Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 6–10 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 25.5% 23.8–27.3% 23.3–27.8% 22.9–28.2% 22.1–29.1%
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.6% 20.0–23.3% 19.5–23.8% 19.1–24.2% 18.4–25.0%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 11.9% 10.7–13.3% 10.3–13.7% 10.1–14.0% 9.5–14.7%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 6.3% 5.5–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 18% 100% Last Result
5 78% 82% Median
6 4% 4%  
7 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 68% 97% Median
5 29% 29%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 94% 99.9% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 93% 99.6% Last Result, Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 96% 97% Median
2 1.1% 1.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 94% 94% Median
2 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Median
1 26% 26% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 68% 97% Median
5 29% 29%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 96% 97% Median
2 1.1% 1.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations