Opinion Poll by Mediana for RTV Slovenija, 11–17 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 20.7% | 24.0% | 21.7–26.5% | 21.1–27.2% | 20.5–27.8% | 19.5–29.1% |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0.0% | 16.6% | 14.6–18.8% | 14.1–19.4% | 13.6–20.0% | 12.8–21.1% |
| Socialni demokrati | 6.0% | 10.1% | 8.6–12.0% | 8.2–12.5% | 7.8–13.0% | 7.1–13.9% |
| Levica | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1–9.1% | 5.8–9.6% | 5.5–10.0% | 4.9–10.9% |
| Stranka modernega centra | 34.5% | 7.2% | 6.0–8.9% | 5.6–9.4% | 5.3–9.8% | 4.8–10.6% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10.2% | 5.3% | 4.3–6.8% | 4.0–7.2% | 3.7–7.6% | 3.3–8.4% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.8–7.0% | 3.6–7.4% | 3.1–8.1% |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.1% | 2.9–6.5% | 2.5–7.2% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.1% | 2.9–6.5% | 2.5–7.2% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3–4.3% | 2.1–4.6% | 1.9–4.9% | 1.6–5.5% |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.1–1.4% | 0.1–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 23 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–29 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0 | 16 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–20 |
| Socialni demokrati | 6 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–14 |
| Levica | 6 | 7 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| Stranka modernega centra | 36 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 0 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 4% | 97% | |
| 21 | 11% | 93% | Last Result |
| 22 | 20% | 82% | |
| 23 | 38% | 62% | Median |
| 24 | 14% | 24% | |
| 25 | 4% | 10% | |
| 26 | 3% | 6% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 12% | 98% | |
| 14 | 17% | 86% | |
| 15 | 17% | 69% | |
| 16 | 30% | 52% | Median |
| 17 | 17% | 22% | |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 8% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 15% | 92% | |
| 9 | 20% | 77% | |
| 10 | 21% | 57% | Median |
| 11 | 24% | 35% | |
| 12 | 10% | 11% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 16% | 94% | Last Result |
| 7 | 29% | 77% | Median |
| 8 | 32% | 48% | |
| 9 | 16% | 16% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 13% | 98.5% | |
| 6 | 13% | 85% | |
| 7 | 43% | 72% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 29% | |
| 9 | 5% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 4 | 23% | 96% | |
| 5 | 59% | 73% | Median |
| 6 | 13% | 14% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 4 | 28% | 96% | |
| 5 | 52% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 13% | 15% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0% | 45% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 45% | |
| 4 | 28% | 44% | Last Result |
| 5 | 13% | 16% | |
| 6 | 3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 39% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 61% | |
| 2 | 0% | 61% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 61% | |
| 4 | 45% | 60% | Median |
| 5 | 14% | 15% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 61 | 44 | 17% | 40–47 | 39–48 | 37–49 | 36–50 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 31 | 44 | 11% | 39–46 | 39–47 | 39–48 | 36–50 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 57 | 41 | 4% | 36–45 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 35–48 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 56 | 39 | 0.6% | 36–42 | 35–43 | 33–44 | 31–46 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca | 21 | 39 | 0.1% | 35–41 | 34–42 | 34–43 | 32–45 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 47 | 36 | 0% | 32–40 | 32–40 | 32–42 | 30–43 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 37 | 0% | 32–40 | 32–40 | 31–42 | 30–43 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 21 | 34 | 0% | 31–37 | 31–39 | 29–39 | 28–40 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 42 | 32 | 0% | 28–35 | 28–35 | 28–37 | 26–38 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 11 | 29 | 0% | 27–32 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–35 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 16 | 30 | 0% | 27–33 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 24–36 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 6 | 25 | 0% | 23–28 | 22–28 | 21–29 | 20–31 |
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 22 | 0% | 18–24 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 15–27 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 96% | |
| 40 | 12% | 94% | |
| 41 | 11% | 82% | |
| 42 | 2% | 71% | |
| 43 | 9% | 69% | Median |
| 44 | 27% | 61% | |
| 45 | 17% | 34% | |
| 46 | 6% | 17% | Majority |
| 47 | 3% | 11% | |
| 48 | 3% | 8% | |
| 49 | 4% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 39 | 9% | 98% | |
| 40 | 10% | 89% | |
| 41 | 7% | 79% | |
| 42 | 13% | 72% | |
| 43 | 5% | 59% | |
| 44 | 33% | 53% | Median |
| 45 | 10% | 21% | |
| 46 | 5% | 11% | Majority |
| 47 | 3% | 6% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 8% | 98% | |
| 37 | 3% | 90% | |
| 38 | 4% | 87% | |
| 39 | 6% | 83% | |
| 40 | 11% | 77% | |
| 41 | 20% | 65% | |
| 42 | 3% | 46% | |
| 43 | 4% | 42% | Median |
| 44 | 25% | 39% | |
| 45 | 10% | 14% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 4% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 35 | 2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 20% | 93% | |
| 37 | 2% | 74% | |
| 38 | 10% | 72% | Median |
| 39 | 23% | 61% | |
| 40 | 14% | 38% | |
| 41 | 11% | 24% | |
| 42 | 4% | 13% | |
| 43 | 5% | 8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 7% | 98% | |
| 35 | 5% | 92% | |
| 36 | 11% | 87% | |
| 37 | 10% | 76% | |
| 38 | 11% | 65% | |
| 39 | 33% | 54% | Median |
| 40 | 10% | 21% | |
| 41 | 6% | 11% | |
| 42 | 3% | 5% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 32 | 9% | 98% | |
| 33 | 4% | 89% | |
| 34 | 8% | 85% | |
| 35 | 9% | 76% | |
| 36 | 21% | 68% | |
| 37 | 3% | 47% | |
| 38 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 39 | 21% | 39% | |
| 40 | 14% | 18% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 43 | 2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 8% | 97% | |
| 33 | 5% | 89% | |
| 34 | 5% | 84% | |
| 35 | 7% | 79% | |
| 36 | 19% | 72% | |
| 37 | 8% | 53% | |
| 38 | 8% | 45% | Median |
| 39 | 20% | 36% | |
| 40 | 12% | 16% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 42 | 3% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 2% | 97% | |
| 31 | 10% | 95% | |
| 32 | 8% | 85% | |
| 33 | 17% | 78% | |
| 34 | 13% | 61% | |
| 35 | 6% | 48% | |
| 36 | 5% | 41% | Median |
| 37 | 29% | 36% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 39 | 5% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 28 | 10% | 98% | |
| 29 | 5% | 87% | |
| 30 | 11% | 83% | |
| 31 | 18% | 71% | |
| 32 | 7% | 53% | |
| 33 | 6% | 46% | Median |
| 34 | 24% | 40% | |
| 35 | 12% | 16% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98% | |
| 26 | 3% | 96% | |
| 27 | 16% | 93% | |
| 28 | 13% | 77% | |
| 29 | 15% | 64% | |
| 30 | 4% | 49% | |
| 31 | 6% | 44% | Median |
| 32 | 31% | 39% | |
| 33 | 2% | 8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 6% | |
| 35 | 3% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 26 | 4% | 97% | |
| 27 | 13% | 93% | |
| 28 | 13% | 80% | |
| 29 | 13% | 67% | |
| 30 | 11% | 54% | |
| 31 | 6% | 43% | Median |
| 32 | 27% | 37% | |
| 33 | 8% | 11% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98% | |
| 22 | 5% | 96% | |
| 23 | 25% | 91% | |
| 24 | 10% | 66% | |
| 25 | 11% | 56% | |
| 26 | 6% | 45% | Median |
| 27 | 28% | 39% | |
| 28 | 6% | 11% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98% | |
| 18 | 9% | 95% | |
| 19 | 4% | 85% | |
| 20 | 14% | 82% | |
| 21 | 13% | 68% | |
| 22 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 23 | 30% | 42% | |
| 24 | 7% | 11% | |
| 25 | 2% | 4% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Mediana
- Commissioner(s): RTV Slovenija
- Fieldwork period: 11–17 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 525
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.09%