Opinion Poll by Episcenter, 22 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 25.6% 23.6–27.7% 23.0–28.3% 22.6–28.8% 21.6–29.9%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 16.1% 14.4–17.9% 14.0–18.4% 13.6–18.9% 12.9–19.8%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 14.7% 13.2–16.5% 12.7–17.0% 12.4–17.5% 11.6–18.3%
Levica 6.0% 8.4% 7.3–9.9% 6.9–10.3% 6.6–10.7% 6.1–11.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 8.2% 7.0–9.6% 6.7–10.0% 6.4–10.4% 5.9–11.1%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 5.6% 4.7–6.9% 4.4–7.2% 4.2–7.5% 3.8–8.2%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 5.0% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.5% 3.6–6.8% 3.2–7.4%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.3% 1.6–4.8%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.3% 1.6–4.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 2.1% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.3–3.5% 1.1–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 25 23–28 22–28 21–28 21–29
Socialni demokrati 6 16 13–18 13–18 13–18 12–19
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–18
Levica 6 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 6–11
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Stranka modernega centra 36 5 4–6 4–6 4–7 0–8
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 5 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–4
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0–3 0–4
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.3% 100%  
21 3% 99.7% Last Result
22 5% 97%  
23 10% 92%  
24 20% 82%  
25 32% 62% Median
26 7% 30%  
27 12% 23%  
28 10% 11%  
29 0.9% 1.0%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.4% 99.9%  
13 10% 98.5%  
14 15% 89%  
15 17% 74%  
16 30% 56% Median
17 14% 27%  
18 12% 13%  
19 0.6% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.9%  
12 8% 99.1%  
13 26% 91%  
14 28% 65% Median
15 20% 36%  
16 12% 16%  
17 3% 4%  
18 1.1% 1.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 8% 99.7% Last Result
7 27% 92%  
8 37% 65% Median
9 21% 28%  
10 6% 7%  
11 0.8% 0.8%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.9% 100% Last Result
6 11% 99.1%  
7 26% 88%  
8 45% 63% Median
9 14% 18%  
10 3% 4%  
11 0.6% 0.6%  
12 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100%  
1 0% 98.8%  
2 0% 98.8%  
3 0.3% 98.8%  
4 22% 98%  
5 58% 76% Median
6 16% 18%  
7 1.2% 3%  
8 1.2% 1.3%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 1.0% 89%  
4 30% 88%  
5 51% 59% Median
6 7% 8%  
7 1.0% 1.0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 2% 6%  
4 4% 5% Last Result
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 1.0% 4%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 47 78% 43–50 43–50 43–51 41–52
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 47 75% 43–49 43–50 43–50 41–51
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 43 18% 41–46 40–47 40–47 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 42 4% 39–44 38–45 38–46 37–46
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 47 42 5% 39–45 39–46 38–46 37–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 39 0% 36–42 35–42 35–43 34–44
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 39 0% 36–41 35–42 35–43 33–44
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 39 0% 37–42 36–43 35–43 34–44
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 37 0% 35–40 34–41 34–41 32–43
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 42 34 0% 32–37 32–38 31–39 30–40
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 34 0% 31–36 30–37 30–38 29–39
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 6 29 0% 28–32 27–33 26–33 25–35
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 25 0% 22–27 21–28 19–28 18–29

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.4% 99.8%  
42 1.3% 99.4%  
43 9% 98%  
44 7% 89%  
45 4% 82%  
46 14% 78% Majority
47 27% 64%  
48 15% 37% Median
49 12% 22%  
50 7% 10%  
51 3% 4%  
52 0.4% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.6% 99.7%  
42 2% 99.2%  
43 9% 98%  
44 8% 89%  
45 6% 80%  
46 15% 75% Majority
47 28% 60%  
48 14% 31% Median
49 9% 18%  
50 6% 8%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0.4% 0.4%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 0.6% 99.6%  
39 1.4% 99.1%  
40 4% 98%  
41 14% 94%  
42 12% 80%  
43 26% 68%  
44 15% 41% Median
45 8% 26%  
46 10% 18% Majority
47 6% 8%  
48 2% 2%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 1.0% 99.5%  
38 8% 98.5%  
39 8% 90%  
40 8% 82%  
41 14% 75%  
42 30% 61%  
43 13% 31% Median
44 11% 18%  
45 4% 7%  
46 3% 4% Majority
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.6% 99.8%  
38 3% 99.2%  
39 7% 96%  
40 5% 90%  
41 14% 84%  
42 25% 71%  
43 19% 46% Median
44 12% 27%  
45 10% 15%  
46 3% 5% Majority
47 0.8% 2% Last Result
48 1.1% 1.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0.3% 99.9%  
33 0.1% 99.7%  
34 2% 99.5%  
35 4% 98%  
36 8% 94%  
37 6% 86%  
38 14% 80%  
39 22% 66%  
40 17% 44% Median
41 15% 27%  
42 7% 11%  
43 2% 5%  
44 2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.3%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0.3% 99.9%  
33 0.2% 99.6%  
34 2% 99.5%  
35 5% 98%  
36 8% 93%  
37 7% 85%  
38 17% 78%  
39 22% 61%  
40 17% 39% Median
41 14% 22%  
42 4% 8%  
43 2% 3%  
44 1.3% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.2% 100%  
34 0.7% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.1%  
36 6% 97%  
37 14% 91%  
38 24% 77%  
39 15% 53% Median
40 11% 38%  
41 8% 27%  
42 11% 19%  
43 7% 8%  
44 1.4% 2%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.5% 99.9%  
33 2% 99.4%  
34 6% 98%  
35 8% 92%  
36 14% 84%  
37 26% 71%  
38 16% 45% Median
39 13% 29%  
40 10% 16%  
41 4% 6%  
42 0.7% 2%  
43 0.9% 1.0%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 1.3% 99.6%  
31 2% 98%  
32 9% 96%  
33 16% 87%  
34 22% 71%  
35 15% 49% Median
36 17% 34%  
37 11% 17%  
38 4% 6%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.7% 0.8%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.9%  
29 0.9% 99.6%  
30 6% 98.7%  
31 4% 93%  
32 9% 89%  
33 17% 79%  
34 28% 63%  
35 8% 34% Median
36 18% 26%  
37 4% 8%  
38 2% 3%  
39 1.2% 1.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 1.0% 99.9%  
26 2% 98.9%  
27 7% 97%  
28 17% 90%  
29 27% 73%  
30 14% 46% Median
31 9% 32%  
32 17% 23%  
33 3% 6%  
34 2% 2%  
35 0.5% 0.6%  
36 0.2% 0.2%  
37 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.6% 99.9%  
19 2% 99.4%  
20 1.3% 97%  
21 4% 96%  
22 8% 92%  
23 7% 84%  
24 17% 77%  
25 17% 60%  
26 25% 43% Median
27 12% 18%  
28 5% 6%  
29 1.3% 2%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations