Ecolo

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 8.6% (General Election of 25 May 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20.6% 18.1–23.2% 17.6–23.8% 17.2–24.2% 16.4–25.2%
6–14 May 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.1–21.2% 16.8–21.7% 16.1–22.5%
25 March–14 April 2019 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 22.0% 20.4–23.8% 19.9–24.2% 19.6–24.7% 18.8–25.5%
5–11 February 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16.8% 15.3–18.4% 14.9–18.8% 14.6–19.2% 13.9–20.0%
19 November–8 December 2018 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 19.7% 18.2–21.4% 17.7–21.8% 17.3–22.3% 16.6–23.1%
27 November–3 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.5% 12.2–14.9% 11.8–15.3% 11.5–15.7% 10.9–16.4%
20–27 September 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
29 May–6 June 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 13.2% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.2–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
26 February–17 March 2018 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 17.5% 16.1–19.2% 15.7–19.6% 15.3–20.0% 14.6–20.8%
27 February–6 March 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.5% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.6%
27 November–4 December 2017 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
11 September–5 October 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.6–20.5% 16.3–20.9% 15.6–21.7%
25 August–3 September 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 12.7% 11.4–14.2% 11.1–14.6% 10.7–15.0% 10.2–15.7%
23–27 June 2017 Dedicated
MR		 11.4% 9.9–13.2% 9.4–13.7% 9.1–14.1% 8.4–15.0%
16–20 March 2017 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 11.3% 9.9–13.0% 9.5–13.5% 9.2–14.0% 8.5–14.8%
16–17 February 2017 iVox
Sudpresse		 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–16.0% 11.1–16.7%
10–17 January 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 11.2% 10.0–12.7% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.4% 8.8–14.1%
28–24 November 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 11.1% 9.6–12.8% 9.2–13.3% 8.9–13.7% 8.3–14.6%
19–25 September 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.1% 6.0–9.4% 5.6–10.0%
2–6 September 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 10.0% 8.6–11.6% 8.3–12.1% 7.9–12.5% 7.3–13.3%
6–12 May 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 10.1% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.1% 7.8–12.8%
31 March–4 April 2016 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.5–12.9% 9.2–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
15–20 January 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 9.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.1% 7.1–11.7%
3–7 December 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 9.5% 8.3–10.8% 8.0–11.2% 7.7–11.5% 7.2–12.2%
28 September–4 October 2015 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
9–14 September 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 9.2% 7.9–10.8% 7.5–11.3% 7.2–11.7% 6.6–12.5%
12–18 May 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 9.0% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–11.0% 7.0–11.4% 6.5–12.1%
20–24 April 2015 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 9.1% 8.0–10.5% 7.7–10.8% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.8%
5–9 March 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 8.3% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.2% 6.4–10.6% 5.9–11.4%
23–28 January 2015 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
5–11 January 2015 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
27 November–1 December 2014 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 8.1% 6.9–9.6% 6.5–10.1% 6.2–10.4% 5.7–11.2%
5–9 September 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 8.4% 7.2–10.0% 6.9–10.4% 6.6–10.8% 6.0–11.6%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ecolo.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8.5–9.5% 0% 100% Last Result
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0.1% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0.7% 99.9%  
16.5–17.5% 4% 99.2%  
17.5–18.5% 11% 95%  
18.5–19.5% 17% 84%  
19.5–20.5% 17% 67%  
20.5–21.5% 17% 51% Median
21.5–22.5% 16% 34%  
22.5–23.5% 11% 18%  
23.5–24.5% 5% 6%  
24.5–25.5% 1.3% 2%  
25.5–26.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 4 seats (General Election of 25 May 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 18 14–20 14–21 14–22 13–23
6–14 May 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16 14–18 14–18 13–18 13–19
25 March–14 April 2019 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 20 17–21 17–22 17–23 17–24
5–11 February 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 14 13–17 13–17 13–17 12–18
19 November–8 December 2018 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 17 15–18 14–19 13–20 13–20
27 November–3 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 10–13 10–13 9–13 8–13
20–27 September 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8 6–11 6–11 6–11 6–12
29 May–6 June 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 12 11–13 10–13 10–13 8–13
26 February–17 March 2018 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 14 13–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
27 February–6 March 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 12 10–13 10–13 9–13 8–14
27 November–4 December 2017 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 10 7–11 7–11 7–11 6–12
11 September–5 October 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 16 14–18 13–18 13–18 13–20
25 August–3 September 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 11 10–13 9–13 8–13 7–13
23–27 June 2017 Dedicated
MR		 9 6–11 6–11 6–12 6–13
16–20 March 2017 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 8 6–11 6–11 6–12 6–13
16–17 February 2017 iVox
Sudpresse		 11 11–13 10–13 9–13 8–13
10–17 January 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 10 7–11 6–11 6–12 6–13
28–24 November 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 8 6–11 6–11 6–11 6–13
19–25 September 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 6 4–6 3–6 3–6 2–7
2–6 September 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 6 6–9 6–10 6–10 6–11
6–12 May 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 7 6–10 6–11 6–11 6–11
31 March–4 April 2016 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 8 6–11 6–11 6–11 6–12
15–20 January 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 7 6–8 6–9 6–10 6–11
3–7 December 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 6 6–7 6–8 6–9 5–10
28 September–4 October 2015 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 6 6–8 6–8 6–9 6–10
9–14 September 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 6 6–7 6–8 5–8 5–10
12–18 May 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 6 6–7 5–8 5–8 4–9
20–24 April 2015 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 6 6–7 6–8 6–8 5–10
5–9 March 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 2–8
23–28 January 2015 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 6 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–8
5–11 January 2015 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws–Le Soir–RTL Tvi–VTM		 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 2–7
27 November–1 December 2014 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 6 5–7 5–7 3–7 2–9
5–9 September 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 6 5–6 4–7 4–7 2–9

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ecolo.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 1.3% 100%  
14 9% 98.7%  
15 5% 90%  
16 12% 85%  
17 19% 74%  
18 15% 54% Median
19 11% 39%  
20 18% 28%  
21 5% 10%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.3% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.4%  
25 0% 0%