HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13.0% | 10.6–15.4% | 10.1–16.1% | 9.7–16.5% | 9.0–17.5% |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
13.3% | 12.0–14.7% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 10.9% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.4–12.6% | 9.1–13.0% | 8.6–13.7% |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
12.8% | 11.5–14.2% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 12.8% | 11.5–14.2% | 11.2–14.6% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.1–14.0% | 9.5–14.7% |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 11.0–14.4% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.6–16.2% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.7–17.3% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
15.9% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.1–17.9% | 13.8–18.3% | 13.1–19.1% |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 11.3% | 10.1–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.4% | 8.9–14.0% |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 13.0% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
13.5% | 12.2–14.9% | 11.8–15.3% | 11.5–15.7% | 10.9–16.4% |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
15.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.9–17.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 7% | 98% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 13% | 91% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 17% | 78% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 21% | 60% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 18% | 39% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 12% | 21% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 46% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |