Slovenska nacionalna stranka
Voting Intentions
Last result: 2.2% (General Election of 13 July 2014)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3.6% | 2.1–5.2% | 1.8–5.6% | 1.6–5.9% | 1.3–6.6% |
28–31 May 2018 | Valicon | 3.8% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.1–4.6% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% |
31 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
3.4% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.4–4.9% | 2.1–5.3% |
31 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
4.6% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.7% |
25–30 May 2018 | Mediana Delo |
5.8% | 4.8–7.1% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.3–7.8% | 3.8–8.5% |
25–29 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
4.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.4–6.6% | 3.0–7.3% |
29 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
2.6% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.7–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
23–29 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
6.5% | 5.5–7.8% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.9–8.6% | 4.5–9.2% |
25–27 May 2018 | Valicon | 5.0% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.8–6.7% | 3.6–7.1% | 3.2–7.8% |
22–25 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
6.0% | 4.9–7.5% | 4.6–7.8% | 4.4–8.2% | 3.9–9.0% |
25 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
5.2% | 4.3–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.8–7.1% | 3.4–7.7% |
21–23 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
2.6% | 1.9–3.8% | 1.7–4.1% | 1.6–4.4% | 1.3–5.0% |
21–22 May 2018 | Ninamedia Mladina |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–22 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
5.6% | 4.6–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.1–7.6% | 3.7–8.2% |
22 May 2018 | Episcenter | 2.1% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.3–3.5% | 1.1–3.9% |
20 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
4.7% | 3.7–6.2% | 3.4–6.6% | 3.2–7.0% | 2.8–7.7% |
14–17 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
3.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.6–5.5% | 2.4–5.9% | 2.0–6.6% |
11–17 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
4.4% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.1% | 2.9–6.5% | 2.5–7.2% |
9–15 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
5.3% | 4.2–6.8% | 3.9–7.3% | 3.6–7.7% | 3.2–8.5% |
7–10 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
1.7% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 1.0–2.9% | 0.8–3.4% |
8–9 May 2018 | Valicon | 3.3% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.0–5.3% |
4–7 May 2018 | Valicon | 2.8% | 2.5–3.1% | 2.5–3.2% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.5% |
2–5 May 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
2.4% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.6–3.7% | 1.3–4.1% |
11–19 April 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
1.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.1–3.3% | 0.9–3.6% | 0.7–4.2% |
9–11 April 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
29 March–5 April 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
25 March 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
2.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.8% | 1.2–4.2% | 1.0–4.8% |
13–15 March 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–14 March 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
5.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.9–7.0% | 3.5–7.6% |
1–8 March 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
2.3% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.5–3.6% | 1.3–4.1% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Slovenska nacionalna stranka.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 20% | 98% | Last Result |
2.5–3.5% | 25% | 78% | |
3.5–4.5% | 31% | 53% | Median |
4.5–5.5% | 16% | 22% | |
5.5–6.5% | 5% | 5% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 13 July 2014)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
28–31 May 2018 | Valicon | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
31 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
31 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
25–30 May 2018 | Mediana Delo |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
25–29 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
29 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
23–29 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
6 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
25–27 May 2018 | Valicon | 5 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
22–25 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
25 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
21–23 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
21–22 May 2018 | Ninamedia Mladina |
|||||
12–22 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 0–7 |
22 May 2018 | Episcenter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
14–17 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
11–17 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
9–15 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
4 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
7–10 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8–9 May 2018 | Valicon | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
4–7 May 2018 | Valicon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2–5 May 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
11–19 April 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–11 April 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
|||||
29 March–5 April 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
|||||
25 March 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
13–15 March 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
|||||
10–14 March 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
1–8 March 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Slovenska nacionalna stranka.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 62% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
1 | 0% | 38% | |
2 | 0% | 38% | |
3 | 3% | 38% | |
4 | 23% | 35% | |
5 | 11% | 12% | |
6 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
8 | 0% | 0% |