REPUBLIKA (ESN)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10.0% | 8.3–12.2% | 7.9–12.7% | 7.5–13.2% | 6.9–14.0% |
| 13–21 October 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.2–11.8% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 15–20 October 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 8–17 October 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 1–5 October 2025 | NMS | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–13.9% | 9.4–14.6% |
| 8–22 September 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| 17–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
10.9% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.4–12.6% | 9.2–13.0% | 8.7–13.6% |
| 10–17 September 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.7% | 8.6–10.9% | 8.3–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.6–12.2% |
| 3–7 September 2025 | NMS | 10.2% | 9.0–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.5–12.2% | 7.9–12.9% |
| 15–19 August 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.8–11.9% | 8.6–12.2% | 8.1–12.9% |
| 6–19 August 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.9% | 9.2–10.6% | 9.1–10.8% | 8.9–11.0% | 8.6–11.4% |
| 5–11 August 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 6–10 August 2025 | NMS | 10.4% | 9.3–11.7% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.7–12.5% | 8.1–13.1% |
| 8–15 July 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 7–13 July 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.4% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.4% |
| 2–7 July 2025 | NMS | 10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.1–13.0% |
| 16–19 June 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
9.9% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 11–19 June 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 2–9 June 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–8 June 2025 | NMS | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–12.0% |
| 19–26 May 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–16 May 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
9.3% | 8.2–10.5% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.1–11.9% |
| 30 April–4 May 2025 | NMS | 8.8% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.2–10.8% | 6.8–11.4% |
| 10–17 April 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 1–8 April 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 April 2025 | NMS | 9.2% | 8.1–10.4% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| 11–19 March 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 10–14 March 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
7.4% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% |
| 5–9 March 2025 | NMS TV Markíza |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 7–12 February 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.9–10.2% |
| 5–12 February 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| 5–9 February 2025 | NMS | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 27–31 January 2025 | CSV | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.4% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.7–7.2% |
| 14–24 January 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| 11–17 January 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
7.7% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 9–13 January 2025 | NMS | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 16–19 December 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| 4–9 December 2024 | NMS | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| 2–8 December 2024 | Focus 360tka |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 12–20 November 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
8.6% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.1–10.5% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
6.3% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.4–7.9% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.8–8.8% |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for REPUBLIKA (ESN).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 12% | 97% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 23% | 86% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 26% | 62% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 19% | 37% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 11% | 18% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 13–21 October 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15–20 October 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–17 October 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–5 October 2025 | NMS | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 8–22 September 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 10–17 September 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–7 September 2025 | NMS | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15–19 August 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 6–19 August 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5–11 August 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6–10 August 2025 | NMS | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 8–15 July 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–13 July 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–7 July 2025 | NMS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16–19 June 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–19 June 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–9 June 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
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| 4–8 June 2025 | NMS | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19–26 May 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
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| 12–16 May 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 30 April–4 May 2025 | NMS | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–17 April 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–8 April 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
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| 2–6 April 2025 | NMS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–19 March 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 10–14 March 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5–9 March 2025 | NMS TV Markíza |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–12 February 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5–12 February 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–9 February 2025 | NMS | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27–31 January 2025 | CSV | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–24 January 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–17 January 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–13 January 2025 | NMS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16–19 December 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–9 December 2024 | NMS | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 2–8 December 2024 | Focus 360tka |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12–20 November 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for REPUBLIKA (ESN).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 85% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |