 74%  
34 12% 63%  
35 13% 51% Median
36 11% 38%  
37 9% 27%  
38 7% 18%  
39 4% 11%  
40 3% 7% Last Result
41 2% 4%  
42 0.9% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.9%  
44 0.2% 0.4%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 1.0% 99.7%  
13 3% 98.7%  
14 6% 95%  
15 12% 89%  
16 16% 77%  
17 17% 61% Median
18 16% 44%  
19 12% 28%  
20 8% 16%  
21 4% 8%  
22 2% 4% Last Result
23 1.0% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Oamenilor Tineri

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 194 100% 188–200 186–202 185–204 182–206
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 177 98.9% 171–183 169–185 167–187 164–190
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 159 12% 153–166 151–168 150–169 147–172
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 142 0% 136–149 134–150 133–152 130–155
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 118 0% 112–124 110–126 108–127 105–130
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 114 0% 108–120 106–122 105–124 102–127
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 114 0% 108–121 107–122 105–124 102–127
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 97 0% 91–103 90–105 88–106 85–109
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 79 0% 74–85 73–87 71–88 69–91
Partidul Social Democrat 86 80 0% 74–85 73–87 71–88 69–91
Partidul Național Liberal 49 62 0% 57–68 56–69 55–70 52–73

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.1% 99.9%  
181 0.2% 99.7%  
182 0.4% 99.5%  
183 0.6% 99.1%  
184 1.0% 98%  
185 1.4% 98%  
186 2% 96%  
187 3% 94%  
188 4% 91%  
189 4% 87%  
190 6% 83%  
191 6% 77%  
192 8% 72%  
193 8% 64%  
194 9% 56% Median
195 8% 47%  
196 9% 40%  
197 7% 30% Last Result
198 6% 24%  
199 5% 18%  
200 4% 13%  
201 3% 9%  
202 2% 6%  
203 2% 4%  
204 1.1% 3%  
205 0.7% 2%  
206 0.4% 0.9%  
207 0.2% 0.5%  
208 0.1% 0.3%  
209 0.1% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.2% 99.8%  
164 0.2% 99.6%  
165 0.5% 99.4%  
166 0.7% 98.9% Majority
167 1.2% 98%  
168 1.5% 97%  
169 2% 96%  
170 3% 94%  
171 4% 90%  
172 5% 86%  
173 6% 81%  
174 6% 75%  
175 8% 69% Last Result
176 8% 61%  
177 9% 54% Median
178 8% 45%  
179 7% 37%  
180 7% 30%  
181 5% 23%  
182 4% 17%  
183 3% 13%  
184 3% 9%  
185 2% 6%  
186 2% 4%  
187 1.1% 3%  
188 0.7% 2%  
189 0.4% 0.9%  
190 0.3% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.2% 99.7%  
147 0.3% 99.5%  
148 0.6% 99.2%  
149 0.8% 98.6%  
150 1.1% 98%  
151 2% 97%  
152 3% 95%  
153 4% 92%  
154 4% 88%  
155 5% 84%  
156 5% 79%  
157 7% 74% Last Result
158 8% 67%  
159 9% 59% Median
160 9% 50%  
161 8% 41%  
162 6% 33%  
163 6% 27%  
164 5% 22%  
165 5% 16%  
166 4% 12% Majority
167 3% 8%  
168 2% 5%  
169 1.3% 4%  
170 0.9% 2%  
171 0.5% 1.4%  
172 0.4% 0.8%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.2% 99.7%  
130 0.4% 99.5%  
131 0.6% 99.1%  
132 1.0% 98.6%  
133 1.4% 98%  
134 2% 96%  
135 3% 94% Last Result
136 4% 92%  
137 4% 88%  
138 5% 83%  
139 6% 78%  
140 8% 72%  
141 8% 64%  
142 8% 56% Median
143 8% 48%  
144 7% 40%  
145 7% 33%  
146 6% 26%  
147 5% 20%  
148 4% 15%  
149 3% 11%  
150 2% 7%  
151 2% 5%  
152 1.1% 3%  
153 0.8% 2%  
154 0.6% 1.3%  
155 0.4% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.4% 99.5%  
107 0.7% 99.1%  
108 1.1% 98%  
109 2% 97%  
110 2% 96%  
111 3% 94%  
112 4% 91%  
113 5% 87%  
114 6% 82%  
115 7% 76%  
116 9% 70%  
117 8% 60%  
118 9% 53% Median
119 8% 44%  
120 8% 36%  
121 6% 28%  
122 6% 22%  
123 4% 17%  
124 4% 13%  
125 3% 9%  
126 2% 6%  
127 1.4% 4%  
128 1.0% 2%  
129 0.6% 1.5%  
130 0.4% 0.9%  
131 0.2% 0.5%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.8%  
102 0.3% 99.6%  
103 0.5% 99.3%  
104 0.9% 98.8%  
105 1.3% 98%  
106 2% 97%  
107 3% 95%  
108 4% 92%  
109 4% 89%  
110 6% 84%  
111 6% 78% Last Result
112 8% 72%  
113 7% 64%  
114 10% 57% Median
115 7% 47%  
116 9% 40%  
117 7% 31%  
118 6% 25%  
119 5% 18%  
120 4% 14%  
121 3% 10%  
122 2% 7%  
123 2% 5%  
124 1.1% 3%  
125 0.8% 2%  
126 0.4% 1.1%  
127 0.3% 0.6%  
128 0.2% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0.1% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.8%  
102 0.3% 99.7%  
103 0.4% 99.4%  
104 0.9% 99.0%  
105 1.1% 98%  
106 2% 97%  
107 3% 95%  
108 3% 93%  
109 5% 89%  
110 5% 85%  
111 7% 80%  
112 7% 73%  
113 8% 65%  
114 7% 57%  
115 9% 50% Median
116 7% 41%  
117 7% 33%  
118 6% 26%  
119 6% 20%  
120 4% 14%  
121 3% 11%  
122 2% 7%  
123 2% 5%  
124 1.3% 3%  
125 0.7% 2%  
126 0.5% 1.2% Last Result
127 0.3% 0.7%  
128 0.2% 0.4%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0.1% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.7%  
86 0.5% 99.5%  
87 0.7% 99.0%  
88 1.3% 98%  
89 2% 97% Last Result
90 3% 95%  
91 4% 92%  
92 5% 88%  
93 6% 84%  
94 7% 78%  
95 8% 71%  
96 9% 63%  
97 8% 54% Median
98 8% 46%  
99 9% 38%  
100 7% 29%  
101 6% 23%  
102 5% 16%  
103 3% 12%  
104 3% 9%  
105 2% 6%  
106 1.3% 4%  
107 1.0% 2%  
108 0.5% 1.3%  
109 0.4% 0.8%  
110 0.2% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.5% 99.6%  
70 0.8% 99.1%  
71 1.3% 98% Last Result
72 2% 97%  
73 2% 95%  
74 4% 93%  
75 5% 89%  
76 7% 84%  
77 8% 77%  
78 9% 70%  
79 12% 61% Median
80 9% 49%  
81 8% 40%  
82 7% 33%  
83 7% 26%  
84 6% 19%  
85 4% 13%  
86 3% 10%  
87 2% 6%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.3%  
91 0.4% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.4% 99.6%  
70 0.8% 99.2%  
71 1.0% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 4% 93%  
75 5% 90%  
76 6% 85%  
77 9% 78%  
78 9% 69%  
79 8% 60%  
80 9% 52% Median
81 8% 43%  
82 7% 35%  
83 7% 28%  
84 5% 21%  
85 5% 15%  
86 4% 10% Last Result
87 2% 6%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.7% 2%  
91 0.4% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.8%  
53 0.5% 99.5%  
54 1.0% 99.0%  
55 2% 98%  
56 3% 96%  
57 4% 94%  
58 5% 90%  
59 7% 84%  
60 9% 77%  
61 10% 69%  
62 10% 59% Median
63 11% 49%  
64 9% 38%  
65 8% 30%  
66 6% 22%  
67 5% 16%  
68 3% 10%  
69 3% 7%  
70 2% 4%  
71 1.1% 2%  
72 0.6% 1.4%  
73 0.4% 0.7%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations