Opinion Poll by Opinium for The Observer, 8–9 August 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 42.4% | 31.2% | 29.8–32.5% | 29.5–32.9% | 29.2–33.2% | 28.5–33.9% |
| Labour Party | 40.0% | 28.2% | 26.9–29.5% | 26.5–29.9% | 26.2–30.2% | 25.6–30.8% |
| Brexit Party | 0.0% | 16.1% | 15.1–17.2% | 14.8–17.5% | 14.5–17.8% | 14.1–18.3% |
| Liberal Democrats | 7.4% | 13.1% | 12.1–14.1% | 11.9–14.4% | 11.7–14.6% | 11.2–15.1% |
| Green Party | 1.6% | 5.0% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.2–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| Scottish National Party | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% |
| UK Independence Party | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% |
| Change UK | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 317 | 288 | 264–290 | 246–293 | 223–294 | 211–307 |
| Labour Party | 262 | 194 | 179–218 | 174–222 | 168–242 | 162–248 |
| Brexit Party | 0 | 50 | 45–70 | 36–78 | 33–89 | 31–93 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12 | 39 | 39–47 | 38–49 | 36–52 | 35–55 |
| Green Party | 1 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Scottish National Party | 35 | 53 | 51–53 | 51–53 | 51–54 | 49–55 |
| Plaid Cymru | 4 | 4 | 4–8 | 4–10 | 4–11 | 4–11 |
| UK Independence Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Change UK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Conservative Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 207 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 208 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 209 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 210 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 211 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 212 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 213 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 214 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 216 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 217 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 218 | 0% | 98% | |
| 219 | 0% | 98% | |
| 220 | 0% | 98% | |
| 221 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 222 | 0% | 98% | |
| 223 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 225 | 0% | 97% | |
| 226 | 0% | 97% | |
| 227 | 0% | 97% | |
| 228 | 0% | 97% | |
| 229 | 0% | 97% | |
| 230 | 0% | 97% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 232 | 0% | 97% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 234 | 0% | 97% | |
| 235 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 236 | 0% | 96% | |
| 237 | 0% | 96% | |
| 238 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 239 | 0% | 95% | |
| 240 | 0% | 95% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 242 | 0% | 95% | |
| 243 | 0% | 95% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 246 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 247 | 0% | 94% | |
| 248 | 0% | 94% | |
| 249 | 0% | 94% | |
| 250 | 0% | 94% | |
| 251 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 253 | 0% | 94% | |
| 254 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 255 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 256 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 257 | 0% | 93% | |
| 258 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 259 | 0% | 92% | |
| 260 | 0% | 92% | |
| 261 | 0% | 92% | |
| 262 | 0% | 92% | |
| 263 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 264 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 265 | 0% | 90% | |
| 266 | 6% | 90% | |
| 267 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 268 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 269 | 0.7% | 83% | |
| 270 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 271 | 0.3% | 81% | |
| 272 | 3% | 81% | |
| 273 | 1.2% | 78% | |
| 274 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 275 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 276 | 0% | 76% | |
| 277 | 2% | 76% | |
| 278 | 0% | 74% | |
| 279 | 5% | 74% | |
| 280 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 281 | 4% | 68% | |
| 282 | 8% | 65% | |
| 283 | 0.3% | 57% | |
| 284 | 0% | 56% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 56% | |
| 286 | 0.5% | 56% | |
| 287 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 288 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 289 | 3% | 50% | |
| 290 | 40% | 47% | |
| 291 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 292 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 293 | 2% | 5% | |
| 294 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 295 | 0% | 2% | |
| 296 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 297 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 298 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 301 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 304 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 307 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 311 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 317 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 318 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 168 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 169 | 0% | 97% | |
| 170 | 0% | 97% | |
| 171 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 175 | 0% | 94% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 177 | 3% | 94% | |
| 178 | 0% | 91% | |
| 179 | 6% | 91% | |
| 180 | 0% | 85% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 182 | 0% | 84% | |
| 183 | 5% | 84% | |
| 184 | 0% | 79% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 79% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 191 | 2% | 78% | |
| 192 | 0% | 76% | |
| 193 | 0% | 76% | |
| 194 | 47% | 76% | Median |
| 195 | 4% | 29% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 26% | |
| 197 | 4% | 26% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 22% | |
| 199 | 0% | 22% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 202 | 3% | 20% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 204 | 0% | 17% | |
| 205 | 0% | 17% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 209 | 3% | 17% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 211 | 0% | 13% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 213 | 0% | 13% | |
| 214 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 216 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 217 | 0% | 12% | |
| 218 | 3% | 12% | |
| 219 | 4% | 10% | |
| 220 | 0% | 6% | |
| 221 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 222 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 224 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 228 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 229 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 230 | 0% | 3% | |
| 231 | 0% | 3% | |
| 232 | 0% | 3% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 236 | 0% | 3% | |
| 237 | 0% | 3% | |
| 238 | 0% | 3% | |
| 239 | 0% | 3% | |
| 240 | 0% | 3% | |
| 241 | 0% | 3% | |
| 242 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 243 | 0% | 2% | |
| 244 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 246 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 247 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 248 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Brexit Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 95% | |
| 35 | 0% | 95% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 37 | 0% | 94% | |
| 38 | 0% | 94% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 45 | 6% | 92% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 47 | 2% | 87% | |
| 48 | 3% | 84% | |
| 49 | 5% | 81% | |
| 50 | 45% | 76% | Median |
| 51 | 0% | 31% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 31% | |
| 53 | 4% | 31% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 26% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 26% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 25% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 59 | 9% | 24% | |
| 60 | 0% | 15% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 65 | 0% | 14% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 68 | 2% | 12% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 71 | 0% | 10% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 73 | 0% | 10% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 9% | |
| 78 | 6% | 9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 3% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 45% | 95% | Median |
| 40 | 5% | 49% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 45% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 44% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 43% | |
| 44 | 10% | 42% | |
| 45 | 18% | 32% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 47 | 6% | 13% | |
| 48 | 0% | 7% | |
| 49 | 3% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Green Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 86% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 14% | 14% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Scottish National Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 13% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0% | 85% | |
| 53 | 80% | 85% | Median |
| 54 | 3% | 5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Plaid Cymru
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 57% | 99.7% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 7% | 42% | |
| 6 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 34% | |
| 8 | 25% | 33% | |
| 9 | 2% | 9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 6% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
UK Independence Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Change UK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Change UK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 356 | 347 | 84% | 323–348 | 305–354 | 281–354 | 272–365 |
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party | 352 | 341 | 78% | 317–343 | 297–345 | 276–346 | 264–361 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 313 | 290 | 6% | 282–321 | 278–328 | 271–344 | 263–361 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party | 309 | 286 | 4% | 274–317 | 270–322 | 263–337 | 255–353 |
| Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK | 329 | 329 | 65% | 308–334 | 294–335 | 265–336 | 261–347 |
| Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats | 329 | 329 | 65% | 308–334 | 294–335 | 265–336 | 261–347 |
| Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru | 321 | 294 | 0.2% | 270–297 | 253–301 | 228–303 | 219–312 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 301 | 251 | 0% | 236–277 | 233–282 | 228–300 | 222–309 |
| Conservative Party – Change UK | 317 | 288 | 0% | 264–290 | 246–293 | 223–294 | 211–307 |
| Conservative Party | 317 | 288 | 0% | 264–290 | 246–293 | 223–294 | 211–307 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party | 297 | 247 | 0% | 232–272 | 225–275 | 219–293 | 215–301 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru | 278 | 237 | 0% | 229–267 | 227–276 | 220–291 | 210–308 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK | 274 | 233 | 0% | 221–262 | 219–269 | 210–286 | 202–300 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats | 274 | 233 | 0% | 221–262 | 219–269 | 210–286 | 202–300 |
| Labour Party – Plaid Cymru | 266 | 198 | 0% | 183–224 | 182–231 | 177–247 | 169–256 |
| Labour Party – Change UK | 262 | 194 | 0% | 179–218 | 174–222 | 168–242 | 162–248 |
| Labour Party | 262 | 194 | 0% | 179–218 | 174–222 | 168–242 | 162–248 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 259 | 0% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 261 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 262 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 263 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 264 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 265 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 266 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 267 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 268 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 269 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 270 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 271 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 272 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 273 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 274 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 275 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 276 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 277 | 0% | 98% | |
| 278 | 0% | 98% | |
| 279 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 280 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 281 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 282 | 0% | 97% | |
| 283 | 0% | 97% | |
| 284 | 0% | 97% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 286 | 0% | 97% | |
| 287 | 0% | 97% | |
| 288 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 289 | 0% | 97% | |
| 290 | 0% | 97% | |
| 291 | 0% | 97% | |
| 292 | 0% | 97% | |
| 293 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 294 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 295 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 296 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 297 | 0% | 95% | |
| 298 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 299 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 300 | 0% | 95% | |
| 301 | 0% | 95% | |
| 302 | 0% | 95% | |
| 303 | 0% | 95% | |
| 304 | 0% | 95% | |
| 305 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 306 | 0% | 95% | |
| 307 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 308 | 0% | 94% | |
| 309 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 310 | 0% | 94% | |
| 311 | 0% | 94% | |
| 312 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 313 | 0% | 94% | |
| 314 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 315 | 2% | 94% | |
| 316 | 0% | 93% | |
| 317 | 0% | 93% | |
| 318 | 0% | 93% | |
| 319 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 320 | 0% | 92% | |
| 321 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 322 | 0% | 91% | |
| 323 | 6% | 91% | |
| 324 | 0% | 86% | |
| 325 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 326 | 0.2% | 84% | Majority |
| 327 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 328 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 329 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 330 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 331 | 1.3% | 82% | |
| 332 | 0% | 81% | |
| 333 | 3% | 81% | |
| 334 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 335 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 336 | 3% | 76% | |
| 337 | 3% | 73% | |
| 338 | 0.1% | 70% | |
| 339 | 0.2% | 70% | |
| 340 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 341 | 8% | 69% | |
| 342 | 0% | 61% | |
| 343 | 2% | 61% | |
| 344 | 2% | 59% | |
| 345 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 346 | 0.1% | 50% | |
| 347 | 40% | 50% | |
| 348 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 349 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 350 | 3% | 9% | |
| 351 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 352 | 0% | 5% | |
| 353 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 354 | 3% | 5% | |
| 355 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 357 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 358 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 360 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 361 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 362 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 363 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 364 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 365 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 366 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 367 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 368 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 369 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 370 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 371 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 372 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 373 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 374 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 375 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 376 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 377 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 378 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 379 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 380 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 255 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 256 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 257 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 258 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 259 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 260 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 261 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 262 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 263 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 264 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 265 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 266 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 267 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 268 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 269 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 270 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 271 | 0% | 98% | |
| 272 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 273 | 0% | 98% | |
| 274 | 0% | 98% | |
| 275 | 0% | 98% | |
| 276 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 277 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 278 | 0% | 97% | |
| 279 | 0% | 97% | |
| 280 | 0% | 97% | |
| 281 | 0% | 97% | |
| 282 | 0% | 97% | |
| 283 | 0% | 97% | |
| 284 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 285 | 0% | 97% | |
| 286 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 287 | 0% | 97% | |
| 288 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 289 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 290 | 0% | 95% | |
| 291 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 292 | 0% | 95% | |
| 293 | 0% | 95% | |
| 294 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 295 | 0% | 95% | |
| 296 | 0% | 95% | |
| 297 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 298 | 0% | 95% | |
| 299 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 300 | 0% | 94% | |
| 301 | 0% | 94% | |
| 302 | 0% | 94% | |
| 303 | 0% | 94% | |
| 304 | 0% | 94% | |
| 305 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 306 | 0% | 94% | |
| 307 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 308 | 0% | 94% | |
| 309 | 0% | 94% | |
| 310 | 0% | 94% | |
| 311 | 2% | 94% | |
| 312 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 313 | 0% | 92% | |
| 314 | 0% | 92% | |
| 315 | 0% | 92% | |
| 316 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 317 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 318 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 319 | 6% | 89% | |
| 320 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 321 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 322 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 323 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 324 | 0.3% | 81% | |
| 325 | 3% | 81% | |
| 326 | 1.1% | 78% | Majority |
| 327 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 328 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 329 | 0% | 76% | |
| 330 | 2% | 76% | |
| 331 | 0% | 74% | |
| 332 | 9% | 74% | |
| 333 | 6% | 65% | |
| 334 | 0.1% | 60% | |
| 335 | 0.8% | 59% | |
| 336 | 2% | 59% | |
| 337 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 338 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 339 | 0.7% | 56% | |
| 340 | 0% | 55% | |
| 341 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 342 | 4% | 49% | |
| 343 | 40% | 45% | |
| 344 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 345 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 346 | 2% | 4% | |
| 347 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 348 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 349 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 350 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 351 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 352 | 0% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 353 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 354 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 355 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 357 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 358 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 360 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 361 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 362 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 363 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 364 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 365 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 366 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 367 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 368 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 369 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 370 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 371 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 252 | 0% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 254 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 255 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 256 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 257 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 258 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 259 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 260 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 261 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 262 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 263 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 264 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 265 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 266 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 268 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 269 | 0% | 98% | |
| 270 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 271 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 272 | 0% | 96% | |
| 273 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 274 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 275 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 276 | 0% | 95% | |
| 277 | 0% | 95% | |
| 278 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 279 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 280 | 0% | 94% | |
| 281 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 282 | 3% | 93% | |
| 283 | 6% | 90% | |
| 284 | 0% | 84% | |
| 285 | 5% | 84% | |
| 286 | 0% | 79% | |
| 287 | 2% | 79% | |
| 288 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 289 | 0% | 77% | |
| 290 | 40% | 77% | Median |
| 291 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 292 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 293 | 0% | 37% | |
| 294 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 295 | 2% | 36% | |
| 296 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 297 | 0.3% | 34% | |
| 298 | 5% | 33% | |
| 299 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 300 | 0.3% | 28% | |
| 301 | 3% | 28% | |
| 302 | 0.1% | 25% | |
| 303 | 2% | 24% | |
| 304 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 305 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 306 | 5% | 21% | |
| 307 | 2% | 15% | |
| 308 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 309 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 310 | 0% | 13% | |
| 311 | 0% | 13% | |
| 312 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 313 | 0.3% | 13% | Last Result |
| 314 | 0% | 13% | |
| 315 | 0% | 13% | |
| 316 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 317 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 318 | 0% | 12% | |
| 319 | 0% | 12% | |
| 320 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 321 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 322 | 0% | 10% | |
| 323 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 324 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 325 | 3% | 9% | |
| 326 | 0.2% | 6% | Majority |
| 327 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 328 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 329 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 330 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 331 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 332 | 0% | 3% | |
| 333 | 0% | 3% | |
| 334 | 0% | 3% | |
| 335 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 336 | 0% | 3% | |
| 337 | 0% | 3% | |
| 338 | 0% | 3% | |
| 339 | 0% | 3% | |
| 340 | 0% | 3% | |
| 341 | 0% | 3% | |
| 342 | 0% | 3% | |
| 343 | 0% | 3% | |
| 344 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 345 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 346 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 347 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 348 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 349 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 350 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 351 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 352 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 353 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 354 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 355 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 356 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 357 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 358 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 359 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 360 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 361 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 362 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 363 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 244 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 245 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 246 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 247 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 248 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 249 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 250 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 251 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 253 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 254 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 255 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 256 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 257 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 258 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 259 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 260 | 0% | 98% | |
| 261 | 0% | 98% | |
| 262 | 0% | 98% | |
| 263 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 264 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 265 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 266 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 267 | 0% | 95% | |
| 268 | 0% | 95% | |
| 269 | 0% | 95% | |
| 270 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 271 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 272 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 273 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 274 | 3% | 93% | |
| 275 | 0% | 90% | |
| 276 | 0% | 90% | |
| 277 | 0% | 90% | |
| 278 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 279 | 7% | 89% | |
| 280 | 0% | 82% | |
| 281 | 5% | 82% | |
| 282 | 0% | 77% | |
| 283 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 284 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 285 | 0% | 76% | |
| 286 | 40% | 76% | Median |
| 287 | 2% | 36% | |
| 288 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 289 | 0.9% | 34% | |
| 290 | 6% | 33% | |
| 291 | 0% | 28% | |
| 292 | 2% | 28% | |
| 293 | 0% | 26% | |
| 294 | 0% | 26% | |
| 295 | 2% | 26% | |
| 296 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 297 | 4% | 24% | |
| 298 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 299 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 300 | 0.3% | 17% | |
| 301 | 4% | 17% | |
| 302 | 0% | 14% | |
| 303 | 0% | 14% | |
| 304 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 305 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 306 | 0% | 13% | |
| 307 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 308 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 309 | 0.5% | 13% | Last Result |
| 310 | 0% | 12% | |
| 311 | 0% | 12% | |
| 312 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 313 | 0% | 12% | |
| 314 | 0% | 12% | |
| 315 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 316 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 317 | 5% | 11% | |
| 318 | 0% | 6% | |
| 319 | 0% | 6% | |
| 320 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 321 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 322 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 323 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 324 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 325 | 0% | 4% | |
| 326 | 0.2% | 4% | Majority |
| 327 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 328 | 0% | 3% | |
| 329 | 0% | 3% | |
| 330 | 0% | 3% | |
| 331 | 0% | 3% | |
| 332 | 0% | 3% | |
| 333 | 0% | 3% | |
| 334 | 0% | 3% | |
| 335 | 0% | 3% | |
| 336 | 0% | 3% | |
| 337 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 338 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 339 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 340 | 0% | 2% | |
| 341 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 342 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 343 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 344 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 345 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 346 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 347 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 348 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 349 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 350 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 351 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 352 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 353 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 354 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 355 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 255 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 256 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 257 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 258 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 259 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 260 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 261 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 263 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 264 | 0% | 98% | |
| 265 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 266 | 0% | 97% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 268 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 269 | 0% | 97% | |
| 270 | 0% | 97% | |
| 271 | 0% | 97% | |
| 272 | 0% | 97% | |
| 273 | 0% | 97% | |
| 274 | 0% | 97% | |
| 275 | 0% | 97% | |
| 276 | 0% | 97% | |
| 277 | 0% | 97% | |
| 278 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 279 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 280 | 0% | 96% | |
| 281 | 0% | 96% | |
| 282 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 283 | 0% | 96% | |
| 284 | 0% | 96% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 286 | 0% | 95% | |
| 287 | 0% | 95% | |
| 288 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 289 | 0% | 95% | |
| 290 | 0% | 95% | |
| 291 | 0% | 95% | |
| 292 | 0% | 95% | |
| 293 | 0% | 95% | |
| 294 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 295 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 296 | 0% | 95% | |
| 297 | 0% | 95% | |
| 298 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 299 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 300 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 301 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 302 | 0% | 93% | |
| 303 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 304 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 305 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 306 | 0% | 92% | |
| 307 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 308 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 309 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 310 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 311 | 5% | 88% | |
| 312 | 0.8% | 82% | |
| 313 | 0% | 82% | |
| 314 | 0% | 82% | |
| 315 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 316 | 0% | 81% | |
| 317 | 3% | 81% | |
| 318 | 3% | 78% | |
| 319 | 3% | 75% | |
| 320 | 3% | 72% | |
| 321 | 1.0% | 69% | |
| 322 | 2% | 68% | |
| 323 | 0.1% | 67% | |
| 324 | 1.2% | 66% | |
| 325 | 0.1% | 65% | |
| 326 | 0.7% | 65% | Majority |
| 327 | 5% | 65% | Median |
| 328 | 2% | 59% | |
| 329 | 40% | 57% | Last Result |
| 330 | 3% | 17% | |
| 331 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 332 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 333 | 3% | 13% | |
| 334 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 335 | 6% | 9% | |
| 336 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 337 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 338 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 339 | 0% | 2% | |
| 340 | 0% | 2% | |
| 341 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 342 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 343 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 344 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 345 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 347 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 348 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 349 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 350 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 351 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 352 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 353 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 354 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 355 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 357 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 358 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 255 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 256 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 257 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 258 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 259 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 260 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 261 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 263 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 264 | 0% | 98% | |
| 265 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 266 | 0% | 97% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 268 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 269 | 0% | 97% | |
| 270 | 0% | 97% | |
| 271 | 0% | 97% | |
| 272 | 0% | 97% | |
| 273 | 0% | 97% | |
| 274 | 0% | 97% | |
| 275 | 0% | 97% | |
| 276 | 0% | 97% | |
| 277 | 0% | 97% | |
| 278 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 279 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 280 | 0% | 96% | |
| 281 | 0% | 96% | |
| 282 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 283 | 0% | 96% | |
| 284 | 0% | 96% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 286 | 0% | 95% | |
| 287 | 0% | 95% | |
| 288 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 289 | 0% | 95% | |
| 290 | 0% | 95% | |
| 291 | 0% | 95% | |
| 292 | 0% | 95% | |
| 293 | 0% | 95% | |
| 294 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 295 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 296 | 0% | 95% | |
| 297 | 0% | 95% | |
| 298 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 299 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 300 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 301 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 302 | 0% | 93% | |
| 303 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 304 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 305 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 306 | 0% | 92% | |
| 307 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 308 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 309 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 310 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 311 | 5% | 88% | |
| 312 | 0.8% | 82% | |
| 313 | 0% | 82% | |
| 314 | 0% | 82% | |
| 315 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 316 | 0% | 81% | |
| 317 | 3% | 81% | |
| 318 | 3% | 78% | |
| 319 | 3% | 75% | |
| 320 | 3% | 72% | |
| 321 | 1.0% | 69% | |
| 322 | 2% | 68% | |
| 323 | 0.1% | 67% | |
| 324 | 1.2% | 66% | |
| 325 | 0.1% | 65% | |
| 326 | 0.7% | 65% | Majority |
| 327 | 5% | 65% | Median |
| 328 | 2% | 59% | |
| 329 | 40% | 57% | Last Result |
| 330 | 3% | 17% | |
| 331 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 332 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 333 | 3% | 13% | |
| 334 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 335 | 6% | 9% | |
| 336 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 337 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 338 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 339 | 0% | 2% | |
| 340 | 0% | 2% | |
| 341 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 342 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 343 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 344 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 345 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 347 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 348 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 349 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 350 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 351 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 352 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 353 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 354 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 355 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 357 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 358 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 208 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 209 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 210 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 211 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 213 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 215 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 216 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 217 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 218 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 219 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 220 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 221 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 222 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 224 | 0% | 98% | |
| 225 | 0% | 98% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 227 | 0% | 98% | |
| 228 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 229 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 230 | 0% | 97% | |
| 231 | 0% | 97% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 233 | 0% | 97% | |
| 234 | 0% | 97% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 236 | 0% | 97% | |
| 237 | 0% | 97% | |
| 238 | 0% | 97% | |
| 239 | 0% | 97% | |
| 240 | 0% | 97% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 242 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 243 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 244 | 0% | 95% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 246 | 0% | 95% | |
| 247 | 0% | 95% | |
| 248 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 249 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 250 | 0% | 95% | |
| 251 | 0% | 95% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 253 | 0% | 95% | |
| 254 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 255 | 0% | 94% | |
| 256 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 257 | 0% | 94% | |
| 258 | 0% | 94% | |
| 259 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 260 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 261 | 0% | 93% | |
| 262 | 0% | 93% | |
| 263 | 0% | 93% | |
| 264 | 0% | 93% | |
| 265 | 0% | 93% | |
| 266 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 268 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 269 | 0% | 91% | |
| 270 | 6% | 91% | |
| 271 | 0% | 86% | |
| 272 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 273 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 274 | 2% | 85% | |
| 275 | 0% | 83% | |
| 276 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 277 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 278 | 1.3% | 82% | |
| 279 | 0.1% | 81% | |
| 280 | 3% | 81% | |
| 281 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 282 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 283 | 0% | 76% | |
| 284 | 3% | 76% | |
| 285 | 3% | 73% | |
| 286 | 0.2% | 70% | |
| 287 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 288 | 2% | 69% | |
| 289 | 0% | 67% | |
| 290 | 10% | 67% | |
| 291 | 0.5% | 57% | |
| 292 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 293 | 0.1% | 51% | |
| 294 | 40% | 51% | |
| 295 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 296 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 297 | 3% | 10% | |
| 298 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 299 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 300 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 301 | 2% | 5% | |
| 302 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 303 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 304 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 308 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 311 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 317 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 318 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 319 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 320 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 321 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 322 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 323 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 324 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 325 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 326 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 209 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 210 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 211 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 212 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 213 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 215 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 216 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 217 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 218 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 220 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 221 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 222 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 223 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 226 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 227 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 228 | 2% | 98% | |
| 229 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 231 | 0% | 95% | |
| 232 | 0% | 95% | |
| 233 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 234 | 0% | 95% | |
| 235 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 236 | 6% | 94% | |
| 237 | 0% | 88% | |
| 238 | 3% | 88% | |
| 239 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 240 | 5% | 85% | |
| 241 | 0% | 80% | |
| 242 | 1.0% | 80% | |
| 243 | 0% | 79% | |
| 244 | 0% | 79% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 246 | 0% | 79% | |
| 247 | 0.2% | 79% | |
| 248 | 0% | 78% | |
| 249 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 250 | 0% | 78% | |
| 251 | 40% | 78% | Median |
| 252 | 5% | 38% | |
| 253 | 5% | 34% | |
| 254 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 255 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 256 | 1.1% | 27% | |
| 257 | 2% | 26% | |
| 258 | 2% | 24% | |
| 259 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 260 | 0% | 21% | |
| 261 | 0% | 21% | |
| 262 | 2% | 21% | |
| 263 | 0% | 20% | |
| 264 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 265 | 0.1% | 19% | |
| 266 | 2% | 19% | |
| 267 | 3% | 17% | |
| 268 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 270 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 271 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 272 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 273 | 0% | 13% | |
| 274 | 0% | 13% | |
| 275 | 0% | 13% | |
| 276 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 277 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 278 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 279 | 0% | 9% | |
| 280 | 4% | 9% | |
| 281 | 0% | 5% | |
| 282 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 283 | 0% | 4% | |
| 284 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 285 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 286 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 287 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 288 | 0% | 3% | |
| 289 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 290 | 0% | 3% | |
| 291 | 0% | 3% | |
| 292 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 293 | 0% | 3% | |
| 294 | 0% | 3% | |
| 295 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 296 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 297 | 0% | 3% | |
| 298 | 0% | 3% | |
| 299 | 0% | 3% | |
| 300 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 301 | 0.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 302 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 303 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 304 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 305 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 306 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 307 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 308 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 309 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 310 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 317 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 318 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 319 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Change UK
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 207 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 208 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 209 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 210 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 211 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 212 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 213 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 214 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 216 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 217 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 218 | 0% | 98% | |
| 219 | 0% | 98% | |
| 220 | 0% | 98% | |
| 221 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 222 | 0% | 98% | |
| 223 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 225 | 0% | 97% | |
| 226 | 0% | 97% | |
| 227 | 0% | 97% | |
| 228 | 0% | 97% | |
| 229 | 0% | 97% | |
| 230 | 0% | 97% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 232 | 0% | 97% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 234 | 0% | 97% | |
| 235 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 236 | 0% | 96% | |
| 237 | 0% | 96% | |
| 238 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 239 | 0% | 95% | |
| 240 | 0% | 95% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 242 | 0% | 95% | |
| 243 | 0% | 95% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 246 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 247 | 0% | 94% | |
| 248 | 0% | 94% | |
| 249 | 0% | 94% | |
| 250 | 0% | 94% | |
| 251 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 253 | 0% | 94% | |
| 254 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 255 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 256 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 257 | 0% | 93% | |
| 258 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 259 | 0% | 92% | |
| 260 | 0% | 92% | |
| 261 | 0% | 92% | |
| 262 | 0% | 92% | |
| 263 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 264 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 265 | 0% | 90% | |
| 266 | 6% | 90% | |
| 267 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 268 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 269 | 0.7% | 83% | |
| 270 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 271 | 0.3% | 81% | |
| 272 | 3% | 81% | |
| 273 | 1.2% | 78% | |
| 274 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 275 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 276 | 0% | 76% | |
| 277 | 2% | 76% | |
| 278 | 0% | 74% | |
| 279 | 5% | 74% | |
| 280 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 281 | 4% | 68% | |
| 282 | 8% | 65% | |
| 283 | 0.3% | 57% | |
| 284 | 0% | 56% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 56% | |
| 286 | 0.5% | 56% | |
| 287 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 288 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 289 | 3% | 50% | |
| 290 | 40% | 47% | |
| 291 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 292 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 293 | 2% | 5% | |
| 294 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 295 | 0% | 2% | |
| 296 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 297 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 298 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 301 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 304 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 307 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 311 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 317 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 318 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 207 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 208 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 209 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 210 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 211 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 212 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 213 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 214 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 216 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 217 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 218 | 0% | 98% | |
| 219 | 0% | 98% | |
| 220 | 0% | 98% | |
| 221 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 222 | 0% | 98% | |
| 223 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 225 | 0% | 97% | |
| 226 | 0% | 97% | |
| 227 | 0% | 97% | |
| 228 | 0% | 97% | |
| 229 | 0% | 97% | |
| 230 | 0% | 97% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 232 | 0% | 97% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 234 | 0% | 97% | |
| 235 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 236 | 0% | 96% | |
| 237 | 0% | 96% | |
| 238 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 239 | 0% | 95% | |
| 240 | 0% | 95% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 242 | 0% | 95% | |
| 243 | 0% | 95% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 246 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 247 | 0% | 94% | |
| 248 | 0% | 94% | |
| 249 | 0% | 94% | |
| 250 | 0% | 94% | |
| 251 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 253 | 0% | 94% | |
| 254 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 255 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 256 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 257 | 0% | 93% | |
| 258 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 259 | 0% | 92% | |
| 260 | 0% | 92% | |
| 261 | 0% | 92% | |
| 262 | 0% | 92% | |
| 263 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 264 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 265 | 0% | 90% | |
| 266 | 6% | 90% | |
| 267 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 268 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 269 | 0.7% | 83% | |
| 270 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 271 | 0.3% | 81% | |
| 272 | 3% | 81% | |
| 273 | 1.2% | 78% | |
| 274 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 275 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 276 | 0% | 76% | |
| 277 | 2% | 76% | |
| 278 | 0% | 74% | |
| 279 | 5% | 74% | |
| 280 | 0.1% | 69% | |
| 281 | 4% | 68% | |
| 282 | 8% | 65% | |
| 283 | 0.3% | 57% | |
| 284 | 0% | 56% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 56% | |
| 286 | 0.5% | 56% | |
| 287 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 288 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 289 | 3% | 50% | |
| 290 | 40% | 47% | |
| 291 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 292 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 293 | 2% | 5% | |
| 294 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 295 | 0% | 2% | |
| 296 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 297 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 298 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 301 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 304 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 307 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 311 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 317 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 318 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 200 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 201 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 202 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 205 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 207 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 208 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 210 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 211 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 212 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 213 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 214 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 215 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 216 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 217 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 218 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 219 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 220 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 221 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 222 | 0% | 96% | |
| 223 | 0% | 95% | |
| 224 | 0% | 95% | |
| 225 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 227 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 228 | 0% | 94% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 230 | 3% | 94% | |
| 231 | 0% | 91% | |
| 232 | 6% | 91% | |
| 233 | 0% | 85% | |
| 234 | 1.0% | 85% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 236 | 5% | 84% | |
| 237 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 238 | 0.3% | 79% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 240 | 0% | 78% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 242 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 243 | 0% | 78% | |
| 244 | 2% | 78% | |
| 245 | 5% | 76% | |
| 246 | 0% | 71% | |
| 247 | 41% | 71% | Median |
| 248 | 5% | 29% | |
| 249 | 2% | 25% | |
| 250 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 251 | 0% | 22% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 253 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 254 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 255 | 2% | 20% | |
| 256 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 257 | 0% | 17% | |
| 258 | 0% | 17% | |
| 259 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 262 | 3% | 17% | |
| 263 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 264 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 265 | 0% | 13% | |
| 266 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 268 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 269 | 0% | 13% | |
| 270 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 271 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 272 | 4% | 11% | |
| 273 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 274 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 275 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 276 | 0% | 4% | |
| 277 | 0% | 4% | |
| 278 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 279 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 280 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 281 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 282 | 0% | 3% | |
| 283 | 0% | 3% | |
| 284 | 0% | 3% | |
| 285 | 0% | 3% | |
| 286 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 287 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 288 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 289 | 0% | 3% | |
| 290 | 0% | 3% | |
| 291 | 0% | 3% | |
| 292 | 0% | 3% | |
| 293 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 294 | 0% | 2% | |
| 295 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 296 | 0% | 2% | |
| 297 | 0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 298 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 299 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 300 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 301 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 304 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 313 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 205 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 207 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 208 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 209 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 210 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 213 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 215 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 217 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 98% | |
| 219 | 0% | 98% | |
| 220 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 221 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 222 | 0% | 95% | |
| 223 | 0% | 95% | |
| 224 | 0% | 95% | |
| 225 | 0% | 95% | |
| 226 | 0% | 95% | |
| 227 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 228 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 229 | 3% | 93% | |
| 230 | 6% | 90% | |
| 231 | 0% | 84% | |
| 232 | 5% | 84% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 234 | 2% | 79% | |
| 235 | 0% | 77% | |
| 236 | 0% | 77% | |
| 237 | 40% | 77% | Median |
| 238 | 0% | 37% | |
| 239 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 240 | 0% | 37% | |
| 241 | 3% | 37% | |
| 242 | 0% | 34% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 244 | 0% | 34% | |
| 245 | 0% | 34% | |
| 246 | 0.4% | 34% | |
| 247 | 5% | 33% | |
| 248 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 249 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 250 | 5% | 28% | |
| 251 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 252 | 2% | 23% | |
| 253 | 5% | 21% | |
| 254 | 1.2% | 15% | |
| 255 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 256 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 257 | 0% | 14% | |
| 258 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 259 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 260 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 261 | 0% | 13% | |
| 262 | 0% | 13% | |
| 263 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 264 | 0% | 12% | |
| 265 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 266 | 1.5% | 12% | |
| 267 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 268 | 0% | 10% | |
| 269 | 0% | 10% | |
| 270 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 271 | 0% | 10% | |
| 272 | 3% | 9% | |
| 273 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 274 | 0% | 6% | |
| 275 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 276 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 277 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 278 | 0.6% | 4% | Last Result |
| 279 | 0% | 3% | |
| 280 | 0% | 3% | |
| 281 | 0% | 3% | |
| 282 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 283 | 0% | 3% | |
| 284 | 0% | 3% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 286 | 0% | 3% | |
| 287 | 0% | 3% | |
| 288 | 0% | 3% | |
| 289 | 0% | 3% | |
| 290 | 0% | 3% | |
| 291 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 292 | 0% | 2% | |
| 293 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 294 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 295 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 296 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 297 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 298 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 299 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 300 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 301 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 302 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 303 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 304 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 305 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 306 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 307 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 308 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 309 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 197 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 198 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 199 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 200 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 201 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 204 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 205 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 207 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 208 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 209 | 0% | 98% | |
| 210 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 211 | 0% | 97% | |
| 212 | 0% | 97% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 214 | 0% | 97% | |
| 215 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 217 | 0% | 95% | |
| 218 | 0% | 95% | |
| 219 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 220 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 221 | 4% | 93% | |
| 222 | 0% | 90% | |
| 223 | 0% | 90% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 225 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 226 | 7% | 89% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 228 | 5% | 82% | |
| 229 | 0% | 77% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 233 | 42% | 76% | Median |
| 234 | 0% | 34% | |
| 235 | 0% | 34% | |
| 236 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 237 | 0% | 34% | |
| 238 | 0.2% | 33% | |
| 239 | 7% | 33% | |
| 240 | 0% | 26% | |
| 241 | 0% | 26% | |
| 242 | 3% | 26% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 244 | 1.3% | 24% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 246 | 4% | 22% | |
| 247 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 248 | 4% | 17% | |
| 249 | 0% | 14% | |
| 250 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 251 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 253 | 0% | 13% | |
| 254 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 255 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 256 | 0% | 12% | |
| 257 | 0% | 12% | |
| 258 | 0% | 12% | |
| 259 | 0% | 12% | |
| 260 | 0% | 12% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 262 | 3% | 12% | |
| 263 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 264 | 3% | 9% | |
| 265 | 0% | 6% | |
| 266 | 0% | 6% | |
| 267 | 0% | 6% | |
| 268 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 269 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 270 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 271 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 272 | 0% | 4% | |
| 273 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 274 | 1.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 275 | 0% | 3% | |
| 276 | 0% | 3% | |
| 277 | 0% | 3% | |
| 278 | 0% | 3% | |
| 279 | 0% | 3% | |
| 280 | 0% | 3% | |
| 281 | 0% | 3% | |
| 282 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 283 | 0% | 3% | |
| 284 | 0% | 3% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 286 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 287 | 0% | 2% | |
| 288 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 289 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 290 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 291 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 292 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 293 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 294 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 295 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 296 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 297 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 298 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 299 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 300 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 302 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 304 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 197 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 198 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 199 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 200 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 201 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 204 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 205 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 207 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 208 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 209 | 0% | 98% | |
| 210 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 211 | 0% | 97% | |
| 212 | 0% | 97% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 214 | 0% | 97% | |
| 215 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 217 | 0% | 95% | |
| 218 | 0% | 95% | |
| 219 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 220 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 221 | 4% | 93% | |
| 222 | 0% | 90% | |
| 223 | 0% | 90% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 225 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 226 | 7% | 89% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 228 | 5% | 82% | |
| 229 | 0% | 77% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 233 | 42% | 76% | Median |
| 234 | 0% | 34% | |
| 235 | 0% | 34% | |
| 236 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 237 | 0% | 34% | |
| 238 | 0.2% | 33% | |
| 239 | 7% | 33% | |
| 240 | 0% | 26% | |
| 241 | 0% | 26% | |
| 242 | 3% | 26% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 244 | 1.3% | 24% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 246 | 4% | 22% | |
| 247 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 248 | 4% | 17% | |
| 249 | 0% | 14% | |
| 250 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 251 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 253 | 0% | 13% | |
| 254 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 255 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 256 | 0% | 12% | |
| 257 | 0% | 12% | |
| 258 | 0% | 12% | |
| 259 | 0% | 12% | |
| 260 | 0% | 12% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 262 | 3% | 12% | |
| 263 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 264 | 3% | 9% | |
| 265 | 0% | 6% | |
| 266 | 0% | 6% | |
| 267 | 0% | 6% | |
| 268 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 269 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 270 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 271 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 272 | 0% | 4% | |
| 273 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 274 | 1.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 275 | 0% | 3% | |
| 276 | 0% | 3% | |
| 277 | 0% | 3% | |
| 278 | 0% | 3% | |
| 279 | 0% | 3% | |
| 280 | 0% | 3% | |
| 281 | 0% | 3% | |
| 282 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 283 | 0% | 3% | |
| 284 | 0% | 3% | |
| 285 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 286 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 287 | 0% | 2% | |
| 288 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 289 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 290 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 291 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 292 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 293 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 294 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 295 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 296 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 297 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 298 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 299 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 300 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 302 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 304 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 174 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 176 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 177 | 3% | 98% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 179 | 0% | 95% | |
| 180 | 0% | 95% | |
| 181 | 0% | 95% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 183 | 6% | 94% | |
| 184 | 0% | 89% | |
| 185 | 4% | 89% | |
| 186 | 0% | 85% | |
| 187 | 5% | 85% | |
| 188 | 0% | 80% | |
| 189 | 1.0% | 80% | |
| 190 | 0% | 79% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 193 | 0% | 79% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 79% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 198 | 40% | 78% | Median |
| 199 | 2% | 38% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 201 | 3% | 37% | |
| 202 | 6% | 33% | |
| 203 | 3% | 27% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 205 | 2% | 24% | |
| 206 | 0.7% | 22% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 208 | 0% | 22% | |
| 209 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 211 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 19% | |
| 213 | 2% | 19% | |
| 214 | 3% | 17% | |
| 215 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 216 | 0% | 13% | |
| 217 | 0% | 13% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 219 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 220 | 0% | 13% | |
| 221 | 0% | 13% | |
| 222 | 2% | 13% | |
| 223 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 224 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 225 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 226 | 0% | 9% | |
| 227 | 4% | 9% | |
| 228 | 0% | 5% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 230 | 0% | 5% | |
| 231 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 232 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 233 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 235 | 0% | 3% | |
| 236 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 237 | 0% | 3% | |
| 238 | 0% | 3% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 240 | 0% | 3% | |
| 241 | 0% | 3% | |
| 242 | 0% | 3% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 244 | 0% | 3% | |
| 245 | 0% | 3% | |
| 246 | 0% | 3% | |
| 247 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 248 | 0% | 2% | |
| 249 | 0% | 2% | |
| 250 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 251 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 253 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 254 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 255 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 256 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 257 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 263 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 265 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party – Change UK
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 168 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 169 | 0% | 97% | |
| 170 | 0% | 97% | |
| 171 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 175 | 0% | 94% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 177 | 3% | 94% | |
| 178 | 0% | 91% | |
| 179 | 6% | 91% | |
| 180 | 0% | 85% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 182 | 0% | 84% | |
| 183 | 5% | 84% | |
| 184 | 0% | 79% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 79% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 191 | 2% | 78% | |
| 192 | 0% | 76% | |
| 193 | 0% | 76% | |
| 194 | 47% | 76% | Median |
| 195 | 4% | 29% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 26% | |
| 197 | 4% | 26% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 22% | |
| 199 | 0% | 22% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 202 | 3% | 20% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 204 | 0% | 17% | |
| 205 | 0% | 17% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 209 | 3% | 17% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 211 | 0% | 13% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 213 | 0% | 13% | |
| 214 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 216 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 217 | 0% | 12% | |
| 218 | 3% | 12% | |
| 219 | 4% | 10% | |
| 220 | 0% | 6% | |
| 221 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 222 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 224 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 228 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 229 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 230 | 0% | 3% | |
| 231 | 0% | 3% | |
| 232 | 0% | 3% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 236 | 0% | 3% | |
| 237 | 0% | 3% | |
| 238 | 0% | 3% | |
| 239 | 0% | 3% | |
| 240 | 0% | 3% | |
| 241 | 0% | 3% | |
| 242 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 243 | 0% | 2% | |
| 244 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 246 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 247 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 248 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 168 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 169 | 0% | 97% | |
| 170 | 0% | 97% | |
| 171 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 175 | 0% | 94% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 177 | 3% | 94% | |
| 178 | 0% | 91% | |
| 179 | 6% | 91% | |
| 180 | 0% | 85% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 182 | 0% | 84% | |
| 183 | 5% | 84% | |
| 184 | 0% | 79% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 79% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 78% | |
| 191 | 2% | 78% | |
| 192 | 0% | 76% | |
| 193 | 0% | 76% | |
| 194 | 47% | 76% | Median |
| 195 | 4% | 29% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 26% | |
| 197 | 4% | 26% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 22% | |
| 199 | 0% | 22% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 202 | 3% | 20% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 204 | 0% | 17% | |
| 205 | 0% | 17% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 209 | 3% | 17% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 211 | 0% | 13% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 213 | 0% | 13% | |
| 214 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 216 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 217 | 0% | 12% | |
| 218 | 3% | 12% | |
| 219 | 4% | 10% | |
| 220 | 0% | 6% | |
| 221 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 222 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 224 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 228 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 229 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 230 | 0% | 3% | |
| 231 | 0% | 3% | |
| 232 | 0% | 3% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 236 | 0% | 3% | |
| 237 | 0% | 3% | |
| 238 | 0% | 3% | |
| 239 | 0% | 3% | |
| 240 | 0% | 3% | |
| 241 | 0% | 3% | |
| 242 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 243 | 0% | 2% | |
| 244 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 246 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 247 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 248 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinium
- Commissioner(s): The Observer
- Fieldwork period: 8–9 August 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 2003
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.63%