Opinion Poll by Delo Stik for Delo, 2–5 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 21.8% 20.1–23.8% 19.6–24.3% 19.2–24.8% 18.4–25.7%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 19.4% 17.8–21.3% 17.3–21.8% 16.9–22.3% 16.1–23.2%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 13.3% 11.9–15.0% 11.5–15.4% 11.2–15.8% 10.5–16.6%
Levica 6.0% 8.2% 7.1–9.5% 6.8–9.9% 6.5–10.2% 6.0–10.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.2% 6.2–8.5% 5.9–8.9% 5.6–9.2% 5.2–9.8%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 6.0% 5.1–7.2% 4.8–7.5% 4.6–7.8% 4.2–8.4%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 4.6% 3.7–5.6% 3.5–5.9% 3.3–6.2% 3.0–6.8%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.1% 2.7–5.4% 2.4–5.9%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 2.8% 2.1–3.6% 2.0–3.9% 1.8–4.1% 1.6–4.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.5% 1.6–3.7% 1.3–4.1%
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 22 19–23 19–24 18–24 17–25
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 20 17–21 17–22 16–22 16–23
Socialni demokrati 6 13 11–14 11–14 10–15 10–16
Levica 6 7 7–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 8 6–8 5–8 5–9 5–10
Stranka modernega centra 36 6 5–7 5–7 4–7 4–8
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0–3
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 1.0% 100%  
18 2% 98.9%  
19 15% 97%  
20 5% 82%  
21 17% 76% Last Result
22 11% 59% Median
23 42% 48%  
24 5% 6%  
25 1.2% 1.4%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.2% 99.9%  
16 4% 99.7%  
17 10% 96%  
18 13% 86%  
19 23% 73%  
20 40% 50% Median
21 4% 10%  
22 4% 6%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.2% 100%  
10 3% 99.8%  
11 8% 97%  
12 18% 89%  
13 53% 72% Median
14 15% 19%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.8% 1.0%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.7% 100%  
6 7% 99.3% Last Result
7 53% 92% Median
8 25% 39%  
9 12% 15%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.7% 0.7%  
12 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 6% 99.8% Last Result
6 21% 94%  
7 23% 74%  
8 46% 51% Median
9 2% 4%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0.1% 99.8%  
4 4% 99.6%  
5 24% 96%  
6 54% 71% Median
7 15% 17%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 1.4% 49%  
4 20% 47%  
5 25% 27%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Median
1 0% 34%  
2 0% 34%  
3 3% 34%  
4 26% 31% Last Result
5 5% 5%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0.5% 5%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0.4% 0.8%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 48 96% 47–52 46–53 45–54 43–55
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 47 87% 45–50 44–51 43–51 41–52
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 47 46 50% 42–48 40–48 40–48 38–50
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 43 13% 40–46 38–47 38–48 38–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 41 8% 39–45 39–46 38–47 36–48
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 41 2% 40–44 38–45 38–45 35–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 40 0.6% 38–43 37–44 36–45 35–46
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 41 0.3% 38–43 37–44 36–45 36–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 40 0.1% 37–41 35–42 34–42 32–44
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 39 0% 35–40 34–40 34–41 31–43
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 34 0% 33–37 32–38 31–39 29–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 33 0% 30–33 29–34 29–35 26–36
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 21 0% 19–24 18–25 18–25 16–26

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 1.4% 100%  
44 0.3% 98.5%  
45 3% 98%  
46 3% 96% Majority
47 34% 93% Median
48 14% 58%  
49 11% 45%  
50 7% 34%  
51 11% 27%  
52 9% 16%  
53 4% 7%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.9% 0.9%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.6% 100%  
42 1.1% 99.4%  
43 2% 98%  
44 3% 96%  
45 5% 92%  
46 5% 87% Majority
47 41% 82% Median
48 18% 41%  
49 11% 22%  
50 6% 12%  
51 4% 6%  
52 1.0% 1.3%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.8% 100%  
39 1.3% 99.1%  
40 3% 98%  
41 3% 95%  
42 9% 92%  
43 9% 83%  
44 11% 74%  
45 12% 63%  
46 4% 50% Majority
47 36% 47% Last Result, Median
48 10% 11%  
49 0.8% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.2% 100%  
38 5% 99.8%  
39 2% 94%  
40 3% 93%  
41 6% 89%  
42 8% 84% Median
43 45% 75%  
44 8% 30%  
45 9% 23%  
46 6% 13% Majority
47 4% 8%  
48 2% 3%  
49 0.9% 1.1%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 1.4% 100%  
37 1.0% 98.5%  
38 2% 98%  
39 33% 96% Median
40 10% 62%  
41 5% 53%  
42 11% 47%  
43 7% 36%  
44 12% 30%  
45 9% 18%  
46 5% 8% Majority
47 2% 3%  
48 1.3% 1.4%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.5% 100%  
36 0.8% 99.5%  
37 0.7% 98.7%  
38 4% 98%  
39 3% 94%  
40 5% 90%  
41 44% 86% Median
42 19% 42%  
43 12% 23%  
44 4% 11%  
45 5% 7%  
46 1.4% 2% Majority
47 0.3% 0.5%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.9% 99.9%  
36 3% 99.0%  
37 2% 96%  
38 4% 93%  
39 38% 89% Median
40 15% 51%  
41 12% 36%  
42 11% 24%  
43 5% 13%  
44 5% 8%  
45 3% 3%  
46 0.5% 0.6% Majority
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.9%  
36 4% 99.5%  
37 3% 95%  
38 13% 92%  
39 10% 79%  
40 12% 69%  
41 8% 57%  
42 9% 49% Median
43 35% 40%  
44 3% 6%  
45 3% 3%  
46 0.1% 0.3% Majority
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.7% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.3%  
34 2% 99.1%  
35 4% 97%  
36 1.5% 93%  
37 16% 92%  
38 12% 75%  
39 10% 63%  
40 5% 53%  
41 42% 48% Median
42 4% 6%  
43 2% 2%  
44 0.5% 0.7%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1% Majority
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.5% 100%  
32 1.0% 99.5%  
33 0.6% 98%  
34 3% 98%  
35 9% 95%  
36 12% 86%  
37 9% 74%  
38 11% 64%  
39 39% 53% Median
40 10% 14%  
41 3% 5%  
42 0.9% 1.5% Last Result
43 0.3% 0.5%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.6% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.4%  
31 3% 98%  
32 3% 95%  
33 41% 92% Median
34 12% 51%  
35 11% 39%  
36 13% 28%  
37 8% 15%  
38 3% 7%  
39 3% 4%  
40 0.5% 0.8%  
41 0.3% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 1.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 98.9%  
28 0.8% 98%  
29 6% 98%  
30 11% 91%  
31 12% 80%  
32 13% 68%  
33 45% 55% Median
34 5% 10%  
35 4% 5%  
36 0.4% 0.9%  
37 0.3% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.9%  
17 1.4% 99.4%  
18 6% 98%  
19 35% 92% Median
20 7% 57%  
21 9% 51%  
22 17% 42%  
23 9% 25%  
24 8% 16%  
25 5% 7%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations