Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik and Večer, 31 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 26.1% 24.3–28.1% 23.8–28.6% 23.3–29.1% 22.5–30.0%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 12.8% 11.4–14.3% 11.1–14.7% 10.7–15.1% 10.1–15.9%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 11.4% 10.2–12.9% 9.8–13.3% 9.5–13.7% 8.9–14.4%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 9.8% 8.6–11.2% 8.3–11.6% 8.0–11.9% 7.5–12.6%
Levica 6.0% 8.3% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–10.0% 6.7–10.3% 6.2–11.0%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 7.9% 6.8–9.2% 6.6–9.5% 6.3–9.8% 5.8–10.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.3% 6.3–8.6% 6.0–8.9% 5.8–9.2% 5.3–9.9%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0% 2.7–5.2% 2.4–5.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 3.4% 2.8–4.4% 2.6–4.6% 2.4–4.9% 2.1–5.3%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.4–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.0–5.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 25 23–28 23–28 22–28 21–30
Socialni demokrati 6 12 11–14 10–14 10–15 10–16
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 11 10–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
Stranka modernega centra 36 9 8–11 8–11 7–11 7–12
Levica 6 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 6–10
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 7 6–8 6–8 5–8 5–9
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–4

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
22 3% 99.4%  
23 9% 97%  
24 13% 87%  
25 31% 74% Median
26 22% 44%  
27 7% 22%  
28 13% 15%  
29 1.3% 2%  
30 0.4% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.3% 100%  
10 5% 99.6%  
11 26% 95%  
12 29% 69% Median
13 28% 40%  
14 9% 12%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.5% 0.5%  
17 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 1.0% 100%  
9 9% 99.0%  
10 27% 90%  
11 39% 64% Median
12 19% 25%  
13 5% 6%  
14 1.0% 1.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 4% 99.8%  
8 14% 95%  
9 33% 81% Median
10 28% 48%  
11 18% 20%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 10% 99.8% Last Result
7 28% 90%  
8 45% 62% Median
9 13% 17%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.0% 100%  
6 13% 99.0%  
7 41% 86% Median
8 29% 45%  
9 15% 16%  
10 1.1% 1.2% Last Result
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 5% 99.9% Last Result
6 22% 95%  
7 42% 73% Median
8 29% 31%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 43%  
2 0% 43%  
3 3% 43%  
4 36% 40%  
5 4% 4%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 1.2% 15%  
4 13% 13%  
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 3% 8%  
4 5% 5% Last Result
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 47 84% 45–50 44–50 43–51 41–53
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 57 47 79% 44–50 44–50 42–51 41–52
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 44 19% 41–46 40–47 40–48 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 40 0.9% 38–42 37–44 36–44 35–46
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 40 0.1% 37–42 37–43 36–44 34–45
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 40 0% 37–43 36–43 35–43 34–44
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 21 37 0% 35–40 34–41 33–41 32–42
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 36 0% 34–39 33–39 33–40 31–41
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 42 33 0% 30–35 29–35 29–36 28–37
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 30 0% 28–33 28–33 27–34 26–35
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 30 0% 28–32 27–33 27–33 25–34
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 29 0% 27–31 26–32 26–33 24–34
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 6 23 0% 21–25 21–26 20–26 19–27

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.5% 100%  
42 1.0% 99.5%  
43 2% 98%  
44 5% 97%  
45 8% 92%  
46 27% 84% Median, Majority
47 16% 57%  
48 11% 41%  
49 10% 30%  
50 16% 20%  
51 3% 4%  
52 1.0% 2%  
53 0.5% 0.6%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 0.8% 99.6%  
42 1.4% 98.8%  
43 2% 97%  
44 7% 95%  
45 10% 89%  
46 27% 79% Median, Majority
47 15% 52%  
48 11% 38%  
49 9% 27%  
50 15% 18%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.3% 0.6%  
53 0.3% 0.4%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.7% 99.8%  
39 2% 99.1%  
40 4% 98%  
41 9% 93%  
42 11% 84%  
43 18% 73% Median
44 16% 55%  
45 20% 39%  
46 10% 19% Majority
47 4% 9%  
48 4% 5%  
49 0.3% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.3% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.6%  
36 2% 99.2%  
37 7% 97%  
38 11% 91%  
39 17% 80% Median
40 19% 63%  
41 11% 44%  
42 23% 33%  
43 5% 10%  
44 3% 5%  
45 1.0% 2%  
46 0.6% 0.9% Majority
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.6% 99.9%  
35 0.9% 99.3%  
36 2% 98%  
37 7% 96%  
38 13% 89%  
39 18% 76% Median
40 20% 58%  
41 9% 38%  
42 22% 29%  
43 4% 7%  
44 3% 3%  
45 0.7% 0.8%  
46 0.1% 0.1% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.4% 100%  
34 0.5% 99.6%  
35 2% 99.1%  
36 4% 97%  
37 6% 93%  
38 22% 87%  
39 14% 65% Median
40 22% 51%  
41 11% 29%  
42 7% 18%  
43 10% 11%  
44 0.6% 0.9%  
45 0.3% 0.3%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.4% 99.9%  
33 2% 99.4%  
34 3% 97%  
35 6% 95%  
36 22% 88%  
37 18% 66% Median
38 14% 48%  
39 21% 34%  
40 4% 13%  
41 8% 9%  
42 0.7% 1.2%  
43 0.4% 0.4%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.4% 99.9%  
32 1.2% 99.5%  
33 7% 98%  
34 10% 91%  
35 10% 81%  
36 26% 71% Median
37 21% 45%  
38 11% 24%  
39 9% 12%  
40 3% 4%  
41 0.6% 0.8%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.5%  
29 4% 98%  
30 7% 94%  
31 17% 87%  
32 18% 70% Median
33 26% 51%  
34 7% 25%  
35 14% 19%  
36 4% 5%  
37 0.4% 0.8%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.3% 100%  
26 0.9% 99.7%  
27 3% 98.8%  
28 6% 96%  
29 19% 90%  
30 23% 71% Median
31 19% 47%  
32 14% 28%  
33 11% 14%  
34 2% 4%  
35 1.1% 1.2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.9%  
26 2% 99.5%  
27 5% 98%  
28 10% 93%  
29 25% 83%  
30 17% 57% Median
31 12% 40%  
32 22% 28%  
33 4% 5%  
34 1.2% 2%  
35 0.3% 0.4%  
36 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.7% 99.9%  
25 0.9% 99.2%  
26 8% 98%  
27 9% 91%  
28 21% 82% Median
29 17% 61%  
30 20% 45%  
31 17% 24%  
32 4% 7%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.9% 1.0%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 2% 99.9%  
20 3% 98%  
21 9% 96%  
22 26% 87%  
23 24% 61% Median
24 21% 37%  
25 10% 16%  
26 5% 6%  
27 1.2% 1.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations