Opinion Poll by Dedicated for MR, 23–27 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
PTB 5.8% 25.0% 22.8–27.3% 22.2–27.9% 21.7–28.5% 20.7–29.6%
MR 26.7% 23.2% 21.1–25.5% 20.5–26.1% 20.1–26.7% 19.1–27.8%
PS 30.9% 16.0% 14.3–18.0% 13.7–18.6% 13.3–19.1% 12.5–20.1%
Ecolo 8.6% 11.4% 9.9–13.2% 9.4–13.7% 9.1–14.1% 8.4–15.0%
cdH 15.2% 9.8% 8.4–11.4% 8.0–11.9% 7.7–12.3% 7.1–13.2%
DéFI 2.5% 3.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.3% 2.6–5.7% 2.2–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
PTB 2 22 20–24 19–24 19–24 17–26
MR 25 21 19–23 19–24 18–25 16–26
PS 30 15 12–16 12–16 11–16 9–18
Ecolo 4 9 6–11 6–11 6–12 6–13
cdH 13 7 5–10 5–10 5–10 5–11
DéFI 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–3

PTB

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 1.0% 100%  
18 1.2% 99.0%  
19 5% 98%  
20 19% 93%  
21 12% 73%  
22 42% 62% Median
23 8% 19%  
24 9% 12%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.5% 0.8%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

MR

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.3% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.7%  
17 0.9% 99.3%  
18 2% 98%  
19 7% 97%  
20 31% 90%  
21 24% 59% Median
22 17% 34%  
23 8% 18%  
24 6% 10%  
25 3% 3% Last Result
26 0.5% 0.6%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

PS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9%  
10 1.2% 99.2%  
11 3% 98%  
12 6% 95%  
13 21% 90%  
14 13% 68%  
15 39% 55% Median
16 15% 16%  
17 0.6% 1.2%  
18 0.4% 0.7%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Ecolo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 12% 100%  
7 11% 88%  
8 9% 77%  
9 19% 68% Median
10 14% 49%  
11 32% 35%  
12 1.4% 3%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

cdH

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100%  
5 20% 99.9%  
6 21% 80%  
7 12% 59% Median
8 10% 48%  
9 17% 38%  
10 20% 21%  
11 0.5% 1.0%  
12 0.5% 0.5%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

DéFI

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 27%  
2 4% 5%  
3 0.4% 0.8%  
4 0.2% 0.4%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
PTB – PS – Ecolo 36 45 100% 42–48 41–49 41–49 39–50
MR – PS – Ecolo 59 45 100% 41–47 41–48 40–48 39–50
PTB – PS – cdH 45 43 99.7% 41–47 40–47 39–48 38–49
MR – Ecolo – cdH 42 38 57% 36–40 35–41 35–42 33–43
PTB – PS 32 36 16% 33–38 32–39 32–39 30–41
MR – PS 55 35 13% 33–38 32–39 31–39 30–40
PS – Ecolo – cdH 47 31 0.1% 28–33 27–34 27–35 25–36
MR – Ecolo 29 31 0% 27–33 27–33 26–34 25–35
MR – cdH 38 29 0% 26–31 25–32 25–33 24–34
PS – cdH 43 21 0% 19–25 18–25 18–26 17–26

PTB – PS – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100% Last Result
37 0% 100%  
38 0.2% 100% Majority
39 0.4% 99.8%  
40 1.4% 99.4%  
41 4% 98%  
42 7% 94%  
43 13% 87%  
44 17% 74%  
45 16% 57%  
46 14% 41% Median
47 11% 27%  
48 10% 16%  
49 4% 6%  
50 2% 2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

MR – PS – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100% Majority
39 0.7% 99.8%  
40 2% 99.1%  
41 7% 97%  
42 11% 90%  
43 13% 79%  
44 13% 66%  
45 16% 53% Median
46 16% 37%  
47 14% 21%  
48 5% 7%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

PTB – PS – cdH

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 0.8% 99.7% Majority
39 2% 99.0%  
40 7% 97%  
41 10% 90%  
42 21% 80%  
43 15% 59%  
44 15% 43% Median
45 10% 29% Last Result
46 8% 19%  
47 7% 10%  
48 2% 3%  
49 1.0% 1.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

MR – Ecolo – cdH

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.3% 100%  
33 0.6% 99.7%  
34 1.4% 99.1%  
35 6% 98%  
36 14% 92%  
37 21% 78% Median
38 28% 57% Majority
39 14% 29%  
40 8% 15%  
41 5% 7%  
42 2% 3% Last Result
43 0.5% 0.7%  
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  

PTB – PS

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.8%  
31 1.4% 99.3%  
32 3% 98% Last Result
33 6% 95%  
34 9% 89%  
35 22% 80%  
36 20% 58%  
37 23% 39% Median
38 10% 16% Majority
39 4% 6%  
40 1.1% 2%  
41 0.5% 0.7%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

MR – PS

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 1.4% 99.6%  
31 2% 98%  
32 4% 96%  
33 9% 92%  
34 15% 84%  
35 22% 69%  
36 24% 47% Median
37 10% 23%  
38 6% 13% Majority
39 4% 7%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0.4% 0.5%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

PS – Ecolo – cdH

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.9%  
26 1.2% 99.5%  
27 4% 98%  
28 6% 94%  
29 11% 88%  
30 14% 78%  
31 27% 64% Median
32 16% 37%  
33 13% 21%  
34 5% 8%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.9% 1.3%  
37 0.3% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.1% Majority
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

MR – Ecolo

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.8% 99.9%  
26 4% 99.1%  
27 6% 95%  
28 10% 89%  
29 12% 78% Last Result
30 15% 66% Median
31 20% 51%  
32 17% 31%  
33 9% 14%  
34 3% 5%  
35 1.2% 1.5%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0% Majority

MR – cdH

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.9% 99.8%  
25 7% 98.9%  
26 10% 92%  
27 16% 82%  
28 14% 66% Median
29 17% 52%  
30 16% 34%  
31 10% 19%  
32 6% 9%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.7% 0.9%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

PS – cdH

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.2% 99.9%  
17 0.8% 99.6%  
18 4% 98.8%  
19 7% 94%  
20 21% 87%  
21 16% 66%  
22 15% 50% Median
23 10% 34%  
24 11% 24%  
25 10% 13%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Majority
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations