Opinion Poll by Valicon, 8–9 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 20.7% | 18.2% | 16.5–20.0% | 16.1–20.5% | 15.7–21.0% | 14.9–21.9% | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0.0% | 17.8% | 16.2–19.6% | 15.7–20.1% | 15.3–20.6% | 14.6–21.5% | 
| Socialni demokrati | 6.0% | 15.2% | 13.7–17.0% | 13.3–17.5% | 12.9–17.9% | 12.2–18.7% | 
| Levica | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.1–10.8% | 7.8–11.2% | 7.5–11.5% | 7.0–12.3% | 
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7–9.1% | 6.4–9.4% | 6.1–9.8% | 5.6–10.5% | 
| Stranka modernega centra | 34.5% | 7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% | 
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10.2% | 5.5% | 4.6–6.7% | 4.4–7.0% | 4.2–7.3% | 3.8–7.9% | 
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.0–5.3% | 
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.0–5.3% | 
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.6–4.7% | 
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.5–3.6% | 1.3–4.1% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0 | 17 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 
| Socialni demokrati | 6 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 
| Levica | 6 | 9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5 | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 
| Stranka modernega centra | 36 | 7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 | 
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 15 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 9% | 95% | |
| 17 | 22% | 87% | |
| 18 | 36% | 64% | Median | 
| 19 | 18% | 29% | |
| 20 | 7% | 11% | |
| 21 | 3% | 4% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 16 | 16% | 95% | |
| 17 | 36% | 79% | Median | 
| 18 | 21% | 43% | |
| 19 | 12% | 22% | |
| 20 | 8% | 10% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 9% | 98% | |
| 14 | 23% | 89% | |
| 15 | 29% | 66% | Median | 
| 16 | 19% | 38% | |
| 17 | 16% | 19% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | 
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 7 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 24% | 94% | |
| 9 | 35% | 71% | Median | 
| 10 | 26% | 35% | |
| 11 | 8% | 10% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | 
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.1% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 13% | 98.9% | |
| 7 | 42% | 86% | Median | 
| 8 | 31% | 43% | |
| 9 | 10% | 12% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | 
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 35% | 93% | |
| 7 | 42% | 58% | Median | 
| 8 | 13% | 15% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 19% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 38% | 79% | Median | 
| 6 | 34% | 41% | |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Median | 
| 1 | 0% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 4 | 16% | 17% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 78% | 100% | Last Result, Median | 
| 1 | 0% | 22% | |
| 2 | 0% | 22% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 4 | 20% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median | 
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median | 
| 1 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 61 | 53 | 100% | 50–55 | 49–56 | 49–57 | 47–58 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 57 | 52 | 99.8% | 49–55 | 48–55 | 48–56 | 46–57 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 47 | 47 | 75% | 44–49 | 43–50 | 43–51 | 41–53 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 56 | 45 | 42% | 43–48 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–50 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 21 | 45 | 45% | 43–48 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 45 | 31% | 42–47 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 31 | 41 | 1.3% | 38–43 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 11 | 40 | 0.5% | 38–42 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–46 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 42 | 40 | 0.2% | 37–41 | 36–42 | 36–43 | 34–45 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 16 | 38 | 0% | 36–41 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca | 21 | 35 | 0% | 33–38 | 33–39 | 32–39 | 31–41 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 6 | 33 | 0% | 30–35 | 30–36 | 30–36 | 28–38 | 
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 27 | 0% | 25–29 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 6% | 98% | |
| 50 | 7% | 92% | |
| 51 | 16% | 86% | Median | 
| 52 | 16% | 70% | |
| 53 | 22% | 55% | |
| 54 | 13% | 33% | |
| 55 | 10% | 19% | |
| 56 | 5% | 10% | |
| 57 | 2% | 5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.8% | Majority | 
| 47 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 7% | 95% | |
| 50 | 10% | 88% | |
| 51 | 19% | 78% | Median | 
| 52 | 16% | 59% | |
| 53 | 22% | 44% | |
| 54 | 11% | 22% | |
| 55 | 6% | 10% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 1.3% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 6% | 98% | |
| 44 | 6% | 92% | |
| 45 | 12% | 86% | |
| 46 | 14% | 75% | Median, Majority | 
| 47 | 28% | 61% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 14% | 33% | |
| 49 | 11% | 19% | |
| 50 | 5% | 7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 42 | 3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 12% | 94% | |
| 44 | 18% | 82% | Median | 
| 45 | 21% | 64% | |
| 46 | 15% | 42% | Majority | 
| 47 | 15% | 27% | |
| 48 | 6% | 13% | |
| 49 | 3% | 7% | |
| 50 | 3% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 4% | 97% | |
| 43 | 12% | 93% | |
| 44 | 15% | 80% | Median | 
| 45 | 20% | 65% | |
| 46 | 16% | 45% | Majority | 
| 47 | 16% | 30% | |
| 48 | 8% | 14% | |
| 49 | 4% | 6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 6% | 94% | |
| 43 | 16% | 88% | |
| 44 | 19% | 72% | Median | 
| 45 | 21% | 53% | |
| 46 | 15% | 31% | Majority | 
| 47 | 10% | 16% | |
| 48 | 3% | 6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 12% | 96% | |
| 39 | 15% | 83% | |
| 40 | 13% | 68% | Median | 
| 41 | 23% | 55% | |
| 42 | 10% | 32% | |
| 43 | 13% | 22% | |
| 44 | 6% | 9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 1.3% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 7% | 97% | |
| 38 | 12% | 91% | |
| 39 | 16% | 79% | Median | 
| 40 | 21% | 62% | |
| 41 | 18% | 42% | |
| 42 | 14% | 23% | |
| 43 | 5% | 9% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 6% | 98% | |
| 37 | 10% | 93% | |
| 38 | 14% | 83% | |
| 39 | 16% | 69% | Median | 
| 40 | 29% | 53% | |
| 41 | 14% | 23% | |
| 42 | 4% | 9% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 3% | 5% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 6% | 96% | |
| 36 | 12% | 90% | |
| 37 | 22% | 78% | Median | 
| 38 | 22% | 56% | |
| 39 | 10% | 34% | |
| 40 | 14% | 24% | |
| 41 | 7% | 10% | |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | 
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 11% | 96% | |
| 34 | 20% | 85% | |
| 35 | 22% | 65% | Median | 
| 36 | 15% | 43% | |
| 37 | 11% | 29% | |
| 38 | 12% | 17% | |
| 39 | 4% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 9% | 98% | |
| 31 | 18% | 88% | |
| 32 | 12% | 70% | Median | 
| 33 | 26% | 58% | |
| 34 | 18% | 32% | |
| 35 | 9% | 14% | |
| 36 | 4% | 5% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 24 | 3% | 96% | |
| 25 | 8% | 93% | |
| 26 | 15% | 85% | |
| 27 | 34% | 69% | Median | 
| 28 | 17% | 36% | |
| 29 | 13% | 19% | |
| 30 | 2% | 5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Valicon
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 8–9 May 2018
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 814
 - Simulations done: 4,194,304
 - Error estimate: 2.80%