Opinion Poll by INSCOP for Informat.ro, 11–14 May 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 18.0% | 38.2% | 36.3–40.1% | 35.8–40.6% | 35.3–41.1% | 34.5–42.0% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 13.2% | 20.3% | 18.8–21.9% | 18.4–22.4% | 18.0–22.8% | 17.3–23.5% |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 22.0% | 17.5% | 16.0–19.0% | 15.7–19.4% | 15.3–19.8% | 14.7–20.6% |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.4–11.9% | 7.9–12.5% |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–3.9% |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 6.5% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 131 | 125–138 | 123–139 | 122–141 | 119–144 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 70 | 64–75 | 63–77 | 62–78 | 59–81 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 60 | 55–65 | 53–66 | 52–68 | 50–70 |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 40 | 34 | 30–38 | 29–40 | 28–41 | 27–43 |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 22 | 17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 123 | 2% | 97% | |
| 124 | 2% | 95% | |
| 125 | 4% | 92% | |
| 126 | 4% | 88% | |
| 127 | 6% | 85% | |
| 128 | 7% | 78% | |
| 129 | 8% | 71% | |
| 130 | 8% | 64% | |
| 131 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 132 | 8% | 48% | |
| 133 | 9% | 41% | |
| 134 | 6% | 32% | |
| 135 | 7% | 26% | |
| 136 | 3% | 18% | |
| 137 | 5% | 15% | |
| 138 | 4% | 10% | |
| 139 | 2% | 7% | |
| 140 | 2% | 5% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 4% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 89% | |
| 66 | 7% | 84% | |
| 67 | 7% | 78% | |
| 68 | 11% | 70% | |
| 69 | 9% | 60% | |
| 70 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 41% | |
| 72 | 9% | 32% | |
| 73 | 6% | 23% | |
| 74 | 5% | 17% | |
| 75 | 4% | 12% | |
| 76 | 3% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 95% | |
| 55 | 4% | 92% | |
| 56 | 4% | 88% | |
| 57 | 11% | 83% | |
| 58 | 11% | 72% | |
| 59 | 9% | 61% | |
| 60 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 61 | 9% | 42% | |
| 62 | 7% | 32% | |
| 63 | 7% | 25% | |
| 64 | 6% | 18% | |
| 65 | 4% | 12% | |
| 66 | 3% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Uniunea Salvați România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 6% | 95% | |
| 31 | 8% | 89% | |
| 32 | 10% | 81% | |
| 33 | 13% | 71% | |
| 34 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 35 | 10% | 44% | |
| 36 | 13% | 34% | |
| 37 | 7% | 21% | |
| 38 | 5% | 14% | |
| 39 | 4% | 9% | |
| 40 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 8% | 95% | |
| 15 | 13% | 87% | |
| 16 | 16% | 75% | |
| 17 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 18 | 15% | 40% | |
| 19 | 11% | 24% | |
| 20 | 7% | 14% | |
| 21 | 3% | 6% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul S.O.S. România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Partidul Oamenilor Tineri
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Oamenilor Tineri page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 197 | 181 | 99.9% | 174–187 | 173–189 | 171–190 | 168–193 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România | 175 | 164 | 39% | 158–170 | 155–172 | 154–173 | 151–176 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 157 | 146 | 0% | 140–153 | 138–155 | 137–156 | 134–159 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 131 | 0% | 125–138 | 123–139 | 122–141 | 119–144 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat | 135 | 129 | 0% | 123–136 | 122–138 | 120–139 | 117–142 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 111 | 121 | 0% | 115–127 | 113–129 | 112–130 | 109–133 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 89 | 104 | 0% | 98–110 | 96–111 | 95–113 | 92–116 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România | 126 | 94 | 0% | 88–100 | 87–102 | 85–103 | 83–106 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 71 | 87 | 0% | 81–92 | 79–94 | 78–95 | 75–98 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 70 | 0% | 64–75 | 63–77 | 62–78 | 59–81 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 60 | 0% | 55–65 | 53–66 | 52–68 | 50–70 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 170 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 171 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 172 | 2% | 97% | |
| 173 | 2% | 95% | |
| 174 | 4% | 93% | |
| 175 | 5% | 90% | |
| 176 | 3% | 85% | |
| 177 | 7% | 82% | |
| 178 | 6% | 74% | |
| 179 | 9% | 68% | |
| 180 | 8% | 59% | |
| 181 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 182 | 8% | 44% | |
| 183 | 8% | 36% | |
| 184 | 7% | 29% | |
| 185 | 6% | 22% | |
| 186 | 4% | 15% | |
| 187 | 4% | 11% | |
| 188 | 2% | 8% | |
| 189 | 2% | 5% | |
| 190 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 191 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 152 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 154 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 155 | 2% | 97% | |
