Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 8–17 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.3% 19.7–23.0% 19.3–23.5% 18.9–24.0% 18.1–24.8%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 21.3% 19.7–23.0% 19.3–23.5% 18.9–24.0% 18.1–24.8%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–17.0% 12.9–17.4% 12.3–18.1%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 4 3–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 0–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 94% 97% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 2% 100%  
4 92% 98% Last Result, Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 37% 100%  
3 62% 63% Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 83% 99.8% Median
2 17% 17%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 98.5% 99.8% Last Result, Median
2 1.3% 1.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 97% 98% Median
2 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100% Last Result
1 60% 60% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko–Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Median
1 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 4 3–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 94% 97% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 83% 99.8% Median
2 17% 17%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations