REPUBLIKA (ESN)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 11.1% | 7.0–13.9% | 6.6–14.4% | 6.3–14.9% | 5.7–15.7% |
| 3–9 February 2026 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.9% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 4–8 February 2026 | NMS | 13.4% | 12.1–14.8% | 11.7–15.2% | 11.4–15.6% | 10.8–16.3% |
| 15–20 January 2026 | Ipsos Denník N |
12.3% | 11.1–13.7% | 10.7–14.1% | 10.4–14.4% | 9.9–15.1% |
| 13–20 January 2026 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| 8–11 January 2026 | NMS | 12.9% | 11.6–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.1% | 10.3–15.8% |
| 9–16 December 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.3% | 8.3–10.6% | 8.0–10.9% | 7.7–11.2% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 28 November–2 December 2025 | NMS | 11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.4–13.7% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| 24–28 November 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
10.7% | 9.6–12.1% | 9.2–12.4% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.4–13.4% |
| 11–18 November 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 11–18 November 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 5–9 November 2025 | NMS | 12.1% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.6–15.0% |
| 13–21 October 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–20 October 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–17 October 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 October 2025 | NMS | 11.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–22 September 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
10.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 September 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–7 September 2025 | NMS | 10.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 August 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
10.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–19 August 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 August 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–10 August 2025 | NMS | 10.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–15 July 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 July 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 July 2025 | NMS | 10.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 June 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
9.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–19 June 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–9 June 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
9.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–8 June 2025 | NMS | 9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–26 May 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–16 May 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April–4 May 2025 | NMS | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 April 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–8 April 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 April 2025 | NMS | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–19 March 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 March 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 March 2025 | NMS TV Markíza |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–12 February 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 February 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 February 2025 | NMS | 7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–31 January 2025 | CSV | 5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–24 January 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 January 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
7.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 January 2025 | NMS | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 December 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 December 2024 | NMS | 9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 December 2024 | Focus 360tka |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–20 November 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
7.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
6.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 6.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
6.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for REPUBLIKA (ESN).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 11% | 95% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 9% | 84% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 9% | 75% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 11% | 66% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 11.5–12.5% | 14% | 45% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 16% | 30% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 10% | 14% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for REPUBLIKA (ESN).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 30% | 100% | |
| 2 | 68% | 70% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |