Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Sunday Times, 22–23 August 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Conservative Party |
42.4% |
33.5% |
32.1–34.9% |
31.8–35.2% |
31.4–35.6% |
30.8–36.2% |
Labour Party |
40.0% |
19.3% |
18.2–20.4% |
17.9–20.8% |
17.6–21.0% |
17.1–21.6% |
Liberal Democrats |
7.4% |
19.3% |
18.2–20.4% |
17.9–20.8% |
17.6–21.0% |
17.1–21.6% |
Brexit Party |
0.0% |
14.2% |
13.3–15.3% |
13.0–15.6% |
12.8–15.8% |
12.3–16.3% |
Green Party |
1.6% |
7.1% |
6.4–7.9% |
6.2–8.1% |
6.0–8.3% |
5.7–8.7% |
Scottish National Party |
3.0% |
4.1% |
3.6–4.7% |
3.4–4.9% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.0–5.3% |
Plaid Cymru |
0.5% |
1.0% |
0.8–1.3% |
0.7–1.4% |
0.6–1.5% |
0.5–1.7% |
UK Independence Party |
1.8% |
0.2% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
Change UK |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Conservative Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
297 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
298 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
299 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
300 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
301 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
302 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
303 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
304 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
305 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
306 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
307 |
0% |
97% |
|
308 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
309 |
0% |
97% |
|
310 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
311 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
312 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
313 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
314 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
315 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
316 |
0% |
93% |
|
317 |
0% |
93% |
Last Result |
318 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
319 |
6% |
93% |
|
320 |
3% |
87% |
|
321 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
322 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
323 |
5% |
83% |
|
324 |
0% |
79% |
|
325 |
0.1% |
79% |
|
326 |
16% |
78% |
Majority |
327 |
2% |
63% |
|
328 |
37% |
61% |
Median |
329 |
3% |
24% |
|
330 |
0.1% |
21% |
|
331 |
0.8% |
21% |
|
332 |
2% |
20% |
|
333 |
1.0% |
19% |
|
334 |
0.1% |
18% |
|
335 |
9% |
18% |
|
336 |
2% |
9% |
|
337 |
0% |
7% |
|
338 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
339 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
340 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
341 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
342 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
343 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
344 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
345 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
346 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
347 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
348 |
2% |
4% |
|
349 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
350 |
0% |
2% |
|
351 |
0% |
2% |
|
352 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
353 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
354 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
355 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
356 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
357 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
358 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
359 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
360 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
361 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
362 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
363 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
364 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
365 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
366 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
367 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
368 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
369 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
370 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
371 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
372 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
373 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
374 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
375 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
84 |
3% |
96% |
|
85 |
46% |
93% |
Median |
86 |
0.1% |
47% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
47% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
46% |
|
90 |
8% |
46% |
|
91 |
1.2% |
38% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
37% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
37% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
36% |
|
95 |
0% |
36% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
36% |
|
97 |
2% |
36% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
99 |
2% |
34% |
|
100 |
0.9% |
33% |
|
101 |
17% |
32% |
|
102 |
0.6% |
15% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
14% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
105 |
4% |
13% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
10% |
|
107 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
108 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
109 |
2% |
8% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
111 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
112 |
0% |
5% |
|
113 |
2% |
5% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
116 |
0% |
2% |
|
117 |
0% |
2% |
|
118 |
0% |
2% |
|
119 |
0% |
2% |
|
120 |
0% |
2% |
|
121 |
0% |
2% |
|
122 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
123 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
124 |
0% |
2% |
|
125 |
0% |
2% |
|
126 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
127 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
128 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
129 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
130 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
131 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
132 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
133 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
134 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
135 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
136 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
137 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
138 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
139 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
140 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
|
171 |
0% |
0% |
|
172 |
0% |
0% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
176 |
0% |
0% |
|
177 |
0% |
0% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
180 |
0% |
0% |
|
181 |
0% |
0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
183 |
0% |
0% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Liberal Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
62 |
4% |
98% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
65 |
4% |
93% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
89% |
|
67 |
9% |
87% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
78% |
|
69 |
4% |
77% |
|
70 |
38% |
73% |
Median |
71 |
2% |
35% |
|
72 |
4% |
34% |
|
73 |
17% |
30% |
|
74 |
3% |
13% |
|
75 |
6% |
10% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
77 |
3% |
4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Brexit Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
0% |
98% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
50 |
0% |
98% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
64 |
12% |
94% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
82% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
81% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
80% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
79% |
|
69 |
2% |
78% |
|
70 |
6% |
76% |
|
71 |
3% |
71% |
|
72 |
6% |
68% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
62% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
61% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
61% |
|
76 |
3% |
60% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
57% |
|
78 |
9% |
57% |
Median |
79 |
0% |
48% |
|
80 |
0% |
48% |
|
81 |
3% |
48% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
45% |
|
83 |
43% |
45% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Green Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
2% |
100% |
|
4 |
17% |
98% |
|
5 |
78% |
81% |
Median |
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Scottish National Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
49 |
2% |
96% |
|
50 |
5% |
94% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
90% |
|
52 |
9% |
89% |
|
53 |
42% |
80% |
Median |
54 |
39% |
39% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Plaid Cymru
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
6 |
5% |
98% |
|
7 |
7% |
94% |
|
8 |
51% |
87% |
Median |
9 |
20% |
36% |
|
10 |
4% |
16% |
|
11 |
4% |
12% |
|
12 |
4% |
8% |
|
13 |
4% |
4% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
UK Independence Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Change UK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Change UK page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Conservative Party – Brexit Party |
317 |
411 |
100% |
390–413 |
378–414 |
376–424 |
372–424 |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK |
329 |
398 |
100% |
389–402 |
385–410 |
382–414 |
374–420 |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats |
329 |
398 |
100% |
389–402 |
385–410 |
382–414 |
374–420 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
356 |
389 |
100% |
380–397 |
370–406 |
368–409 |
367–417 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party |
352 |
381 |
100% |
371–389 |
362–398 |
359–402 |
358–406 |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru |
321 |
336 |
93% |
328–343 |
321–353 |
316–355 |
313–365 |
Conservative Party – Change UK |
317 |
328 |
78% |
319–335 |
313–345 |
306–348 |
305–355 |
Conservative Party |
317 |
328 |
78% |
319–335 |
313–345 |
306–348 |
305–355 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
313 |
216 |
0% |
214–237 |
214–248 |
203–252 |
203–256 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party |
309 |
208 |
0% |
206–228 |
205–240 |
196–244 |
194–248 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru |
278 |
163 |
0% |
160–183 |
160–196 |
150–198 |
149–207 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK |
274 |
155 |
0% |
152–175 |
152–186 |
142–190 |
142–199 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats |
274 |
155 |
0% |
152–175 |
152–186 |
142–190 |
142–199 |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
301 |
147 |
0% |
146–171 |
146–173 |
141–176 |
141–188 |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party |
297 |
139 |
0% |
138–159 |
137–163 |
134–167 |
131–180 |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru |
266 |
95 |
0% |
93–117 |
93–119 |
87–124 |
87–139 |
Labour Party – Change UK |
262 |
85 |
0% |
85–105 |
84–111 |
80–115 |
80–131 |
Labour Party |
262 |
85 |
0% |
85–105 |
84–111 |
80–115 |
80–131 |
Conservative Party – Brexit Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
317 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0% |
100% |
|
353 |
0% |
100% |
|
354 |
0% |
100% |
|
355 |
0% |
100% |
|
356 |
0% |
100% |
|
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
359 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
360 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
361 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
362 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
363 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
364 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
365 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
366 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
367 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
368 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
369 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
370 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
371 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
372 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
373 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
374 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
375 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
376 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
377 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
378 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
379 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
380 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
381 |
0% |
94% |
|
382 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
383 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
384 |
0% |
94% |
|
385 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
386 |
0% |
94% |
|
387 |
0% |
94% |
|
388 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
389 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
390 |
13% |
92% |
|
391 |
1.2% |
80% |
|
392 |
4% |
78% |
|
393 |
4% |
74% |
|
394 |
0.2% |
70% |
|
395 |
0% |
70% |
|
396 |
0.1% |
70% |
|
397 |
0.1% |
70% |
|
398 |
0.3% |
70% |
|
399 |
2% |
69% |
|
400 |
0.7% |
67% |
|
401 |
0.2% |
66% |
|
402 |
6% |
66% |
|
403 |
0.3% |
60% |
|
404 |
1.5% |
60% |
|
405 |
3% |
58% |
|
406 |
0.5% |
55% |
Median |
407 |
3% |
55% |
|
408 |
0.3% |
52% |
|
409 |
0.5% |
51% |
|
410 |
0% |
51% |
|
411 |
37% |
51% |
|
412 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
413 |
9% |
14% |
|
414 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
415 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
416 |
0% |
4% |
|
417 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
418 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
419 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
420 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
421 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
422 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
423 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
424 |
2% |
3% |
|
425 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
426 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
427 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
428 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
429 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
430 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
431 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
432 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
433 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
434 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
435 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
436 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
329 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0% |
100% |
|
353 |
0% |
100% |
|
354 |
0% |
100% |
|
355 |
0% |
100% |
|
356 |
0% |
100% |
|
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0% |
100% |
|
359 |
0% |
100% |
|
360 |
0% |
100% |
|
361 |
0% |
100% |
|
362 |
0% |
100% |
|
363 |
0% |
100% |
|
364 |
0% |
100% |
|
365 |
0% |
100% |
|
366 |
0% |
100% |
|
367 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
368 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
369 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
370 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
371 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
372 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
373 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
374 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
375 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
376 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
377 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
378 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
379 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
380 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
381 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
382 |
2% |
98% |
|
383 |
0% |
96% |
|
384 |
0% |
96% |
|
385 |
4% |
96% |
|
386 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
387 |
0.1% |
91% |
|
388 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
389 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
390 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
391 |
0.1% |
89% |
|
392 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
393 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
394 |
6% |
87% |
|
395 |
1.0% |
82% |
|
396 |
5% |
81% |
|
397 |
0.1% |
76% |
|
398 |
41% |
76% |
Median |
399 |
13% |
35% |
|
400 |
2% |
22% |
|
401 |
3% |
21% |
|
402 |
9% |
18% |
|
403 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
404 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
405 |
2% |
9% |
|
406 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
407 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
408 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
409 |
0% |
6% |
|
410 |
2% |
6% |
|
411 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
412 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
413 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
414 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
415 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
416 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
417 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
418 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
419 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
420 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
421 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
422 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
423 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
424 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
425 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
426 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
427 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
428 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
429 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
430 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
431 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
432 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
433 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
434 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
435 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
329 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0% |
100% |
|
353 |
0% |
100% |
|
354 |
0% |
100% |
|
355 |
0% |
100% |
|
356 |
0% |
100% |
|
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0% |
100% |
|
359 |
0% |
100% |
|
360 |
0% |
100% |
|
361 |
0% |
100% |
|
362 |
0% |
100% |
|
363 |
0% |
100% |
|
364 |
0% |
100% |
|
365 |
0% |
100% |
|
366 |
0% |
100% |
|
367 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
368 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
369 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
370 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
371 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
372 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
373 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
374 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
375 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
376 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
377 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
378 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
379 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
380 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
381 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
382 |
2% |
98% |
|
383 |
0% |
96% |
|
384 |
0% |
96% |
|
385 |
4% |
96% |
|
386 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
387 |
0.1% |
91% |
|
388 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
389 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
390 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
391 |
0.1% |
89% |
|
392 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
393 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
394 |
6% |
87% |
|
395 |
1.0% |
82% |
|
396 |
5% |
81% |
|
397 |
0.1% |
76% |
|
398 |
41% |
76% |
Median |
399 |
13% |
35% |
|
400 |
2% |
22% |
|
401 |
3% |
21% |
|
402 |
9% |
18% |
|
403 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
404 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
405 |
2% |
9% |
|
406 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
407 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
408 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
409 |
0% |
6% |
|
410 |
2% |
6% |
|
411 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
412 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
413 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
414 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
415 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
416 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
417 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
418 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
419 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
420 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
421 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
422 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
423 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
424 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
425 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
426 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
427 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
428 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
429 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
430 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
431 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
432 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
433 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
434 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
435 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
356 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
357 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
358 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
359 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
360 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
361 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
362 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
363 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
364 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
365 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
366 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
367 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
368 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
369 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
370 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
371 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
372 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
373 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
374 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
375 |
0% |
94% |
|
376 |
0% |
94% |
|
377 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
378 |
0% |
93% |
|
379 |
0% |
93% |
|
380 |
6% |
93% |
|
381 |
2% |
87% |
|
382 |
0.1% |
85% |
|
383 |
4% |
85% |
|
384 |
0.1% |
80% |
|
385 |
0.8% |
80% |
|
386 |
4% |
80% |
|
387 |
0.2% |
76% |
|
388 |
0.2% |
76% |
|
389 |
49% |
76% |
Median |
390 |
4% |
27% |
|
391 |
3% |
23% |
|
392 |
0.6% |
20% |
|
393 |
0.4% |
19% |
|
394 |
0.1% |
19% |
|
395 |
0.1% |
19% |
|
396 |
0.9% |
19% |
|
397 |
9% |
18% |
|
398 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
399 |
2% |
9% |
|
400 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
401 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
402 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
403 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
404 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
405 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
406 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
407 |
0% |
4% |
|
408 |
0% |
4% |
|
409 |
2% |
4% |
|
410 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
411 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
412 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
413 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
414 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
415 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
416 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
417 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
418 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
419 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
420 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
421 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
422 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
423 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
424 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
425 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
426 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
427 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
428 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
429 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
430 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
431 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
432 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
433 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
434 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
348 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
349 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
