Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 31 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 27.1% 25.3–29.1% 24.8–29.6% 24.4–30.1% 23.5–31.0%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 12.8% 11.5–14.3% 11.1–14.8% 10.8–15.1% 10.2–15.9%
Levica 6.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.8% 7.4–11.1% 6.9–11.8%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.6–10.7% 7.3–11.0% 6.8–11.6%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 8.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.4–10.4% 7.1–10.7% 6.6–11.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.3–8.0% 5.1–8.3% 4.7–8.9%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 6.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.3–8.0% 5.1–8.3% 4.7–8.9%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 5.1% 4.3–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.9–6.7% 3.5–7.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 4.6% 3.8–5.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.4–6.1% 3.1–6.7%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–4.0% 2.0–4.2% 1.7–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 25 23–27 23–28 23–28 22–30
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Levica 6 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–11
Socialni demokrati 6 8 7–9 7–10 6–10 6–11
Stranka modernega centra 36 8 7–9 7–9 6–10 6–10
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–8
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 6 5–6 4–7 4–7 4–8
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 4 4–5 4–6 0–6 0–7
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0–3 0–4

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.2% 100% Last Result
22 1.3% 99.8%  
23 9% 98.6%  
24 20% 90%  
25 27% 70% Median
26 21% 43%  
27 13% 22%  
28 7% 9%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.5%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 1.5% 100%  
10 10% 98%  
11 29% 89%  
12 25% 59% Median
13 28% 35%  
14 6% 7%  
15 0.5% 0.5%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.3% 99.9% Last Result
7 21% 98.6%  
8 40% 78% Median
9 31% 37%  
10 6% 6%  
11 0.5% 0.6%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 2% 99.9% Last Result
7 24% 97%  
8 35% 73% Median
9 29% 38%  
10 8% 9%  
11 0.9% 0.9%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 3% 99.9%  
7 43% 97%  
8 20% 54% Median
9 29% 34%  
10 4% 5%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 46% 98% Last Result
6 40% 53% Median
7 10% 12%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 6% 100% Last Result
5 24% 94%  
6 60% 70% Median
7 8% 10%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 1.5% 97%  
4 51% 95% Median
5 37% 44%  
6 6% 7%  
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 7% 86%  
4 51% 78% Median
5 26% 27%  
6 0.9% 0.9%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 1.1% 3%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 61 43 20% 41–47 41–48 40–48 39–48
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 42 1.1% 40–44 39–44 38–45 37–46
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 38 0% 35–41 35–42 34–42 33–43
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 56 38 0% 36–41 35–42 34–42 33–42
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 37 0% 35–39 34–40 34–41 33–42
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 34 0% 31–36 30–37 30–37 30–38
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 32 0% 30–35 30–36 29–36 27–37
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 30 0% 28–33 27–33 27–33 25–34
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 42 28 0% 25–31 25–31 25–31 24–32
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 26 0% 23–28 23–28 23–28 22–30
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 25 0% 22–27 22–27 21–27 19–28
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 20 0% 19–23 18–23 17–24 15–24
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 6 21 0% 18–22 18–22 18–22 17–24

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0.7% 99.8%  
40 4% 99.1%  
41 9% 95%  
42 11% 86%  
43 27% 75%  
44 17% 49% Median
45 11% 31%  
46 10% 20% Majority
47 3% 10%  
48 6% 7%  
49 0.3% 0.5%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 0.6% 99.6%  
38 2% 99.0%  
39 5% 97%  
40 26% 92%  
41 8% 65% Median
42 30% 57%  
43 10% 27%  
44 12% 17%  
45 4% 5%  
46 0.9% 1.1% Majority
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.6% 99.8%  
34 3% 99.2%  
35 8% 97%  
36 12% 89%  
37 18% 77%  
38 23% 59% Median
39 16% 36%  
40 9% 21%  
41 3% 12%  
42 8% 8%  
43 0.3% 0.5%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.6% 99.8%  
34 2% 99.3%  
35 4% 97%  
36 16% 93%  
37 19% 77%  
38 20% 58% Median
39 16% 38%  
40 6% 22%  
41 7% 16%  
42 8% 8%  
43 0.3% 0.5%  
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 1.2% 99.9%  
34 4% 98.7%  
35 6% 95%  
36 29% 89%  
37 15% 60% Median
38 23% 45%  
39 13% 22%  
40 5% 9%  
41 3% 4%  
42 0.6% 0.8%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 7% 99.6%  
31 7% 93%  
32 11% 86%  
33 25% 75%  
34 22% 51% Median
35 12% 29%  
36 7% 17%  
37 8% 10%  
38 1.2% 1.5%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.8%  
28 1.1% 99.5%  
29 3% 98%  
30 14% 96%  
31 15% 82%  
32 30% 67% Median
33 10% 38%  
34 12% 28%  
35 6% 15%  
36 8% 9%  
37 0.3% 0.5%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.2% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.8%  
26 1.2% 99.4%  
27 5% 98%  
28 12% 93%  
29 16% 81%  
30 23% 65% Median
31 24% 42%  
32 7% 18%  
33 10% 11%  
34 1.1% 1.4%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.8%  
25 10% 99.3%  
26 12% 89%  
27 14% 77%  
28 33% 63% Median
29 8% 30%  
30 8% 22%  
31 12% 14%  
32 1.1% 1.3%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 1.1% 99.8%  
23 10% 98.7%  
24 14% 88%  
25 15% 74%  
26 24% 59% Median
27 21% 35%  
28 12% 14%  
29 1.1% 2%  
30 0.7% 0.9%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0.3% 100%  
19 0.2% 99.7%  
20 0.5% 99.5%  
21 2% 99.0%  
22 10% 97%  
23 16% 86%  
24 15% 70% Median
25 32% 56%  
26 12% 23%  
27 11% 12%  
28 0.8% 1.1%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.3% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.7%  
16 1.1% 99.4%  
17 2% 98%  
18 5% 97%  
19 26% 91%  
20 20% 65% Median
21 17% 45%  
22 9% 28%  
23 15% 18%  
24 3% 3%  
25 0.4% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 100%  
17 2% 99.8%  
18 20% 98%  
19 15% 78%  
20 12% 62% Median
21 33% 50%  
22 15% 17%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.5%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations