Opinion Poll by Parsifal SC for Nova24TV, 14–17 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 20.7% | 25.8% | 23.4–28.5% | 22.7–29.3% | 22.1–29.9% | 21.0–31.3% |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0.0% | 18.3% | 16.2–20.8% | 15.6–21.4% | 15.1–22.1% | 14.2–23.3% |
| Socialni demokrati | 6.0% | 10.2% | 8.6–12.2% | 8.2–12.8% | 7.8–13.2% | 7.1–14.3% |
| Stranka modernega centra | 34.5% | 6.5% | 5.2–8.1% | 4.9–8.6% | 4.6–9.0% | 4.1–9.9% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10.2% | 4.8% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.5–6.7% | 3.2–7.1% | 2.8–7.9% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6–6.1% | 3.3–6.5% | 3.0–6.8% | 2.6–7.6% |
| Levica | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2–5.6% | 2.9–6.0% | 2.7–6.4% | 2.3–7.1% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.6–5.5% | 2.4–5.9% | 2.0–6.6% |
| Državljanska lista | 0.6% | 3.5% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.4–5.3% | 2.2–5.6% | 1.9–6.3% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5–3.2% | 1.3–3.5% | 1.1–3.8% | 0.9–4.4% |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% | 1.0–3.5% | 0.8–4.1% |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% | 1.0–3.5% | 0.8–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 27 | 23–30 | 23–30 | 23–32 | 21–36 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0 | 19 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 14–26 |
| Socialni demokrati | 6 | 10 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| Stranka modernega centra | 36 | 6 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 0–10 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10 | 4 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5 | 4 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Levica | 6 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Državljanska lista | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 22 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 23 | 8% | 98% | |
| 24 | 8% | 90% | |
| 25 | 7% | 81% | |
| 26 | 21% | 75% | |
| 27 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 28 | 11% | 40% | |
| 29 | 8% | 29% | |
| 30 | 17% | 21% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 7% | 96% | |
| 17 | 18% | 89% | |
| 18 | 9% | 71% | |
| 19 | 27% | 63% | Median |
| 20 | 25% | 36% | |
| 21 | 3% | 10% | |
| 22 | 4% | 8% | |
| 23 | 2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 5% | 97% | |
| 9 | 29% | 92% | |
| 10 | 35% | 64% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 29% | |
| 12 | 5% | 16% | |
| 13 | 9% | 11% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 29% | 94% | |
| 6 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 7 | 17% | 48% | |
| 8 | 13% | 31% | |
| 9 | 17% | 18% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 87% | |
| 2 | 0% | 87% | |
| 3 | 0% | 87% | |
| 4 | 37% | 87% | Median |
| 5 | 24% | 50% | |
| 6 | 11% | 26% | |
| 7 | 14% | 15% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 43% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 57% | |
| 2 | 0% | 57% | |
| 3 | 0% | 57% | |
| 4 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 5 | 28% | 45% | Last Result |
| 6 | 11% | 17% | |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 59% | |
| 2 | 0% | 59% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 59% | |
| 4 | 33% | 58% | Median |
| 5 | 18% | 25% | |
| 6 | 6% | 7% | Last Result |
| 7 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 27% | |
| 2 | 0% | 27% | |
| 3 | 0% | 27% | |
| 4 | 17% | 27% | |
| 5 | 9% | 10% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Državljanska lista
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Državljanska lista page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 71% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 29% | |
| 2 | 0% | 29% | |
| 3 | 0% | 29% | |
| 4 | 14% | 29% | |
| 5 | 13% | 15% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 31 | 50 | 89% | 45–54 | 44–54 | 43–57 | 41–58 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca | 21 | 45 | 48% | 41–50 | 40–51 | 39–52 | 38–54 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 61 | 44 | 14% | 39–46 | 38–47 | 36–48 | 35–50 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 57 | 44 | 14% | 39–46 | 38–47 | 36–48 | 35–50 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 56 | 39 | 3% | 35–44 | 34–44 | 33–46 | 32–48 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 39 | 3% | 35–44 | 34–44 | 33–46 | 31–48 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 47 | 38 | 0.7% | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 31–46 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Državljanska lista – Slovenska ljudska stranka | 36 | 36 | 0% | 31–40 | 30–42 | 28–43 | 27–43 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 21 | 36 | 0.1% | 32–40 | 31–40 | 30–42 | 28–44 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 42 | 35 | 0% | 32–38 | 30–40 | 30–42 | 28–43 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 16 | 34 | 0% | 30–36 | 28–37 | 28–39 | 25–41 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 11 | 32 | 0% | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 | 25–39 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 6 | 29 | 0% | 26–32 | 25–33 | 24–35 | 23–36 |
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 21 | 0% | 17–25 | 16–25 | 14–26 | 12–27 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 97% | |
| 45 | 5% | 94% | |
| 46 | 7% | 89% | Majority |
| 47 | 5% | 82% | |
| 48 | 10% | 77% | |
| 49 | 9% | 67% | |
| 50 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 51 | 8% | 50% | |
| 52 | 17% | 42% | |
| 53 | 2% | 25% | |
| 54 | 19% | 23% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 7% | 94% | |
| 42 | 6% | 87% | |
| 43 | 9% | 82% | |
| 44 | 6% | 72% | |
| 45 | 19% | 67% | |
| 46 | 12% | 48% | Median, Majority |
| 47 | 5% | 36% | |
| 48 | 5% | 31% | |
| 49 | 4% | 27% | |
| 50 | 18% | 23% | |
| 51 | 3% | 5% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 3% | 96% | |
| 39 | 8% | 93% | |
| 40 | 4% | 85% | |
| 41 | 10% | 81% | |
| 42 | 11% | 71% | |
| 43 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 44 | 33% | 51% | |
| 45 | 4% | 18% | |
| 46 | 7% | 14% | Majority |
| 47 | 5% | 8% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 3% | 96% | |
| 39 | 8% | 93% | |
| 40 | 4% | 85% | |
| 41 | 10% | 81% | |
| 42 | 11% | 71% | |
| 43 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 44 | 32% | 51% | |
| 45 | 4% | 18% | |
| 46 | 7% | 14% | Majority |
| 47 | 5% | 8% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 4% | 97% | |
| 35 | 5% | 93% | |
| 36 | 5% | 88% | |
| 37 | 4% | 83% | |
| 38 | 4% | 79% | |
| 39 | 26% | 75% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 50% | |
| 41 | 10% | 41% | |
| 42 | 8% | 31% | |
| 43 | 7% | 23% | |
| 44 | 12% | 16% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 4% | 96% | |
| 35 | 5% | 93% | |
| 36 | 5% | 88% | |
| 37 | 4% | 83% | |
| 38 | 4% | 79% | |
| 39 | 26% | 75% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 49% | |
| 41 | 10% | 41% | |
| 42 | 8% | 31% | |
| 43 | 7% | 23% | |
| 44 | 12% | 16% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 6% | 96% | |
| 35 | 5% | 91% | |
| 36 | 10% | 85% | |
| 37 | 16% | 75% | |
| 38 | 13% | 59% | |
| 39 | 5% | 46% | Median |
| 40 | 19% | 41% | |
| 41 | 6% | 22% | |
| 42 | 10% | 16% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Državljanska lista – Slovenska ljudska stranka
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 29 | 2% | 97% | |
| 30 | 2% | 96% | |
| 31 | 6% | 94% | |
| 32 | 5% | 88% | |
| 33 | 16% | 83% | |
| 34 | 8% | 67% | |
| 35 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 36 | 7% | 50% | Last Result |
| 37 | 4% | 43% | |
| 38 | 10% | 39% | |
| 39 | 19% | 29% | |
| 40 | 3% | 10% | |
| 41 | 2% | 7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 5% | |
| 43 | 3% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 32 | 6% | 95% | |
| 33 | 7% | 89% | |
| 34 | 12% | 83% | |
| 35 | 17% | 71% | |
| 36 | 9% | 53% | |
| 37 | 6% | 44% | Median |
| 38 | 5% | 38% | |
| 39 | 20% | 34% | |
| 40 | 9% | 14% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 3% | 95% | |
| 32 | 3% | 92% | |
| 33 | 6% | 89% | |
| 34 | 14% | 83% | |
| 35 | 25% | 69% | Median |
| 36 | 12% | 45% | |
| 37 | 17% | 32% | |
| 38 | 6% | 15% | |
| 39 | 4% | 10% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 5% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 3% | Last Result |
| 43 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98% | |
| 29 | 4% | 95% | |
| 30 | 8% | 91% | |
| 31 | 4% | 83% | |
| 32 | 10% | 79% | |
| 33 | 10% | 70% | Median |
| 34 | 32% | 60% | |
| 35 | 17% | 28% | |
| 36 | 5% | 11% | |
| 37 | 3% | 7% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 6% | 97% | |
| 28 | 17% | 90% | |
| 29 | 5% | 73% | |
| 30 | 8% | 68% | |
| 31 | 7% | 60% | |
| 32 | 6% | 53% | |
| 33 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 34 | 5% | 42% | |
| 35 | 24% | 36% | |
| 36 | 7% | 12% | |
| 37 | 2% | 5% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 4% | 97% | |
| 26 | 7% | 93% | |
| 27 | 8% | 86% | |
| 28 | 24% | 78% | |
| 29 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 30 | 27% | 42% | |
| 31 | 4% | 15% | |
| 32 | 4% | 11% | |
| 33 | 3% | 7% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 35 | 3% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 15 | 2% | 97% | |
| 16 | 3% | 96% | |
| 17 | 4% | 93% | |
| 18 | 5% | 90% | |
| 19 | 23% | 85% | |
| 20 | 8% | 62% | Median |
| 21 | 8% | 54% | |
| 22 | 13% | 46% | |
| 23 | 8% | 32% | |
| 24 | 5% | 25% | |
| 25 | 16% | 20% | |
| 26 | 3% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Parsifal SC
- Commissioner(s): Nova24TV
- Fieldwork period: 14–17 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 480
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 4.18%