Opinion Poll by Valicon, 28–31 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 20.7% 17.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.8% 15.7–19.1% 15.2–19.6%
Socialni demokrati 6.0% 13.2% 12.3–14.2% 12.0–14.5% 11.8–14.8% 11.3–15.3%
Lista Marjana Šarca 0.0% 12.3% 11.4–13.3% 11.1–13.5% 10.9–13.8% 10.5–14.3%
Levica 6.0% 9.1% 8.3–10.0% 8.1–10.2% 7.9–10.4% 7.5–10.9%
Stranka modernega centra 34.5% 8.1% 7.4–9.0% 7.2–9.2% 7.0–9.4% 6.7–9.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5.6% 7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.2–8.2% 6.1–8.4% 5.7–8.8%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10.2% 4.8% 4.3–5.5% 4.1–5.7% 4.0–5.9% 3.7–6.2%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4.4% 4.4% 3.8–5.0% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.3–5.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 2.2% 3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.1–4.6% 3.0–4.7% 2.8–5.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 4.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.4% 2.3–3.6% 2.2–3.7% 2.0–4.0%
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.7% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 21 16 15–18 15–18 15–19 15–20
Socialni demokrati 6 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 11–15
Lista Marjana Šarca 0 12 11–13 11–13 10–13 10–14
Levica 6 8 8–9 8–9 8–10 7–10
Stranka modernega centra 36 8 7–8 7–8 6–9 6–9
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 5 6 6–7 6–8 6–8 5–8
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 10 4 3–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 4 4 3–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0–3
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.4% 100%  
15 13% 99.6%  
16 51% 86% Median
17 17% 35%  
18 15% 18%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.6% 0.6%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 100%  
11 26% 99.8%  
12 37% 74% Median
13 27% 37%  
14 8% 10%  
15 1.4% 1.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 3% 99.9%  
11 38% 96%  
12 29% 59% Median
13 29% 30%  
14 0.9% 0.9%  
15 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 2% 100%  
8 57% 98% Median
9 37% 41%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 4% 100%  
7 22% 96%  
8 70% 74% Median
9 4% 4%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100% Last Result
6 62% 98% Median
7 30% 36%  
8 6% 6%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 1.0% 91%  
4 63% 90% Median
5 26% 27%  
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 22% 91%  
4 61% 68% Last Result, Median
5 8% 8%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 5% 41%  
4 36% 36%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0.5% 0.6%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 61 46 52% 43–49 43–49 43–49 40–49
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 57 42 5% 40–45 39–45 39–46 39–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 56 39 0% 37–42 37–42 37–42 33–43
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 47 39 0% 36–40 36–41 36–42 35–42
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 36 0% 33–38 33–38 32–39 32–41
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 21 34 0% 32–37 31–38 31–38 31–39
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 31 32 0% 30–34 29–35 29–35 28–36
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 42 32 0% 30–33 30–34 30–34 28–35
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 11 31 0% 28–32 28–33 28–34 28–34
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 21 29 0% 27–30 26–31 26–31 26–32
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 16 28 0% 26–30 25–30 25–31 24–32
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 6 25 0% 22–26 22–26 22–27 21–27
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 52 24 0% 22–25 21–26 21–27 20–29

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.5% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.5%  
42 0.3% 99.2%  
43 29% 98.9%  
44 6% 70%  
45 12% 64%  
46 15% 52% Median, Majority
47 14% 37%  
48 5% 23%  
49 18% 18%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 9% 99.7%  
40 27% 91%  
41 9% 64%  
42 11% 55% Median
43 16% 44%  
44 5% 29%  
45 19% 24%  
46 4% 5% Majority
47 0.6% 0.7%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.5% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.5%  
35 0.3% 99.4%  
36 2% 99.1%  
37 32% 98%  
38 7% 66%  
39 13% 58%  
40 9% 46% Median
41 17% 36%  
42 18% 19%  
43 1.3% 1.3%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 1.3% 99.9%  
36 27% 98.6%  
37 10% 71%  
38 9% 61% Median
39 23% 52%  
40 21% 29%  
41 4% 7%  
42 4% 4%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.2% 100%  
32 3% 99.8%  
33 8% 97%  
34 27% 90%  
35 10% 62%  
36 11% 53% Median
37 17% 42%  
38 21% 24%  
39 3% 3%  
40 0.2% 0.7%  
41 0.5% 0.5%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 100%  
31 7% 99.8%  
32 25% 93%  
33 5% 68%  
34 16% 64% Median
35 14% 48%  
36 9% 34%  
37 19% 25%  
38 4% 5%  
39 0.8% 0.8%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.9%  
29 7% 99.5%  
30 4% 93%  
31 35% 89% Last Result
32 6% 54% Median
33 20% 48%  
34 21% 28%  
35 6% 7%  
36 0.9% 1.0%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.7% 100%  
29 1.0% 99.3%  
30 29% 98%  
31 11% 69%  
32 11% 58% Median
33 38% 47%  
34 6% 8%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.3% 100%  
28 24% 99.7%  
29 4% 75%  
30 18% 71% Median
31 18% 54%  
32 28% 36%  
33 2% 7%  
34 5% 5%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.4% 100%  
26 6% 99.5%  
27 32% 94%  
28 7% 62% Median
29 43% 55%  
30 7% 12%  
31 4% 5%  
32 0.8% 0.8%  
33 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.8% 99.9%  
25 9% 99.1%  
26 23% 90%  
27 6% 67%  
28 15% 61% Median
29 18% 46%  
30 24% 28%  
31 3% 4%  
32 1.2% 1.3%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.7% 99.9%  
22 25% 99.2%  
23 6% 74%  
24 18% 69% Median
25 38% 50%  
26 9% 12%  
27 3% 3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 2% 99.9%  
21 7% 98%  
22 5% 91%  
23 28% 87%  
24 16% 58% Median
25 35% 42%  
26 4% 7%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.2% 0.7%  
29 0.5% 0.5%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations