Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik and Večer, 21–23 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 20.7% | 26.4% | 24.0–28.9% | 23.4–29.6% | 22.8–30.3% | 21.7–31.5% |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0.0% | 16.2% | 14.3–18.4% | 13.8–19.0% | 13.3–19.6% | 12.4–20.7% |
| Socialni demokrati | 6.0% | 14.3% | 12.5–16.4% | 12.0–17.0% | 11.6–17.6% | 10.8–18.6% |
| Stranka modernega centra | 34.5% | 9.4% | 8.0–11.2% | 7.6–11.8% | 7.2–12.2% | 6.6–13.1% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.9–10.0% | 6.6–10.5% | 6.2–10.9% | 5.6–11.8% |
| Levica | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4–9.4% | 6.1–9.9% | 5.7–10.3% | 5.2–11.2% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4–8.2% | 5.1–8.6% | 4.8–9.0% | 4.3–9.9% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9–3.8% | 1.7–4.1% | 1.6–4.4% | 1.3–5.0% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.3–3.4% | 1.2–3.7% | 0.9–4.2% |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.0–2.9% | 0.9–3.2% | 0.7–3.7% |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.1% | 0.0–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 24 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–28 | 22–30 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0 | 16 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Socialni demokrati | 6 | 14 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–18 |
| Stranka modernega centra | 36 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 |
| Levica | 6 | 8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–10 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 22 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 7% | 98% | |
| 24 | 43% | 91% | Median |
| 25 | 15% | 48% | |
| 26 | 28% | 33% | |
| 27 | 2% | 5% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 7% | 95% | |
| 15 | 32% | 88% | |
| 16 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 17 | 32% | 45% | |
| 18 | 12% | 13% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 11 | 8% | 99.4% | |
| 12 | 6% | 91% | |
| 13 | 33% | 85% | |
| 14 | 37% | 52% | Median |
| 15 | 7% | 16% | |
| 16 | 7% | 9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 8 | 12% | 96% | |
| 9 | 42% | 84% | Median |
| 10 | 32% | 42% | |
| 11 | 9% | 10% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 15% | 89% | |
| 8 | 38% | 74% | Median |
| 9 | 31% | 36% | |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 36% | 98% | Last Result |
| 7 | 12% | 62% | |
| 8 | 46% | 51% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 5% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 14% | 98% | Last Result |
| 6 | 64% | 83% | Median |
| 7 | 15% | 19% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 61 | 53 | 99.9% | 50–54 | 49–56 | 49–56 | 47–58 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 57 | 53 | 99.9% | 50–54 | 49–56 | 49–56 | 47–58 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 31 | 48 | 98% | 47–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 44–53 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 56 | 47 | 84% | 44–48 | 44–50 | 42–50 | 40–51 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 47 | 83% | 44–48 | 44–50 | 42–50 | 40–51 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 47 | 45 | 45% | 42–48 | 41–48 | 40–48 | 39–51 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 21 | 44 | 8% | 41–45 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 38–49 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca | 21 | 40 | 0.5% | 39–43 | 38–43 | 38–44 | 36–45 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 42 | 39 | 0% | 36–41 | 35–41 | 35–42 | 33–44 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 16 | 38 | 0% | 35–39 | 35–40 | 34–41 | 32–42 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 11 | 36 | 0% | 33–39 | 32–39 | 31–39 | 31–41 |
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 31 | 0% | 29–33 | 28–34 | 28–34 | 26–35 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 6 | 30 | 0% | 27–32 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 98% | |
| 50 | 7% | 95% | |
| 51 | 6% | 88% | |
| 52 | 10% | 82% | |
| 53 | 26% | 71% | Median |
| 54 | 36% | 45% | |
| 55 | 3% | 10% | |
| 56 | 5% | 7% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 98% | |
| 50 | 7% | 95% | |
| 51 | 6% | 88% | |
| 52 | 10% | 81% | |
| 53 | 26% | 71% | Median |
| 54 | 36% | 45% | |
| 55 | 3% | 9% | |
| 56 | 5% | 7% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 7% | 98% | Majority |
| 47 | 9% | 91% | |
| 48 | 34% | 82% | Median |
| 49 | 14% | 47% | |
| 50 | 4% | 34% | |
| 51 | 28% | 30% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 44 | 7% | 96% | |
| 45 | 5% | 89% | |
| 46 | 7% | 84% | Majority |
| 47 | 41% | 76% | Median |
| 48 | 27% | 36% | |
| 49 | 3% | 9% | |
| 50 | 5% | 6% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 44 | 7% | 96% | |
| 45 | 5% | 89% | |
| 46 | 7% | 83% | Majority |
| 47 | 41% | 76% | Median |
| 48 | 27% | 36% | |
| 49 | 3% | 9% | |
| 50 | 5% | 6% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 5% | 97% | |
| 42 | 6% | 92% | |
| 43 | 6% | 86% | |
| 44 | 24% | 80% | |
| 45 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 46 | 27% | 45% | Majority |
| 47 | 7% | 18% | Last Result |
| 48 | 9% | 12% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 8% | 96% | |
| 42 | 13% | 88% | |
| 43 | 2% | 75% | |
| 44 | 52% | 73% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 21% | |
| 46 | 5% | 8% | Majority |
| 47 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 6% | 98% | |
| 39 | 24% | 92% | |
| 40 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 41 | 7% | 48% | |
| 42 | 12% | 42% | |
| 43 | 26% | 30% | |
| 44 | 3% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 35 | 6% | 98% | |
| 36 | 4% | 91% | |
| 37 | 7% | 88% | |
| 38 | 24% | 80% | |
| 39 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 40 | 31% | 48% | |
| 41 | 13% | 18% | |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 8% | 97% | |
| 36 | 11% | 89% | |
| 37 | 5% | 78% | |
| 38 | 56% | 72% | Median |
| 39 | 9% | 16% | |
| 40 | 3% | 7% | |
| 41 | 3% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 6% | 97% | |
| 33 | 6% | 92% | |
| 34 | 9% | 85% | |
| 35 | 23% | 77% | |
| 36 | 29% | 53% | Median |
| 37 | 9% | 24% | |
| 38 | 3% | 15% | |
| 39 | 10% | 12% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98% | |
| 29 | 15% | 94% | |
| 30 | 10% | 79% | |
| 31 | 35% | 70% | Median |
| 32 | 24% | 35% | |
| 33 | 5% | 11% | |
| 34 | 5% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 6% | 98% | |
| 27 | 6% | 92% | |
| 28 | 9% | 86% | |
| 29 | 24% | 77% | |
| 30 | 31% | 53% | Median |
| 31 | 3% | 22% | |
| 32 | 15% | 19% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik and Večer
- Fieldwork period: 21–23 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 531
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.10%