Opinion Poll by Parsifal SC for Nova24TV, 25–29 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 28.7% 26.5–31.0% 25.8–31.7% 25.3–32.3% 24.3–33.4%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 14.8% 13.1–16.7% 12.7–17.2% 12.3–17.7% 11.5–18.7%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 7.9% 6.7–9.4% 6.4–9.9% 6.1–10.3% 5.6–11.0%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 7.5% 6.3–8.9% 6.0–9.4% 5.7–9.8% 5.2–10.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.3% 6.2–8.8% 5.8–9.2% 5.6–9.6% 5.0–10.3%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 6.1% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.9% 4.5–8.2% 4.1–8.9%
Levica 6.0% 5.9% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7% 4.4–8.0% 3.9–8.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 4.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.4–6.6% 3.0–7.3%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.9% 2.3–5.2% 2.0–5.8%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 1.5% 1.1–2.3% 0.9–2.6% 0.8–2.8% 0.7–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 27 25–29 24–30 24–31 23–32
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 14 12–15 12–16 11–16 11–17
Socialni demokrati 6 7 6–9 6–9 5–9 5–10
Stranka modernega centra 36 7 6–8 5–8 5–9 5–9
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 6 5–8 5–8 5–9 4–9
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 5 4–7 4–7 4–7 3–8
Levica 6 5 4–6 4–7 4–7 0–8
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100% Last Result
22 0.3% 99.9%  
23 2% 99.6%  
24 4% 98%  
25 12% 94%  
26 16% 82%  
27 30% 66% Median
28 22% 36%  
29 8% 14%  
30 3% 6%  
31 2% 3%  
32 0.7% 0.8%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.5% 100%  
11 3% 99.5%  
12 13% 96%  
13 23% 84%  
14 30% 60% Median
15 22% 30%  
16 6% 8%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 3% 99.8%  
6 20% 97% Last Result
7 42% 77% Median
8 24% 36%  
9 11% 12%  
10 1.1% 1.4%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.5% 100%  
5 8% 99.5%  
6 31% 92%  
7 41% 61% Median
8 16% 20%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0.5% 0.5%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.7% 100%  
5 10% 99.3% Last Result
6 43% 89% Median
7 30% 46%  
8 12% 15%  
9 3% 4%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0.3% 99.7%  
4 14% 99.4%  
5 42% 85% Median
6 29% 44%  
7 13% 15%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 0% 99.4%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0.3% 99.4%  
4 16% 99.1%  
5 40% 83% Median
6 35% 43% Last Result
7 6% 8%  
8 1.2% 1.4%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 3% 86%  
4 40% 82% Median
5 38% 42%  
6 4% 4%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 24%  
2 0% 24%  
3 7% 24%  
4 16% 18%  
5 1.3% 1.4%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 46 67% 43–49 43–50 42–50 41–52
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 41 1.1% 38–43 38–44 37–45 35–46
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 40 0.4% 37–42 37–43 36–44 35–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 40 0.4% 37–42 37–43 36–44 35–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 34 0% 32–37 32–38 31–39 30–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 33 0% 31–36 30–36 29–37 28–38
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 34 0% 31–36 30–36 29–37 28–38
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 34 0% 31–36 30–36 29–37 28–38
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 28 0% 25–30 25–31 24–31 23–32
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 28 0% 26–30 25–31 24–31 23–32
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 27 0% 24–29 23–29 23–30 22–31
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 21 0% 19–23 18–24 18–24 17–25
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 19 0% 17–22 17–23 16–23 15–24

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 0.9% 99.6%  
42 3% 98.7%  
43 6% 96%  
44 5% 90%  
45 18% 85%  
46 21% 67% Median, Majority
47 24% 45%  
48 8% 21%  
49 7% 14%  
50 4% 6%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.9%  
36 1.3% 99.5%  
37 3% 98%  
38 7% 95%  
39 10% 88%  
40 18% 79%  
41 28% 61% Median
42 20% 33%  
43 5% 13%  
44 5% 8%  
45 2% 3%  
46 0.7% 1.1% Majority
47 0.3% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 1.2% 99.7%  
36 3% 98%  
37 13% 95%  
38 9% 82%  
39 10% 73% Median
40 30% 63%  
41 14% 33%  
42 10% 19%  
43 5% 9%  
44 3% 4%  
45 0.7% 1.1%  
46 0.2% 0.4% Majority
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 1.2% 99.7%  
36 3% 98%  
37 13% 95%  
38 9% 82%  
39 10% 73% Median
40 30% 63%  
41 14% 33%  
42 10% 19%  
43 5% 9%  
44 3% 4%  
45 0.7% 1.1%  
46 0.2% 0.4% Majority
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.6%  
31 3% 98%  
32 14% 95%  
33 12% 81%  
34 23% 69% Median
35 24% 46%  
36 8% 22%  
37 8% 14%  
38 4% 6%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.5% 0.6%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.7% 99.8%  
29 2% 99.2%  
30 6% 97%  
31 14% 91%  
32 14% 77% Median
33 28% 64%  
34 14% 36%  
35 12% 22%  
36 6% 10%  
37 2% 4%  
38 1.0% 1.3%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.5% 99.8%  
29 3% 99.3%  
30 6% 97%  
31 12% 91%  
32 13% 79%  
33 14% 67% Median
34 30% 52%  
35 11% 23%  
36 7% 11%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.7% 1.2%  
39 0.2% 0.4%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.5% 99.8%  
29 3% 99.3%  
30 6% 97%  
31 12% 91%  
32 13% 79%  
33 14% 67% Median
34 30% 52%  
35 11% 23%  
36 7% 11%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.7% 1.2%  
39 0.2% 0.4%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.2% 100%  
23 0.7% 99.8%  
24 3% 99.1%  
25 6% 96%  
26 17% 90%  
27 22% 73% Median
28 25% 51%  
29 13% 26%  
30 7% 13%  
31 4% 6%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0.4% 0.5%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.5% 99.8%  
24 2% 99.3%  
25 6% 97%  
26 13% 91%  
27 17% 77%  
28 29% 61% Median
29 17% 32%  
30 8% 15%  
31 6% 7%  
32 0.9% 1.3%  
33 0.2% 0.4%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.3% 99.9%  
22 2% 99.7%  
23 3% 98%  
24 9% 95%  
25 17% 86%  
26 15% 69% Median
27 28% 55%  
28 14% 27%  
29 9% 13%  
30 3% 4%  
31 1.1% 1.5%  
32 0.3% 0.4%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 100%  
17 1.2% 99.8%  
18 5% 98.6%  
19 9% 94%  
20 19% 84%  
21 27% 65% Median
22 22% 38%  
23 9% 16%  
24 5% 6%  
25 1.3% 2%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 0.8% 99.8%  
16 4% 99.0%  
17 5% 95%  
18 17% 90%  
19 23% 72% Median
20 25% 49%  
21 14% 24%  
22 5% 10%  
23 4% 5%  
24 0.9% 1.1%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations