Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik and Večer, 7–10 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 25.9% 23.9–28.0% 23.3–28.6% 22.9–29.1% 21.9–30.1%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 15.8% 14.2–17.6% 13.7–18.1% 13.4–18.6% 12.6–19.5%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 15.3% 13.7–17.1% 13.2–17.6% 12.9–18.0% 12.1–18.9%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 8.9% 7.7–10.3% 7.3–10.8% 7.1–11.1% 6.5–11.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.3% 5.9–9.7% 5.4–10.4%
Levica 6.0% 6.6% 5.6–7.9% 5.3–8.3% 5.1–8.6% 4.6–9.3%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 6.4% 5.3–7.7% 5.1–8.0% 4.8–8.4% 4.4–9.0%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 2.0% 1.5–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.3% 1.0–3.7%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.3% 1.0–3.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.4%
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 24 23–26 23–27 22–27 21–29
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 15 14–16 13–17 12–17 12–18
Socialni demokrati 6 14 13–15 13–16 12–17 12–17
Stranka modernega centra 36 9 7–9 7–9 7–10 6–11
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 7 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–10
Levica 6 6 5–7 5–7 5–8 4–8
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 6 5–6 5–7 4–7 4–8
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.9% 99.8% Last Result
22 2% 98.9%  
23 7% 97%  
24 59% 90% Median
25 20% 31%  
26 5% 10%  
27 3% 5%  
28 0.6% 2%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.2% 100%  
12 3% 99.8%  
13 4% 97%  
14 10% 93%  
15 42% 83% Median
16 35% 41%  
17 5% 6%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.5%  
13 19% 97%  
14 58% 78% Median
15 12% 20%  
16 5% 8%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 12% 98%  
8 31% 86%  
9 51% 55% Median
10 4% 5%  
11 1.0% 1.1%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 3% 99.9% Last Result
6 8% 97%  
7 55% 89% Median
8 27% 34%  
9 6% 6%  
10 0.5% 0.5%  
11 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 10% 98%  
6 56% 88% Last Result, Median
7 28% 32%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0.1% 99.9%  
4 3% 99.9%  
5 31% 97%  
6 57% 66% Median
7 8% 9%  
8 1.0% 1.2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 51 99.9% 49–52 48–53 47–53 46–54
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 51 99.9% 49–52 48–53 47–53 46–54
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 45 26% 44–47 43–47 43–48 41–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 45 32% 43–46 42–47 41–48 41–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 44 5% 42–45 40–45 40–46 39–48
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 44 5% 42–45 40–45 40–46 39–48
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 42 1.2% 41–44 40–44 39–45 38–46
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 39 0% 38–41 38–42 37–42 36–44
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 38 0% 35–39 35–40 34–41 34–42
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 36 0% 35–38 34–39 34–39 32–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 35 0% 33–37 33–37 32–38 31–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 29 0% 28–31 27–32 27–32 25–33
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 28 0% 27–29 27–30 26–31 25–32

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 2% 99.9% Majority
47 3% 98%  
48 3% 95%  
49 3% 92%  
50 14% 90%  
51 63% 76% Median
52 7% 13%  
53 4% 5%  
54 1.0% 1.5%  
55 0.5% 0.5%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 2% 99.9% Majority
47 3% 98%  
48 3% 95%  
49 3% 92%  
50 14% 90%  
51 63% 76% Median
52 7% 13%  
53 4% 5%  
54 1.0% 1.5%  
55 0.5% 0.5%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.8% 99.9%  
42 1.4% 99.1%  
43 4% 98%  
44 7% 94%  
45 61% 87% Median
46 6% 26% Majority
47 16% 20%  
48 2% 4%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.4%  
51 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.4% 99.9%  
41 4% 99.6%  
42 2% 95%  
43 5% 93%  
44 10% 88%  
45 46% 77% Median
46 24% 32% Majority
47 4% 7% Last Result
48 3% 3%  
49 0.5% 0.9%  
50 0.3% 0.3%  
51 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 1.0% 99.8%  
40 4% 98.9%  
41 4% 94%  
42 7% 90%  
43 25% 83%  
44 43% 57% Median
45 9% 14%  
46 4% 5% Majority
47 0.3% 0.9%  
48 0.5% 0.5%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 1.0% 99.8%  
40 4% 98.9%  
41 4% 94%  
42 7% 90%  
43 25% 83%  
44 43% 57% Median
45 9% 14%  
46 4% 5% Majority
47 0.3% 0.9%  
48 0.5% 0.5%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0.7% 99.7%  
39 3% 99.1%  
40 5% 96%  
41 6% 91%  
42 49% 85% Median
43 26% 36%  
44 5% 10%  
45 4% 5%  
46 0.8% 1.2% Majority
47 0.4% 0.5%  
48 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 0.7% 99.6%  
37 2% 98.9%  
38 8% 97%  
39 45% 89% Median
40 24% 44%  
41 15% 20%  
42 3% 5%  
43 2% 2%  
44 0.6% 0.7%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.4% 99.9%  
34 3% 99.6%  
35 8% 96%  
36 3% 88%  
37 9% 85%  
38 61% 76% Median
39 8% 15%  
40 4% 7%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.8% 0.8% Last Result
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.2% 100%  
32 0.5% 99.8%  
33 0.9% 99.3%  
34 5% 98%  
35 7% 93%  
36 48% 86% Median
37 8% 38%  
38 25% 30%  
39 3% 5%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0.2% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.3% 100%  
31 0.6% 99.6%  
32 2% 99.0%  
33 9% 97%  
34 7% 88%  
35 65% 81% Median
36 4% 16%  
37 9% 12%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.8% 1.4%  
40 0.6% 0.6%  
41 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.2% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.8%  
26 1.1% 99.4%  
27 6% 98%  
28 13% 92%  
29 44% 79% Median
30 23% 35%  
31 7% 13%  
32 3% 6%  
33 2% 2%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0.4% 99.9%  
25 2% 99.5%  
26 2% 98%  
27 25% 96%  
28 24% 71%  
29 39% 47% Median
30 4% 8%  
31 3% 4%  
32 0.8% 1.0%  
33 0.2% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations