Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik and Večer, 29 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 25.6% 23.7–27.5% 23.2–28.0% 22.8–28.5% 22.0–29.5%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 13.7% 12.3–15.2% 11.9–15.7% 11.6–16.1% 10.9–16.9%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 12.6% 11.2–14.1% 10.9–14.5% 10.5–14.9% 9.9–15.6%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 8.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.4–10.5% 7.1–10.8% 6.6–11.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 8.3% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–10.0% 6.7–10.3% 6.2–11.0%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 8.1% 7.0–9.4% 6.8–9.8% 6.5–10.1% 6.0–10.7%
Levica 6.0% 6.6% 5.6–7.7% 5.3–8.1% 5.1–8.4% 4.7–9.0%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.8–5.4% 2.5–5.9%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.8–3.6% 1.7–3.8% 1.5–4.2%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.5% 1.6–3.7% 1.4–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 24 23–26 22–28 22–28 21–29
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 13 12–14 11–14 11–15 10–16
Socialni demokrati 6 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Stranka modernega centra 36 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–11
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 7 7–9 6–10 6–10 6–10
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Levica 6 6 5–7 5–7 4–8 4–8
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 3 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0–3

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100%  
21 2% 99.8% Last Result
22 6% 98%  
23 8% 93%  
24 40% 85% Median
25 18% 44%  
26 18% 27%  
27 4% 9%  
28 4% 5%  
29 1.2% 1.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.7% 100%  
11 5% 99.2%  
12 28% 94%  
13 41% 66% Median
14 20% 24%  
15 3% 5%  
16 1.4% 2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 1.3% 100%  
10 8% 98.7%  
11 14% 91%  
12 48% 77% Median
13 23% 29%  
14 6% 6%  
15 0.5% 0.7%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 24% 98%  
8 46% 74% Median
9 19% 29%  
10 8% 9%  
11 0.9% 0.9%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100% Last Result
6 8% 99.8%  
7 44% 92% Median
8 32% 48%  
9 10% 17%  
10 6% 7%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.8% 100%  
6 13% 99.2%  
7 40% 87% Median
8 27% 46%  
9 17% 19%  
10 2% 2% Last Result
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100%  
5 15% 97%  
6 58% 82% Last Result, Median
7 19% 24%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 17% 51% Median
4 31% 34% Last Result
5 4% 4%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.1%  
2 0% 1.1%  
3 0.3% 1.1%  
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0.4% 0.8%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 50 99.7% 48–53 47–53 47–54 46–55
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 48 96% 46–51 46–52 45–53 43–54
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 45 36% 42–48 42–48 42–49 40–50
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 42 6% 40–45 40–46 39–46 38–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 40 0.2% 38–42 38–43 37–44 35–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 41 0.3% 38–43 38–44 37–44 36–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 40 0.7% 39–43 38–44 37–44 36–46
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 37 0% 36–40 35–41 34–41 33–43
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 33 0% 31–35 30–36 30–37 29–37
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 32 0% 30–35 30–35 29–36 28–37
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 32 0% 31–34 30–35 29–36 28–37
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 27 0% 26–29 25–30 25–31 24–32
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 25 0% 23–27 23–27 22–28 21–29

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 0.9% 99.7% Majority
47 4% 98.8%  
48 10% 94%  
49 18% 84%  
50 34% 66% Median
51 9% 32%  
52 12% 23%  
53 9% 11%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.6% 0.7%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.6% 100%  
44 2% 99.4%  
45 2% 98%  
46 12% 96% Majority
47 23% 84% Median
48 18% 61%  
49 22% 43%  
50 10% 21%  
51 5% 11%  
52 3% 6%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.6% 0.6%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.5% 99.9%  
41 1.0% 99.4%  
42 9% 98%  
43 5% 89%  
44 24% 84% Median
45 24% 60%  
46 15% 36% Majority
47 11% 21%  
48 5% 10%  
49 3% 5%  
50 2% 2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 0.9% 99.7%  
39 3% 98.8%  
40 9% 96%  
41 20% 87%  
42 18% 67%  
43 23% 50% Median
44 9% 26%  
45 11% 17%  
46 5% 6% Majority
47 0.6% 0.9%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.8% 99.9%  
36 1.1% 99.1%  
37 2% 98%  
38 12% 96%  
39 29% 84% Median
40 13% 55%  
41 20% 42%  
42 13% 22%  
43 4% 8%  
44 2% 4%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.1% 0.2% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 1.3% 99.8%  
37 2% 98%  
38 11% 96%  
39 7% 86%  
40 27% 79% Median
41 27% 52%  
42 13% 25%  
43 6% 12%  
44 4% 6%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.2% 0.3% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.6% 99.9%  
37 3% 99.3%  
38 5% 96%  
39 7% 92%  
40 44% 84% Median
41 14% 41%  
42 10% 27%  
43 9% 17%  
44 6% 8%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.7% 0.7% Majority
47 0% 0.1% Last Result
48 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.2% 100%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 2% 99.3%  
35 6% 97%  
36 14% 92%  
37 28% 77% Median
38 33% 50%  
39 6% 17%  
40 5% 11%  
41 4% 6%  
42 2% 2%  
43 0.6% 0.6%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 1.5% 99.7%  
30 3% 98%  
31 8% 95%  
32 20% 87%  
33 34% 67% Median
34 18% 32%  
35 8% 15%  
36 3% 7%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.2% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.2% 99.9%  
29 2% 98.7%  
30 10% 97%  
31 11% 86%  
32 27% 75% Median
33 24% 49%  
34 15% 25%  
35 6% 10%  
36 3% 4%  
37 0.8% 0.8%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.9% 99.9%  
29 3% 99.0%  
30 3% 96%  
31 13% 93%  
32 33% 80% Median
33 20% 47%  
34 18% 27%  
35 4% 9%  
36 4% 5%  
37 0.8% 1.0%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.4% 100%  
24 2% 99.6%  
25 5% 98%  
26 11% 92%  
27 32% 81% Median
28 15% 49%  
29 25% 34%  
30 6% 9%  
31 2% 3%  
32 0.5% 0.6%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 2% 99.9%  
22 2% 98%  
23 8% 96%  
24 21% 88%  
25 39% 67% Median
26 16% 28%  
27 9% 12%  
28 3% 4%  
29 0.5% 0.7%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations