Opinion Poll by Delo Stik for Delo, 1–8 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 24.9% 23.0–26.9% 22.5–27.5% 22.0–28.0% 21.2–29.0%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 18.2% 16.6–20.1% 16.1–20.6% 15.7–21.0% 15.0–21.9%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 17.4% 15.7–19.2% 15.3–19.7% 14.9–20.1% 14.2–21.0%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 7.6% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.3% 6.0–9.7% 5.5–10.3%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.1% 6.1–8.4% 5.8–8.8% 5.6–9.1% 5.1–9.8%
Levica 6.0% 6.4% 5.4–7.7% 5.2–8.0% 4.9–8.3% 4.5–8.9%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 4.2% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5% 3.0–5.8% 2.7–6.3%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 3.2% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.4% 2.2–4.7% 1.9–5.2%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 2.3% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.5–3.6% 1.3–4.1%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.3–3.3% 1.1–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 24 22–26 22–27 21–27 20–28
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 18 16–19 15–20 15–20 14–21
Socialni demokrati 6 17 15–19 15–19 14–19 13–21
Stranka modernega centra 36 7 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–10
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 7 6–8 5–8 5–9 5–9
Levica 6 6 5–7 4–7 4–8 4–9
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–5
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0 0 0 0

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.9% 99.9%  
21 3% 99.0%  
22 7% 96%  
23 12% 90%  
24 40% 78% Median
25 16% 38%  
26 16% 22%  
27 4% 6%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0.4% 0.5%  
30 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.9% 99.9%  
15 5% 99.0%  
16 14% 94%  
17 26% 80%  
18 24% 53% Median
19 20% 29%  
20 7% 9%  
21 2% 2% Last Result
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.8% 100%  
14 3% 99.2%  
15 12% 96%  
16 14% 83%  
17 37% 69% Median
18 20% 32%  
19 9% 11%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.6% 0.7%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 4% 99.9%  
6 29% 96%  
7 39% 67% Median
8 22% 28%  
9 6% 6%  
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 6% 99.7% Last Result
6 41% 94%  
7 34% 53% Median
8 15% 18%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100%  
4 6% 99.9%  
5 28% 94%  
6 42% 66% Last Result, Median
7 19% 24%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.5% 0.5%  
10 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100%  
1 0% 70%  
2 0% 70%  
3 8% 70%  
4 45% 62% Median
5 16% 16%  
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 1.4% 10%  
4 8% 9%  
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0.1% 0.5%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0.1% 0.2%  
4 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 58 100% 55–60 54–61 53–61 52–62
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 58 100% 55–60 54–61 53–61 52–62
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 55 100% 53–58 51–59 51–59 49–60
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 51 98% 48–53 47–54 46–55 45–55
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 51 99.5% 48–54 47–54 46–55 46–56
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 51 99.5% 48–54 47–54 46–55 46–56
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 48 88% 45–51 44–51 44–52 43–53
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 48 92% 46–51 45–51 44–52 43–54
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 46 55% 42–47 41–48 40–48 39–50
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 45 34% 41–47 40–48 39–48 39–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 42 5% 40–44 39–45 38–46 37–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 41 2% 39–43 38–44 37–45 36–46
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 27 0% 24–29 23–30 23–30 21–32

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 1.2% 99.8%  
53 1.3% 98.6%  
54 3% 97%  
55 7% 95%  
56 14% 87%  
57 21% 74%  
58 13% 53%  
59 16% 40% Median
60 16% 24%  
61 7% 8% Last Result
62 2% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.3%  
64 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 1.2% 99.8%  
53 1.3% 98.5%  
54 3% 97%  
55 7% 95%  
56 14% 87%  
57 21% 74% Last Result
58 13% 53%  
59 16% 40% Median
60 16% 24%  
61 7% 8%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.3%  
64 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100% Last Result
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.5% 99.8%  
50 1.2% 99.3%  
51 3% 98%  
52 5% 95%  
53 23% 90%  
54 7% 67%  
55 22% 60% Median
56 13% 38%  
57 13% 25%  
58 7% 12%  
59 4% 5%  
60 1.0% 1.4%  
61 0.3% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 2% 99.8%  
46 1.0% 98% Majority
47 4% 97%  
48 8% 94%  
49 15% 85%  
50 10% 70%  
51 22% 60%  
52 12% 38% Median
53 18% 26%  
54 3% 8%  
55 4% 5%  
56 0.2% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.9%  
46 2% 99.5% Majority
47 2% 97%  
48 6% 95%  
49 13% 89%  
50 15% 75%  
51 19% 60%  
52 7% 41% Median
53 19% 34%  
54 10% 15%  
55 4% 5%  
56 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.9%  
46 2% 99.5% Majority
47 2% 97%  
48 6% 95%  
49 13% 89%  
50 15% 75%  
51 19% 60%  
52 7% 41% Last Result, Median
53 19% 34%  
54 10% 15%  
55 4% 5%  
56 0.7% 0.8%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.8%  
43 0.9% 99.5%  
44 5% 98.6%  
45 6% 94%  
46 11% 88% Majority
47 18% 77%  
48 21% 59% Median
49 18% 39%  
50 8% 21%  
51 11% 13%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.5% 0.9%  
54 0.3% 0.4%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.3% 100% Last Result
43 0.7% 99.6%  
44 3% 99.0%  
45 3% 96%  
46 13% 92% Majority
47 19% 79%  
48 12% 60% Median
49 17% 48%  
50 20% 31%  
51 6% 11%  
52 2% 4%  
53 1.2% 2%  
54 0.4% 0.7%  
55 0.3% 0.3%  
56 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 100%  
39 1.5% 99.9%  
40 3% 98%  
41 5% 95%  
42 8% 91%  
43 9% 83%  
44 10% 74%  
45 8% 64%  
46 37% 55% Median, Majority
47 13% 18%  
48 4% 5%  
49 1.1% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.6%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.8%  
39 3% 99.6%  
40 2% 97%  
41 7% 94%  
42 18% 88%  
43 13% 69%  
44 6% 57%  
45 16% 51% Median
46 18% 34% Majority
47 11% 16%  
48 5% 6%  
49 0.5% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.3% 100%  
37 1.0% 99.6%  
38 1.5% 98.6%  
39 5% 97%  
40 10% 92%  
41 17% 82%  
42 30% 66% Median
43 22% 36%  
44 6% 14%  
45 3% 8%  
46 3% 5% Majority
47 1.4% 2%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.3% 100%  
36 0.6% 99.7%  
37 3% 99.1%  
38 4% 96%  
39 14% 91%  
40 7% 78%  
41 24% 71% Median
42 19% 47%  
43 18% 28%  
44 6% 10%  
45 2% 4%  
46 1.2% 2% Majority
47 0.4% 0.5%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.6% 99.9%  
22 1.4% 99.3%  
23 3% 98%  
24 6% 95%  
25 16% 89%  
26 14% 73%  
27 24% 60%  
28 15% 36% Median
29 14% 21%  
30 6% 7%  
31 0.6% 1.1%  
32 0.5% 0.5%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations