Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 9–15 July 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 23.5% 21.8–25.3% 21.4–25.8% 21.0–26.2% 20.2–27.1%
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.7% 20.1–23.4% 19.6–23.9% 19.3–24.4% 18.5–25.2%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 15.5% 14.1–17.1% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.7–18.7%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–7.0% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–7.0% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 48% 99.9% Last Result
5 52% 52% Median
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 24% 100%  
4 73% 76% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 93% 94% Median
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 95% 100% Median
2 5% 5% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 93% 93% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 88% 88% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Median
1 18% 18% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 24% 100%  
4 73% 76% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 88% 88% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations