Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | PS | KDH | SK | MS | MOST–HÍD | D | ZĽ | MODRÍ | MODRÍ–MOST–HÍD | MF | SK–ZĽ | NOVA | SaS | KÚ | SNS | SME RODINA | REP | Smer–SD | Kotleba–ĽSNS | HLAS–SD | HLAS–SD–DV | DV | V | ZR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
13.2% 2 |
7.5% 1 |
6.5% 1 |
5.8% 1 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
6.8% 1 |
6.7% 1 |
0.0% 0 |
3.6% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
24.1% 4 |
1.7% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 20–27% 4–5 |
5–8% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 1 |
0–2% 0 |
2–6% 0–1 |
2–5% 0 |
6–10% 1–2 |
18–24% 3–5 |
0–2% 0 |
10–16% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
20–25% 4–5 |
5–8% 1 |
N/A N/A |
4–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 1 |
0–2% 0 |
3–5% 0–1 |
2–5% 0 |
7–11% 1–2 |
19–25% 4–5 |
N/A N/A |
11–15% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 23–28% 4–5 |
5–8% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
4–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 1 |
0–1% 0 |
2–5% 0 |
3–6% 0–1 |
7–11% 1–2 |
17–22% 3–4 |
1–2% 0 |
9–13% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
20–25% 4–5 |
5–9% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 0–2 |
0–2% 0 |
2–4% 0 |
2–4% 0 |
6–9% 1–2 |
19–25% 4–5 |
1–2% 0 |
11–15% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
19–24% 3–5 |
5–8% 1 |
N/A N/A |
2–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
4–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 1 |
1–2% 0 |
4–6% 0–1 |
2–4% 0 |
5–9% 1–2 |
19–24% 4–5 |
0–1% 0 |
13–17% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 8 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
13.2% 2 |
7.5% 1 |
6.5% 1 |
5.8% 1 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
6.8% 1 |
6.7% 1 |
0.0% 0 |
3.6% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
24.1% 4 |
1.7% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- PS: Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
- KDH: Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)
- SK: Slovensko (EPP)
- MS: Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
- MOST–HÍD: MOST–HÍD (EPP)
- D: Demokrati (EPP)
- ZĽ: Za ľudí (EPP)
- MODRÍ: MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko (EPP)
- MODRÍ–MOST–HÍD: MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD (EPP)
- MF: Magyar Fórum (EPP)
- SK–ZĽ: Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP)
- NOVA: NOVA (ECR)
- SaS: Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)
- KÚ: Kresťanská únia (ECR)
- SNS: Slovenská národná strana (PfE)
- SME RODINA: SME RODINA (PfE)
- REP: REPUBLIKA (ESN)
- Smer–SD: SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)
- Kotleba–ĽSNS: Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)
- HLAS–SD: HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)
- HLAS–SD–DV: HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba (NI)
- DV: Dobrá voľba (*)
- V: VLASŤ (*)
- ZR: ZDRAVÝ ROZUM (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 24.1% | 21.3% | 18.8–23.3% | 18.2–23.8% | 17.7–24.2% | 16.8–25.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 13.2% | 6.5% | 5.5–7.6% | 5.2–7.9% | 5.0–8.2% | 4.6–8.8% |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| NOVA (ECR) | 6.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% | 4.9–8.1% | 4.5–8.7% |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.5% | 2.7–5.8% | 2.4–6.4% |
| MOST–HÍD (EPP) | 5.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3–5.1% | 2.1–5.5% | 1.9–5.8% | 1.6–6.4% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.7% | 0.4–1.9% | 0.3–2.2% |
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0.0% | 22.8% | 20.6–25.8% | 20.1–26.5% | 19.6–27.1% | 18.7–28.2% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Magyar Fórum (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 2.6–5.3% | 2.4–5.6% | 2.2–5.9% | 1.9–6.4% |
| Kresťanská únia (ECR) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.3–1.6% | 0.2–1.8% | 0.2–2.0% | 0.1–2.4% |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.2–5.0% | 2.0–5.3% | 1.7–5.9% |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0.0% | 8.1% | 6.5–9.6% | 6.1–10.0% | 5.8–10.3% | 5.3–11.0% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0.0% | 13.0% | 10.6–15.4% | 10.1–16.1% | 9.7–16.5% | 9.0–17.5% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba (NI) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Dobrá voľba (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| VLASŤ (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| ZDRAVÝ ROZUM (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 5% | 98% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 11% | 93% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 16% | 82% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 21.5–22.5% | 22% | 43% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 14% | 21% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 24.5–25.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 11% | 99.6% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 42% | 88% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 35% | 46% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 10% | 11% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 13% | 99.4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 44% | 86% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 34% | 43% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 8% | 9% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 27% | 98.7% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 46% | 72% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 22% | 26% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 16% | 99.6% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 34% | 84% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 30% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 16% | 20% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 11% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 78% | 89% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 11% | 11% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 5% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 43% | 95% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 43% | 52% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 7% | 98% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 15% | 91% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 21% | 76% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 19% | 55% | Median |
| 23.5–24.5% | 14% | 36% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 10% | 22% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 7% | 12% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 3% | 5% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% |
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 8% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 27% | 92% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 34% | 65% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 25% | 30% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 7% | 98% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 13% | 91% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 17% | 78% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 21% | 60% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 18% | 39% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 12% | 21% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanská únia (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 24% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 64% | 76% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 12% | 12% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 10% | 98.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 23% | 89% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 31% | 66% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 24% | 35% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 9% | 10% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 46% | 85% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 28% | 39% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 10% | 11% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| NOVA (ECR) | 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| MOST–HÍD (EPP) | 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko (EPP) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD (EPP) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Magyar Fórum (EPP) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Kresťanská únia (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba (NI) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Dobrá voľba (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| VLASŤ (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| ZDRAVÝ ROZUM (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 86% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovensko (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.
NOVA (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NOVA (ECR) page.
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 96% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
MOST–HÍD (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD (EPP) page.
Slovenská národná strana (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 88% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 12% | 12% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 60% | 99.0% | Median |
| 5 | 39% | 39% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 27% | 27% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko (EPP) page.
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD (EPP) page.
Magyar Fórum (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum (EPP) page.
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanská únia (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SME RODINA (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 44% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 46% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba (NI) page.
Dobrá voľba (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba (*) page.
VLASŤ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ (*) page.
ZDRAVÝ ROZUM (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ZDRAVÝ ROZUM (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) – HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) – HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba (NI) | 4 | 7 | 3% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) – Slovensko (EPP) – Magyar Szövetség (EPP) – MOST–HÍD (EPP) – Demokrati (EPP) – MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko (EPP) – MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD (EPP) – Magyar Fórum (EPP) – Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) – Za ľudí (EPP) | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| NOVA (ECR) – Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) – Kresťanská únia (ECR) | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Dobrá voľba () – VLASŤ () – ZDRAVÝ ROZUM (*) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) – HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) – HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 44% | 96% | Median |
| 7 | 48% | 52% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | Majority |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 60% | 99.0% | Median |
| 5 | 39% | 39% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) – Slovensko (EPP) – Magyar Szövetség (EPP) – MOST–HÍD (EPP) – Demokrati (EPP) – MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko (EPP) – MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD (EPP) – Magyar Fórum (EPP) – Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) – Za ľudí (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 61% | 99.3% | Median |
| 2 | 35% | 39% | |
| 3 | 3% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 44% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
NOVA (ECR) – Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) – Kresťanská únia (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 96% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 13% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Dobrá voľba () – VLASŤ () – ZDRAVÝ ROZUM (*)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 4
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 7,340,032
- Error estimate: 2.88%