Opinion Poll by CURS, 16–22 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 18.0% 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.7–36.4% 31.3–36.9% 30.4–37.8%
Partidul Social Democrat 22.0% 25.0% 23.4–26.7% 22.9–27.2% 22.5–27.6% 21.8–28.5%
Partidul Național Liberal 13.2% 18.0% 16.6–19.6% 16.2–20.0% 15.8–20.4% 15.2–21.2%
Uniunea Salvați România 12.4% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.3%
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 6.3% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul S.O.S. România 7.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate 3.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 118 112–124 110–126 109–127 106–131
Partidul Social Democrat 86 87 81–93 79–94 78–96 76–98
Partidul Național Liberal 49 62 57–68 56–69 55–70 52–73
Uniunea Salvați România 40 27 24–31 23–33 22–33 21–35
Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 22 17 14–20 14–21 13–22 12–24
Partidul S.O.S. România 28 0 0 0 0 0
Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.4% 99.6%  
107 0.6% 99.2%  
108 1.0% 98.6%  
109 2% 98%  
110 2% 96%  
111 3% 94%  
112 4% 91%  
113 5% 87%  
114 6% 82%  
115 6% 76%  
116 8% 70%  
117 8% 63%  
118 8% 55% Median
119 8% 47%  
120 8% 38%  
121 7% 31%  
122 6% 24%  
123 5% 18%  
124 4% 13%  
125 3% 9%  
126 2% 6%  
127 1.3% 4%  
128 0.9% 2%  
129 0.6% 2%  
130 0.4% 0.9%  
131 0.2% 0.5%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.5%  
77 0.8% 99.1%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 3% 95%  
81 4% 92%  
82 6% 88%  
83 6% 83%  
84 8% 76%  
85 8% 68%  
86 9% 60% Last Result
87 9% 51% Median
88 8% 42%  
89 7% 34%  
90 6% 27%  
91 5% 20%  
92 5% 15%  
93 4% 10%  
94 2% 7%  
95 2% 4%  
96 1.1% 3%  
97 0.7% 2%  
98 0.4% 0.9%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.8%  
53 0.6% 99.5%  
54 1.0% 98.9%  
55 2% 98%  
56 3% 96%  
57 4% 93%  
58 5% 89%  
59 8% 84%  
60 8% 76%  
61 10% 68%  
62 10% 59% Median
63 9% 49%  
64 10% 39%  
65 8% 30%  
66 6% 21%  
67 5% 15%  
68 4% 10%  
69 2% 6%  
70 2% 4%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.6% 1.3%  
73 0.4% 0.8%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Uniunea Salvați România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Salvați România page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.9%  
21 0.8% 99.7%  
22 2% 98.9%  
23 4% 97%  
24 7% 93%  
25 10% 86%  
26 12% 76%  
27 14% 64% Median
28 13% 50%  
29 12% 37%  
30 9% 25%  
31 7% 16%  
32 4% 9%  
33 3% 5%  
34 1.2% 2%  
35 0.7% 1.2%  
36 0.3% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0% Last Result

Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.1% 99.7%  
13 3% 98.6%  
14 7% 95%  
15 12% 89%  
16 14% 76%  
17 19% 62% Median
18 15% 43%  
19 13% 29%  
20 8% 16%  
21 4% 8%  
22 2% 4% Last Result
23 0.9% 1.5%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sănătate, Educație, Natură, Sustenabilitate page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 197 194 100% 188–200 186–202 184–203 181–206
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 175 177 98.8% 170–183 169–185 167–186 164–189
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 157 166 57% 160–173 158–174 157–176 154–179
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal 135 149 0.1% 143–156 141–157 139–159 136–162
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 63 118 0% 112–124 110–126 109–127 106–131
Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România 126 114 0% 108–121 106–122 105–124 102–127
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 111 107 0% 101–113 100–115 98–117 95–120
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România 89 90 0% 84–96 83–97 81–99 79–102
Partidul Social Democrat 86 87 0% 81–93 79–94 78–96 76–98
Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség 71 80 0% 74–85 73–87 71–88 69–91
Partidul Național Liberal 49 62 0% 57–68 56–69 55–70 52–73

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0.3% 99.7%  
182 0.4% 99.4%  
183 0.6% 99.1%  
184 0.9% 98%  
185 1.3% 97%  
186 2% 96%  
187 3% 94%  
188 4% 91%  
189 5% 87%  
190 6% 82%  
191 7% 76%  
192 8% 69%  
193 8% 61% Median
194 8% 53%  
195 8% 45%  
196 8% 37%  
197 6% 30% Last Result
198 6% 24%  
199 5% 18%  
200 4% 13%  
201 3% 9%  
202 2% 6%  
203 2% 4%  
204 1.0% 2%  
205 0.6% 1.4%  
206 0.4% 0.8%  
207 0.2% 0.4%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0.1% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0% 100%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.2% 99.8%  
164 0.3% 99.6%  
165 0.5% 99.3%  
166 0.7% 98.8% Majority
167 1.1% 98%  
168 2% 97%  
169 3% 95%  
170 3% 93%  
171 4% 90%  
172 5% 85%  
173 6% 80%  
174 7% 74%  
175 8% 67% Last Result
176 9% 60% Median
177 8% 51%  
178 7% 43%  
179 7% 36%  
180 6% 29%  
181 6% 23%  
182 5% 17%  
183 4% 13%  
184 3% 9%  
185 2% 6%  
186 1.3% 4%  
187 0.9% 2%  
188 0.5% 1.4%  
189 0.4% 0.9%  
190 0.2% 0.5%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.2% 99.7%  
154 0.4% 99.5%  
155 0.7% 99.2%  
156 1.0% 98%  
157 1.4% 98% Last Result
158 2% 96%  
159 3% 94%  
160 3% 91%  
161 4% 88%  
162 5% 84%  
163 6% 79%  
164 8% 73%  
165 8% 65%  
166 8% 57% Median, Majority
167 10% 49%  
168 7% 39%  
169 6% 33%  
170 7% 27%  
171 5% 20%  
172 4% 16%  
173 4% 11%  
174 3% 8%  
175 2% 5%  
176 1.2% 3%  
177 0.8% 2%  
178 0.5% 1.2%  
179 0.3% 0.7%  
180 0.2% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
136 0.2% 99.7%  
137 0.4% 99.4%  
138 0.7% 99.0%  
139 1.0% 98%  
140 2% 97%  
141 2% 96%  
142 2% 93%  
143 4% 91%  
144 5% 87%  
145 5% 82%  
146 6% 77%  
147 8% 71%  
148 7% 63%  
149 9% 56% Median
150 9% 47%  
151 7% 38%  
152 6% 31%  
153 6% 25%  
154 5% 19%  
155 4% 14%  
156 3% 10%  
157 2% 7%  
158 1.4% 5%  
159 1.3% 3%  
160 0.8% 2%  
161 0.4% 1.0%  
162 0.3% 0.7%  
163 0.2% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1% Majority
167 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Last Result
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.4% 99.6%  
107 0.6% 99.2%  
108 1.0% 98.6%  
109 2% 98%  
110 2% 96%  
111 3% 94%  
112 4% 91%  
113 5% 87%  
114 6% 82%  
115 6% 76%  
116 8% 70%  
117 8% 63%  
118 8% 55% Median
119 8% 47%  
120 8% 38%  
121 7% 31%  
122 6% 24%  
123 5% 18%  
124 4% 13%  
125 3% 9%  
126 2% 6%  
127 1.3% 4%  
128 0.9% 2%  
129 0.6% 2%  
130 0.4% 0.9%  
131 0.2% 0.5%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.8%  
102 0.3% 99.7%  
103 0.6% 99.4%  
104 0.8% 98.8%  
105 1.2% 98%  
106 2% 97%  
107 3% 95%  
108 4% 92%  
109 4% 89%  
110 5% 84%  
111 7% 79%  
112 8% 72%  
113 8% 64%  
114 8% 56% Median
115 9% 48%  
116 8% 39%  
117 6% 31%  
118 6% 25%  
119 5% 19%  
120 4% 15%  
121 3% 10%  
122 2% 7%  
123 2% 5%  
124 1.2% 3%  
125 0.8% 2%  
126 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
127 0.3% 0.6%  
128 0.2% 0.4%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0.1% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 0.3% 99.6%  
96 0.5% 99.4%  
97 0.6% 98.9%  
98 1.0% 98%  
99 2% 97%  
100 3% 95%  
101 4% 93%  
102 5% 89%  
103 7% 83%  
104 8% 77%  
105 7% 69%  
106 7% 62% Median
107 7% 55%  
108 7% 48%  
109 7% 41%  
110 8% 34%  
111 8% 26% Last Result
112 6% 19%  
113 3% 13%  
114 3% 10%  
115 2% 6%  
116 1.3% 4%  
117 1.0% 3%  
118 0.7% 2%  
119 0.4% 1.0%  
120 0.2% 0.6%  
121 0.2% 0.4%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Salvați România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.4% 99.6%  
80 0.7% 99.2%  
81 1.2% 98%  
82 2% 97%  
83 3% 96%  
84 4% 93%  
85 6% 89%  
86 6% 83%  
87 7% 77%  
88 8% 70%  
89 8% 61% Last Result, Median
90 8% 54%  
91 8% 46%  
92 8% 38%  
93 7% 30%  
94 6% 23%  
95 5% 17%  
96 4% 12%  
97 3% 8%  
98 2% 5%  
99 1.1% 3%  
100 0.9% 2%  
101 0.5% 1.1%  
102 0.3% 0.7%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.5%  
77 0.8% 99.1%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 3% 95%  
81 4% 92%  
82 6% 88%  
83 6% 83%  
84 8% 76%  
85 8% 68%  
86 9% 60% Last Result
87 9% 51% Median
88 8% 42%  
89 7% 34%  
90 6% 27%  
91 5% 20%  
92 5% 15%  
93 4% 10%  
94 2% 7%  
95 2% 4%  
96 1.1% 3%  
97 0.7% 2%  
98 0.4% 0.9%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Romániai Magyar Demokrata Szövetség

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.4% 99.6%  
70 0.8% 99.1%  
71 1.3% 98% Last Result
72 2% 97%  
73 3% 95%  
74 4% 92%  
75 6% 88%  
76 6% 83%  
77 8% 76%  
78 8% 69%  
79 9% 60% Median
80 9% 51%  
81 9% 42%  
82 7% 33%  
83 7% 26%  
84 5% 18%  
85 4% 13%  
86 3% 9%  
87 2% 6%  
88 2% 4%  
89 1.1% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.3%  
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.8%  
53 0.6% 99.5%  
54 1.0% 98.9%  
55 2% 98%  
56 3% 96%  
57 4% 93%  
58 5% 89%  
59 8% 84%  
60 8% 76%  
61 10% 68%  
62 10% 59% Median
63 9% 49%  
64 10% 39%  
65 8% 30%  
66 6% 21%  
67 5% 15%  
68 4% 10%  
69 2% 6%  
70 2% 4%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.6% 1.3%  
73 0.4% 0.8%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations