Opinion Poll by Mediana for Planet TV and Siol.net, 12–22 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 27.2% 25.1–29.4% 24.5–30.1% 24.0–30.6% 23.0–31.7%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 18.1% 16.3–20.1% 15.8–20.6% 15.3–21.1% 14.5–22.1%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 9.1% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.2–11.5% 6.6–12.3%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 8.7% 7.4–10.2% 7.1–10.6% 6.8–11.0% 6.2–11.8%
Levica 6.0% 7.3% 6.2–8.8% 5.9–9.2% 5.6–9.6% 5.1–10.3%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.0% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.9% 5.3–9.2% 4.9–10.0%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 6.8% 5.7–8.2% 5.3–8.6% 5.1–8.9% 4.6–9.6%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 5.7% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–7.7% 3.8–8.4%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 5.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 4.1–7.6% 3.7–8.2%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.4–5.2% 2.1–5.8%
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5% 0.2–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 25 23–28 22–28 22–29 21–30
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 17 15–18 15–19 14–20 13–20
Socialni demokrati 6 8 7–10 7–10 6–10 6–11
Stranka modernega centra 36 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Levica 6 6 6–8 5–8 5–9 4–9
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 6 5–7 5–8 5–8 4–9
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 6 5–8 5–8 4–8 4–8
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 5 4–6 4–6 4–7 0–8
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 5 4–6 4–6 3–6 0–7
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
22 4% 99.4%  
23 13% 95%  
24 8% 82%  
25 25% 74% Median
26 34% 49%  
27 4% 15%  
28 8% 10%  
29 2% 3%  
30 0.6% 0.7%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.9%  
14 4% 99.3%  
15 19% 96%  
16 17% 77%  
17 37% 60% Median
18 15% 23%  
19 4% 8%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 4% 99.8% Last Result
7 14% 96%  
8 34% 81% Median
9 36% 47%  
10 9% 11%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.6% 100%  
6 7% 99.3%  
7 34% 92%  
8 34% 58% Median
9 17% 24%  
10 6% 7%  
11 0.5% 0.5%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100%  
5 6% 99.4%  
6 46% 93% Last Result, Median
7 27% 47%  
8 17% 21%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 14% 98% Last Result
6 40% 85% Median
7 37% 44%  
8 5% 7%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100%  
4 5% 99.9%  
5 17% 95%  
6 44% 78% Median
7 15% 34%  
8 18% 19%  
9 0.5% 0.5%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 1.3% 99.1%  
4 19% 98% Last Result
5 49% 78% Median
6 25% 29%  
7 4% 4%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 1.1% 98%  
4 25% 97%  
5 51% 72% Median
6 19% 21%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 4% 18%  
4 13% 14%  
5 1.3% 1.3%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 51 98% 48–53 46–53 46–55 45–56
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 48 94% 46–51 45–51 44–52 43–53
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 46 53% 43–48 42–49 41–49 40–51
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 45 19% 41–47 40–47 40–48 39–50
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 42 3% 40–44 39–45 39–46 37–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 39 0.1% 37–42 36–43 35–43 34–44
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 39 0.1% 37–42 35–43 34–43 34–44
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 38 0% 35–40 34–40 33–42 33–43
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 32 0% 30–35 30–37 29–37 28–37
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 31 0% 29–34 28–34 28–35 27–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 31 0% 28–33 28–34 27–35 26–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 25 0% 23–27 22–28 22–28 21–29
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 23 0% 20–25 19–25 19–25 18–26

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 1.5% 99.6%  
46 3% 98% Majority
47 4% 95%  
48 5% 90%  
49 9% 85%  
50 17% 76% Median
51 30% 59%  
52 14% 28%  
53 9% 14%  
54 2% 5%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.9% 1.0%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.8%  
44 3% 99.3%  
45 3% 96%  
46 17% 94% Majority
47 25% 77%  
48 8% 52% Median
49 14% 44%  
50 6% 30%  
51 20% 23%  
52 2% 4%  
53 1.0% 1.3%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 2% 99.7%  
41 3% 98%  
42 4% 95%  
43 8% 91%  
44 6% 83%  
45 24% 76% Median
46 25% 53% Majority
47 14% 27%  
48 7% 14%  
49 5% 7%  
50 2% 2%  
51 0.5% 0.7%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.4% 99.9%  
39 2% 99.5%  
40 4% 98%  
41 4% 94%  
42 7% 90%  
43 15% 83%  
44 17% 68% Median
45 32% 51%  
46 9% 19% Majority
47 7% 10%  
48 2% 3%  
49 1.2% 2%  
50 0.6% 0.7%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.9% 99.8%  
38 1.2% 98.9%  
39 3% 98%  
40 17% 94%  
41 23% 77%  
42 8% 54% Median
43 33% 46%  
44 6% 13%  
45 5% 8%  
46 2% 3% Majority
47 0.3% 0.6%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.5% 99.9%  
35 2% 99.3%  
36 7% 97%  
37 8% 90%  
38 22% 83%  
39 23% 61% Median
40 9% 38%  
41 15% 29%  
42 7% 14%  
43 5% 7%  
44 1.3% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.1% Majority
47 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 2% 99.8%  
35 3% 97%  
36 4% 94%  
37 9% 90%  
38 17% 81%  
39 15% 64% Median
40 32% 49%  
41 7% 17%  
42 5% 10%  
43 4% 5%  
44 1.4% 2%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.4% 99.9%  
33 4% 99.5%  
34 3% 95%  
35 7% 92%  
36 9% 85%  
37 18% 77% Median
38 20% 58%  
39 25% 39%  
40 10% 13%  
41 1.1% 4%  
42 2% 3%  
43 0.4% 0.5%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.8%  
29 3% 99.4%  
30 6% 96%  
31 8% 90%  
32 34% 82%  
33 10% 48% Median
34 22% 38%  
35 8% 16%  
36 3% 8%  
37 5% 6%  
38 0.2% 0.4%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 2% 99.7%  
28 5% 98%  
29 7% 93%  
30 10% 86%  
31 31% 76% Median
32 18% 45%  
33 16% 27%  
34 7% 11%  
35 2% 4%  
36 1.3% 2%  
37 0.2% 0.2%  
38 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.7% 99.9%  
27 3% 99.2%  
28 6% 96%  
29 6% 90%  
30 18% 84%  
31 19% 66% Median
32 14% 47%  
33 25% 34%  
34 6% 9%  
35 2% 3%  
36 1.0% 1.2%  
37 0.2% 0.2%  
38 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.2% 100%  
21 0.9% 99.7%  
22 7% 98.8%  
23 8% 92%  
24 18% 84%  
25 32% 66% Median
26 14% 34%  
27 13% 20%  
28 5% 7%  
29 1.4% 2%  
30 0.4% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.7% 99.8%  
19 6% 99.1%  
20 8% 94%  
21 8% 86%  
22 20% 78% Median
23 43% 59%  
24 6% 16%  
25 8% 10%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.2% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations