Opinion Poll by Valicon, 25–27 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 20.7% | 17.2% | 15.4–19.3% | 14.9–19.9% | 14.4–20.4% | 13.6–21.5% | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0.0% | 13.8% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.7–16.3% | 11.3–16.8% | 10.6–17.7% | 
| Socialni demokrati | 6.0% | 11.9% | 10.3–13.7% | 9.9–14.2% | 9.5–14.7% | 8.9–15.6% | 
| Levica | 6.0% | 9.8% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.0–11.9% | 7.7–12.4% | 7.0–13.2% | 
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.5% | 4.1–7.8% | 3.7–8.5% | 
| Stranka modernega centra | 34.5% | 5.5% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.2–7.3% | 4.0–7.6% | 3.5–8.3% | 
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.8–6.7% | 3.6–7.1% | 3.2–7.8% | 
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10.2% | 4.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.5–6.4% | 3.3–6.7% | 2.9–7.4% | 
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.7% | 2.1–5.0% | 1.8–5.6% | 
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.1% | 1.7–4.4% | 1.4–5.0% | 
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% | 0.2–2.0% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 15 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 
| Socialni demokrati | 6 | 12 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–15 | 
| Levica | 6 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 | 
| Stranka modernega centra | 36 | 5 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 0 | 5 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 8% | 98% | |
| 15 | 44% | 90% | Median | 
| 16 | 20% | 46% | |
| 17 | 11% | 26% | |
| 18 | 4% | 15% | |
| 19 | 9% | 11% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 10% | 97% | |
| 12 | 25% | 87% | |
| 13 | 43% | 62% | Median | 
| 14 | 11% | 19% | |
| 15 | 3% | 8% | |
| 16 | 4% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98% | |
| 10 | 8% | 92% | |
| 11 | 32% | 84% | |
| 12 | 44% | 52% | Median | 
| 13 | 6% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | 
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 7 | 4% | 98% | |
| 8 | 10% | 94% | |
| 9 | 60% | 84% | Median | 
| 10 | 12% | 25% | |
| 11 | 6% | 13% | |
| 12 | 6% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | 
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 4 | 20% | 98% | |
| 5 | 17% | 78% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 52% | 61% | Median | 
| 7 | 8% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 4 | 41% | 92% | |
| 5 | 25% | 51% | Median | 
| 6 | 16% | 26% | |
| 7 | 9% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 4 | 28% | 93% | |
| 5 | 26% | 65% | Median | 
| 6 | 37% | 39% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 85% | |
| 2 | 0% | 85% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 4 | 59% | 84% | Median | 
| 5 | 20% | 26% | |
| 6 | 5% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 72% | 100% | Median | 
| 1 | 0% | 28% | |
| 2 | 0% | 28% | |
| 3 | 3% | 28% | |
| 4 | 21% | 25% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median | 
| 1 | 0% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median | 
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 61 | 39 | 0.3% | 35–42 | 35–43 | 33–44 | 33–45 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 57 | 38 | 0% | 33–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 29–44 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 47 | 35 | 0% | 31–37 | 29–38 | 29–39 | 28–40 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 56 | 33 | 0% | 30–37 | 29–38 | 29–38 | 27–40 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 21 | 34 | 0% | 30–35 | 29–37 | 27–38 | 24–39 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 33 | 0% | 29–35 | 27–37 | 27–38 | 27–39 | 
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 31 | 32 | 0% | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 11 | 30 | 0% | 27–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 24–35 | 
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca | 21 | 28 | 0% | 27–31 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–36 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 16 | 28 | 0% | 24–30 | 23–32 | 23–33 | 21–34 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 42 | 29 | 0% | 25–31 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 23–35 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 6 | 25 | 0% | 22–26 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 20–29 | 
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 20 | 0% | 16–22 | 15–23 | 15–24 | 14–25 | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 35 | 7% | 97% | |
| 36 | 2% | 90% | |
| 37 | 11% | 88% | |
| 38 | 11% | 77% | |
| 39 | 34% | 66% | |
| 40 | 12% | 32% | Median | 
| 41 | 8% | 21% | |
| 42 | 6% | 13% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 3% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 8% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 35 | 11% | 89% | |
| 36 | 4% | 78% | |
| 37 | 11% | 74% | |
| 38 | 14% | 63% | |
| 39 | 32% | 49% | |
| 40 | 6% | 17% | Median | 
| 41 | 3% | 10% | |
| 42 | 3% | 7% | |
| 43 | 2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 31 | 6% | 92% | |
| 32 | 5% | 85% | |
| 33 | 15% | 80% | |
| 34 | 8% | 65% | |
| 35 | 41% | 57% | |
| 36 | 4% | 16% | Median | 
| 37 | 5% | 12% | |
| 38 | 4% | 7% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 29 | 6% | 98% | |
| 30 | 4% | 92% | |
| 31 | 8% | 89% | |
| 32 | 4% | 81% | |
| 33 | 36% | 77% | |
| 34 | 13% | 41% | Median | 
| 35 | 9% | 27% | |
| 36 | 3% | 19% | |
| 37 | 8% | 16% | |
| 38 | 6% | 8% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 29 | 6% | 96% | |
| 30 | 6% | 90% | |
| 31 | 8% | 84% | |
| 32 | 9% | 76% | |
| 33 | 12% | 67% | |
| 34 | 16% | 55% | |
| 35 | 29% | 39% | Median | 
| 36 | 2% | 10% | |
| 37 | 4% | 8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 4% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 8% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 92% | |
| 29 | 8% | 90% | |
| 30 | 7% | 83% | |
| 31 | 7% | 75% | |
| 32 | 4% | 68% | |
| 33 | 38% | 64% | |
| 34 | 11% | 26% | Median | 
| 35 | 5% | 15% | |
| 36 | 3% | 10% | |
| 37 | 3% | 7% | |
| 38 | 4% | 4% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 11% | 97% | |
| 31 | 13% | 86% | Last Result | 
| 32 | 40% | 73% | Median | 
| 33 | 13% | 33% | |
| 34 | 6% | 20% | |
| 35 | 4% | 14% | |
| 36 | 6% | 10% | |
| 37 | 3% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 26 | 5% | 97% | |
| 27 | 10% | 93% | |
| 28 | 7% | 82% | |
| 29 | 23% | 75% | |
| 30 | 12% | 52% | |
| 31 | 29% | 39% | Median | 
| 32 | 5% | 10% | |
| 33 | 2% | 6% | |
| 34 | 3% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | 
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 7% | 97% | |
| 27 | 6% | 90% | |
| 28 | 47% | 84% | Median | 
| 29 | 11% | 37% | |
| 30 | 9% | 26% | |
| 31 | 9% | 17% | |
| 32 | 4% | 7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 23 | 6% | 98% | |
| 24 | 6% | 93% | |
| 25 | 5% | 87% | |
| 26 | 8% | 82% | |
| 27 | 12% | 74% | |
| 28 | 15% | 63% | |
| 29 | 28% | 48% | Median | 
| 30 | 11% | 20% | |
| 31 | 2% | 9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 6% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 25 | 5% | 93% | |
| 26 | 3% | 88% | |
| 27 | 8% | 85% | |
| 28 | 4% | 77% | |
| 29 | 48% | 73% | |
| 30 | 9% | 25% | Median | 
| 31 | 7% | 16% | |
| 32 | 3% | 9% | |
| 33 | 5% | 6% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 20 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 21 | 4% | 95% | |
| 22 | 7% | 90% | |
| 23 | 17% | 84% | |
| 24 | 15% | 67% | |
| 25 | 40% | 52% | Median | 
| 26 | 5% | 12% | |
| 27 | 5% | 8% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 29 | 2% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 5% | 93% | |
| 17 | 10% | 88% | |
| 18 | 4% | 77% | |
| 19 | 5% | 73% | |
| 20 | 37% | 68% | |
| 21 | 15% | 31% | Median | 
| 22 | 7% | 16% | |
| 23 | 4% | 9% | |
| 24 | 4% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Valicon
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 25–27 May 2018
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 615
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 1.49%