Slovenská národná strana (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 3.6% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3.5% | 2.3–5.1% | 2.1–5.5% | 1.9–5.8% | 1.6–6.4% |
6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.4% |
7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.1% |
27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 3.2% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.9% |
6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.5% | 2.8–6.0% |
26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
3.1% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Slovenská národná strana (PfE).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
0.5–1.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 16% | 99.6% | |
2.5–3.5% | 34% | 84% | |
3.5–4.5% | 30% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
4.5–5.5% | 16% | 20% | |
5.5–6.5% | 4% | 4% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
|||||
5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Slovenská národná strana (PfE).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 88% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
1 | 12% | 12% | |
2 | 0% | 0% |