Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka |
20.7% |
25.9% |
23.9–28.0% |
23.3–28.6% |
22.9–29.1% |
21.9–30.1% |
Lista Marjana Šarca |
0.0% |
15.8% |
14.2–17.6% |
13.7–18.1% |
13.4–18.6% |
12.6–19.5% |
Socialni demokrati |
6.0% |
15.3% |
13.7–17.1% |
13.2–17.6% |
12.9–18.0% |
12.1–18.9% |
Stranka modernega centra |
34.5% |
8.9% |
7.7–10.3% |
7.3–10.8% |
7.1–11.1% |
6.5–11.9% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
5.6% |
7.6% |
6.4–8.9% |
6.1–9.3% |
5.9–9.7% |
5.4–10.4% |
Levica |
6.0% |
6.6% |
5.6–7.9% |
5.3–8.3% |
5.1–8.6% |
4.6–9.3% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
10.2% |
6.4% |
5.3–7.7% |
5.1–8.0% |
4.8–8.4% |
4.4–9.0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
4.4% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.8% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.2–3.3% |
1.0–3.7% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka |
4.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.8% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.2–3.3% |
1.0–3.7% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka |
2.2% |
1.7% |
1.2–2.5% |
1.1–2.7% |
1.0–2.9% |
0.8–3.4% |
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
22 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
23 |
7% |
97% |
|
24 |
59% |
90% |
Median |
25 |
20% |
31% |
|
26 |
5% |
10% |
|
27 |
3% |
5% |
|
28 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
29 |
2% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
4% |
97% |
|
14 |
10% |
93% |
|
15 |
42% |
83% |
Median |
16 |
35% |
41% |
|
17 |
5% |
6% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
19% |
97% |
|
14 |
58% |
78% |
Median |
15 |
12% |
20% |
|
16 |
5% |
8% |
|
17 |
2% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
2% |
100% |
|
7 |
12% |
98% |
|
8 |
31% |
86% |
|
9 |
51% |
55% |
Median |
10 |
4% |
5% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
6 |
8% |
97% |
|
7 |
55% |
89% |
Median |
8 |
27% |
34% |
|
9 |
6% |
6% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
10% |
98% |
|
6 |
56% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
28% |
32% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
31% |
97% |
|
6 |
57% |
66% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
9% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
61 |
51 |
99.9% |
49–52 |
48–53 |
47–53 |
46–54 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
57 |
51 |
99.9% |
49–52 |
48–53 |
47–53 |
46–54 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
31 |
45 |
26% |
44–47 |
43–47 |
43–48 |
41–49 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
47 |
45 |
32% |
43–46 |
42–47 |
41–48 |
41–49 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
56 |
44 |
5% |
42–45 |
40–45 |
40–46 |
39–48 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
52 |
44 |
5% |
42–45 |
40–45 |
40–46 |
39–48 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
21 |
42 |
1.2% |
41–44 |
40–44 |
39–45 |
38–46 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca |
21 |
39 |
0% |
38–41 |
38–42 |
37–42 |
36–44 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
42 |
38 |
0% |
35–39 |
35–40 |
34–41 |
34–42 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
11 |
36 |
0% |
35–38 |
34–39 |
34–39 |
32–40 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
16 |
35 |
0% |
33–37 |
33–37 |
32–38 |
31–40 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati |
6 |
29 |
0% |
28–31 |
27–32 |
27–32 |
25–33 |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
52 |
28 |
0% |
27–29 |
27–30 |
26–31 |
25–32 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.9% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
98% |
|
48 |
3% |
95% |
|
49 |
3% |
92% |
|
50 |
14% |
90% |
|
51 |
63% |
76% |
Median |
52 |
7% |
13% |
|
53 |
4% |
5% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.9% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
98% |
|
48 |
3% |
95% |
|
49 |
3% |
92% |
|
50 |
14% |
90% |
|
51 |
63% |
76% |
Median |
52 |
7% |
13% |
|
53 |
4% |
5% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
1.4% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
4% |
98% |
|
44 |
7% |
94% |
|
45 |
61% |
87% |
Median |
46 |
6% |
26% |
Majority |
47 |
16% |
20% |
|
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
2% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
2% |
95% |
|
43 |
5% |
93% |
|
44 |
10% |
88% |
|
45 |
46% |
77% |
Median |
46 |
24% |
32% |
Majority |
47 |
4% |
7% |
Last Result |
48 |
3% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
41 |
4% |
94% |
|
42 |
7% |
90% |
|
43 |
25% |
83% |
|
44 |
43% |
57% |
Median |
45 |
9% |
14% |
|
46 |
4% |
5% |
Majority |
47 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
41 |
4% |
94% |
|
42 |
7% |
90% |
|
43 |
25% |
83% |
|
44 |
43% |
57% |
Median |
45 |
9% |
14% |
|
46 |
4% |
5% |
Majority |
47 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
40 |
5% |
96% |
|
41 |
6% |
91% |
|
42 |
49% |
85% |
Median |
43 |
26% |
36% |
|
44 |
5% |
10% |
|
45 |
4% |
5% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
Majority |
47 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
38 |
8% |
97% |
|
39 |
45% |
89% |
Median |
40 |
24% |
44% |
|
41 |
15% |
20% |
|
42 |
3% |
5% |
|
43 |
2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
8% |
96% |
|
36 |
3% |
88% |
|
37 |
9% |
85% |
|
38 |
61% |
76% |
Median |
39 |
8% |
15% |
|
40 |
4% |
7% |
|
41 |
2% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
34 |
5% |
98% |
|
35 |
7% |
93% |
|
36 |
48% |
86% |
Median |
37 |
8% |
38% |
|
38 |
25% |
30% |
|
39 |
3% |
5% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
32 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
33 |
9% |
97% |
|
34 |
7% |
88% |
|
35 |
65% |
81% |
Median |
36 |
4% |
16% |
|
37 |
9% |
12% |
|
38 |
2% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
6% |
98% |
|
28 |
13% |
92% |
|
29 |
44% |
79% |
Median |
30 |
23% |
35% |
|
31 |
7% |
13% |
|
32 |
3% |
6% |
|
33 |
2% |
2% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
26 |
2% |
98% |
|
27 |
25% |
96% |
|
28 |
24% |
71% |
|
29 |
39% |
47% |
Median |
30 |
4% |
8% |
|
31 |
3% |
4% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik and Večer
- Fieldwork period: 7–10 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 754
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.90%