REPUBLIKA (ESN)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8.1% | 6.5–9.6% | 6.1–10.0% | 5.8–10.3% | 5.3–11.0% |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
8.6% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.1–10.5% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 8.8% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.4–10.4% | 7.1–10.7% | 6.7–11.3% |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
6.3% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.4–7.9% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.8–8.8% |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for REPUBLIKA (ESN).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 10% | 98.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 23% | 89% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 31% | 66% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 24% | 35% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 9% | 10% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for REPUBLIKA (ESN).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 44% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |