Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 23–24 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 24.4% 23.1–25.8% 22.8–26.2% 22.5–26.5% 21.8–27.2%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 22.5% 21.2–23.9% 20.9–24.2% 20.6–24.6% 20.0–25.2%
Labour Party 40.0% 18.6% 17.4–19.9% 17.1–20.2% 16.8–20.5% 16.3–21.1%
Brexit Party 0.0% 16.6% 15.5–17.8% 15.2–18.2% 14.9–18.5% 14.4–19.1%
Green Party 1.6% 8.8% 8.0–9.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.5–10.2% 7.2–10.7%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–4.9% 2.8–5.3%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
Change UK 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 209 171–236 154–246 149–253 133–265
Liberal Democrats 12 106 95–114 91–117 89–119 86–122
Labour Party 262 116 99–133 97–140 94–145 86–155
Brexit Party 0 136 114–169 111–179 104–181 92–202
Green Party 1 6 5–8 5–9 5–9 4–11
Scottish National Party 35 51 50–52 50–54 50–54 47–54
Plaid Cymru 4 8 6–12 5–14 4–15 4–16
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change UK 0 0 0 0 0 0

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0.3% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.4%  
135 0% 99.3%  
136 0.1% 99.3%  
137 0% 99.2%  
138 0.1% 99.2%  
139 0% 99.1%  
140 0.1% 99.0%  
141 0% 98.9%  
142 0.1% 98.9%  
143 0.2% 98.8%  
144 0.4% 98.6%  
145 0.2% 98%  
146 0.2% 98%  
147 0.2% 98%  
148 0.1% 98%  
149 0.2% 98%  
150 0.1% 97%  
151 0.1% 97%  
152 0.1% 97%  
153 1.5% 97%  
154 0.9% 96%  
155 0% 95%  
156 0.1% 95%  
157 0.9% 95%  
158 0% 94%  
159 0.1% 94%  
160 0.2% 94%  
161 0.3% 93%  
162 0.2% 93%  
163 0.4% 93%  
164 0.3% 93%  
165 0.1% 92%  
166 0.9% 92%  
167 0.1% 91%  
168 0.1% 91%  
169 0.6% 91%  
170 0.1% 91%  
171 0.9% 91%  
172 0.7% 90%  
173 0.8% 89%  
174 1.0% 88%  
175 0.2% 87%  
176 0.2% 87%  
177 0.3% 87%  
178 0.7% 86%  
179 4% 86%  
180 0.3% 82%  
181 1.2% 82%  
182 0.6% 81%  
183 2% 80%  
184 0.2% 78%  
185 1.3% 78%  
186 0.3% 76%  
187 2% 76%  
188 0.6% 74%  
189 0.1% 73%  
190 2% 73%  
191 0.5% 71%  
192 2% 71%  
193 0.6% 69%  
194 0.4% 68%  
195 6% 68%  
196 0.4% 62%  
197 0.1% 62%  
198 2% 62%  
199 2% 60%  
200 0.5% 57%  
201 0.9% 57%  
202 2% 56%  
203 0.7% 54%  
204 0.6% 53%  
205 0.4% 52%  
206 0.6% 52%  
207 0.5% 51%  
208 0.2% 51%  
209 0.9% 51% Median
210 0.3% 50%  
211 0.3% 49%  
212 8% 49%  
213 0.5% 41%  
214 0.4% 40%  
215 0.9% 40%  
216 0.4% 39%  
217 0.9% 39%  
218 1.3% 38%  
219 4% 36%  
220 1.0% 33%  
221 0.5% 32%  
222 4% 31%  
223 0.5% 28%  
224 4% 27%  
225 0.7% 23%  
226 0.4% 22%  
227 0.2% 22%  
228 0.2% 22%  
229 0.1% 22%  
230 0.2% 21%  
231 0.8% 21%  
232 5% 20%  
233 2% 16%  
234 0.4% 14%  
235 3% 13%  
236 3% 11%  
237 0.1% 8%  
238 0.4% 8%  
239 0.2% 8%  
240 0.1% 7%  
241 0.6% 7%  
242 0.4% 7%  
243 0.2% 6%  
244 0.2% 6%  
245 0.2% 6%  
246 0.8% 6%  
247 1.2% 5%  
248 0.4% 4%  
249 0.1% 3%  
250 0.1% 3%  
251 0.1% 3%  
252 0% 3%  
253 0.8% 3%  
254 0.1% 2%  
255 0.4% 2%  
256 0.1% 1.5%  
257 0.2% 1.4%  
258 0% 1.1%  
259 0.2% 1.1%  
260 0.1% 0.9%  
261 0% 0.8%  
262 0% 0.7%  
263 0.2% 0.7%  
264 0% 0.5%  
265 0% 0.5%  
266 0% 0.5%  
267 0% 0.5%  
268 0% 0.4%  
269 0.2% 0.4%  
270 0% 0.2%  
271 0% 0.2%  
272 0% 0.2%  
273 0% 0.2%  
274 0% 0.2%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.6%  
87 0.4% 99.5%  
88 0.3% 99.1%  
89 2% 98.8%  
90 0.5% 97%  
91 3% 97%  
92 1.4% 94%  
93 0.8% 92%  
94 1.2% 92%  
95 2% 90%  
96 0.4% 88%  
97 4% 88%  
98 0.7% 84%  
99 6% 83%  
100 3% 77%  
101 1.5% 73%  
102 4% 72%  
103 9% 68%  
104 6% 58%  
105 1.0% 52%  
106 15% 51% Median
107 4% 37%  
108 4% 33%  
109 2% 29%  
110 9% 27%  
111 1.3% 18%  
112 2% 17%  
113 1.4% 15%  
114 4% 14%  
115 3% 10%  
116 2% 7%  
117 1.4% 5%  
118 0.9% 4%  
119 0.5% 3%  
120 1.0% 2%  
121 0.8% 1.3%  
122 0.1% 0.5%  
123 0% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.4%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.3% 99.7%  
87 0% 99.4%  
88 0.1% 99.4%  
89 0.2% 99.3%  
90 0.3% 99.1%  
91 0.4% 98.8%  
92 0.1% 98%  
93 0.4% 98%  
94 0.8% 98%  
95 1.0% 97%  
96 0.9% 96%  
97 0.2% 95%  
98 4% 95%  
99 5% 91%  
100 1.4% 86%  
101 3% 85%  
102 0.9% 82%  
103 2% 81%  
104 4% 79%  
105 2% 75%  
106 0.6% 73%  
107 0.6% 72%  
108 1.0% 72%  
109 3% 71%  
110 2% 68%  
111 0.9% 66%  
112 4% 65%  
113 5% 62%  
114 5% 57%  
115 1.3% 52%  
116 2% 50% Median
117 1.2% 49%  
118 1.2% 48%  
119 4% 46%  
120 2% 43%  
121 0.5% 41%  
122 2% 40%  
123 3% 38%  
124 0.5% 35%  
125 4% 35%  
126 1.3% 30%  
127 0.6% 29%  
128 9% 28%  
129 2% 19%  
130 4% 17%  
131 1.5% 13%  
132 0.6% 11%  
133 1.0% 11%  
134 1.0% 10%  
135 0.2% 9%  
136 1.0% 9%  
137 2% 8%  
138 0.4% 6%  
139 0.3% 6%  
140 0.3% 5%  
141 0.1% 5%  
142 0.3% 5%  
143 0.5% 5%  
144 0.6% 4%  
145 2% 4%  
146 0.1% 2%  
147 0.1% 2%  
148 0.2% 2%  
149 0.1% 2%  
150 0.2% 1.4%  
151 0.3% 1.2%  
152 0% 1.0%  
153 0.1% 0.9%  
154 0% 0.8%  
155 0.3% 0.8%  
156 0% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0% 0.3%  
159 0% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0.7% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.0%  
94 0.1% 98.9%  
95 0% 98.8%  
96 0% 98.8%  
97 0.1% 98.8%  
98 0% 98.7%  
99 0.3% 98.7%  
100 0% 98%  
101 0.1% 98%  
102 0.1% 98%  
103 0.5% 98%  
104 0.3% 98%  
105 0.1% 97%  
106 0.6% 97%  
107 0.1% 97%  
108 0.4% 97%  
109 0.7% 96%  
110 0.3% 95%  
111 0.8% 95%  
112 0.2% 94%  
113 0.3% 94%  
114 5% 94%  
115 1.2% 89%  
116 0.4% 88%  
117 0.4% 88%  
118 0.4% 87%  
119 2% 87%  
120 10% 85%  
121 0.7% 74%  
122 3% 74%  
123 4% 70%  
124 0.7% 66%  
125 0.4% 66%  
126 0.2% 65%  
127 1.0% 65%  
128 0.3% 64%  
129 1.4% 64%  
130 0.5% 62%  
131 2% 62%  
132 1.4% 59%  
133 3% 58%  
134 1.1% 55%  
135 0.8% 54%  
136 4% 53% Median
137 6% 50%  
138 1.2% 44%  
139 2% 43%  
140 0.8% 40%  
141 0.3% 40%  
142 0.9% 39%  
143 1.2% 38%  
144 3% 37%  
145 2% 35%  
146 0.2% 33%  
147 0.5% 33%  
148 0.2% 32%  
149 0.2% 32%  
150 0.6% 32%  
151 1.3% 31%  
152 0.7% 30%  
153 0.9% 29%  
154 2% 28%  
155 3% 27%  
156 5% 23%  
157 0.9% 18%  
158 1.2% 18%  
159 0.6% 16%  
160 2% 16%  
161 0.1% 14%  
162 2% 14%  
163 0.2% 12%  
164 0.6% 12%  
165 0.7% 11%  
166 0.1% 10%  
167 0.1% 10%  
168 0.1% 10%  
169 1.0% 10%  
170 0.1% 9%  
171 0.1% 9%  
172 0.6% 9%  
173 0.7% 8%  
174 0.5% 8%  
175 0.4% 7%  
176 0.1% 7%  
177 0.3% 7%  
178 0.5% 6%  
179 2% 6%  
180 1.1% 4%  
181 0.7% 3%  
182 0% 2%  
183 0% 2%  
184 1.0% 2%  
185 0% 1.5%  
186 0% 1.4%  
187 0.1% 1.4%  
188 0% 1.3%  
189 0% 1.3%  
190 0% 1.3%  
191 0% 1.2%  
192 0.1% 1.2%  
193 0% 1.2%  
194 0% 1.2%  
195 0% 1.1%  
196 0% 1.1%  
197 0.1% 1.1%  
198 0.1% 1.0%  
199 0% 1.0%  
200 0% 0.9%  
201 0.3% 0.9%  
202 0.2% 0.6%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0% 0.3%  
205 0% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.3%  
207 0.2% 0.3%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 2% 99.9%  
5 37% 98%  
6 26% 62% Median
7 14% 36%  
8 13% 22%  
9 6% 8%  
10 1.3% 2%  
11 0.6% 0.7%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.8%  
47 0.4% 99.5%  
48 0.6% 99.2%  
49 0.5% 98.6%  
50 10% 98%  
51 44% 88% Median
52 34% 43%  
53 2% 10%  
54 7% 7%  
55 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 4% 100% Last Result
5 2% 96%  
6 12% 95%  
7 22% 82%  
8 37% 60% Median
9 7% 23%  
10 3% 16%  
11 3% 14%  
12 2% 11%  
13 3% 9%  
14 1.1% 6%  
15 2% 5%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Change UK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Change UK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK 329 310 29% 280–335 270–344 263–347 246–360
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 310 29% 280–335 270–344 263–347 246–360
Liberal Democrats – Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 280 0.7% 257–303 255–311 249–316 240–330
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 268 0.6% 231–299 216–305 210–312 190–326
Liberal Democrats – Labour Party – Scottish National Party 309 274 0.2% 250–295 247–303 242–305 231–321
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 260 0.1% 223–290 205–297 200–304 184–317
Liberal Democrats – Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 278 229 0% 206–252 204–260 196–265 188–279
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 218 0% 179–247 165–254 158–261 139–274
Liberal Democrats – Labour Party – Change UK 274 222 0% 198–243 194–252 190–254 180–271
Liberal Democrats – Labour Party 274 222 0% 198–243 194–252 190–254 180–271
Conservative Party – Change UK 317 209 0% 171–236 154–246 149–253 133–265
Conservative Party 317 209 0% 171–236 154–246 149–253 133–265
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 175 0% 158–194 156–200 153–205 147–214
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 167 0% 151–185 148–192 145–195 139–206
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 124 0% 106–142 105–149 102–154 94–163
Labour Party – Change UK 262 116 0% 99–133 97–140 94–145 86–155
Labour Party 262 116 0% 99–133 97–140 94–145 86–155

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0.2% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0% 99.6%  
245 0.1% 99.6%  
246 0.1% 99.5%  
247 0.2% 99.5%  
248 0.1% 99.3%  
249 0.2% 99.2%  
250 0% 99.0%  
251 0.3% 99.0%  
252 0.1% 98.7%  
253 0.1% 98.6%  
254 0.1% 98%  
255 0.1% 98%  
256 0% 98%  
257 0.2% 98%  
258 0% 98%  
259 0% 98%  
260 0% 98%  
261 0.4% 98%  
262 0.1% 98%  
263 0.1% 98%  
264 0.2% 97%  
265 0.2% 97%  
266 0% 97%  
267 0.1% 97%  
268 1.5% 97%  
269 0% 96%  
270 0.9% 95%  
271 0.1% 95%  
272 1.1% 94%  
273 0.2% 93%  
274 0.4% 93%  
275 0.2% 93%  
276 0.5% 93%  
277 0.3% 92%  
278 2% 92%  
279 0.3% 90%  
280 1.0% 90%  
281 0.3% 89%  
282 0.2% 89%  
283 0.5% 89%  
284 0.6% 88%  
285 4% 87%  
286 1.0% 84%  
287 0.3% 83%  
288 0.9% 82%  
289 1.3% 81%  
290 0.6% 80%  
291 0.8% 80%  
292 0.5% 79%  
293 2% 78%  
294 0.1% 76%  
295 0.4% 76%  
296 1.0% 76%  
297 2% 75%  
298 5% 72%  
299 0.5% 68%  
300 0.9% 67%  
301 3% 66%  
302 1.4% 64%  
303 0.5% 62%  
304 0.4% 62%  
305 0.3% 61%  
306 1.5% 61%  
307 0.9% 60%  
308 3% 59%  
309 5% 56%  
310 2% 51%  
311 0.6% 50%  
312 0.3% 49%  
313 0.4% 49%  
314 0.4% 49%  
315 2% 48% Median
316 0.3% 47%  
317 0.4% 46%  
318 7% 46%  
319 0.7% 38%  
320 0.3% 38%  
321 1.1% 37%  
322 1.0% 36%  
323 0.3% 35%  
324 5% 35%  
325 0.6% 30%  
326 1.1% 29% Majority
327 2% 28%  
328 3% 27%  
329 3% 23% Last Result
330 0.4% 20%  
331 4% 19%  
332 0.6% 15%  
333 3% 14%  
334 0.5% 12%  
335 3% 11%  
336 0.5% 8%  
337 0.2% 8%  
338 0.2% 7%  
339 0.1% 7%  
340 0.8% 7%  
341 0.2% 6%  
342 0.4% 6%  
343 0.5% 6%  
344 0.8% 5%  
345 0.5% 4%  
346 0.8% 4%  
347 0.7% 3%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.1% 2%  
350 0.6% 2%  
351 0.1% 1.4%  
352 0.3% 1.3%  
353 0.1% 1.0%  
354 0% 0.9%  
355 0.1% 0.8%  
356 0.1% 0.7%  
357 0.1% 0.6%  
358 0% 0.6%  
359 0% 0.5%  
360 0% 0.5%  
361 0.1% 0.5%  
362 0% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.4%  
364 0.2% 0.4%  
365 0.1% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0.2% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0% 99.6%  
245 0.1% 99.6%  
246 0.1% 99.5%  
247 0.2% 99.5%  
248 0.1% 99.3%  
249 0.2% 99.2%  
250 0% 99.0%  
251 0.3% 99.0%  
252 0.1% 98.7%  
253 0.1% 98.6%  
254 0.1% 98%  
255 0.1% 98%  
256 0% 98%  
257 0.2% 98%  
258 0% 98%  
259 0% 98%  
260 0% 98%  
261 0.4% 98%  
262 0.1% 98%  
263 0.1% 98%  
264 0.2% 97%  
265 0.2% 97%  
266 0% 97%  
267 0.1% 97%  
268 1.5% 97%  
269 0% 96%  
270 0.9% 95%  
271 0.1% 95%  
272 1.1% 94%  
273 0.2% 93%  
274 0.4% 93%  
275 0.2% 93%  
276 0.5% 93%  
277 0.3% 92%  
278 2% 92%  
279 0.3% 90%  
280 1.0% 90%  
281 0.3% 89%  
282 0.2% 89%  
283 0.5% 89%  
284 0.6% 88%  
285 4% 87%  
286 1.0% 84%  
287 0.3% 83%  
288 0.9% 82%  
289 1.3% 81%  
290 0.6% 80%  
291 0.8% 80%  
292 0.5% 79%  
293 2% 78%  
294 0.1% 76%  
295 0.4% 76%  
296 1.0% 76%  
297 2% 75%  
298 5% 72%  
299 0.5% 68%  
300 0.9% 67%  
301 3% 66%  
302 1.4% 64%  
303 0.5% 62%  
304 0.4% 62%  
305 0.3% 61%  
306 1.5% 61%  
307 0.9% 60%  
308 3% 59%  
309 5% 56%  
310 2% 51%  
311 0.6% 50%  
312 0.3% 49%  
313 0.4% 49%  
314 0.4% 49%  
315 2% 48% Median
316 0.3% 47%  
317 0.4% 46%  
318 7% 46%  
319 0.7% 38%  
320 0.3% 38%  
321 1.1% 37%  
322 1.0% 36%  
323 0.3% 35%  
324 5% 35%  
325 0.6% 30%  
326 1.1% 29% Majority
327 2% 28%  
328 3% 27%  
329 3% 23% Last Result
330 0.4% 20%  
331 4% 19%  
332 0.6% 15%  
333 3% 14%  
334 0.5% 12%  
335 3% 11%  
336 0.5% 8%  
337 0.2% 8%  
338 0.2% 7%  
339 0.1% 7%  
340 0.8% 7%  
341 0.2% 6%  
342 0.4% 6%  
343 0.5% 6%  
344 0.8% 5%  
345 0.5% 4%  
346 0.8% 4%  
347 0.7% 3%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.1% 2%  
350 0.6% 2%  
351 0.1% 1.4%  
352 0.3% 1.3%  
353 0.1% 1.0%  
354 0% 0.9%  
355 0.1% 0.8%  
356 0.1% 0.7%  
357 0.1% 0.6%  
358 0% 0.6%  
359 0% 0.5%  
360 0% 0.5%  
361 0.1% 0.5%  
362 0% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.4%  
364 0.2% 0.4%  
365 0.1% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats – Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.2% 99.8%  
238 0% 99.6%  
239 0% 99.6%  
240 0.1% 99.5%  
241 0% 99.4%  
242 0.4% 99.4%  
243 0.3% 99.0%  
244 0.1% 98.7%  
245 0.2% 98.7%  
246 0.3% 98.5%  
247 0.3% 98%  
248 0.1% 98%  
249 0.6% 98%  
250 0.4% 97%  
251 0.2% 97%  
252 0.3% 97%  
253 0.2% 96%  
254 0.5% 96%  
255 2% 96%  
256 0.3% 94%  
257 4% 94%  
258 2% 90%  
259 0.9% 88%  
260 0.6% 87%  
261 1.3% 86%  
262 0.6% 85%  
263 2% 84%  
264 1.0% 82%  
265 0.3% 81%  
266 0.3% 81%  
267 3% 80%  
268 1.3% 77%  
269 3% 76%  
270 3% 73%  
271 3% 70%  
272 0.4% 67%  
273 1.4% 67%  
274 6% 66%  
275 0.4% 59%  
276 0.7% 59%  
277 4% 58%  
278 1.0% 54%  
279 2% 53%  
280 2% 51%  
281 0.6% 49% Median
282 1.1% 49%  
283 1.5% 48%  
284 3% 46%  
285 0.3% 43%  
286 0.6% 43%  
287 0.7% 42%  
288 0.5% 41%  
289 1.2% 41%  
290 4% 40%  
291 4% 36%  
292 4% 32%  
293 8% 28%  
294 0.2% 20%  
295 2% 20%  
296 2% 18%  
297 0.5% 16%  
298 0.1% 16%  
299 0.5% 16%  
300 1.5% 15%  
301 0.8% 14%  
302 0.3% 13%  
303 2% 12%  
304 0.8% 10%  
305 0.5% 9%  
306 0.3% 9%  
307 0.4% 8%  
308 0.2% 8%  
309 2% 8%  
310 0.4% 6%  
311 1.3% 6%  
312 1.0% 4%  
313 0.5% 3% Last Result
314 0.1% 3%  
315 0.1% 3%  
316 0.3% 3%  
317 0.7% 2%  
318 0.1% 2%  
319 0.2% 2%  
320 0.1% 1.5%  
321 0.2% 1.4%  
322 0.4% 1.2%  
323 0% 0.8%  
324 0% 0.8%  
325 0% 0.7%  
326 0.1% 0.7% Majority
327 0% 0.6%  
328 0% 0.6%  
329 0% 0.6%  
330 0.2% 0.6%  
331 0% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.3%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.9%  
180 0% 99.8%  
181 0% 99.8%  
182 0% 99.8%  
183 0% 99.8%  
184 0% 99.8%  
185 0% 99.8%  
186 0% 99.8%  
187 0% 99.8%  
188 0% 99.8%  
189 0% 99.7%  
190 0.2% 99.7%  
191 0% 99.5%  
192 0.1% 99.5%  
193 0% 99.4%  
194 0.1% 99.4%  
195 0% 99.2%  
196 0% 99.2%  
197 0% 99.2%  
198 0.2% 99.2%  
199 0.1% 99.0%  
200 0% 98.9%  
201 0.2% 98.9%  
202 0% 98.7%  
203 0.4% 98.7%  
204 0.2% 98%  
205 0.2% 98%  
206 0% 98%  
207 0.1% 98%  
208 0.2% 98%  
209 0.1% 98%  
210 0.1% 98%  
211 2% 97%  
212 0.1% 96%  
213 0.1% 96%  
214 0% 96%  
215 0.1% 96%  
216 0.9% 96%  
217 0.3% 95%  
218 0% 94%  
219 0% 94%  
220 1.0% 94%  
221 0.1% 93%  
222 0.1% 93%  
223 0.5% 93%  
224 0% 93%  
225 1.0% 92%  
226 0% 91%  
227 0.2% 91%  
228 0.1% 91%  
229 0.5% 91%  
230 0.4% 91%  
231 1.4% 90%  
232 0.4% 89%  
233 0.9% 88%  
234 0.4% 87%  
235 0.1% 87%  
236 0.9% 87%  
237 0.5% 86%  
238 0.2% 86%  
239 4% 85%  
240 1.1% 82%  
241 2% 81%  
242 0.4% 79%  
243 1.4% 78%  
244 0.2% 77%  
245 0.2% 77%  
246 0.2% 77%  
247 4% 76%  
248 0.4% 73%  
249 0.3% 72%  
250 1.4% 72%  
251 2% 71%  
252 0.2% 69%  
253 4% 69%  
254 0.2% 64%  
255 0.4% 64%  
256 2% 64%  
257 0.5% 62%  
258 4% 62%  
259 1.5% 58%  
260 0.2% 57%  
261 0.2% 56%  
262 0.8% 56%  
263 2% 55%  
264 0.8% 53%  
265 0.5% 52%  
266 0.6% 52%  
267 0.4% 51%  
268 1.0% 51% Median
269 0.1% 50%  
270 0.4% 50%  
271 8% 49%  
272 0.6% 41%  
273 0.6% 41%  
274 0.6% 40%  
275 1.1% 39%  
276 0.6% 38%  
277 0.8% 38%  
278 3% 37%  
279 2% 34%  
280 3% 32%  
281 0.2% 29%  
282 0.2% 29%  
283 4% 28%  
284 0.3% 25%  
285 1.3% 24%  
286 0.1% 23%  
287 1.0% 23%  
288 0.3% 22%  
289 1.2% 22%  
290 0.3% 20%  
291 5% 20%  
292 0.3% 15%  
293 0.2% 14%  
294 0.3% 14%  
295 1.0% 14%  
296 0.2% 13%  
297 3% 13%  
298 0.1% 10%  
299 0.1% 10%  
300 3% 10%  
301 0.4% 7%  
302 0.4% 7%  
303 0.7% 6%  
304 0.3% 6%  
305 0.8% 5%  
306 0.6% 5%  
307 0.1% 4%  
308 0.5% 4%  
309 0.1% 3%  
310 0.2% 3%  
311 0.2% 3%  
312 0.6% 3%  
313 0.3% 2%  
314 0.2% 2%  
315 0.1% 2%  
316 0.4% 2%  
317 0.2% 1.4%  
318 0.3% 1.2%  
319 0.1% 1.0%  
320 0.1% 0.9%  
321 0.1% 0.8%  
322 0% 0.8%  
323 0% 0.7%  
324 0% 0.7%  
325 0% 0.7%  
326 0.2% 0.6% Majority
327 0% 0.5%  
328 0% 0.4%  
329 0.2% 0.4%  
330 0% 0.3%  
331 0.1% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats – Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0.1% 99.9%  
229 0.2% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.6%  
231 0% 99.5%  
232 0% 99.5%  
233 0.1% 99.5%  
234 0.4% 99.4%  
235 0.1% 99.0%  
236 0.3% 99.0%  
237 0.1% 98.7%  
238 0.2% 98.6%  
239 0.5% 98%  
240 0.3% 98%  
241 0.1% 98%  
242 0.3% 98%  
243 0.7% 97%  
244 0.5% 97%  
245 0.5% 96%  
246 0.4% 96%  
247 0.6% 95%  
248 0.9% 95%  
249 0.8% 94%  
250 3% 93%  
251 3% 90%  
252 0.6% 87%  
253 1.3% 86%  
254 0.3% 85%  
255 2% 85%  
256 4% 83%  
257 0.4% 79%  
258 0.2% 78%  
259 3% 78%  
260 0.7% 75%  
261 1.1% 74%  
262 1.2% 73%  
263 4% 71%  
264 1.3% 68%  
265 1.0% 66%  
266 5% 65%  
267 2% 61%  
268 0.7% 59%  
269 4% 58%  
270 2% 54%  
271 1.1% 53%  
272 1.0% 52%  
273 0.7% 51% Median
274 3% 50%  
275 1.1% 47%  
276 3% 46%  
277 0.9% 43%  
278 1.0% 42%  
279 0.2% 41%  
280 0.6% 41%  
281 0.9% 40%  
282 0.2% 39%  
283 5% 39%  
284 6% 34%  
285 10% 28%  
286 0.5% 19%  
287 0.3% 18%  
288 2% 18%  
289 0.2% 16%  
290 0.5% 16%  
291 0.8% 15%  
292 0.3% 15%  
293 2% 14%  
294 0.8% 12%  
295 2% 12%  
296 0.3% 9%  
297 1.4% 9%  
298 0.4% 7%  
299 0.2% 7%  
300 0.1% 7%  
301 0.3% 7%  
302 1.4% 6%  
303 2% 5%  
304 0.2% 3%  
305 0.6% 3%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.2% 2%  
308 0.3% 2%  
309 0.3% 2% Last Result
310 0% 2%  
311 0.1% 2%  
312 0% 1.4%  
313 0.2% 1.4%  
314 0.4% 1.2%  
315 0.2% 0.9%  
316 0% 0.7%  
317 0% 0.7%  
318 0% 0.6%  
319 0% 0.6%  
320 0% 0.6%  
321 0.1% 0.6%  
322 0% 0.4%  
323 0.1% 0.4%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0.1% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.2% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.8%  
174 0% 99.8%  
175 0% 99.8%  
176 0% 99.8%  
177 0% 99.8%  
178 0% 99.8%  
179 0% 99.8%  
180 0% 99.7%  
181 0% 99.7%  
182 0% 99.7%  
183 0% 99.7%  
184 0.3% 99.7%  
185 0% 99.4%  
186 0.2% 99.4%  
187 0% 99.2%  
188 0% 99.2%  
189 0.1% 99.2%  
190 0% 99.1%  
191 0% 99.0%  
192 0.1% 99.0%  
193 0.1% 98.9%  
194 0.2% 98.9%  
195 0% 98.6%  
196 0.6% 98.6%  
197 0% 98%  
198 0.2% 98%  
199 0% 98%  
200 0.2% 98%  
201 0.1% 97%  
202 0% 97%  
203 0.2% 97%  
204 1.5% 97%  
205 0.9% 96%  
206 0.1% 95%  
207 0.1% 95%  
208 0.9% 95%  
209 0.1% 94%  
210 0.1% 94%  
211 0.4% 94%  
212 0.2% 93%  
213 0.1% 93%  
214 0.1% 93%  
215 0.6% 93%  
216 0.1% 92%  
217 0.8% 92%  
218 0.2% 91%  
219 0.6% 91%  
220 0% 91%  
221 0.1% 91%  
222 0.6% 91%  
223 0.8% 90%  
224 1.1% 89%  
225 0.4% 88%  
226 0.6% 88%  
227 0.6% 87%  
228 0.1% 87%  
229 0.2% 86%  
230 0.7% 86%  
231 4% 86%  
232 1.5% 82%  
233 0.2% 80%  
234 2% 80%  
235 0.4% 78%  
236 0.3% 78%  
237 1.0% 77%  
238 0.4% 76%  
239 3% 76%  
240 0.2% 73%  
241 1.4% 73%  
242 1.0% 72%  
243 1.0% 71%  
244 1.1% 70%  
245 3% 68%  
246 0.3% 65%  
247 3% 65%  
248 0.1% 62%  
249 0.1% 62%  
250 2% 62%  
251 3% 59%  
252 2% 57%  
253 0.8% 55%  
254 1.0% 54%  
255 0.4% 53%  
256 0.2% 53%  
257 1.1% 53%  
258 0.4% 51%  
259 0.5% 51%  
260 0.8% 51% Median
261 0.3% 50%  
262 0.8% 49%  
263 8% 49%  
264 0.6% 41%  
265 0.3% 40%  
266 0.8% 40%  
267 0.3% 39%  
268 0.5% 39%  
269 2% 38%  
270 3% 37%  
271 1.1% 33%  
272 0.6% 32%  
273 0.9% 32%  
274 4% 31%  
275 3% 27%  
276 2% 24%  
277 0.6% 22%  
278 0.1% 22%  
279 0.2% 22%  
280 0.1% 22%  
281 0.1% 21%  
282 0.8% 21%  
283 0.6% 21%  
284 5% 20%  
285 1.0% 15%  
286 1.0% 14%  
287 2% 13%  
288 0.2% 10%  
289 0.1% 10%  
290 3% 10%  
291 0.3% 8%  
292 0.4% 7%  
293 0.3% 7%  
294 0.4% 7%  
295 0.5% 6%  
296 0.5% 6%  
297 0.6% 5%  
298 0.8% 5%  
299 0.1% 4%  
300 0.5% 4%  
301 0.1% 3%  
302 0.3% 3%  
303 0.2% 3%  
304 0.4% 3%  
305 0.3% 2%  
306 0.1% 2%  
307 0.1% 2%  
308 0.4% 2%  
309 0% 1.3%  
310 0.3% 1.2%  
311 0.2% 1.0%  
312 0% 0.8%  
313 0.1% 0.8%  
314 0.1% 0.7%  
315 0% 0.6%  
316 0% 0.6%  
317 0.2% 0.6%  
318 0% 0.4%  
319 0% 0.4%  
320 0% 0.4%  
321 0.2% 0.4%  
322 0% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats – Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 99.9%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0% 99.9%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0% 99.9%  
186 0.2% 99.8%  
187 0.1% 99.6%  
188 0.3% 99.6%  
189 0.1% 99.3%  
190 0% 99.2%  
191 0.3% 99.2%  
192 0.3% 98.9%  
193 0.1% 98.6%  
194 0% 98.5%  
195 0.3% 98.5%  
196 0.7% 98%  
197 0.1% 97%  
198 0.2% 97%  
199 0.2% 97%  
200 0.3% 97%  
201 0.2% 97%  
202 0.7% 96%  
203 0.1% 96%  
204 1.4% 96%  
205 4% 94%  
206 0.5% 91%  
207 3% 90%  
208 0.1% 87%  
209 1.4% 87%  
210 0.7% 85%  
211 0.6% 85%  
212 3% 84%  
213 0.8% 82%  
214 0.4% 81%  
215 0.5% 80%  
216 5% 80%  
217 3% 74%  
218 0.7% 71%  
219 1.4% 70%  
220 1.1% 69%  
221 0.8% 68%  
222 2% 67%  
223 3% 65%  
224 4% 62%  
225 1.0% 58%  
226 4% 57%  
227 1.3% 53%  
228 0.5% 52%  
229 2% 51%  
230 1.1% 49% Median
231 2% 48%  
232 3% 46%  
233 0.4% 43%  
234 0.3% 43%  
235 0.3% 43%  
236 0.8% 42%  
237 0.8% 41%  
238 4% 41%  
239 4% 36%  
240 2% 33%  
241 2% 31%  
242 8% 28%  
243 0.3% 20%  
244 4% 20%  
245 0.4% 16%  
246 0.4% 16%  
247 0.2% 16%  
248 2% 15%  
249 0.2% 14%  
250 0.7% 13%  
251 2% 13%  
252 0.6% 10%  
253 1.0% 10%  
254 0.3% 9%  
255 0.2% 9%  
256 0.1% 8%  
257 0.5% 8%  
258 0.7% 8%  
259 1.4% 7%  
260 1.2% 6%  
261 1.3% 4%  
262 0.1% 3%  
263 0.3% 3%  
264 0.1% 3%  
265 0.2% 3%  
266 0.2% 2%  
267 0.7% 2%  
268 0% 2%  
269 0.1% 1.5%  
270 0.1% 1.4%  
271 0.4% 1.3%  
272 0.1% 0.9%  
273 0% 0.8%  
274 0% 0.7%  
275 0.1% 0.7%  
276 0.1% 0.7%  
277 0% 0.6%  
278 0% 0.6% Last Result
279 0.1% 0.6%  
280 0.1% 0.4%  
281 0% 0.3%  
282 0% 0.3%  
283 0.1% 0.3%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0.3% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.5%  
141 0.1% 99.4%  
142 0.1% 99.4%  
143 0% 99.3%  
144 0.1% 99.3%  
145 0% 99.2%  
146 0.1% 99.2%  
147 0.1% 99.1%  
148 0.1% 99.0%  
149 0.1% 98.9%  
150 0.2% 98.9%  
151 0.3% 98.7%  
152 0.1% 98%  
153 0.3% 98%  
154 0.2% 98%  
155 0% 98%  
156 0.1% 98%  
157 0.2% 98%  
158 0.1% 98%  
159 0.2% 97%  
160 2% 97%  
161 0.1% 96%  
162 0.1% 96%  
163 0% 96%  
164 0.1% 96%  
165 0.9% 96%  
166 0% 95%  
167 0.3% 95%  
168 0% 94%  
169 1.0% 94%  
170 0.2% 93%  
171 0.4% 93%  
172 0.1% 93%  
173 0.1% 93%  
174 0.9% 92%  
175 0.2% 92%  
176 0.1% 91%  
177 0.4% 91%  
178 0.5% 91%  
179 0.9% 90%  
180 1.1% 90%  
181 0.3% 88%  
182 0.2% 88%  
183 0.9% 88%  
184 0.7% 87%  
185 0.8% 86%  
186 0% 86%  
187 3% 86%  
188 0.5% 82%  
189 0.8% 82%  
190 2% 81%  
191 1.1% 79%  
192 0.5% 77%  
193 0.2% 77%  
194 0.1% 77%  
195 2% 77%  
196 2% 74%  
197 0.4% 73%  
198 0.3% 72%  
199 3% 72%  
200 0.3% 69%  
201 0.7% 69%  
202 0.8% 68%  
203 3% 67%  
204 2% 64%  
205 0.3% 62%  
206 3% 62%  
207 0.7% 59%  
208 0.2% 58%  
209 2% 58%  
210 0.6% 56%  
211 3% 56%  
212 0.7% 53%  
213 0.2% 52%  
214 0.6% 52%  
215 0.3% 52%  
216 0.8% 51%  
217 0.5% 51% Median
218 0.6% 50%  
219 0.3% 50%  
220 8% 49%  
221 0.6% 41%  
222 0.7% 40%  
223 0.4% 40%  
224 1.3% 39%  
225 1.5% 38%  
226 0.9% 37%  
227 3% 36%  
228 4% 33%  
229 0.9% 30%  
230 0.3% 29%  
231 0.5% 28%  
232 4% 28%  
233 1.4% 24%  
234 0.2% 23%  
235 0.4% 23%  
236 0.6% 22%  
237 0.2% 22%  
238 2% 22%  
239 3% 20%  
240 2% 17%  
241 0.8% 15%  
242 0.2% 14%  
243 3% 14%  
244 0.3% 11%  
245 0.4% 11%  
246 0.3% 10%  
247 0.2% 10%  
248 2% 10%  
249 0.8% 8%  
250 0.2% 7%  
251 0.3% 6%  
252 0.2% 6%  
253 0.6% 6%  
254 0.8% 5%  
255 1.0% 5%  
256 0.2% 4%  
257 0.2% 3%  
258 0.2% 3%  
259 0.1% 3%  
260 0.3% 3%  
261 0.5% 3%  
262 0.2% 2%  
263 0.4% 2%  
264 0.2% 2%  
265 0.2% 1.4%  
266 0% 1.2%  
267 0.2% 1.2%  
268 0% 0.9%  
269 0% 0.9%  
270 0% 0.9%  
271 0.1% 0.8%  
272 0.2% 0.7%  
273 0.1% 0.6%  
274 0% 0.5%  
275 0% 0.5%  
276 0% 0.5%  
277 0.2% 0.4%  
278 0% 0.3%  
279 0% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.2%  
283 0.1% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats – Labour Party – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.2% 99.8%  
179 0.1% 99.6%  
180 0.3% 99.6%  
181 0% 99.3%  
182 0% 99.3%  
183 0.2% 99.2%  
184 0.1% 99.0%  
185 0.4% 98.9%  
186 0.1% 98%  
187 0.1% 98%  
188 0.3% 98%  
189 0.3% 98%  
190 0.5% 98%  
191 0.5% 97%  
192 0.2% 97%  
193 0.2% 97%  
194 1.4% 96%  
195 0.1% 95%  
196 0.2% 95%  
197 1.0% 95%  
198 4% 94%  
199 0.2% 89%  
200 2% 89%  
201 0.8% 87%  
202 1.0% 86%  
203 2% 85%  
204 3% 83%  
205 2% 80%  
206 0.3% 79%  
207 1.1% 78%  
208 4% 77%  
209 3% 73%  
210 0.5% 71%  
211 1.3% 70%  
212 1.4% 69%  
213 1.2% 67%  
214 0.9% 66%  
215 3% 65%  
216 5% 62%  
217 0.6% 57%  
218 3% 57%  
219 1.0% 54%  
220 1.3% 53%  
221 0.9% 51%  
222 2% 51% Median
223 2% 48%  
224 3% 46%  
225 1.1% 43%  
226 0.5% 42%  
227 1.0% 42%  
228 0.3% 41%  
229 0.5% 40%  
230 0.9% 40%  
231 5% 39%  
232 5% 34%  
233 0.9% 29%  
234 10% 28%  
235 0.3% 18%  
236 0.3% 18%  
237 2% 18%  
238 0.6% 16%  
239 0.8% 15%  
240 0.5% 15%  
241 1.0% 14%  
242 0.9% 13%  
243 3% 12%  
244 0.2% 9%  
245 0.4% 9%  
246 1.2% 9%  
247 0.6% 8%  
248 0.1% 7%  
249 0.2% 7%  
250 0.4% 7%  
251 0.4% 6%  
252 2% 6%  
253 0.9% 4%  
254 0.4% 3%  
255 0.2% 2%  
256 0.2% 2%  
257 0.3% 2%  
258 0.2% 2%  
259 0% 2%  
260 0.1% 2%  
261 0.1% 1.5%  
262 0% 1.4%  
263 0.6% 1.4%  
264 0.1% 0.8%  
265 0% 0.7%  
266 0% 0.7%  
267 0% 0.7%  
268 0% 0.6%  
269 0% 0.6%  
270 0% 0.6%  
271 0.1% 0.5%  
272 0.1% 0.4%  
273 0% 0.3%  
274 0% 0.3% Last Result
275 0.1% 0.3%  
276 0% 0.2%  
277 0.1% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats – Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.2% 99.8%  
179 0.1% 99.6%  
180 0.3% 99.6%  
181 0% 99.3%  
182 0% 99.3%  
183 0.2% 99.2%  
184 0.1% 99.0%  
185 0.4% 98.9%  
186 0.1% 98%  
187 0.1% 98%  
188 0.3% 98%  
189 0.3% 98%  
190 0.5% 98%  
191 0.5% 97%  
192 0.2% 97%  
193 0.2% 97%  
194 1.4% 96%  
195 0.1% 95%  
196 0.2% 95%  
197 1.0% 95%  
198 4% 94%  
199 0.2% 89%  
200 2% 89%  
201 0.8% 87%  
202 1.0% 86%  
203 2% 85%  
204 3% 83%  
205 2% 80%  
206 0.3% 79%  
207 1.1% 78%  
208 4% 77%  
209 3% 73%  
210 0.5% 71%  
211 1.3% 70%  
212 1.4% 69%  
213 1.2% 67%  
214 0.9% 66%  
215 3% 65%  
216 5% 62%  
217 0.6% 57%  
218 3% 57%  
219 1.0% 54%  
220 1.3% 53%  
221 0.9% 51%  
222 2% 51% Median
223 2% 48%  
224 3% 46%  
225 1.1% 43%  
226 0.5% 42%  
227 1.0% 42%  
228 0.3% 41%  
229 0.5% 40%  
230 0.9% 40%  
231 5% 39%  
232 5% 34%  
233 0.9% 29%  
234 10% 28%  
235 0.3% 18%  
236 0.3% 18%  
237 2% 18%  
238 0.6% 16%  
239 0.8% 15%  
240 0.5% 15%  
241 1.0% 14%  
242 0.9% 13%  
243 3% 12%  
244 0.2% 9%  
245 0.4% 9%  
246 1.2% 9%  
247 0.6% 8%  
248 0.1% 7%  
249 0.2% 7%  
250 0.4% 7%  
251 0.4% 6%  
252 2% 6%  
253 0.9% 4%  
254 0.4% 3%  
255 0.2% 2%  
256 0.2% 2%  
257 0.3% 2%  
258 0.2% 2%  
259 0% 2%  
260 0.1% 2%  
261 0.1% 1.5%  
262 0% 1.4%  
263 0.6% 1.4%  
264 0.1% 0.8%  
265 0% 0.7%  
266 0% 0.7%  
267 0% 0.7%  
268 0% 0.6%  
269 0% 0.6%  
270 0% 0.6%  
271 0.1% 0.5%  
272 0.1% 0.4%  
273 0% 0.3%  
274 0% 0.3% Last Result
275 0.1% 0.3%  
276 0% 0.2%  
277 0.1% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0.3% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.4%  
135 0% 99.3%  
136 0.1% 99.3%  
137 0% 99.2%  
138 0.1% 99.2%  
139 0% 99.1%  
140 0.1% 99.0%  
141 0% 98.9%  
142 0.1% 98.9%  
143 0.2% 98.8%  
144 0.4% 98.6%  
145 0.2% 98%  
146 0.2% 98%  
147 0.2% 98%  
148 0.1% 98%  
149 0.2% 98%  
150 0.1% 97%  
151 0.1% 97%  
152 0.1% 97%  
153 1.5% 97%  
154 0.9% 96%  
155 0% 95%  
156 0.1% 95%  
157 0.9% 95%  
158 0% 94%  
159 0.1% 94%  
160 0.2% 94%  
161 0.3% 93%  
162 0.2% 93%  
163 0.4% 93%  
164 0.3% 93%  
165 0.1% 92%  
166 0.9% 92%  
167 0.1% 91%  
168 0.1% 91%  
169 0.6% 91%  
170 0.1% 91%  
171 0.9% 91%  
172 0.7% 90%  
173 0.8% 89%  
174 1.0% 88%  
175 0.2% 87%  
176 0.2% 87%  
177 0.3% 87%  
178 0.7% 86%  
179 4% 86%  
180 0.3% 82%  
181 1.2% 82%  
182 0.6% 81%  
183 2% 80%  
184 0.2% 78%  
185 1.3% 78%  
186 0.3% 76%  
187 2% 76%  
188 0.6% 74%  
189 0.1% 73%  
190 2% 73%  
191 0.5% 71%  
192 2% 71%  
193 0.6% 69%  
194 0.4% 68%  
195 6% 68%  
196 0.4% 62%  
197 0.1% 62%  
198 2% 62%  
199 2% 60%  
200 0.5% 57%  
201 0.9% 57%  
202 2% 56%  
203 0.7% 54%  
204 0.6% 53%  
205 0.4% 52%  
206 0.6% 52%  
207 0.5% 51%  
208 0.2% 51%  
209 0.9% 51% Median
210 0.3% 50%  
211 0.3% 49%  
212 8% 49%  
213 0.5% 41%  
214 0.4% 40%  
215 0.9% 40%  
216 0.4% 39%  
217 0.9% 39%  
218 1.3% 38%  
219 4% 36%  
220 1.0% 33%  
221 0.5% 32%  
222 4% 31%  
223 0.5% 28%  
224 4% 27%  
225 0.7% 23%  
226 0.4% 22%  
227 0.2% 22%  
228 0.2% 22%  
229 0.1% 22%  
230 0.2% 21%  
231 0.8% 21%  
232 5% 20%  
233 2% 16%  
234 0.4% 14%  
235 3% 13%  
236 3% 11%  
237 0.1% 8%  
238 0.4% 8%  
239 0.2% 8%  
240 0.1% 7%  
241 0.6% 7%  
242 0.4% 7%  
243 0.2% 6%  
244 0.2% 6%  
245 0.2% 6%  
246 0.8% 6%  
247 1.2% 5%  
248 0.4% 4%  
249 0.1% 3%  
250 0.1% 3%  
251 0.1% 3%  
252 0% 3%  
253 0.8% 3%  
254 0.1% 2%  
255 0.4% 2%  
256 0.1% 1.5%  
257 0.2% 1.4%  
258 0% 1.1%  
259 0.2% 1.1%  
260 0.1% 0.9%  
261 0% 0.8%  
262 0% 0.7%  
263 0.2% 0.7%  
264 0% 0.5%  
265 0% 0.5%  
266 0% 0.5%  
267 0% 0.5%  
268 0% 0.4%  
269 0.2% 0.4%  
270 0% 0.2%  
271 0% 0.2%  
272 0% 0.2%  
273 0% 0.2%  
274 0% 0.2%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0.3% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.4%  
135 0% 99.3%  
136 0.1% 99.3%  
137 0% 99.2%  
138 0.1% 99.2%  
139 0% 99.1%  
140 0.1% 99.0%  
141 0% 98.9%  
142 0.1% 98.9%  
143 0.2% 98.8%  
144 0.4% 98.6%  
145 0.2% 98%  
146 0.2% 98%  
147 0.2% 98%  
148 0.1% 98%  
149 0.2% 98%  
150 0.1% 97%  
151 0.1% 97%  
152 0.1% 97%  
153 1.5% 97%  
154 0.9% 96%  
155 0% 95%  
156 0.1% 95%  
157 0.9% 95%  
158 0% 94%  
159 0.1% 94%  
160 0.2% 94%  
161 0.3% 93%  
162 0.2% 93%  
163 0.4% 93%  
164 0.3% 93%  
165 0.1% 92%  
166 0.9% 92%  
167 0.1% 91%  
168 0.1% 91%  
169 0.6% 91%  
170 0.1% 91%  
171 0.9% 91%  
172 0.7% 90%  
173 0.8% 89%  
174 1.0% 88%  
175 0.2% 87%  
176 0.2% 87%  
177 0.3% 87%  
178 0.7% 86%  
179 4% 86%  
180 0.3% 82%  
181 1.2% 82%  
182 0.6% 81%  
183 2% 80%  
184 0.2% 78%  
185 1.3% 78%  
186 0.3% 76%  
187 2% 76%  
188 0.6% 74%  
189 0.1% 73%  
190 2% 73%  
191 0.5% 71%  
192 2% 71%  
193 0.6% 69%  
194 0.4% 68%  
195 6% 68%  
196 0.4% 62%  
197 0.1% 62%  
198 2% 62%  
199 2% 60%  
200 0.5% 57%  
201 0.9% 57%  
202 2% 56%  
203 0.7% 54%  
204 0.6% 53%  
205 0.4% 52%  
206 0.6% 52%  
207 0.5% 51%  
208 0.2% 51%  
209 0.9% 51% Median
210 0.3% 50%  
211 0.3% 49%  
212 8% 49%  
213 0.5% 41%  
214 0.4% 40%  
215 0.9% 40%  
216 0.4% 39%  
217 0.9% 39%  
218 1.3% 38%  
219 4% 36%  
220 1.0% 33%  
221 0.5% 32%  
222 4% 31%  
223 0.5% 28%  
224 4% 27%  
225 0.7% 23%  
226 0.4% 22%  
227 0.2% 22%  
228 0.2% 22%  
229 0.1% 22%  
230 0.2% 21%  
231 0.8% 21%  
232 5% 20%  
233 2% 16%  
234 0.4% 14%  
235 3% 13%  
236 3% 11%  
237 0.1% 8%  
238 0.4% 8%  
239 0.2% 8%  
240 0.1% 7%  
241 0.6% 7%  
242 0.4% 7%  
243 0.2% 6%  
244 0.2% 6%  
245 0.2% 6%  
246 0.8% 6%  
247 1.2% 5%  
248 0.4% 4%  
249 0.1% 3%  
250 0.1% 3%  
251 0.1% 3%  
252 0% 3%  
253 0.8% 3%  
254 0.1% 2%  
255 0.4% 2%  
256 0.1% 1.5%  
257 0.2% 1.4%  
258 0% 1.1%  
259 0.2% 1.1%  
260 0.1% 0.9%  
261 0% 0.8%  
262 0% 0.7%  
263 0.2% 0.7%  
264 0% 0.5%  
265 0% 0.5%  
266 0% 0.5%  
267 0% 0.5%  
268 0% 0.4%  
269 0.2% 0.4%  
270 0% 0.2%  
271 0% 0.2%  
272 0% 0.2%  
273 0% 0.2%  
274 0% 0.2%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.6%  
147 0.1% 99.5%  
148 0.4% 99.5%  
149 0.1% 99.0%  
150 0.2% 98.9%  
151 0.3% 98.7%  
152 0.8% 98%  
153 0.3% 98%  
154 0.5% 97%  
155 1.0% 97%  
156 2% 96%  
157 4% 94%  
158 4% 90%  
159 2% 86%  
160 3% 85%  
161 1.0% 82%  
162 2% 81%  
163 2% 79%  
164 0.6% 77%  
165 0.8% 76%  
166 1.3% 75%  
167 2% 74%  
168 0.6% 72%  
169 4% 71%  
170 1.3% 68%  
171 5% 66%  
172 2% 62%  
173 6% 60%  
174 3% 54%  
175 0.9% 51% Median
176 0.9% 50%  
177 4% 49%  
178 1.3% 46%  
179 0.9% 44%  
180 3% 43%  
181 2% 41%  
182 1.0% 39%  
183 0.7% 38%  
184 0.7% 37%  
185 4% 36%  
186 2% 32%  
187 8% 30%  
188 3% 22%  
189 4% 18%  
190 2% 14%  
191 0.3% 12%  
192 0.2% 12%  
193 1.3% 12%  
194 1.1% 10%  
195 0.1% 9%  
196 2% 9%  
197 0.5% 7%  
198 1.0% 6%  
199 0.1% 5%  
200 0.4% 5%  
201 0.1% 5%  
202 2% 5%  
203 0.2% 3%  
204 0.6% 3%  
205 0.1% 3%  
206 0.2% 2%  
207 0.2% 2%  
208 0.7% 2%  
209 0% 1.3%  
210 0.3% 1.3%  
211 0% 1.0%  
212 0.2% 1.0%  
213 0.1% 0.7%  
214 0.2% 0.6%  
215 0.1% 0.4%  
216 0% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.3%  
219 0% 0.3%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0.1% 99.8%  
137 0.1% 99.7%  
138 0.1% 99.6%  
139 0.1% 99.6%  
140 0.4% 99.5%  
141 0.3% 99.1%  
142 0.3% 98.8%  
143 0.1% 98%  
144 0.3% 98%  
145 1.0% 98%  
146 0.4% 97%  
147 0.9% 97%  
148 0.7% 96%  
149 4% 95%  
150 0.7% 91%  
151 5% 90%  
152 1.4% 85%  
153 1.3% 84%  
154 3% 82%  
155 0.7% 79%  
156 5% 78%  
157 0.5% 73%  
158 1.0% 73%  
159 0.5% 72%  
160 3% 71%  
161 1.3% 68%  
162 0.9% 67%  
163 5% 66%  
164 0.9% 61%  
165 4% 60%  
166 5% 56%  
167 1.4% 51% Median
168 1.2% 49%  
169 1.3% 48%  
170 2% 47%  
171 4% 45%  
172 0.8% 42%  
173 1.4% 41%  
174 4% 39%  
175 0.6% 36%  
176 1.2% 35%  
177 5% 34%  
178 0.3% 29%  
179 8% 29%  
180 2% 21%  
181 3% 19%  
182 3% 16%  
183 1.1% 12%  
184 0.5% 11%  
185 1.1% 11%  
186 0.8% 10%  
187 1.0% 9%  
188 1.4% 8%  
189 0.4% 6%  
190 0.4% 6%  
191 0.4% 6%  
192 0.2% 5%  
193 0.3% 5%  
194 1.0% 5%  
195 1.4% 4%  
196 0.3% 2%  
197 0.1% 2%  
198 0% 2%  
199 0.1% 2%  
200 0.3% 2%  
201 0% 1.3%  
202 0.3% 1.3%  
203 0.1% 1.0%  
204 0% 0.8%  
205 0.1% 0.8%  
206 0.3% 0.7%  
207 0.1% 0.4%  
208 0% 0.3%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.3% 99.7%  
95 0% 99.4%  
96 0.1% 99.4%  
97 0.2% 99.3%  
98 0.1% 99.1%  
99 0.3% 99.0%  
100 0.3% 98.6%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 0.4% 98%  
103 0.6% 97%  
104 1.5% 97%  
105 2% 95%  
106 6% 93%  
107 1.3% 87%  
108 3% 86%  
109 1.2% 83%  
110 0.3% 81%  
111 2% 81%  
112 2% 79%  
113 1.5% 77%  
114 0.8% 76%  
115 1.0% 75%  
116 2% 74%  
117 3% 72%  
118 1.1% 69%  
119 4% 68%  
120 2% 63%  
121 5% 62%  
122 5% 57%  
123 0.6% 51%  
124 0.8% 51% Median
125 0.6% 50%  
126 5% 49%  
127 0.5% 44%  
128 3% 44%  
129 1.2% 41%  
130 2% 40%  
131 1.3% 38%  
132 0.7% 37%  
133 4% 36%  
134 2% 33%  
135 1.4% 31%  
136 11% 29%  
137 4% 19%  
138 2% 15%  
139 0.6% 13%  
140 0.7% 12%  
141 0.9% 11%  
142 0.7% 11%  
143 0.8% 10%  
144 0.6% 9%  
145 2% 9%  
146 0.4% 7%  
147 0.6% 6%  
148 0.4% 5%  
149 0.1% 5%  
150 0% 5%  
151 0.4% 5%  
152 2% 5%  
153 0.4% 3%  
154 0.2% 3%  
155 0.1% 2%  
156 0.2% 2%  
157 0.1% 2%  
158 0.7% 2%  
159 0.2% 1.2%  
160 0% 1.0%  
161 0% 1.0%  
162 0.3% 0.9%  
163 0.1% 0.6%  
164 0% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0% 0.3%  
167 0% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.3%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.3% 99.7%  
87 0% 99.4%  
88 0.1% 99.4%  
89 0.2% 99.3%  
90 0.3% 99.1%  
91 0.4% 98.8%  
92 0.1% 98%  
93 0.4% 98%  
94 0.8% 98%  
95 1.0% 97%  
96 0.9% 96%  
97 0.2% 95%  
98 4% 95%  
99 5% 91%  
100 1.4% 86%  
101 3% 85%  
102 0.9% 82%  
103 2% 81%  
104 4% 79%  
105 2% 75%  
106 0.6% 73%  
107 0.6% 72%  
108 1.0% 72%  
109 3% 71%  
110 2% 68%  
111 0.9% 66%  
112 4% 65%  
113 5% 62%  
114 5% 57%  
115 1.3% 52%  
116 2% 50% Median
117 1.2% 49%  
118 1.2% 48%  
119 4% 46%  
120 2% 43%  
121 0.5% 41%  
122 2% 40%  
123 3% 38%  
124 0.5% 35%  
125 4% 35%  
126 1.3% 30%  
127 0.6% 29%  
128 9% 28%  
129 2% 19%  
130 4% 17%  
131 1.5% 13%  
132 0.6% 11%  
133 1.0% 11%  
134 1.0% 10%  
135 0.2% 9%  
136 1.0% 9%  
137 2% 8%  
138 0.4% 6%  
139 0.3% 6%  
140 0.3% 5%  
141 0.1% 5%  
142 0.3% 5%  
143 0.5% 5%  
144 0.6% 4%  
145 2% 4%  
146 0.1% 2%  
147 0.1% 2%  
148 0.2% 2%  
149 0.1% 2%  
150 0.2% 1.4%  
151 0.3% 1.2%  
152 0% 1.0%  
153 0.1% 0.9%  
154 0% 0.8%  
155 0.3% 0.8%  
156 0% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0% 0.3%  
159 0% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.3% 99.7%  
87 0% 99.4%  
88 0.1% 99.4%  
89 0.2% 99.3%  
90 0.3% 99.1%  
91 0.4% 98.8%  
92 0.1% 98%  
93 0.4% 98%  
94 0.8% 98%  
95 1.0% 97%  
96 0.9% 96%  
97 0.2% 95%  
98 4% 95%  
99 5% 91%  
100 1.4% 86%  
101 3% 85%  
102 0.9% 82%  
103 2% 81%  
104 4% 79%  
105 2% 75%  
106 0.6% 73%  
107 0.6% 72%  
108 1.0% 72%  
109 3% 71%  
110 2% 68%  
111 0.9% 66%  
112 4% 65%  
113 5% 62%  
114 5% 57%  
115 1.3% 52%  
116 2% 50% Median
117 1.2% 49%  
118 1.2% 48%  
119 4% 46%  
120 2% 43%  
121 0.5% 41%  
122 2% 40%  
123 3% 38%  
124 0.5% 35%  
125 4% 35%  
126 1.3% 30%  
127 0.6% 29%  
128 9% 28%  
129 2% 19%  
130 4% 17%  
131 1.5% 13%  
132 0.6% 11%  
133 1.0% 11%  
134 1.0% 10%  
135 0.2% 9%  
136 1.0% 9%  
137 2% 8%  
138 0.4% 6%  
139 0.3% 6%  
140 0.3% 5%  
141 0.1% 5%  
142 0.3% 5%  
143 0.5% 5%  
144 0.6% 4%  
145 2% 4%  
146 0.1% 2%  
147 0.1% 2%  
148 0.2% 2%  
149 0.1% 2%  
150 0.2% 1.4%  
151 0.3% 1.2%  
152 0% 1.0%  
153 0.1% 0.9%  
154 0% 0.8%  
155 0.3% 0.8%  
156 0% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0% 0.3%  
159 0% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations