Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 11–19 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 21.9% 19.5–24.6% 18.9–25.4% 18.3–26.0% 17.2–27.4%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 21.7% 19.3–24.4% 18.7–25.1% 18.1–25.8% 17.0–27.1%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 13.7% 11.8–16.0% 11.2–16.7% 10.8–17.3% 9.9–18.4%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 7.1% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.4% 5.0–9.9% 4.5–10.8%
Levica 6.0% 6.6% 5.3–8.4% 5.0–8.9% 4.6–9.4% 4.1–10.3%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 5.7% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–7.9% 3.9–8.3% 3.4–9.2%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 4.1% 3.1–5.6% 2.9–6.0% 2.6–6.4% 2.2–7.2%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 2.7% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.4% 1.6–4.7% 1.3–5.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 2.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.8% 1.2–4.2% 1.0–4.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 1.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3% 0.9–3.6% 0.7–4.2%
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0.0% 0.9% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1% 0.4–2.3% 0.2–2.9%
Pozitivna Slovenija 3.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1% 0.0–1.3% 0.0–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 21 19–25 18–25 17–25 17–27
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 21 19–24 18–24 17–25 16–27
Socialni demokrati 6 13 12–15 11–16 10–17 10–18
Stranka modernega centra 36 7 5–8 5–9 4–10 4–10
Levica 6 6 5–8 5–8 4–9 4–9
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 5 4–7 4–7 0–8 0–9
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–5
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pozitivna Slovenija 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.8%  
17 2% 99.6%  
18 4% 97%  
19 15% 94%  
20 21% 79%  
21 18% 57% Last Result, Median
22 15% 40%  
23 9% 25%  
24 4% 16%  
25 9% 12%  
26 1.3% 2%  
27 0.7% 1.2%  
28 0.4% 0.5%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 1.0% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.0%  
18 5% 97%  
19 19% 93%  
20 18% 74%  
21 20% 56% Median
22 11% 36%  
23 15% 25%  
24 7% 10%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.6% 1.2%  
27 0.4% 0.5%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.9%  
10 3% 99.5%  
11 6% 97%  
12 17% 91%  
13 40% 74% Median
14 17% 34%  
15 8% 17%  
16 6% 10%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 2% 99.8%  
5 11% 97%  
6 16% 86%  
7 38% 70% Median
8 24% 32%  
9 4% 9%  
10 5% 5%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 4% 99.6%  
5 26% 96%  
6 34% 70% Last Result, Median
7 22% 35%  
8 9% 13%  
9 4% 5%  
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 14% 96%  
5 37% 81% Last Result, Median
6 30% 44%  
7 10% 14%  
8 3% 4%  
9 0.7% 0.7%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100%  
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 0.4% 64%  
4 46% 63% Median
5 13% 18%  
6 4% 4%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0.3% 5%  
4 4% 5% Last Result
5 1.0% 1.1%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0.1% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.3% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0% 0.5%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pozitivna Slovenija

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pozitivna Slovenija page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 49 95% 46–53 46–53 45–55 43–56
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 49 94% 46–53 45–53 44–54 42–56
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 47 63% 43–50 42–50 42–51 40–53
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 46 52% 42–48 41–50 40–50 38–51
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 44 36% 41–47 40–48 39–50 38–52
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 44 34% 41–47 40–48 39–49 37–52
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 42 16% 39–46 38–46 38–48 36–50
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 42 10% 39–45 38–46 37–48 35–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 42 6% 38–44 37–46 36–46 35–48
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 40 0.8% 36–43 36–43 35–45 33–46
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 37 0.1% 34–40 33–41 32–42 30–43
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 34 0% 32–37 31–38 30–39 28–40
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 23 0% 20–26 19–27 18–27 16–30
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Pozitivna Slovenija 42 20 0% 18–23 17–23 16–24 15–26

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 0.6% 99.6%  
44 1.4% 99.0%  
45 2% 98%  
46 6% 95% Majority
47 4% 89%  
48 28% 85%  
49 10% 56%  
50 12% 46% Median
51 9% 34%  
52 14% 26%  
53 8% 12%  
54 1.0% 4%  
55 2% 3%  
56 1.0% 1.1%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.5% 99.8%  
43 0.8% 99.3%  
44 2% 98%  
45 3% 97%  
46 7% 94% Majority
47 5% 87%  
48 29% 82%  
49 10% 53%  
50 12% 44% Median
51 8% 32%  
52 13% 24%  
53 7% 10%  
54 0.5% 3%  
55 1.1% 2%  
56 0.9% 1.0%  
57 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
58 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 0.8% 99.6%  
41 1.0% 98.8%  
42 5% 98%  
43 6% 93%  
44 18% 86%  
45 6% 68%  
46 10% 63% Median, Majority
47 6% 53% Last Result
48 23% 46%  
49 11% 23%  
50 8% 12%  
51 2% 4%  
52 1.2% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.7%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 0.4% 99.7%  
39 1.5% 99.3%  
40 2% 98%  
41 4% 96%  
42 8% 92%  
43 18% 84%  
44 8% 66%  
45 6% 58%  
46 32% 52% Median, Majority
47 6% 20%  
48 5% 14%  
49 3% 8%  
50 3% 5%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 1.3% 99.6%  
39 2% 98%  
40 5% 97%  
41 4% 92%  
42 15% 88%  
43 20% 73%  
44 11% 53%  
45 6% 42% Median
46 14% 36% Majority
47 15% 23%  
48 4% 8%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.3% 3%  
51 0.3% 1.2%  
52 0.9% 0.9%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 0.4% 99.6%  
38 1.4% 99.2%  
39 2% 98%  
40 5% 96%  
41 5% 91%  
42 15% 86%  
43 21% 71%  
44 11% 50%  
45 6% 39% Median
46 13% 34% Majority
47 14% 21%  
48 3% 7%  
49 1.2% 3%  
50 1.2% 2%  
51 0.2% 1.0%  
52 0.8% 0.8% Last Result
53 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.2% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.8%  
36 0.3% 99.7%  
37 0.8% 99.3%  
38 6% 98%  
39 16% 93%  
40 4% 77%  
41 8% 72%  
42 25% 64% Median
43 9% 39%  
44 8% 29%  
45 6% 21%  
46 12% 16% Majority
47 0.8% 4%  
48 1.2% 3%  
49 1.0% 2%  
50 0.6% 0.8%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.3% 99.8%  
36 0.7% 99.4%  
37 2% 98.7%  
38 3% 97%  
39 5% 94%  
40 13% 89%  
41 18% 77%  
42 17% 59%  
43 11% 42% Median
44 12% 31%  
45 9% 19%  
46 5% 10% Majority
47 2% 5%  
48 2% 3%  
49 1.0% 1.2%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.7% 99.7%  
36 3% 99.0%  
37 2% 96%  
38 7% 94%  
39 17% 87%  
40 9% 70%  
41 8% 61% Median
42 21% 53% Last Result
43 20% 32%  
44 5% 13%  
45 2% 7%  
46 3% 6% Majority
47 0.9% 2%  
48 1.0% 1.2%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.5% 99.7%  
34 1.3% 99.2%  
35 2% 98%  
36 7% 96%  
37 15% 89%  
38 14% 75%  
39 8% 61% Median
40 19% 53%  
41 9% 34%  
42 13% 24%  
43 7% 11%  
44 2% 5%  
45 2% 3%  
46 0.3% 0.8% Majority
47 0.3% 0.5%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 1.0% 99.4%  
32 3% 98%  
33 4% 95%  
34 10% 92%  
35 6% 81%  
36 25% 76%  
37 9% 51%  
38 12% 42% Median
39 12% 30%  
40 9% 18%  
41 5% 9%  
42 2% 4%  
43 2% 2%  
44 0.3% 0.4%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.1% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.8% 99.9%  
29 1.1% 99.0%  
30 2% 98%  
31 4% 96%  
32 22% 92%  
33 9% 70%  
34 15% 61% Median
35 13% 46%  
36 17% 32%  
37 7% 15%  
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.9% 1.3%  
41 0.2% 0.5%  
42 0.2% 0.3%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.3% 100%  
16 0.6% 99.7%  
17 1.4% 99.1%  
18 2% 98%  
19 6% 96%  
20 7% 90%  
21 12% 83%  
22 9% 72%  
23 14% 63%  
24 25% 49% Median
25 5% 24%  
26 11% 19%  
27 6% 8%  
28 0.6% 2%  
29 0.5% 1.2%  
30 0.7% 0.7%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Pozitivna Slovenija

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 0.8% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.0%  
17 5% 97%  
18 10% 93%  
19 14% 83%  
20 28% 69% Median
21 16% 41%  
22 11% 25%  
23 11% 14%  
24 1.5% 3%  
25 0.9% 2%  
26 0.8% 0.9%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

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