Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 25 March 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0.0% | 25.6% | 23.0–28.4% | 22.3–29.2% | 21.7–29.9% | 20.5–31.2% |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 20.7% | 18.9% | 16.7–21.5% | 16.1–22.3% | 15.5–22.9% | 14.5–24.2% |
| Socialni demokrati | 6.0% | 15.5% | 13.5–17.9% | 12.9–18.6% | 12.4–19.2% | 11.5–20.4% |
| Stranka modernega centra | 34.5% | 10.3% | 8.6–12.4% | 8.2–13.0% | 7.8–13.5% | 7.0–14.5% |
| Levica | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% | 5.2–10.1% | 4.6–11.1% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3–8.4% | 5.0–8.9% | 4.6–9.4% | 4.1–10.3% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10.2% | 5.7% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.2–7.9% | 3.9–8.3% | 3.4–9.2% |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% | 1.9–5.3% | 1.6–6.0% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.8% | 1.2–4.2% | 1.0–4.8% |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.1–3.3% | 0.9–3.6% | 0.7–4.2% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.4% | 0.5–2.7% | 0.4–3.2% |
| Pozitivna Slovenija | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% | 0.4–2.3% | 0.2–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0 | 26 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 20–30 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 18 | 16–20 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| Socialni demokrati | 6 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Stranka modernega centra | 36 | 9 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| Levica | 6 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 4–10 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 0–11 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 0–8 |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pozitivna Slovenija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98% | |
| 22 | 8% | 94% | |
| 23 | 5% | 86% | |
| 24 | 9% | 81% | |
| 25 | 8% | 72% | |
| 26 | 32% | 64% | Median |
| 27 | 12% | 32% | |
| 28 | 17% | 21% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 16 | 35% | 95% | |
| 17 | 6% | 60% | |
| 18 | 21% | 55% | Median |
| 19 | 17% | 34% | |
| 20 | 8% | 17% | |
| 21 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 23 | 3% | 4% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 13% | 97% | |
| 14 | 19% | 84% | |
| 15 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 16 | 6% | 41% | |
| 17 | 27% | 35% | |
| 18 | 2% | 9% | |
| 19 | 6% | 7% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 26% | 94% | |
| 9 | 22% | 68% | Median |
| 10 | 21% | 46% | |
| 11 | 10% | 25% | |
| 12 | 9% | 14% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 24% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 39% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 7 | 19% | 36% | |
| 8 | 8% | 17% | |
| 9 | 6% | 9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 13% | 96% | Last Result |
| 6 | 32% | 83% | |
| 7 | 39% | 50% | Median |
| 8 | 9% | 12% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 39% | 98% | |
| 5 | 26% | 59% | Median |
| 6 | 24% | 33% | |
| 7 | 5% | 9% | |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 57% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 43% | |
| 2 | 0% | 43% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 43% | |
| 4 | 35% | 43% | Last Result |
| 5 | 6% | 8% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 4 | 2% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pozitivna Slovenija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pozitivna Slovenija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 61 | 64 | 100% | 60–66 | 59–66 | 58–67 | 57–68 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 57 | 62 | 100% | 58–65 | 57–66 | 57–66 | 55–67 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 47 | 58 | 100% | 53–59 | 52–62 | 51–62 | 50–62 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 56 | 58 | 100% | 53–59 | 52–60 | 52–60 | 50–62 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 55 | 100% | 52–59 | 52–59 | 51–60 | 49–62 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 21 | 54 | 99.2% | 48–55 | 47–57 | 46–57 | 45–58 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 42 | 51 | 96% | 47–54 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 31 | 48 | 91% | 46–52 | 44–52 | 42–53 | 42–55 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 11 | 48 | 69% | 43–50 | 42–53 | 41–53 | 40–54 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 16 | 47 | 62% | 42–49 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 39–52 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 43 | 27% | 40–47 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–50 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 6 | 42 | 2% | 36–43 | 36–45 | 35–45 | 34–48 |
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 29 | 0% | 27–33 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 24–37 |
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Pozitivna Slovenija | 42 | 25 | 0% | 22–28 | 22–28 | 21–29 | 20–31 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 5% | 95% | |
| 60 | 2% | 91% | |
| 61 | 12% | 89% | Last Result |
| 62 | 5% | 76% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 72% | |
| 64 | 14% | 62% | |
| 65 | 14% | 47% | |
| 66 | 30% | 33% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 58 | 4% | 93% | |
| 59 | 6% | 89% | |
| 60 | 11% | 83% | |
| 61 | 9% | 72% | |
| 62 | 27% | 63% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 35% | |
| 64 | 9% | 27% | |
| 65 | 11% | 17% | |
| 66 | 6% | 6% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 96% | |
| 53 | 7% | 93% | |
| 54 | 6% | 86% | |
| 55 | 11% | 79% | |
| 56 | 3% | 68% | |
| 57 | 11% | 65% | Median |
| 58 | 29% | 54% | |
| 59 | 16% | 25% | |
| 60 | 2% | 9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 7% | |
| 62 | 5% | 6% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 53 | 6% | 95% | |
| 54 | 4% | 89% | |
| 55 | 8% | 85% | Median |
| 56 | 7% | 77% | Last Result |
| 57 | 14% | 70% | |
| 58 | 13% | 56% | |
| 59 | 37% | 43% | |
| 60 | 5% | 6% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 53 | 7% | 89% | |
| 54 | 13% | 82% | |
| 55 | 32% | 68% | Median |
| 56 | 4% | 37% | |
| 57 | 12% | 32% | |
| 58 | 7% | 21% | |
| 59 | 11% | 13% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 47 | 2% | 97% | |
| 48 | 8% | 95% | |
| 49 | 11% | 87% | |
| 50 | 5% | 76% | |
| 51 | 8% | 71% | |
| 52 | 7% | 63% | |
| 53 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 54 | 33% | 52% | |
| 55 | 11% | 19% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 57 | 5% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 46 | 4% | 96% | Majority |
| 47 | 4% | 92% | |
| 48 | 9% | 88% | |
| 49 | 11% | 79% | |
| 50 | 6% | 68% | Median |
| 51 | 34% | 61% | |
| 52 | 7% | 27% | |
| 53 | 10% | 20% | |
| 54 | 7% | 10% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 4% | 95% | |
| 46 | 34% | 91% | Majority |
| 47 | 3% | 57% | |
| 48 | 11% | 54% | |
| 49 | 6% | 44% | Median |
| 50 | 8% | 38% | |
| 51 | 10% | 30% | |
| 52 | 15% | 20% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 5% | 96% | |
| 43 | 7% | 90% | |
| 44 | 7% | 84% | |
| 45 | 7% | 77% | |
| 46 | 9% | 69% | Majority |
| 47 | 3% | 60% | |
| 48 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 49 | 18% | 50% | |
| 50 | 24% | 31% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 53 | 5% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 11% | 96% | |
| 43 | 9% | 85% | |
| 44 | 5% | 76% | |
| 45 | 8% | 70% | |
| 46 | 6% | 62% | Median, Majority |
| 47 | 34% | 56% | |
| 48 | 5% | 22% | |
| 49 | 15% | 18% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 3% | 95% | |
| 40 | 4% | 92% | |
| 41 | 4% | 89% | |
| 42 | 32% | 84% | |
| 43 | 9% | 52% | |
| 44 | 9% | 43% | Median |
| 45 | 7% | 34% | |
| 46 | 16% | 27% | Majority |
| 47 | 7% | 11% | |
| 48 | 3% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 6% | 96% | |
| 37 | 9% | 90% | |
| 38 | 3% | 81% | |
| 39 | 8% | 78% | |
| 40 | 11% | 70% | |
| 41 | 3% | 59% | Median |
| 42 | 15% | 57% | |
| 43 | 33% | 42% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 45 | 6% | 8% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 10% | 96% | |
| 28 | 6% | 85% | |
| 29 | 35% | 79% | Median |
| 30 | 7% | 44% | |
| 31 | 14% | 38% | |
| 32 | 13% | 24% | |
| 33 | 5% | 11% | |
| 34 | 4% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Pozitivna Slovenija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 22 | 13% | 97% | |
| 23 | 6% | 84% | |
| 24 | 12% | 78% | Median |
| 25 | 38% | 66% | |
| 26 | 9% | 27% | |
| 27 | 4% | 19% | |
| 28 | 11% | 14% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Mediana
- Commissioner(s): POP TV
- Fieldwork period: 25 March 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 438
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.92%