Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 25–30 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 20.7% | 24.3% | 22.3–26.6% | 21.7–27.2% | 21.2–27.7% | 20.3–28.8% | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0.0% | 11.3% | 9.8–13.0% | 9.4–13.5% | 9.1–13.9% | 8.5–14.8% | 
| Levica | 6.0% | 10.1% | 8.7–11.7% | 8.4–12.2% | 8.0–12.6% | 7.4–13.4% | 
| Socialni demokrati | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0–9.7% | 6.6–10.1% | 6.3–10.5% | 5.8–11.2% | 
| Stranka modernega centra | 34.5% | 7.1% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.4–9.3% | 4.9–10.1% | 
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.5–8.8% | 5.3–9.2% | 4.8–9.9% | 
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.5–8.8% | 5.3–9.2% | 4.8–9.9% | 
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 2.2% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.1% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.3–7.8% | 3.8–8.5% | 
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.8–5.8% | 2.4–6.4% | 
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.5% | 2.0–4.7% | 1.8–5.3% | 
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.8% | 0.0–1.1% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 21 | 23 | 21–26 | 20–26 | 20–26 | 19–28 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 0 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 
| Levica | 6 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 
| Socialni demokrati | 6 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 
| Stranka modernega centra | 36 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 5 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 10 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 0 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 0–8 | 
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 4 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 7% | 98% | |
| 21 | 12% | 92% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 18% | 80% | |
| 23 | 19% | 62% | Median | 
| 24 | 18% | 43% | |
| 25 | 10% | 25% | |
| 26 | 14% | 16% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 13% | 96% | |
| 10 | 29% | 83% | |
| 11 | 28% | 54% | Median | 
| 12 | 22% | 27% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | 
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 7 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 26% | 93% | |
| 9 | 24% | 67% | Median | 
| 10 | 25% | 43% | |
| 11 | 14% | 17% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 14% | 98.5% | Last Result | 
| 7 | 32% | 85% | |
| 8 | 40% | 53% | Median | 
| 9 | 12% | 13% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | 
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 17% | 98% | |
| 6 | 34% | 82% | Median | 
| 7 | 31% | 47% | |
| 8 | 12% | 16% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 19% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 33% | 79% | Median | 
| 7 | 33% | 46% | |
| 8 | 11% | 13% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 9% | 98.5% | |
| 6 | 35% | 89% | |
| 7 | 37% | 54% | Median | 
| 8 | 16% | 17% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 1 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 26% | 98% | |
| 5 | 47% | 72% | Median | 
| 6 | 21% | 25% | |
| 7 | 4% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Median | 
| 1 | 0% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 35% | |
| 3 | 4% | 35% | |
| 4 | 26% | 31% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 4% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median | 
| 1 | 0% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 13% | |
| 3 | 3% | 13% | |
| 4 | 9% | 10% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 31 | 40 | 0.2% | 37–44 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 61 | 39 | 0.3% | 36–42 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 34–45 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 57 | 38 | 0% | 35–40 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 
| Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca | 21 | 34 | 0% | 31–37 | 30–38 | 30–38 | 29–38 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 56 | 33 | 0% | 30–36 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 27–38 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 47 | 31 | 0% | 29–33 | 28–34 | 27–36 | 26–36 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 21 | 32 | 0% | 29–33 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–35 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 31 | 0% | 29–33 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 42 | 25 | 0% | 22–27 | 22–28 | 22–28 | 20–30 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 16 | 25 | 0% | 23–27 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 11 | 25 | 0% | 22–26 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 | 
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 52 | 20 | 0% | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 6 | 18 | 0% | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 6% | 96% | |
| 38 | 7% | 90% | |
| 39 | 16% | 82% | |
| 40 | 17% | 67% | |
| 41 | 17% | 49% | Median | 
| 42 | 15% | 32% | |
| 43 | 4% | 17% | |
| 44 | 13% | 13% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 5% | 95% | |
| 37 | 13% | 90% | |
| 38 | 17% | 77% | Median | 
| 39 | 23% | 60% | |
| 40 | 14% | 38% | |
| 41 | 8% | 24% | |
| 42 | 10% | 15% | |
| 43 | 3% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 5% | 97% | |
| 35 | 8% | 92% | |
| 36 | 11% | 84% | |
| 37 | 17% | 73% | |
| 38 | 24% | 57% | Median | 
| 39 | 18% | 33% | |
| 40 | 8% | 15% | |
| 41 | 3% | 7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 5% | 98% | |
| 31 | 8% | 94% | |
| 32 | 15% | 86% | |
| 33 | 16% | 70% | |
| 34 | 18% | 54% | Median | 
| 35 | 11% | 36% | |
| 36 | 9% | 25% | |
| 37 | 9% | 16% | |
| 38 | 6% | 6% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 5% | 94% | |
| 31 | 21% | 88% | |
| 32 | 15% | 68% | Median | 
| 33 | 21% | 53% | |
| 34 | 11% | 32% | |
| 35 | 9% | 20% | |
| 36 | 8% | 11% | |
| 37 | 2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 28 | 6% | 97% | |
| 29 | 12% | 91% | |
| 30 | 19% | 79% | |
| 31 | 19% | 60% | Median | 
| 32 | 19% | 41% | |
| 33 | 14% | 22% | |
| 34 | 4% | 8% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 36 | 3% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 28 | 5% | 96% | |
| 29 | 12% | 91% | |
| 30 | 12% | 78% | |
| 31 | 12% | 66% | |
| 32 | 34% | 54% | Median | 
| 33 | 11% | 20% | |
| 34 | 6% | 9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 5% | 97% | |
| 29 | 9% | 92% | |
| 30 | 13% | 83% | |
| 31 | 25% | 70% | |
| 32 | 19% | 45% | Median | 
| 33 | 17% | 26% | |
| 34 | 4% | 9% | |
| 35 | 4% | 5% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 22 | 10% | 98% | |
| 23 | 13% | 88% | |
| 24 | 24% | 75% | |
| 25 | 21% | 51% | Median | 
| 26 | 14% | 30% | |
| 27 | 10% | 16% | |
| 28 | 4% | 6% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 6% | 97% | |
| 23 | 12% | 90% | |
| 24 | 17% | 78% | |
| 25 | 24% | 61% | |
| 26 | 26% | 37% | Median | 
| 27 | 7% | 11% | |
| 28 | 4% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 22 | 11% | 95% | |
| 23 | 13% | 84% | |
| 24 | 13% | 72% | |
| 25 | 28% | 58% | Median | 
| 26 | 21% | 30% | |
| 27 | 5% | 10% | |
| 28 | 4% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 18 | 7% | 97% | |
| 19 | 15% | 89% | |
| 20 | 26% | 75% | |
| 21 | 18% | 49% | Median | 
| 22 | 13% | 30% | |
| 23 | 13% | 17% | |
| 24 | 3% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 12% | 97% | |
| 17 | 19% | 85% | |
| 18 | 25% | 66% | |
| 19 | 19% | 41% | Median | 
| 20 | 16% | 22% | |
| 21 | 3% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Mediana
 - Commissioner(s): Delo
 - Fieldwork period: 25–30 May 2018
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 674
 - Simulations done: 4,194,304
 - Error estimate: 1.71%