| 156 | 2% | 95% | |
| 157 | 2% | 93% | |
| 158 | 4% | 91% | |
| 159 | 6% | 87% | |
| 160 | 8% | 81% | |
| 161 | 8% | 73% | |
| 162 | 9% | 65% | |
| 163 | 5% | 56% | |
| 164 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 165 | 5% | 44% | |
| 166 | 8% | 39% | Majority |
| 167 | 8% | 31% | |
| 168 | 8% | 23% | |
| 169 | 4% | 15% | |
| 170 | 3% | 11% | |
| 171 | 2% | 8% | |
| 172 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 176 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 137 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 138 | 2% | 97% | |
| 139 | 3% | 95% | |
| 140 | 3% | 92% | |
| 141 | 5% | 89% | |
| 142 | 5% | 84% | |
| 143 | 7% | 79% | |
| 144 | 6% | 72% | |
| 145 | 8% | 66% | |
| 146 | 8% | 58% | |
| 147 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 148 | 8% | 41% | |
| 149 | 6% | 33% | |
| 150 | 7% | 28% | |
| 151 | 7% | 21% | |
| 152 | 3% | 14% | |
| 153 | 4% | 11% | |
| 154 | 2% | 7% | |
| 155 | 2% | 5% | |
| 156 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 158 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 123 | 2% | 97% | |
| 124 | 2% | 95% | |
| 125 | 4% | 92% | |
| 126 | 4% | 88% | |
| 127 | 6% | 85% | |
| 128 | 7% | 78% | |
| 129 | 8% | 71% | |
| 130 | 8% | 64% | |
| 131 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 132 | 8% | 48% | |
| 133 | 9% | 41% | |
| 134 | 6% | 32% | |
| 135 | 7% | 26% | |
| 136 | 3% | 18% | |
| 137 | 5% | 15% | |
| 138 | 4% | 10% | |
| 139 | 2% | 7% | |
| 140 | 2% | 5% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Social Democrat
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 120 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 121 | 2% | 97% | |
| 122 | 3% | 95% | |
| 123 | 3% | 92% | |
| 124 | 4% | 89% | |
| 125 | 6% | 86% | |
| 126 | 6% | 80% | |
| 127 | 9% | 73% | |
| 128 | 8% | 64% | |
| 129 | 8% | 56% | |
| 130 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 131 | 7% | 42% | |
| 132 | 8% | 34% | |
| 133 | 6% | 26% | |
| 134 | 6% | 20% | |
| 135 | 3% | 14% | Last Result |
| 136 | 3% | 11% | |
| 137 | 2% | 8% | |
| 138 | 2% | 6% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 112 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 113 | 3% | 96% | |
| 114 | 3% | 94% | |
| 115 | 4% | 91% | |
| 116 | 5% | 86% | |
| 117 | 7% | 81% | |
| 118 | 6% | 74% | |
| 119 | 7% | 69% | |
| 120 | 9% | 61% | |
| 121 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 122 | 7% | 44% | |
| 123 | 7% | 38% | |
| 124 | 8% | 31% | |
| 125 | 8% | 23% | |
| 126 | 4% | 15% | |
| 127 | 4% | 12% | |
| 128 | 3% | 8% | |
| 129 | 2% | 6% | |
| 130 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 131 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 96 | 3% | 97% | |
| 97 | 3% | 94% | |
| 98 | 4% | 91% | |
| 99 | 6% | 87% | |
| 100 | 5% | 82% | |
| 101 | 7% | 77% | |
| 102 | 9% | 69% | |
| 103 | 8% | 61% | |
| 104 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 105 | 10% | 46% | |
| 106 | 7% | 36% | |
| 107 | 7% | 29% | |
| 108 | 6% | 22% | |
| 109 | 5% | 16% | |
| 110 | 4% | 11% | |
| 111 | 3% | 7% | |
| 112 | 2% | 5% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 86 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 87 | 3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 4% | 93% | |
| 89 | 3% | 89% | |
| 90 | 7% | 86% | |
| 91 | 6% | 79% | |
| 92 | 11% | 73% | |
| 93 | 7% | 62% | |
| 94 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 95 | 7% | 44% | |
| 96 | 10% | 37% | |
| 97 | 4% | 28% | |
| 98 | 8% | 23% | |
| 99 | 4% | 15% | |
| 100 | 4% | 12% | |
| 101 | 2% | 8% | |
| 102 | 2% | 6% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 4% | 92% | |
| 82 | 6% | 87% | |
| 83 | 6% | 82% | |
| 84 | 8% | 76% | |
| 85 | 7% | 68% | |
| 86 | 10% | 61% | |
| 87 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 88 | 6% | 42% | |
| 89 | 10% | 35% | |
| 90 | 6% | 26% | |
| 91 | 5% | 19% | |
| 92 | 4% | 14% | |
| 93 | 3% | 9% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 4% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 89% | |
| 66 | 7% | 84% | |
| 67 | 7% | 78% | |
| 68 | 11% | 70% | |
| 69 | 9% | 60% | |
| 70 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 41% | |
| 72 | 9% | 32% | |
| 73 | 6% | 23% | |
| 74 | 5% | 17% | |
| 75 | 4% | 12% | |
| 76 | 3% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 95% | |
| 55 | 4% | 92% | |
| 56 | 4% | 88% | |
| 57 | 11% | 83% | |
| 58 | 11% | 72% | |
| 59 | 9% | 61% | |
| 60 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 61 | 9% | 42% | |
| 62 | 7% | 32% | |
| 63 | 7% | 25% | |
| 64 | 6% | 18% | |
| 65 | 4% | 12% | |
| 66 | 3% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: INSCOP
- Commissioner(s): Informat.ro
- Fieldwork period: 11–14 May 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1100
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.05%