Opinion Poll by OnePoll for The Sun on Sunday, 17 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 40.0% 32.0% 30.7–33.4% 30.3–33.7% 30.0–34.1% 29.4–34.7%
Conservative Party 42.4% 24.0% 22.8–25.3% 22.5–25.6% 22.2–25.9% 21.6–26.5%
Brexit Party 0.0% 14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.8%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
Green Party 1.6% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
Change UK 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 262 307 289–323 286–330 283–333 273–340
Conservative Party 317 186 165–205 163–211 155–217 142–227
Brexit Party 0 43 29–55 27–59 24–66 18–79
Liberal Democrats 12 34 31–42 29–43 28–44 25–45
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Green Party 1 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Change UK 0 0 0 0 0 0
Scottish National Party 35 54 53–56 53–56 53–57 53–57

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100% Last Result
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.4% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.4%  
275 0% 99.3%  
276 0% 99.3%  
277 0.1% 99.2%  
278 0.3% 99.1%  
279 0.2% 98.8%  
280 0.1% 98.6%  
281 0.1% 98.5%  
282 0.6% 98%  
283 1.0% 98%  
284 0.7% 97%  
285 0.7% 96%  
286 0.6% 95%  
287 0.9% 95%  
288 0.8% 94%  
289 4% 93%  
290 0.5% 90%  
291 0.2% 89%  
292 0.9% 89%  
293 2% 88%  
294 0.7% 86%  
295 2% 85%  
296 3% 84%  
297 2% 80%  
298 2% 78%  
299 4% 76%  
300 0.9% 72%  
301 0.9% 71%  
302 3% 70%  
303 2% 67%  
304 11% 65%  
305 2% 54%  
306 0.9% 52%  
307 6% 51% Median
308 2% 44%  
309 1.2% 42%  
310 3% 41%  
311 2% 38%  
312 10% 36%  
313 2% 26%  
314 2% 23%  
315 2% 21%  
316 3% 19%  
317 0.2% 16%  
318 1.2% 16%  
319 0.4% 15%  
320 2% 14%  
321 0.7% 13%  
322 0.8% 12%  
323 2% 11%  
324 1.5% 10%  
325 0.5% 8%  
326 0.3% 8% Majority
327 0.7% 8%  
328 0.9% 7%  
329 0.4% 6%  
330 2% 6%  
331 0.4% 4%  
332 0.7% 3%  
333 0.1% 3%  
334 0.1% 2%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0% 2%  
337 0.5% 2%  
338 0.2% 2%  
339 0.5% 1.4%  
340 0.5% 0.9%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.7%  
142 0.2% 99.6%  
143 0.1% 99.5%  
144 0.1% 99.4%  
145 0% 99.3%  
146 0.1% 99.3%  
147 0.2% 99.2%  
148 0.1% 99.1%  
149 0.2% 99.0%  
150 0.1% 98.8%  
151 0.1% 98.7%  
152 0.4% 98.6%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 0.1% 98%  
155 0.6% 98%  
156 0.2% 97%  
157 0.3% 97%  
158 0.3% 97%  
159 0.3% 97%  
160 0.3% 96%  
161 0.8% 96%  
162 0.1% 95%  
163 2% 95%  
164 1.4% 93%  
165 2% 92%  
166 0.2% 90%  
167 1.1% 89%  
168 2% 88%  
169 0.4% 86%  
170 0.8% 86%  
171 1.0% 85%  
172 0.3% 84%  
173 4% 84%  
174 2% 80%  
175 0.8% 78%  
176 3% 78%  
177 0.5% 74%  
178 2% 74%  
179 2% 72%  
180 1.0% 70%  
181 1.5% 69%  
182 0.9% 68%  
183 0.9% 67%  
184 10% 66%  
185 5% 56%  
186 0.8% 51% Median
187 1.0% 50%  
188 11% 49%  
189 0.8% 38%  
190 0.5% 37%  
191 1.4% 36%  
192 0.8% 35%  
193 4% 34%  
194 3% 30%  
195 2% 26%  
196 0.5% 25%  
197 0.8% 24%  
198 0.3% 23%  
199 0.9% 23%  
200 1.0% 22%  
201 6% 21%  
202 1.4% 15%  
203 1.3% 14%  
204 2% 12%  
205 0.4% 10%  
206 0.5% 10%  
207 1.0% 9%  
208 0.4% 8%  
209 0.9% 8%  
210 1.0% 7%  
211 0.9% 6%  
212 0.3% 5%  
213 0.6% 5%  
214 0.2% 4%  
215 0.7% 4%  
216 0.5% 3%  
217 0.5% 3%  
218 0.8% 2%  
219 0.1% 1.4%  
220 0.1% 1.4%  
221 0.1% 1.3%  
222 0.2% 1.2%  
223 0.2% 1.0%  
224 0.1% 0.8%  
225 0.1% 0.6%  
226 0% 0.6%  
227 0.2% 0.5%  
228 0% 0.4%  
229 0.1% 0.3%  
230 0.1% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0% Last Result

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.6% 99.9%  
19 0.3% 99.2%  
20 0.5% 98.9%  
21 0.2% 98%  
22 0.1% 98%  
23 0.2% 98%  
24 0.5% 98%  
25 0.6% 97%  
26 1.1% 97%  
27 4% 96%  
28 1.3% 92%  
29 2% 91%  
30 1.4% 89%  
31 6% 87%  
32 2% 82%  
33 2% 80%  
34 0.3% 79%  
35 0.3% 78%  
36 1.5% 78%  
37 2% 77%  
38 2% 75%  
39 2% 72%  
40 1.3% 70%  
41 2% 69%  
42 4% 67%  
43 13% 63% Median
44 3% 50%  
45 2% 46%  
46 15% 44%  
47 4% 29%  
48 0.8% 25%  
49 0.9% 24%  
50 2% 23%  
51 2% 21%  
52 2% 19%  
53 1.5% 17%  
54 5% 15%  
55 2% 10%  
56 0.2% 8%  
57 0.3% 8%  
58 1.2% 7%  
59 2% 6%  
60 0.2% 4%  
61 0.3% 4%  
62 0.7% 4%  
63 0.4% 3%  
64 0.1% 3%  
65 0.1% 3%  
66 0.2% 3%  
67 0.2% 2%  
68 0.1% 2%  
69 0.1% 2%  
70 0.4% 2%  
71 0.1% 2%  
72 0.2% 1.5%  
73 0.1% 1.3%  
74 0.2% 1.2%  
75 0.3% 1.0%  
76 0.1% 0.7%  
77 0.1% 0.6%  
78 0% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.5%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.1% 99.8%  
25 0.2% 99.7%  
26 0.5% 99.5%  
27 1.0% 98.9%  
28 2% 98%  
29 1.2% 95%  
30 3% 94%  
31 3% 91%  
32 9% 88%  
33 12% 80%  
34 19% 67% Median
35 5% 48%  
36 6% 43%  
37 10% 37%  
38 6% 26%  
39 2% 21%  
40 3% 19%  
41 3% 16%  
42 7% 13%  
43 2% 6%  
44 2% 3%  
45 0.5% 0.9%  
46 0% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 95% 100% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Change UK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Change UK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 27% 99.6%  
54 51% 73% Median
55 8% 22%  
56 8% 13%  
57 5% 5%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 395 100% 380–415 373–421 369–427 361–434
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 361 99.8% 345–378 341–384 337–388 327–395
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK 274 341 90% 325–360 317–367 314–373 307–380
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 341 90% 325–360 317–367 314–373 307–380
Labour Party – Change UK 262 307 8% 289–323 286–330 283–333 273–340
Labour Party 262 307 8% 289–323 286–330 283–333 273–340
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 240 0% 221–259 217–267 209–272 196–280
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK 329 222 0% 205–241 200–245 195–251 183–258
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 222 0% 205–241 200–245 195–251 183–258
Conservative Party – Change UK 317 186 0% 165–205 163–211 155–217 142–227
Conservative Party 317 186 0% 165–205 163–211 155–217 142–227

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
309 0% 100% Last Result
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0.1% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.5%  
362 0.1% 99.4%  
363 0.1% 99.3%  
364 0.2% 99.2%  
365 0.2% 99.1%  
366 0.4% 98.9%  
367 0% 98.5%  
368 0.3% 98%  
369 0.7% 98%  
370 0.7% 97%  
371 0.5% 97%  
372 0.5% 96%  
373 2% 96%  
374 0.6% 94%  
375 0.3% 94%  
376 0.4% 93%  
377 0.9% 93%  
378 0.9% 92%  
379 0.8% 91%  
380 1.2% 90%  
381 2% 89%  
382 2% 87%  
383 1.1% 85%  
384 1.0% 84%  
385 1.2% 83%  
386 6% 82%  
387 0.6% 77%  
388 2% 76%  
389 2% 74%  
390 3% 72%  
391 1.1% 69%  
392 11% 68%  
393 0.9% 57%  
394 5% 56%  
395 5% 51% Median
396 0.7% 46%  
397 2% 45%  
398 2% 43%  
399 10% 42%  
400 3% 32%  
401 0.5% 29%  
402 1.1% 28%  
403 2% 27%  
404 0.5% 25%  
405 1.0% 25%  
406 3% 24%  
407 0.3% 21%  
408 0.4% 21%  
409 1.3% 21%  
410 2% 19%  
411 3% 17%  
412 2% 14%  
413 1.4% 12%  
414 0.7% 11%  
415 1.1% 10%  
416 0.4% 9%  
417 1.0% 9%  
418 0.2% 8%  
419 0.5% 7%  
420 0.3% 7%  
421 3% 7%  
422 0.3% 4%  
423 0.3% 4%  
424 0.2% 3%  
425 0.4% 3%  
426 0.2% 3%  
427 0.3% 3%  
428 0.6% 2%  
429 0.1% 2%  
430 0.2% 2%  
431 0.5% 1.3%  
432 0.3% 0.8%  
433 0.1% 0.6%  
434 0% 0.5%  
435 0.1% 0.5%  
436 0.1% 0.4%  
437 0% 0.3%  
438 0% 0.3%  
439 0% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0.1% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
297 0% 100% Last Result
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0.1% 99.9%  
326 0.2% 99.8% Majority
327 0.3% 99.6%  
328 0.1% 99.4%  
329 0% 99.3%  
330 0% 99.3%  
331 0.2% 99.2%  
332 0.2% 99.1%  
333 0.1% 98.9%  
334 0.1% 98.7%  
335 0.6% 98.6%  
336 0.2% 98%  
337 0.5% 98%  
338 0.6% 97%  
339 1.0% 97%  
340 0.5% 96%  
341 1.2% 95%  
342 1.0% 94%  
343 2% 93%  
344 0.8% 91%  
345 2% 91%  
346 2% 89%  
347 0.8% 87%  
348 0.9% 86%  
349 2% 85%  
350 4% 84%  
351 2% 80%  
352 5% 78%  
353 2% 73%  
354 0.6% 72%  
355 0.7% 71%  
356 2% 70%  
357 2% 68%  
358 14% 67%  
359 0.8% 53%  
360 0.5% 52%  
361 3% 52% Median
362 6% 48%  
363 1.2% 42%  
364 3% 41%  
365 1.1% 38%  
366 11% 37%  
367 2% 26%  
368 2% 24%  
369 4% 21%  
370 0.6% 17%  
371 1.4% 17%  
372 0.5% 15%  
373 0.9% 15%  
374 0.9% 14%  
375 0.2% 13%  
376 2% 13%  
377 1.0% 11%  
378 0.7% 10%  
379 0.4% 9%  
380 1.4% 9%  
381 0.3% 8%  
382 1.1% 7%  
383 0.4% 6%  
384 2% 6%  
385 0.7% 4%  
386 0.4% 3%  
387 0.2% 3%  
388 0.2% 3%  
389 0.2% 2%  
390 0.1% 2%  
391 0.5% 2%  
392 0.3% 2%  
393 0.4% 1.2%  
394 0.2% 0.8%  
395 0.2% 0.6%  
396 0% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.4%  
398 0% 0.3%  
399 0% 0.3%  
400 0% 0.3%  
401 0% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.2%  
403 0.1% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100% Last Result
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0.1% 99.6%  
307 0.2% 99.6%  
308 0.1% 99.3%  
309 0.1% 99.3%  
310 0.2% 99.2%  
311 0.3% 99.0%  
312 0.2% 98.6%  
313 0.8% 98%  
314 0.1% 98%  
315 0.3% 97%  
316 1.0% 97%  
317 1.5% 96%  
318 0.2% 95%  
319 0.4% 95%  
320 0.7% 94%  
321 0.4% 94%  
322 0.4% 93%  
323 0.8% 93%  
324 1.1% 92%  
325 1.1% 91%  
326 0.8% 90% Majority
327 2% 89%  
328 2% 87%  
329 0.8% 85%  
330 1.0% 84%  
331 2% 83%  
332 2% 82%  
333 4% 80%  
334 1.4% 76%  
335 3% 74%  
336 2% 71%  
337 2% 70%  
338 11% 68%  
339 5% 57%  
340 0.5% 51%  
341 3% 51% Median
342 4% 47%  
343 1.0% 44%  
344 1.4% 43%  
345 10% 41%  
346 3% 31%  
347 0.8% 29%  
348 1.2% 28%  
349 1.1% 26%  
350 0.4% 25%  
351 0.9% 25%  
352 2% 24%  
353 2% 22%  
354 0.4% 20%  
355 0.9% 20%  
356 0.8% 19%  
357 2% 18%  
358 3% 16%  
359 3% 13%  
360 0.9% 10%  
361 0.4% 9%  
362 0.3% 9%  
363 1.2% 9%  
364 0.2% 8%  
365 0.4% 7%  
366 0.2% 7%  
367 3% 7%  
368 0.3% 4%  
369 0.2% 4%  
370 0.5% 4%  
371 0.2% 3%  
372 0.3% 3%  
373 0.4% 3%  
374 0.7% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0% 1.4%  
377 0.2% 1.3%  
378 0.4% 1.2%  
379 0.2% 0.7%  
380 0.1% 0.5%  
381 0% 0.4%  
382 0.1% 0.4%  
383 0% 0.3%  
384 0% 0.3%  
385 0% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100% Last Result
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0.1% 99.6%  
307 0.2% 99.6%  
308 0.1% 99.3%  
309 0.1% 99.3%  
310 0.2% 99.2%  
311 0.3% 99.0%  
312 0.2% 98.6%  
313 0.8% 98%  
314 0.1% 98%  
315 0.3% 97%  
316 1.0% 97%  
317 1.5% 96%  
318 0.2% 95%  
319 0.4% 95%  
320 0.7% 94%  
321 0.4% 94%  
322 0.4% 93%  
323 0.8% 93%  
324 1.1% 92%  
325 1.1% 91%  
326 0.8% 90% Majority
327 2% 89%  
328 2% 87%  
329 0.8% 85%  
330 1.0% 84%  
331 2% 83%  
332 2% 82%  
333 4% 80%  
334 1.4% 76%  
335 3% 74%  
336 2% 71%  
337 2% 70%  
338 11% 68%  
339 5% 57%  
340 0.5% 51%  
341 3% 51% Median
342 4% 47%  
343 1.0% 44%  
344 1.4% 43%  
345 10% 41%  
346 3% 31%  
347 0.8% 29%  
348 1.2% 28%  
349 1.1% 26%  
350 0.4% 25%  
351 0.9% 25%  
352 2% 24%  
353 2% 22%  
354 0.4% 20%  
355 0.9% 20%  
356 0.8% 19%  
357 2% 18%  
358 3% 16%  
359 3% 13%  
360 0.9% 10%  
361 0.4% 9%  
362 0.3% 9%  
363 1.2% 9%  
364 0.2% 8%  
365 0.4% 7%  
366 0.2% 7%  
367 3% 7%  
368 0.3% 4%  
369 0.2% 4%  
370 0.5% 4%  
371 0.2% 3%  
372 0.3% 3%  
373 0.4% 3%  
374 0.7% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0% 1.4%  
377 0.2% 1.3%  
378 0.4% 1.2%  
379 0.2% 0.7%  
380 0.1% 0.5%  
381 0% 0.4%  
382 0.1% 0.4%  
383 0% 0.3%  
384 0% 0.3%  
385 0% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100% Last Result
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.4% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.4%  
275 0% 99.3%  
276 0% 99.3%  
277 0.1% 99.2%  
278 0.3% 99.1%  
279 0.2% 98.8%  
280 0.1% 98.6%  
281 0.1% 98.5%  
282 0.6% 98%  
283 1.0% 98%  
284 0.7% 97%  
285 0.7% 96%  
286 0.6% 95%  
287 0.9% 95%  
288 0.8% 94%  
289 4% 93%  
290 0.5% 90%  
291 0.2% 89%  
292 0.9% 89%  
293 2% 88%  
294 0.7% 86%  
295 2% 85%  
296 3% 84%  
297 2% 80%  
298 2% 78%  
299 4% 76%  
300 0.9% 72%  
301 0.9% 71%  
302 3% 70%  
303 2% 67%  
304 11% 65%  
305 2% 54%  
306 0.9% 52%  
307 6% 51% Median
308 2% 44%  
309 1.2% 42%  
310 3% 41%  
311 2% 38%  
312 10% 36%  
313 2% 26%  
314 2% 23%  
315 2% 21%  
316 3% 19%  
317 0.2% 16%  
318 1.2% 16%  
319 0.4% 15%  
320 2% 14%  
321 0.7% 13%  
322 0.8% 12%  
323 2% 11%  
324 1.5% 10%  
325 0.5% 8%  
326 0.3% 8% Majority
327 0.7% 8%  
328 0.9% 7%  
329 0.4% 6%  
330 2% 6%  
331 0.4% 4%  
332 0.7% 3%  
333 0.1% 3%  
334 0.1% 2%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0% 2%  
337 0.5% 2%  
338 0.2% 2%  
339 0.5% 1.4%  
340 0.5% 0.9%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100% Last Result
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.4% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.4%  
275 0% 99.3%  
276 0% 99.3%  
277 0.1% 99.2%  
278 0.3% 99.1%  
279 0.2% 98.8%  
280 0.1% 98.6%  
281 0.1% 98.5%  
282 0.6% 98%  
283 1.0% 98%  
284 0.7% 97%  
285 0.7% 96%  
286 0.6% 95%  
287 0.9% 95%  
288 0.8% 94%  
289 4% 93%  
290 0.5% 90%  
291 0.2% 89%  
292 0.9% 89%  
293 2% 88%  
294 0.7% 86%  
295 2% 85%  
296 3% 84%  
297 2% 80%  
298 2% 78%  
299 4% 76%  
300 0.9% 72%  
301 0.9% 71%  
302 3% 70%  
303 2% 67%  
304 11% 65%  
305 2% 54%  
306 0.9% 52%  
307 6% 51% Median
308 2% 44%  
309 1.2% 42%  
310 3% 41%  
311 2% 38%  
312 10% 36%  
313 2% 26%  
314 2% 23%  
315 2% 21%  
316 3% 19%  
317 0.2% 16%  
318 1.2% 16%  
319 0.4% 15%  
320 2% 14%  
321 0.7% 13%  
322 0.8% 12%  
323 2% 11%  
324 1.5% 10%  
325 0.5% 8%  
326 0.3% 8% Majority
327 0.7% 8%  
328 0.9% 7%  
329 0.4% 6%  
330 2% 6%  
331 0.4% 4%  
332 0.7% 3%  
333 0.1% 3%  
334 0.1% 2%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0% 2%  
337 0.5% 2%  
338 0.2% 2%  
339 0.5% 1.4%  
340 0.5% 0.9%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 99.9%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0% 99.9%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0% 99.9%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.8%  
191 0% 99.8%  
192 0% 99.8%  
193 0% 99.8%  
194 0.1% 99.8%  
195 0.1% 99.7%  
196 0.1% 99.6%  
197 0.1% 99.5%  
198 0.1% 99.4%  
199 0% 99.3%  
200 0% 99.3%  
201 0.2% 99.3%  
202 0.1% 99.0%  
203 0.1% 99.0%  
204 0.1% 98.8%  
205 0.3% 98.7%  
206 0.1% 98%  
207 0.1% 98%  
208 0.3% 98%  
209 0.5% 98%  
210 0.1% 97%  
211 0.4% 97%  
212 0.3% 97%  
213 0.2% 97%  
214 0.2% 96%  
215 0.7% 96%  
216 0.5% 96%  
217 3% 95%  
218 2% 93%  
219 0.4% 91%  
220 0.3% 90%  
221 2% 90%  
222 2% 88%  
223 0.2% 86%  
224 1.0% 86%  
225 0.9% 85%  
226 3% 84%  
227 2% 81%  
228 0.8% 79%  
229 0.7% 79%  
230 3% 78%  
231 1.1% 75%  
232 1.3% 74%  
233 2% 72%  
234 2% 71%  
235 0.9% 69%  
236 0.6% 68%  
237 1.2% 67%  
238 11% 66%  
239 3% 55%  
240 2% 52% Median
241 1.0% 50%  
242 11% 49%  
243 0.7% 38%  
244 0.2% 37%  
245 1.5% 37%  
246 4% 35%  
247 1.2% 32%  
248 2% 30%  
249 1.1% 28%  
250 2% 27%  
251 1.0% 25%  
252 0.9% 24%  
253 0.8% 23%  
254 0.3% 22%  
255 2% 22%  
256 5% 20%  
257 3% 15%  
258 1.2% 11%  
259 0.2% 10%  
260 0.6% 10%  
261 1.1% 9%  
262 1.0% 8%  
263 0.4% 7%  
264 1.2% 7%  
265 0.3% 6%  
266 0.3% 5%  
267 0.5% 5%  
268 0.8% 5%  
269 0.2% 4%  
270 0.7% 4%  
271 0.2% 3%  
272 0.9% 3%  
273 0.3% 2%  
274 0.2% 1.4%  
275 0.2% 1.3%  
276 0.2% 1.1%  
277 0.1% 0.9%  
278 0.1% 0.8%  
279 0.1% 0.7%  
280 0.2% 0.6%  
281 0.1% 0.5%  
282 0% 0.4%  
283 0.1% 0.4%  
284 0.1% 0.3%  
285 0.1% 0.2%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.8%  
178 0% 99.8%  
179 0.1% 99.8%  
180 0% 99.7%  
181 0% 99.7%  
182 0.1% 99.7%  
183 0.2% 99.6%  
184 0.1% 99.5%  
185 0.1% 99.3%  
186 0.1% 99.3%  
187 0.3% 99.2%  
188 0.3% 98.9%  
189 0% 98.7%  
190 0.2% 98.7%  
191 0.3% 98%  
192 0.2% 98%  
193 0.2% 98%  
194 0.2% 98%  
195 0.2% 98%  
196 0.5% 97%  
197 0.3% 97%  
198 0.6% 97%  
199 0.2% 96%  
200 2% 96%  
201 0.8% 93%  
202 0.9% 93%  
203 0.4% 92%  
204 0.9% 91%  
205 2% 90%  
206 1.1% 88%  
207 1.2% 87%  
208 1.0% 86%  
209 2% 85%  
210 0.9% 83%  
211 2% 82%  
212 3% 81%  
213 0.5% 78%  
214 2% 77%  
215 4% 75%  
216 0.9% 72%  
217 11% 71%  
218 1.2% 60%  
219 3% 58%  
220 0.9% 56% Median
221 2% 55%  
222 12% 53%  
223 1.1% 41%  
224 1.4% 40%  
225 3% 38%  
226 2% 36%  
227 3% 33%  
228 0.6% 30%  
229 2% 30%  
230 1.0% 27%  
231 2% 26%  
232 1.2% 24%  
233 6% 23%  
234 0.7% 17%  
235 1.0% 16%  
236 2% 15%  
237 0.4% 13%  
238 0.6% 13%  
239 0.9% 12%  
240 1.2% 11%  
241 2% 10%  
242 0.9% 8%  
243 0.5% 7%  
244 1.0% 7%  
245 1.3% 6%  
246 0.3% 5%  
247 0.5% 4%  
248 0.3% 4%  
249 0.8% 4%  
250 0.1% 3%  
251 0.7% 3%  
252 0.3% 2%  
253 0.1% 2%  
254 0.3% 1.5%  
255 0.3% 1.1%  
256 0.2% 0.8%  
257 0.1% 0.6%  
258 0.1% 0.5%  
259 0% 0.5%  
260 0.1% 0.4%  
261 0.1% 0.3%  
262 0.1% 0.3%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.8%  
178 0% 99.8%  
179 0.1% 99.8%  
180 0% 99.7%  
181 0% 99.7%  
182 0.1% 99.7%  
183 0.2% 99.6%  
184 0.1% 99.5%  
185 0.1% 99.3%  
186 0.1% 99.3%  
187 0.3% 99.2%  
188 0.3% 98.9%  
189 0% 98.7%  
190 0.2% 98.7%  
191 0.3% 98%  
192 0.2% 98%  
193 0.2% 98%  
194 0.2% 98%  
195 0.2% 98%  
196 0.5% 97%  
197 0.3% 97%  
198 0.6% 97%  
199 0.2% 96%  
200 2% 96%  
201 0.8% 93%  
202 0.9% 93%  
203 0.4% 92%  
204 0.9% 91%  
205 2% 90%  
206 1.1% 88%  
207 1.2% 87%  
208 1.0% 86%  
209 2% 85%  
210 0.9% 83%  
211 2% 82%  
212 3% 81%  
213 0.5% 78%  
214 2% 77%  
215 4% 75%  
216 0.9% 72%  
217 11% 71%  
218 1.2% 60%  
219 3% 58%  
220 0.9% 56% Median
221 2% 55%  
222 12% 53%  
223 1.1% 41%  
224 1.4% 40%  
225 3% 38%  
226 2% 36%  
227 3% 33%  
228 0.6% 30%  
229 2% 30%  
230 1.0% 27%  
231 2% 26%  
232 1.2% 24%  
233 6% 23%  
234 0.7% 17%  
235 1.0% 16%  
236 2% 15%  
237 0.4% 13%  
238 0.6% 13%  
239 0.9% 12%  
240 1.2% 11%  
241 2% 10%  
242 0.9% 8%  
243 0.5% 7%  
244 1.0% 7%  
245 1.3% 6%  
246 0.3% 5%  
247 0.5% 4%  
248 0.3% 4%  
249 0.8% 4%  
250 0.1% 3%  
251 0.7% 3%  
252 0.3% 2%  
253 0.1% 2%  
254 0.3% 1.5%  
255 0.3% 1.1%  
256 0.2% 0.8%  
257 0.1% 0.6%  
258 0.1% 0.5%  
259 0% 0.5%  
260 0.1% 0.4%  
261 0.1% 0.3%  
262 0.1% 0.3%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.7%  
142 0.2% 99.6%  
143 0.1% 99.5%  
144 0.1% 99.4%  
145 0% 99.3%  
146 0.1% 99.3%  
147 0.2% 99.2%  
148 0.1% 99.1%  
149 0.2% 99.0%  
150 0.1% 98.8%  
151 0.1% 98.7%  
152 0.4% 98.6%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 0.1% 98%  
155 0.6% 98%  
156 0.2% 97%  
157 0.3% 97%  
158 0.3% 97%  
159 0.3% 97%  
160 0.3% 96%  
161 0.8% 96%  
162 0.1% 95%  
163 2% 95%  
164 1.4% 93%  
165 2% 92%  
166 0.2% 90%  
167 1.1% 89%  
168 2% 88%  
169 0.4% 86%  
170 0.8% 86%  
171 1.0% 85%  
172 0.3% 84%  
173 4% 84%  
174 2% 80%  
175 0.8% 78%  
176 3% 78%  
177 0.5% 74%  
178 2% 74%  
179 2% 72%  
180 1.0% 70%  
181 1.5% 69%  
182 0.9% 68%  
183 0.9% 67%  
184 10% 66%  
185 5% 56%  
186 0.8% 51% Median
187 1.0% 50%  
188 11% 49%  
189 0.8% 38%  
190 0.5% 37%  
191 1.4% 36%  
192 0.8% 35%  
193 4% 34%  
194 3% 30%  
195 2% 26%  
196 0.5% 25%  
197 0.8% 24%  
198 0.3% 23%  
199 0.9% 23%  
200 1.0% 22%  
201 6% 21%  
202 1.4% 15%  
203 1.3% 14%  
204 2% 12%  
205 0.4% 10%  
206 0.5% 10%  
207 1.0% 9%  
208 0.4% 8%  
209 0.9% 8%  
210 1.0% 7%  
211 0.9% 6%  
212 0.3% 5%  
213 0.6% 5%  
214 0.2% 4%  
215 0.7% 4%  
216 0.5% 3%  
217 0.5% 3%  
218 0.8% 2%  
219 0.1% 1.4%  
220 0.1% 1.4%  
221 0.1% 1.3%  
222 0.2% 1.2%  
223 0.2% 1.0%  
224 0.1% 0.8%  
225 0.1% 0.6%  
226 0% 0.6%  
227 0.2% 0.5%  
228 0% 0.4%  
229 0.1% 0.3%  
230 0.1% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.7%  
142 0.2% 99.6%  
143 0.1% 99.5%  
144 0.1% 99.4%  
145 0% 99.3%  
146 0.1% 99.3%  
147 0.2% 99.2%  
148 0.1% 99.1%  
149 0.2% 99.0%  
150 0.1% 98.8%  
151 0.1% 98.7%  
152 0.4% 98.6%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 0.1% 98%  
155 0.6% 98%  
156 0.2% 97%  
157 0.3% 97%  
158 0.3% 97%  
159 0.3% 97%  
160 0.3% 96%  
161 0.8% 96%  
162 0.1% 95%  
163 2% 95%  
164 1.4% 93%  
165 2% 92%  
166 0.2% 90%  
167 1.1% 89%  
168 2% 88%  
169 0.4% 86%  
170 0.8% 86%  
171 1.0% 85%  
172 0.3% 84%  
173 4% 84%  
174 2% 80%  
175 0.8% 78%  
176 3% 78%  
177 0.5% 74%  
178 2% 74%  
179 2% 72%  
180 1.0% 70%  
181 1.5% 69%  
182 0.9% 68%  
183 0.9% 67%  
184 10% 66%  
185 5% 56%  
186 0.8% 51% Median
187 1.0% 50%  
188 11% 49%  
189 0.8% 38%  
190 0.5% 37%  
191 1.4% 36%  
192 0.8% 35%  
193 4% 34%  
194 3% 30%  
195 2% 26%  
196 0.5% 25%  
197 0.8% 24%  
198 0.3% 23%  
199 0.9% 23%  
200 1.0% 22%  
201 6% 21%  
202 1.4% 15%  
203 1.3% 14%  
204 2% 12%  
205 0.4% 10%  
206 0.5% 10%  
207 1.0% 9%  
208 0.4% 8%  
209 0.9% 8%  
210 1.0% 7%  
211 0.9% 6%  
212 0.3% 5%  
213 0.6% 5%  
214 0.2% 4%  
215 0.7% 4%  
216 0.5% 3%  
217 0.5% 3%  
218 0.8% 2%  
219 0.1% 1.4%  
220 0.1% 1.4%  
221 0.1% 1.3%  
222 0.2% 1.2%  
223 0.2% 1.0%  
224 0.1% 0.8%  
225 0.1% 0.6%  
226 0% 0.6%  
227 0.2% 0.5%  
228 0% 0.4%  
229 0.1% 0.3%  
230 0.1% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations