Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 25–30 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 24.3% 22.3–26.6% 21.7–27.2% 21.2–27.7% 20.3–28.8%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 11.3% 9.8–13.0% 9.4–13.5% 9.1–13.9% 8.5–14.8%
Levica 6.0% 10.1% 8.7–11.7% 8.4–12.2% 8.0–12.6% 7.4–13.4%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 8.2% 7.0–9.7% 6.6–10.1% 6.3–10.5% 5.8–11.2%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 7.1% 6.0–8.6% 5.7–9.0% 5.4–9.3% 4.9–10.1%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.0% 5.9–8.4% 5.5–8.8% 5.3–9.2% 4.8–9.9%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 7.0% 5.9–8.4% 5.5–8.8% 5.3–9.2% 4.8–9.9%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 5.8% 4.8–7.1% 4.5–7.5% 4.3–7.8% 3.8–8.5%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 4.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.8–5.8% 2.4–6.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5% 2.0–4.7% 1.8–5.3%
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 23 21–26 20–26 20–26 19–28
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 11 9–12 9–12 8–13 8–14
Levica 6 9 8–11 7–11 7–12 7–12
Socialni demokrati 6 8 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Stranka modernega centra 36 6 5–8 5–8 5–9 4–9
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–9
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 7 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–9
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 5 4–6 4–6 4–7 0–8
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 1.3% 99.8%  
20 7% 98%  
21 12% 92% Last Result
22 18% 80%  
23 19% 62% Median
24 18% 43%  
25 10% 25%  
26 14% 16%  
27 0.7% 1.4%  
28 0.6% 0.6%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 3% 99.8%  
9 13% 96%  
10 29% 83%  
11 28% 54% Median
12 22% 27%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.7% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100% Last Result
7 6% 99.6%  
8 26% 93%  
9 24% 67% Median
10 25% 43%  
11 14% 17%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.4% 99.9%  
6 14% 98.5% Last Result
7 32% 85%  
8 40% 53% Median
9 12% 13%  
10 1.0% 1.2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 17% 98%  
6 34% 82% Median
7 31% 47%  
8 12% 16%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 99.9%  
5 19% 98% Last Result
6 33% 79% Median
7 33% 46%  
8 11% 13%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.4% 100%  
5 9% 98.5%  
6 35% 89%  
7 37% 54% Median
8 16% 17%  
9 1.3% 1.4%  
10 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98.7%  
2 0% 98.7%  
3 0.4% 98.7%  
4 26% 98%  
5 47% 72% Median
6 21% 25%  
7 4% 5%  
8 0.6% 0.6%  
9 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 65% 100% Median
1 0% 35%  
2 0% 35%  
3 4% 35%  
4 26% 31% Last Result
5 4% 5%  
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 3% 13%  
4 9% 10%  
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 40 0.2% 37–44 37–44 36–44 35–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 39 0.3% 36–42 36–43 35–43 34–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 57 38 0% 35–40 34–41 33–42 32–43
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 34 0% 31–37 30–38 30–38 29–38
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 33 0% 30–36 29–36 28–37 27–38
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 31 0% 29–33 28–34 27–36 26–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 21 32 0% 29–33 28–34 27–35 26–35
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 31 0% 29–33 28–34 27–35 26–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 25 0% 22–27 22–28 22–28 20–30
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 25 0% 23–27 22–27 21–28 20–29
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 25 0% 22–26 22–27 21–28 20–29
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 20 0% 18–23 18–23 17–24 16–24
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 18 0% 16–20 16–21 15–21 14–22

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.8%  
35 1.4% 99.5%  
36 2% 98%  
37 6% 96%  
38 7% 90%  
39 16% 82%  
40 17% 67%  
41 17% 49% Median
42 15% 32%  
43 4% 17%  
44 13% 13%  
45 0.5% 0.7%  
46 0.1% 0.2% Majority
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.3% 99.8%  
34 1.5% 99.5%  
35 3% 98%  
36 5% 95%  
37 13% 90%  
38 17% 77% Median
39 23% 60%  
40 14% 38%  
41 8% 24%  
42 10% 15%  
43 3% 5%  
44 0.9% 2%  
45 0.6% 0.9%  
46 0.3% 0.3% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.2% 100%  
32 0.5% 99.7%  
33 2% 99.2%  
34 5% 97%  
35 8% 92%  
36 11% 84%  
37 17% 73%  
38 24% 57% Median
39 18% 33%  
40 8% 15%  
41 3% 7%  
42 2% 4%  
43 1.4% 2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.9%  
29 1.1% 99.5%  
30 5% 98%  
31 8% 94%  
32 15% 86%  
33 16% 70%  
34 18% 54% Median
35 11% 36%  
36 9% 25%  
37 9% 16%  
38 6% 6%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.5%  
29 3% 97%  
30 5% 94%  
31 21% 88%  
32 15% 68% Median
33 21% 53%  
34 11% 32%  
35 9% 20%  
36 8% 11%  
37 2% 4%  
38 0.9% 1.2%  
39 0.3% 0.3%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 0.8% 99.6%  
27 2% 98.8%  
28 6% 97%  
29 12% 91%  
30 19% 79%  
31 19% 60% Median
32 19% 41%  
33 14% 22%  
34 4% 8%  
35 0.8% 4%  
36 3% 3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 1.0% 99.8%  
27 3% 98.8%  
28 5% 96%  
29 12% 91%  
30 12% 78%  
31 12% 66%  
32 34% 54% Median
33 11% 20%  
34 6% 9%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.3% 0.3%  
37 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.7% 99.8%  
27 2% 99.2%  
28 5% 97%  
29 9% 92%  
30 13% 83%  
31 25% 70%  
32 19% 45% Median
33 17% 26%  
34 4% 9%  
35 4% 5%  
36 1.0% 1.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.9% 99.9%  
21 1.3% 99.0%  
22 10% 98%  
23 13% 88%  
24 24% 75%  
25 21% 51% Median
26 14% 30%  
27 10% 16%  
28 4% 6%  
29 0.6% 2%  
30 0.9% 0.9%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.6% 99.8%  
21 3% 99.2%  
22 6% 97%  
23 12% 90%  
24 17% 78%  
25 24% 61%  
26 26% 37% Median
27 7% 11%  
28 4% 4%  
29 0.6% 0.7%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.2% 100%  
20 1.1% 99.8%  
21 3% 98.7%  
22 11% 95%  
23 13% 84%  
24 13% 72%  
25 28% 58% Median
26 21% 30%  
27 5% 10%  
28 4% 4%  
29 0.7% 0.8%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.7% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.1%  
18 7% 97%  
19 15% 89%  
20 26% 75%  
21 18% 49% Median
22 13% 30%  
23 13% 17%  
24 3% 4%  
25 0.4% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.6% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.3%  
16 12% 97%  
17 19% 85%  
18 25% 66%  
19 19% 41% Median
20 16% 22%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.5% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.4%  
24 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations