Opinion Poll by Mediana for Planet TV and Siol.net, 9–15 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 20.7% | 28.1% | 25.6–30.8% | 24.9–31.6% | 24.3–32.3% | 23.2–33.6% |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0.0% | 15.5% | 13.5–17.7% | 13.0–18.4% | 12.5–19.0% | 11.7–20.1% |
| Socialni demokrati | 6.0% | 12.2% | 10.5–14.3% | 10.0–14.9% | 9.6–15.4% | 8.8–16.5% |
| Stranka modernega centra | 34.5% | 8.8% | 7.3–10.6% | 6.9–11.1% | 6.6–11.6% | 5.9–12.5% |
| Levica | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% | 5.9–10.7% | 5.3–11.6% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.0–9.1% | 5.7–9.6% | 5.3–10.0% | 4.8–10.9% |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6–7.3% | 4.2–7.7% | 4.0–8.1% | 3.5–8.9% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 2.2% | 5.3% | 4.2–6.8% | 3.9–7.3% | 3.6–7.7% | 3.2–8.5% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3–5.7% | 3.0–6.1% | 2.8–6.5% | 2.4–7.2% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3–4.3% | 2.0–4.7% | 1.9–5.0% | 1.5–5.7% |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.9% | 0.3–2.1% | 0.2–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 27 | 25–29 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 22–32 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 11–19 |
| Socialni demokrati | 6 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| Stranka modernega centra | 36 | 8 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| Levica | 6 | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4 | 5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–8 | 0–8 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 0 | 4 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 24 | 5% | 96% | |
| 25 | 15% | 91% | |
| 26 | 14% | 76% | |
| 27 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 28 | 24% | 42% | |
| 29 | 10% | 18% | |
| 30 | 3% | 7% | |
| 31 | 3% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 5% | 96% | |
| 13 | 18% | 91% | |
| 14 | 13% | 73% | |
| 15 | 40% | 60% | Median |
| 16 | 5% | 20% | |
| 17 | 11% | 14% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 5% | 98% | |
| 10 | 13% | 93% | |
| 11 | 28% | 81% | |
| 12 | 28% | 53% | Median |
| 13 | 13% | 24% | |
| 14 | 9% | 11% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 10% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 37% | 89% | |
| 8 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 9 | 28% | 40% | |
| 10 | 8% | 12% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 17% | 95% | Last Result |
| 7 | 42% | 78% | Median |
| 8 | 25% | 37% | |
| 9 | 7% | 12% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 16% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 28% | 82% | |
| 7 | 30% | 54% | Median |
| 8 | 15% | 24% | |
| 9 | 7% | 9% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 4 | 39% | 97% | Last Result |
| 5 | 22% | 58% | Median |
| 6 | 24% | 36% | |
| 7 | 10% | 12% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 89% | |
| 2 | 0% | 89% | |
| 3 | 3% | 89% | |
| 4 | 38% | 87% | Median |
| 5 | 30% | 48% | |
| 6 | 13% | 19% | |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 73% | |
| 2 | 0% | 73% | |
| 3 | 8% | 73% | |
| 4 | 36% | 65% | Median |
| 5 | 26% | 29% | Last Result |
| 6 | 3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 11% | |
| 2 | 0% | 11% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 4 | 8% | 10% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 61 | 49 | 93% | 46–52 | 45–54 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 31 | 48 | 86% | 45–51 | 45–53 | 43–53 | 42–56 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 56 | 46 | 50% | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 39–54 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 57 | 44 | 23% | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–50 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca | 21 | 42 | 4% | 39–44 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 41 | 4% | 38–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 47 | 38 | 0% | 34–41 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 30–43 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 21 | 36 | 0% | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–41 | 29–43 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 42 | 35 | 0% | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–40 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 16 | 33 | 0% | 30–36 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 27–39 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 11 | 30 | 0% | 26–32 | 25–34 | 24–34 | 22–35 |
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 26 | 0% | 23–29 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 20–32 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 6 | 26 | 0% | 24–29 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 21–31 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 45 | 3% | 96% | |
| 46 | 9% | 93% | Majority |
| 47 | 7% | 83% | |
| 48 | 17% | 76% | |
| 49 | 21% | 60% | |
| 50 | 9% | 39% | |
| 51 | 15% | 30% | Median |
| 52 | 5% | 15% | |
| 53 | 2% | 10% | |
| 54 | 6% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 9% | 95% | |
| 46 | 10% | 86% | Majority |
| 47 | 14% | 77% | |
| 48 | 12% | 62% | |
| 49 | 25% | 50% | Median |
| 50 | 7% | 25% | |
| 51 | 10% | 18% | |
| 52 | 3% | 8% | |
| 53 | 4% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 5% | 96% | |
| 43 | 9% | 91% | |
| 44 | 15% | 81% | |
| 45 | 16% | 67% | |
| 46 | 14% | 50% | Majority |
| 47 | 9% | 37% | Median |
| 48 | 8% | 28% | |
| 49 | 9% | 19% | |
| 50 | 5% | 11% | |
| 51 | 3% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 96% | |
| 41 | 8% | 93% | |
| 42 | 15% | 85% | |
| 43 | 8% | 70% | |
| 44 | 13% | 62% | |
| 45 | 25% | 48% | |
| 46 | 6% | 23% | Median, Majority |
| 47 | 9% | 18% | |
| 48 | 6% | 9% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 6% | 96% | |
| 39 | 9% | 90% | |
| 40 | 15% | 81% | |
| 41 | 15% | 66% | |
| 42 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 43 | 21% | 41% | |
| 44 | 14% | 20% | |
| 45 | 2% | 6% | |
| 46 | 3% | 4% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 6% | 96% | |
| 38 | 10% | 91% | |
| 39 | 7% | 80% | |
| 40 | 18% | 74% | |
| 41 | 18% | 55% | |
| 42 | 12% | 38% | Median |
| 43 | 11% | 26% | |
| 44 | 7% | 15% | |
| 45 | 4% | 8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 4% | 96% | |
| 34 | 6% | 92% | |
| 35 | 12% | 86% | |
| 36 | 9% | 74% | |
| 37 | 14% | 65% | |
| 38 | 11% | 51% | |
| 39 | 23% | 40% | Median |
| 40 | 6% | 17% | |
| 41 | 8% | 11% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 96% | |
| 33 | 6% | 91% | |
| 34 | 10% | 85% | |
| 35 | 14% | 75% | |
| 36 | 24% | 61% | |
| 37 | 11% | 37% | |
| 38 | 5% | 26% | Median |
| 39 | 8% | 21% | |
| 40 | 7% | 13% | |
| 41 | 5% | 7% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 30 | 5% | 97% | |
| 31 | 5% | 92% | |
| 32 | 12% | 87% | |
| 33 | 15% | 75% | |
| 34 | 8% | 60% | |
| 35 | 23% | 52% | Median |
| 36 | 16% | 29% | |
| 37 | 5% | 13% | |
| 38 | 5% | 8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 7% | 94% | |
| 31 | 17% | 87% | |
| 32 | 19% | 70% | |
| 33 | 13% | 51% | |
| 34 | 13% | 38% | Median |
| 35 | 7% | 25% | |
| 36 | 9% | 18% | |
| 37 | 6% | 8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98% | |
| 25 | 3% | 96% | |
| 26 | 7% | 93% | |
| 27 | 10% | 86% | |
| 28 | 13% | 76% | |
| 29 | 9% | 63% | |
| 30 | 23% | 55% | |
| 31 | 8% | 32% | Median |
| 32 | 14% | 24% | |
| 33 | 3% | 10% | |
| 34 | 6% | 7% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 23 | 8% | 97% | |
| 24 | 9% | 88% | |
| 25 | 16% | 80% | |
| 26 | 24% | 63% | |
| 27 | 10% | 39% | Median |
| 28 | 8% | 29% | |
| 29 | 11% | 21% | |
| 30 | 7% | 9% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 23 | 5% | 95% | |
| 24 | 11% | 90% | |
| 25 | 15% | 79% | |
| 26 | 26% | 65% | |
| 27 | 12% | 39% | Median |
| 28 | 9% | 28% | |
| 29 | 14% | 19% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Mediana
- Commissioner(s): Planet TV and Siol.net
- Fieldwork period: 9–15 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 491
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.09%