Opinion Poll by Mediana for Planet TV and Siol.net, 23–29 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 28.5% 26.4–30.7% 25.8–31.4% 25.3–31.9% 24.3–33.0%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 15.4% 13.7–17.2% 13.3–17.7% 12.9–18.2% 12.2–19.1%
Levica 6.0% 9.8% 8.5–11.4% 8.2–11.8% 7.8–12.2% 7.3–13.0%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 9.3% 8.0–10.8% 7.7–11.2% 7.4–11.6% 6.8–12.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.5% 6.3–8.9% 6.0–9.3% 5.8–9.6% 5.3–10.3%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 7.2% 6.1–8.6% 5.8–9.0% 5.5–9.3% 5.0–10.0%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 6.9% 5.8–8.3% 5.5–8.7% 5.3–9.0% 4.8–9.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 6.5% 5.5–7.8% 5.2–8.2% 4.9–8.6% 4.5–9.2%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 4.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.4% 3.5–6.7% 3.1–7.3%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.1% 2.0–5.6%
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 26 24–29 24–29 23–30 23–31
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–18
Levica 6 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Socialni demokrati 6 8 7–10 7–10 6–11 6–11
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 7 6–8 5–8 5–9 5–9
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–9
Stranka modernega centra 36 6 5–7 5–8 4–8 4–9
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 6 5–7 4–7 4–8 4–8
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100% Last Result
22 0.4% 99.9%  
23 3% 99.5%  
24 6% 96%  
25 21% 90%  
26 23% 69% Median
27 19% 46%  
28 14% 26%  
29 8% 12%  
30 3% 4%  
31 1.2% 2%  
32 0.3% 0.4%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.5% 99.9%  
12 7% 98%  
13 21% 91%  
14 26% 70% Median
15 20% 44%  
16 20% 24%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.6% 0.7%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100% Last Result
7 9% 99.5%  
8 31% 91%  
9 31% 60% Median
10 23% 29%  
11 5% 6%  
12 1.3% 1.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 3% 99.9% Last Result
7 21% 97%  
8 33% 77% Median
9 24% 43%  
10 16% 19%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 7% 99.6% Last Result
6 27% 93%  
7 40% 66% Median
8 22% 25%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 17% 98%  
6 37% 82% Median
7 33% 45%  
8 9% 11%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100%  
5 24% 97%  
6 42% 74% Median
7 26% 32%  
8 5% 6%  
9 0.7% 0.8%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0.1% 99.9%  
4 8% 99.8%  
5 24% 92%  
6 38% 68% Median
7 27% 30%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 3% 83%  
4 45% 80% Last Result, Median
5 31% 35%  
6 3% 4%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 27%  
2 0% 27%  
3 6% 27%  
4 20% 21%  
5 1.0% 1.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 47 78% 45–50 44–50 43–51 42–53
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 46 58% 43–48 42–49 41–51 40–51
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 57 42 5% 39–45 38–46 37–46 37–47
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 41 1.0% 38–43 38–44 37–45 36–46
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 39 0% 36–41 35–43 34–43 33–44
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 36 0% 33–39 32–39 32–40 31–41
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 47 36 0% 33–38 32–39 31–40 31–41
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 52 35 0% 33–38 32–39 31–39 30–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 29 0% 27–32 26–32 26–33 24–34
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 30 0% 27–32 26–33 26–33 25–34
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 29 0% 27–31 26–32 25–33 24–34
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 23 0% 21–25 20–26 20–26 18–27
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 52 21 0% 19–23 18–24 18–24 17–25

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.3% 100%  
42 0.5% 99.6%  
43 2% 99.1%  
44 6% 97%  
45 13% 91%  
46 15% 78% Median, Majority
47 17% 63%  
48 21% 46%  
49 14% 25%  
50 6% 10%  
51 3% 5%  
52 1.1% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.7%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.4% 99.9%  
40 1.2% 99.5%  
41 1.3% 98%  
42 4% 97%  
43 11% 93%  
44 10% 82%  
45 13% 72% Median
46 16% 58% Majority
47 26% 42%  
48 7% 16%  
49 5% 9%  
50 2% 4%  
51 3% 3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 3% 99.7%  
38 2% 97%  
39 7% 95%  
40 9% 87%  
41 13% 78% Median
42 20% 65%  
43 25% 45%  
44 7% 20%  
45 8% 13%  
46 3% 5% Majority
47 1.5% 2%  
48 0.4% 0.4%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.9%  
36 0.9% 99.6%  
37 3% 98.7%  
38 8% 95%  
39 14% 88%  
40 18% 74% Median
41 19% 55%  
42 19% 37%  
43 10% 18%  
44 5% 8%  
45 2% 3%  
46 0.7% 1.0% Majority
47 0.2% 0.4%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.2% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.7%  
34 2% 99.2%  
35 3% 97%  
36 11% 94%  
37 7% 83%  
38 15% 76% Median
39 24% 61%  
40 16% 37%  
41 12% 22%  
42 5% 10%  
43 3% 5%  
44 2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.3%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 0.6% 99.7%  
32 5% 99.1%  
33 8% 95%  
34 8% 86%  
35 11% 78% Median
36 28% 67%  
37 22% 39%  
38 7% 17%  
39 6% 10%  
40 3% 4%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.9%  
31 3% 99.6%  
32 3% 97%  
33 8% 94%  
34 16% 86%  
35 13% 70% Median
36 22% 58%  
37 19% 36%  
38 9% 17%  
39 4% 7%  
40 3% 3%  
41 0.4% 0.5%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 1.0% 99.9%  
31 3% 98.8%  
32 4% 95%  
33 7% 91%  
34 19% 84% Median
35 23% 65%  
36 21% 42%  
37 8% 21%  
38 7% 13%  
39 5% 6%  
40 1.0% 1.3%  
41 0.3% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.6% 99.9%  
25 1.4% 99.3%  
26 7% 98%  
27 9% 91%  
28 18% 82% Median
29 25% 64%  
30 18% 39%  
31 10% 21%  
32 6% 11%  
33 4% 5%  
34 0.9% 1.0%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.3% 100%  
25 1.1% 99.6%  
26 5% 98%  
27 8% 94%  
28 11% 86%  
29 22% 75% Median
30 23% 54%  
31 18% 31%  
32 7% 13%  
33 4% 6%  
34 2% 2%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.9%  
25 4% 99.4%  
26 4% 95%  
27 14% 91%  
28 23% 77% Median
29 17% 54%  
30 20% 37%  
31 9% 17%  
32 6% 8%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.4% 0.6%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.5% 100%  
19 2% 99.4%  
20 7% 98%  
21 16% 91%  
22 21% 75% Median
23 21% 54%  
24 20% 33%  
25 7% 14%  
26 5% 6%  
27 0.8% 1.0%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 2% 99.8%  
18 5% 98%  
19 16% 93%  
20 18% 77% Median
21 23% 59%  
22 20% 36%  
23 10% 16%  
24 4% 6%  
25 1.2% 1.5%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations