Opinion Poll by Focus for TV Markíza, 5–12 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 24.2% 22.5–26.0% 22.1–26.5% 21.7–26.9% 20.9–27.8%
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.6% 20.0–23.3% 19.5–23.8% 19.1–24.2% 18.4–25.0%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.5% 12.5–16.8% 11.9–17.6%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.1% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.5–8.3%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.1%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 4 4 3–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 0–1
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 73% 100% Last Result, Median
5 27% 27%  
6 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.6% 100%  
4 98% 99.4% Median
5 1.2% 1.2%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 25% 100%  
3 75% 75% Median
4 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 91% 100% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 98% 99.0% Median
2 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 91% 91% Last Result, Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Median
1 32% 32% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 66% 66% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 4 4 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.6% 100%  
4 98% 99.4% Median
5 1.2% 1.2%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 91% 100% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 66% 66% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations