Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 11–18 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 23.8% 22.1–25.6% 21.7–26.1% 21.3–26.6% 20.5–27.4%
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.5–26.4%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 15.2% 13.8–16.8% 13.4–17.2% 13.1–17.6% 12.5–18.3%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia (EPP) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja (EPP) 6.5% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 36% 99.7% Last Result
5 59% 64% Median
6 5% 5%  
7 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.3% 100%  
4 88% 99.7% Median
5 12% 12%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 9% 100%  
3 90% 91% Median
4 1.0% 1.0%  
5 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 98% 99.7% Median
2 2% 2% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 96% 97% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100%  
1 80% 80% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0% 0%  

SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.5% 1.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 2% 2% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 96% 97% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations