Opinion Poll by Parsifal SC for Nova24TV, 10–14 March 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 20.7% | 23.3% | 21.5–25.4% | 21.0–25.9% | 20.5–26.4% | 19.6–27.4% |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0.0% | 20.9% | 19.1–22.9% | 18.6–23.4% | 18.2–23.9% | 17.4–24.9% |
| Socialni demokrati | 6.0% | 16.5% | 14.9–18.3% | 14.4–18.8% | 14.0–19.2% | 13.3–20.1% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.4–8.4% | 5.2–8.7% | 4.8–9.4% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.5% | 5.0–7.9% | 4.8–8.2% | 4.3–8.8% |
| Stranka modernega centra | 34.5% | 5.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.9–7.0% | 3.5–7.6% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 2.2% | 5.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.9–7.0% | 3.5–7.6% |
| Levica | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.9–5.7% | 2.6–6.3% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.6–4.7% |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.9–2.7% | 0.7–3.1% |
| Pozitivna Slovenija | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–1.8% | 0.3–2.2% |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% | 0.2–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 23 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 20–26 | 18–27 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0 | 20 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 16–24 |
| Socialni demokrati | 6 | 15 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–19 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10 | 5 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 3–8 |
| Stranka modernega centra | 36 | 5 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 0 | 5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Levica | 6 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pozitivna Slovenija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 20 | 7% | 98% | |
| 21 | 20% | 91% | Last Result |
| 22 | 13% | 71% | |
| 23 | 28% | 58% | Median |
| 24 | 17% | 29% | |
| 25 | 6% | 12% | |
| 26 | 5% | 6% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 4% | 97% | |
| 19 | 14% | 93% | |
| 20 | 39% | 79% | Median |
| 21 | 18% | 40% | |
| 22 | 10% | 22% | |
| 23 | 4% | 12% | |
| 24 | 8% | 8% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 13 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 29% | 93% | |
| 15 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 16 | 16% | 50% | |
| 17 | 18% | 34% | |
| 18 | 7% | 17% | |
| 19 | 9% | 10% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 16% | 98% | Last Result |
| 6 | 23% | 82% | |
| 7 | 50% | 59% | Median |
| 8 | 8% | 9% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 50% | 93% | Median |
| 6 | 29% | 43% | |
| 7 | 8% | 14% | |
| 8 | 6% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 4 | 41% | 94% | |
| 5 | 38% | 54% | Median |
| 6 | 12% | 15% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 90% | |
| 2 | 0% | 90% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 4 | 22% | 89% | |
| 5 | 57% | 68% | Median |
| 6 | 8% | 11% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 43% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 57% | |
| 2 | 0% | 57% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 57% | |
| 4 | 29% | 57% | Median |
| 5 | 28% | 28% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 4 | 6% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Pozitivna Slovenija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pozitivna Slovenija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 61 | 52 | 100% | 50–57 | 49–59 | 46–59 | 46–59 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra | 57 | 52 | 100% | 50–57 | 49–59 | 46–59 | 46–59 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 21 | 47 | 91% | 46–52 | 45–54 | 44–54 | 42–55 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 31 | 48 | 94% | 46–52 | 45–54 | 44–54 | 43–56 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 47 | 47 | 68% | 45–51 | 43–53 | 41–53 | 41–53 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 56 | 46 | 56% | 43–50 | 42–52 | 40–52 | 40–53 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra | 52 | 46 | 56% | 43–50 | 42–52 | 40–52 | 40–53 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 11 | 42 | 20% | 41–46 | 39–48 | 39–48 | 37–48 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca | 21 | 43 | 15% | 40–46 | 40–48 | 39–48 | 38–49 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 16 | 41 | 12% | 39–46 | 39–47 | 38–47 | 36–48 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 42 | 40 | 6% | 38–44 | 37–46 | 35–46 | 34–46 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 6 | 36 | 0% | 34–40 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 31–41 |
| Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra | 52 | 26 | 0% | 23–29 | 22–30 | 19–30 | 19–31 |
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Pozitivna Slovenija | 42 | 20 | 0% | 18–24 | 17–24 | 14–24 | 14–25 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 3% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 95% | |
| 50 | 24% | 92% | |
| 51 | 10% | 69% | |
| 52 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 53 | 10% | 46% | |
| 54 | 5% | 36% | |
| 55 | 7% | 31% | |
| 56 | 12% | 24% | |
| 57 | 4% | 12% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 59 | 7% | 7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 3% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 95% | |
| 50 | 24% | 92% | |
| 51 | 10% | 69% | |
| 52 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 53 | 10% | 46% | |
| 54 | 5% | 36% | |
| 55 | 7% | 31% | |
| 56 | 12% | 24% | |
| 57 | 4% | 12% | Last Result |
| 58 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 59 | 7% | 7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 5% | 97% | |
| 46 | 27% | 91% | Majority |
| 47 | 17% | 64% | Median |
| 48 | 8% | 47% | |
| 49 | 9% | 40% | |
| 50 | 6% | 30% | |
| 51 | 10% | 25% | |
| 52 | 5% | 15% | |
| 53 | 2% | 9% | |
| 54 | 6% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 19% | 94% | Majority |
| 47 | 6% | 75% | |
| 48 | 23% | 69% | Median |
| 49 | 10% | 45% | |
| 50 | 11% | 35% | |
| 51 | 13% | 25% | |
| 52 | 3% | 12% | |
| 53 | 2% | 9% | |
| 54 | 6% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 44 | 4% | 94% | |
| 45 | 22% | 91% | |
| 46 | 17% | 68% | Majority |
| 47 | 15% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 48 | 6% | 36% | |
| 49 | 4% | 30% | |
| 50 | 7% | 25% | |
| 51 | 11% | 19% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 53 | 6% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 42 | 2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 24% | 94% | |
| 44 | 4% | 70% | |
| 45 | 11% | 67% | Median |
| 46 | 11% | 56% | Majority |
| 47 | 9% | 45% | |
| 48 | 5% | 35% | |
| 49 | 12% | 30% | |
| 50 | 8% | 18% | |
| 51 | 2% | 10% | |
| 52 | 7% | 7% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 42 | 2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 24% | 94% | |
| 44 | 4% | 70% | |
| 45 | 11% | 67% | Median |
| 46 | 11% | 56% | Majority |
| 47 | 9% | 45% | |
| 48 | 5% | 35% | |
| 49 | 12% | 30% | |
| 50 | 8% | 18% | |
| 51 | 2% | 10% | |
| 52 | 7% | 7% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 4% | 94% | |
| 41 | 36% | 90% | |
| 42 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 43 | 10% | 41% | |
| 44 | 7% | 31% | |
| 45 | 4% | 24% | |
| 46 | 10% | 20% | Majority |
| 47 | 3% | 10% | |
| 48 | 6% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 6% | 95% | |
| 41 | 16% | 89% | |
| 42 | 8% | 73% | |
| 43 | 32% | 66% | Median |
| 44 | 8% | 34% | |
| 45 | 10% | 26% | |
| 46 | 6% | 15% | Majority |
| 47 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 48 | 8% | 8% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 26% | 96% | |
| 40 | 14% | 70% | Median |
| 41 | 8% | 56% | |
| 42 | 8% | 48% | |
| 43 | 11% | 40% | |
| 44 | 14% | 29% | |
| 45 | 3% | 15% | |
| 46 | 4% | 12% | Majority |
| 47 | 7% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 37 | 2% | 95% | |
| 38 | 22% | 93% | |
| 39 | 11% | 71% | |
| 40 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 41 | 12% | 50% | |
| 42 | 10% | 38% | Last Result |
| 43 | 5% | 28% | |
| 44 | 13% | 23% | |
| 45 | 3% | 10% | |
| 46 | 6% | 6% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 2% | 97% | |
| 34 | 31% | 94% | |
| 35 | 13% | 64% | Median |
| 36 | 8% | 51% | |
| 37 | 14% | 43% | |
| 38 | 8% | 30% | |
| 39 | 9% | 21% | |
| 40 | 5% | 12% | |
| 41 | 7% | 8% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 3% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 22 | 2% | 96% | |
| 23 | 21% | 94% | |
| 24 | 13% | 74% | |
| 25 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 26 | 8% | 53% | |
| 27 | 13% | 45% | |
| 28 | 14% | 32% | |
| 29 | 12% | 18% | |
| 30 | 4% | 6% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Pozitivna Slovenija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 18 | 25% | 95% | |
| 19 | 10% | 69% | |
| 20 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 21 | 14% | 46% | |
| 22 | 15% | 32% | |
| 23 | 6% | 17% | |
| 24 | 10% | 11% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Parsifal SC
- Commissioner(s): Nova24TV
- Fieldwork period: 10–14 March 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 784
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.87%