Opinion Poll by CURS, 14–24 July 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 18.0% | 34.0% | 32.2–35.9% | 31.7–36.4% | 31.3–36.9% | 30.4–37.8% |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 22.0% | 23.0% | 21.4–24.7% | 21.0–25.2% | 20.6–25.6% | 19.9–26.4% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 13.2% | 21.0% | 19.5–22.7% | 19.1–23.1% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.0–24.3% |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 12.4% | 9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.0–11.5% |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 7.4% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 117 | 111–123 | 109–125 | 107–126 | 105–129 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 79 | 73–84 | 72–86 | 71–87 | 68–90 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 72 | 67–78 | 65–79 | 64–80 | 62–83 |
| Uniunea Salvați România | 40 | 31 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 25–37 | 24–39 |
| Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 22 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 9–19 |
| Partidul S.O.S. România | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 108 | 2% | 97% | |
| 109 | 2% | 96% | |
| 110 | 3% | 93% | |
| 111 | 4% | 91% | |
| 112 | 5% | 86% | |
| 113 | 6% | 81% | |
| 114 | 7% | 75% | |
| 115 | 9% | 68% | |
| 116 | 8% | 60% | |
| 117 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 118 | 8% | 44% | |
| 119 | 8% | 36% | |
| 120 | 6% | 28% | |
| 121 | 5% | 22% | |
| 122 | 5% | 16% | |
| 123 | 4% | 11% | |
| 124 | 2% | 8% | |
| 125 | 2% | 5% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 4% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 90% | |
| 75 | 6% | 85% | |
| 76 | 8% | 79% | |
| 77 | 9% | 71% | |
| 78 | 8% | 62% | |
| 79 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 44% | |
| 81 | 8% | 35% | |
| 82 | 7% | 27% | |
| 83 | 6% | 20% | |
| 84 | 5% | 15% | |
| 85 | 3% | 10% | |
| 86 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 95% | |
| 67 | 5% | 91% | |
| 68 | 5% | 86% | |
| 69 | 8% | 81% | |
| 70 | 9% | 73% | |
| 71 | 8% | 64% | |
| 72 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 73 | 9% | 45% | |
| 74 | 8% | 36% | |
| 75 | 7% | 28% | |
| 76 | 6% | 21% | |
| 77 | 4% | 14% | |
| 78 | 4% | 10% | |
| 79 | 3% | 6% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Salvați România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 97% | |
| 27 | 8% | 94% | |
| 28 | 7% | 86% | |
| 29 | 14% | 79% | |
| 30 | 11% | 65% | |
| 31 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 32 | 12% | 40% | |
| 33 | 9% | 28% | |
| 34 | 9% | 19% | |
| 35 | 4% | 10% | |
| 36 | 4% | 7% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 5% | 98% | |
| 11 | 11% | 94% | |
| 12 | 16% | 83% | |
| 13 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 47% | |
| 15 | 13% | 29% | |
| 16 | 9% | 16% | |
| 17 | 4% | 7% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul S.O.S. România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 197 | 195 | 100% | 189–201 | 187–203 | 186–204 | 183–207 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 175 | 182 | 100% | 176–188 | 174–190 | 172–191 | 169–194 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 157 | 164 | 42% | 158–171 | 156–173 | 155–174 | 152–177 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal | 135 | 151 | 0.2% | 145–157 | 143–159 | 141–161 | 138–164 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 63 | 117 | 0% | 111–123 | 109–125 | 107–126 | 105–129 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 111 | 116 | 0% | 111–122 | 108–125 | 107–126 | 105–128 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România | 126 | 110 | 0% | 104–116 | 102–118 | 101–119 | 98–122 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România | 89 | 103 | 0% | 97–109 | 95–111 | 94–112 | 91–115 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség | 71 | 85 | 0% | 80–91 | 78–93 | 77–94 | 74–97 |
| Partidul Social Democrat | 86 | 79 | 0% | 73–84 | 72–86 | 71–87 | 68–90 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 49 | 72 | 0% | 67–78 | 65–79 | 64–80 | 62–83 |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 186 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 187 | 2% | 96% | |
| 188 | 2% | 95% | |
| 189 | 4% | 92% | |
| 190 | 5% | 88% | |
| 191 | 5% | 84% | |
| 192 | 6% | 78% | |
| 193 | 8% | 72% | |
| 194 | 8% | 64% | |
| 195 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 196 | 8% | 48% | |
| 197 | 9% | 40% | Last Result |
| 198 | 7% | 32% | |
| 199 | 6% | 25% | |
| 200 | 5% | 19% | |
| 201 | 4% | 14% | |
| 202 | 3% | 9% | |
| 203 | 2% | 7% | |
| 204 | 2% | 4% | |
| 205 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 207 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 208 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 170 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 172 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 173 | 2% | 97% | |
| 174 | 2% | 96% | |
| 175 | 3% | 93% | Last Result |
| 176 | 4% | 90% | |
| 177 | 5% | 86% | |
| 178 | 6% | 81% | |
| 179 | 7% | 75% | |
| 180 | 8% | 68% | |
| 181 | 8% | 61% | |
| 182 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 183 | 8% | 45% | |
| 184 | 8% | 37% | |
| 185 | 6% | 29% | |
| 186 | 6% | 22% | |
| 187 | 5% | 17% | |
| 188 | 4% | 12% | |
| 189 | 3% | 9% | |
| 190 | 2% | 6% | |
| 191 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 192 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 193 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 194 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 154 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 155 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 156 | 2% | 96% | |
| 157 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 158 | 4% | 92% | |
| 159 | 5% | 89% | |
| 160 | 5% | 84% | |
| 161 | 7% | 78% | |
| 162 | 7% | 72% | |
| 163 | 8% | 65% | |
| 164 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 165 | 8% | 50% | |
| 166 | 8% | 42% | Majority |
| 167 | 7% | 34% | |
| 168 | 6% | 27% | |
| 169 | 5% | 21% | |
| 170 | 4% | 15% | |
| 171 | 4% | 11% | |
| 172 | 2% | 8% | |
| 173 | 2% | 5% | |
| 174 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 176 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 142 | 2% | 97% | |
| 143 | 2% | 95% | |
| 144 | 3% | 94% | |
| 145 | 4% | 91% | |
| 146 | 5% | 87% | |
| 147 | 7% | 82% | |
| 148 | 7% | 75% | |
| 149 | 6% | 68% | |
| 150 | 7% | 61% | |
| 151 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 152 | 8% | 47% | |
| 153 | 9% | 39% | |
| 154 | 8% | 30% | |
| 155 | 5% | 22% | |
| 156 | 4% | 17% | |
| 157 | 3% | 13% | |
| 158 | 3% | 10% | |
| 159 | 3% | 7% | |
| 160 | 2% | 4% | |
| 161 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 108 | 2% | 97% | |
| 109 | 2% | 96% | |
| 110 | 3% | 93% | |
| 111 | 4% | 91% | |
| 112 | 5% | 86% | |
| 113 | 6% | 81% | |
| 114 | 7% | 75% | |
| 115 | 9% | 68% | |
| 116 | 8% | 60% | |
| 117 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 118 | 8% | 44% | |
| 119 | 8% | 36% | |
| 120 | 6% | 28% | |
| 121 | 5% | 22% | |
| 122 | 5% | 16% | |
| 123 | 4% | 11% | |
| 124 | 2% | 8% | |
| 125 | 2% | 5% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 107 | 2% | 98% | |
| 108 | 2% | 96% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 111 | 3% | 92% | Last Result |
| 112 | 7% | 88% | |
| 113 | 11% | 81% | |
| 114 | 11% | 70% | |
| 115 | 8% | 59% | |
| 116 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 117 | 3% | 48% | |
| 118 | 6% | 45% | |
| 119 | 9% | 38% | |
| 120 | 11% | 29% | |
| 121 | 7% | 18% | |
| 122 | 4% | 11% | |
| 123 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 125 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 126 | 2% | 4% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 101 | 2% | 98% | |
| 102 | 2% | 96% | |
| 103 | 3% | 94% | |
| 104 | 4% | 91% | |
| 105 | 5% | 87% | |
| 106 | 6% | 82% | |
| 107 | 7% | 75% | |
| 108 | 8% | 68% | |
| 109 | 8% | 60% | |
| 110 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 111 | 8% | 44% | |
| 112 | 8% | 35% | |
| 113 | 6% | 28% | |
| 114 | 5% | 21% | |
| 115 | 5% | 16% | |
| 116 | 4% | 11% | |
| 117 | 3% | 8% | |
| 118 | 2% | 5% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 95 | 2% | 97% | |
| 96 | 3% | 95% | |
| 97 | 4% | 92% | |
| 98 | 5% | 88% | |
| 99 | 7% | 83% | |
| 100 | 6% | 76% | |
| 101 | 9% | 70% | |
| 102 | 8% | 61% | |
| 103 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 104 | 8% | 44% | |
| 105 | 7% | 36% | |
| 106 | 6% | 29% | |
| 107 | 6% | 22% | |
| 108 | 5% | 16% | |
| 109 | 4% | 11% | |
| 110 | 3% | 8% | |
| 111 | 2% | 5% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 78 | 2% | 97% | |
| 79 | 3% | 95% | |
| 80 | 4% | 92% | |
| 81 | 6% | 88% | |
| 82 | 7% | 82% | |
| 83 | 8% | 75% | |
| 84 | 9% | 67% | |
| 85 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 86 | 9% | 49% | |
| 87 | 8% | 41% | |
| 88 | 7% | 33% | |
| 89 | 7% | 25% | |
| 90 | 6% | 19% | |
| 91 | 4% | 13% | |
| 92 | 3% | 9% | |
| 93 | 2% | 6% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 4% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 90% | |
| 75 | 6% | 85% | |
| 76 | 8% | 79% | |
| 77 | 9% | 71% | |
| 78 | 8% | 62% | |
| 79 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 44% | |
| 81 | 8% | 35% | |
| 82 | 7% | 27% | |
| 83 | 6% | 20% | |
| 84 | 5% | 15% | |
| 85 | 3% | 10% | |
| 86 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 95% | |
| 67 | 5% | 91% | |
| 68 | 5% | 86% | |
| 69 | 8% | 81% | |
| 70 | 9% | 73% | |
| 71 | 8% | 64% | |
| 72 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 73 | 9% | 45% | |
| 74 | 8% | 36% | |
| 75 | 7% | 28% | |
| 76 | 6% | 21% | |
| 77 | 4% | 14% | |
| 78 | 4% | 10% | |
| 79 | 3% | 6% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CURS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–24 July 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1108
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.58%