350 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
351 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
352 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
353 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
354 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
355 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
356 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
357 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
358 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
359 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
360 |
0% |
97% |
|
361 |
0% |
97% |
|
362 |
2% |
97% |
|
363 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
364 |
0% |
95% |
|
365 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
366 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
367 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
368 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
369 |
0% |
93% |
|
370 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
371 |
6% |
93% |
|
372 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
373 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
374 |
5% |
87% |
|
375 |
0.2% |
82% |
|
376 |
0.5% |
82% |
|
377 |
5% |
81% |
|
378 |
0.2% |
76% |
|
379 |
4% |
76% |
|
380 |
12% |
72% |
|
381 |
38% |
60% |
Median |
382 |
1.1% |
22% |
|
383 |
0.8% |
21% |
|
384 |
0% |
20% |
|
385 |
0.9% |
20% |
|
386 |
2% |
19% |
|
387 |
0.9% |
16% |
|
388 |
0.1% |
16% |
|
389 |
9% |
16% |
|
390 |
0% |
7% |
|
391 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
392 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
393 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
394 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
395 |
0% |
6% |
|
396 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
397 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
398 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
399 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
400 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
401 |
0% |
4% |
|
402 |
2% |
4% |
|
403 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
404 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
405 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
406 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
407 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
408 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
409 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
410 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
411 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
412 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
413 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
414 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
415 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
416 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
417 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
418 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
419 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
420 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
421 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
422 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
423 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
424 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
425 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
426 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
427 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
302 |
0% |
100% |
|
303 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
304 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
305 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
306 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
307 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
308 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
309 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
310 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
311 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
312 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
313 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
314 |
0% |
98% |
|
315 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
316 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
317 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
318 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
319 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
320 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
321 |
0.9% |
96% |
Last Result |
322 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
323 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
324 |
0% |
93% |
|
325 |
0% |
93% |
|
326 |
0% |
93% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
93% |
|
328 |
6% |
93% |
|
329 |
5% |
87% |
|
330 |
0% |
83% |
|
331 |
1.0% |
83% |
|
332 |
3% |
82% |
|
333 |
0.6% |
79% |
|
334 |
2% |
78% |
|
335 |
12% |
76% |
|
336 |
38% |
64% |
Median |
337 |
4% |
26% |
|
338 |
0.1% |
23% |
|
339 |
2% |
23% |
|
340 |
0.2% |
21% |
|
341 |
1.0% |
21% |
|
342 |
1.3% |
20% |
|
343 |
9% |
19% |
|
344 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
345 |
0% |
9% |
|
346 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
347 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
348 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
349 |
2% |
9% |
|
350 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
351 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
352 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
353 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
354 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
355 |
2% |
4% |
|
356 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
357 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
358 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
359 |
0% |
2% |
|
360 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
361 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
362 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
363 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
364 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
365 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
366 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
367 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
368 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
369 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
370 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
371 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
372 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
373 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
374 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
375 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
376 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
377 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
378 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
379 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
380 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
381 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
382 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Change UK
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
297 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
298 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
299 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
300 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
301 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
302 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
303 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
304 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
305 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
306 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
307 |
0% |
97% |
|
308 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
309 |
0% |
97% |
|
310 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
311 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
312 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
313 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
314 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
315 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
316 |
0% |
93% |
|
317 |
0% |
93% |
Last Result |
318 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
319 |
6% |
93% |
|
320 |
3% |
87% |
|
321 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
322 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
323 |
5% |
83% |
|
324 |
0% |
79% |
|
325 |
0.1% |
79% |
|
326 |
16% |
78% |
Majority |
327 |
2% |
63% |
|
328 |
37% |
61% |
Median |
329 |
3% |
24% |
|
330 |
0.1% |
21% |
|
331 |
0.8% |
21% |
|
332 |
2% |
20% |
|
333 |
1.0% |
19% |
|
334 |
0.1% |
18% |
|
335 |
9% |
18% |
|
336 |
2% |
9% |
|
337 |
0% |
7% |
|
338 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
339 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
340 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
341 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
342 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
343 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
344 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
345 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
346 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
347 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
348 |
2% |
4% |
|
349 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
350 |
0% |
2% |
|
351 |
0% |
2% |
|
352 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
353 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
354 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
355 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
356 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
357 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
358 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
359 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
360 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
361 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
362 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
363 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
364 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
365 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
366 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
367 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
368 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
369 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
370 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
371 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
372 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
373 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
374 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
375 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
297 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
298 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
299 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
300 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
301 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
302 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
303 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
304 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
305 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
306 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
307 |
0% |
97% |
|
308 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
309 |
0% |
97% |
|
310 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
311 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
312 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
313 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
314 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
315 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
316 |
0% |
93% |
|
317 |
0% |
93% |
Last Result |
318 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
319 |
6% |
93% |
|
320 |
3% |
87% |
|
321 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
322 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
323 |
5% |
83% |
|
324 |
0% |
79% |
|
325 |
0.1% |
79% |
|
326 |
16% |
78% |
Majority |
327 |
2% |
63% |
|
328 |
37% |
61% |
Median |
329 |
3% |
24% |
|
330 |
0.1% |
21% |
|
331 |
0.8% |
21% |
|
332 |
2% |
20% |
|
333 |
1.0% |
19% |
|
334 |
0.1% |
18% |
|
335 |
9% |
18% |
|
336 |
2% |
9% |
|
337 |
0% |
7% |
|
338 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
339 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
340 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
341 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
342 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
343 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
344 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
345 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
346 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
347 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
348 |
2% |
4% |
|
349 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
350 |
0% |
2% |
|
351 |
0% |
2% |
|
352 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
353 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
354 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
355 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
356 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
357 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
358 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
359 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
360 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
361 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
362 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
363 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
364 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
365 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
366 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
367 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
368 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
369 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
370 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
371 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
372 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
373 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
374 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
375 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
193 |
0% |
100% |
|
194 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
195 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
196 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
197 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
198 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
199 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
200 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
201 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
202 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
203 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
204 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
205 |
0% |
97% |
|
206 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
207 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
208 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
209 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
210 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
211 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
212 |
0% |
96% |
|
213 |
0% |
96% |
|
214 |
9% |
96% |
|
215 |
0.5% |
87% |
|
216 |
37% |
86% |
Median |
217 |
0.1% |
49% |
|
218 |
0.7% |
49% |
|
219 |
0.2% |
49% |
|
220 |
3% |
48% |
|
221 |
0.5% |
45% |
|
222 |
3% |
45% |
|
223 |
0.1% |
42% |
|
224 |
2% |
42% |
|
225 |
0.4% |
40% |
|
226 |
6% |
40% |
|
227 |
2% |
33% |
|
228 |
1.0% |
32% |
|
229 |
0% |
31% |
|
230 |
0.2% |
31% |
|
231 |
0% |
30% |
|
232 |
0.1% |
30% |
|
233 |
0% |
30% |
|
234 |
4% |
30% |
|
235 |
0.2% |
26% |
|
236 |
4% |
26% |
|
237 |
14% |
22% |
|
238 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
239 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
240 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
241 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
242 |
0% |
6% |
|
243 |
0% |
6% |
|
244 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
245 |
0% |
6% |
|
246 |
0% |
6% |
|
247 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
248 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
249 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
250 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
251 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
252 |
2% |
3% |
|
253 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
254 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
255 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
256 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
257 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
258 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
259 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
260 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
261 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
262 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
263 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
264 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
265 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
266 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
267 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
268 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
269 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
270 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
|
302 |
0% |
0% |
|
303 |
0% |
0% |
|
304 |
0% |
0% |
|
305 |
0% |
0% |
|
306 |
0% |
0% |
|
307 |
0% |
0% |
|
308 |
0% |
0% |
|
309 |
0% |
0% |
|
310 |
0% |
0% |
|
311 |
0% |
0% |
|
312 |
0% |
0% |
|
313 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
183 |
0% |
100% |
|
184 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
185 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
186 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
187 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
188 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
189 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
190 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
191 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
192 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
193 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
194 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
195 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
196 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
197 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
198 |
0% |
96% |
|
199 |
0% |
96% |
|
200 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
201 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
202 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
203 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
204 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
205 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
206 |
9% |
95% |
|
207 |
0% |
86% |
|
208 |
37% |
86% |
Median |
209 |
5% |
49% |
|
210 |
0.1% |
44% |
|
211 |
0.4% |
44% |
|
212 |
0.1% |
44% |
|
213 |
2% |
43% |
|
214 |
1.5% |
42% |
|
215 |
0.1% |
40% |
|
216 |
0.3% |
40% |
|
217 |
6% |
40% |
|
218 |
0.2% |
34% |
|
219 |
1.1% |
34% |
|
220 |
2% |
33% |
|
221 |
0.1% |
31% |
|
222 |
0.5% |
31% |
|
223 |
0.3% |
30% |
|
224 |
4% |
30% |
|
225 |
0% |
26% |
|
226 |
0% |
26% |
|
227 |
0% |
26% |
|
228 |
17% |
26% |
|
229 |
2% |
10% |
|
230 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
231 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
232 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
233 |
0% |
7% |
|
234 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
235 |
0% |
6% |
|
236 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
237 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
238 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
239 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
240 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
241 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
242 |
0% |
3% |
|
243 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
244 |
2% |
3% |
|
245 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
246 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
247 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
248 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
249 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
250 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
251 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
252 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
253 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
254 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
255 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
256 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
257 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
258 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
259 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
260 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
261 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
262 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
263 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
264 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
265 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
266 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
|
302 |
0% |
0% |
|
303 |
0% |
0% |
|
304 |
0% |
0% |
|
305 |
0% |
0% |
|
306 |
0% |
0% |
|
307 |
0% |
0% |
|
308 |
0% |
0% |
|
309 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
143 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
144 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
145 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
146 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
147 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
148 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
149 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
150 |
0% |
98% |
|
151 |
0% |
97% |
|
152 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
153 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
154 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
155 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
156 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
157 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
158 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
159 |
0% |
96% |
|
160 |
9% |
96% |
|
161 |
0% |
87% |
|
162 |
0% |
87% |
|
163 |
37% |
87% |
Median |
164 |
0.1% |
50% |
|
165 |
0.5% |
50% |
|
166 |
0.1% |
49% |
|
167 |
4% |
49% |
|
168 |
1.3% |
45% |
|
169 |
0.1% |
44% |
|
170 |
0.4% |
44% |
|
171 |
0.6% |
44% |
|
172 |
3% |
43% |
|
173 |
0.1% |
40% |
|
174 |
6% |
40% |
|
175 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
176 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
177 |
0.2% |
34% |
|
178 |
1.2% |
34% |
|
179 |
0.4% |
32% |
|
180 |
6% |
32% |
|
181 |
0.2% |
26% |
|
182 |
4% |
26% |
|
183 |
12% |
22% |
|
184 |
1.2% |
10% |
|
185 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
186 |
0% |
8% |
|
187 |
0.5% |
8% |
|
188 |
0% |
8% |
|
189 |
0% |
8% |
|
190 |
0% |
8% |
|
191 |
0% |
8% |
|
192 |
1.5% |
8% |
|
193 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
194 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
195 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
196 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
197 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
198 |
2% |
4% |
|
199 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
200 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
201 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
202 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
203 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
204 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
205 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
206 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
207 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
208 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
209 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
210 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
211 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
212 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
213 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
214 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
215 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
216 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
217 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
218 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
219 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
136 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
137 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
138 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
139 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
140 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
141 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
142 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
143 |
0% |
97% |
|
144 |
0% |
97% |
|
145 |
0% |
97% |
|
146 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
147 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
148 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
149 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
150 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
151 |
0% |
96% |
|
152 |
9% |
96% |
|
153 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
154 |
0.4% |
86% |
|
155 |
37% |
86% |
Median |
156 |
3% |
49% |
|
157 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
158 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
159 |
3% |
46% |
|
160 |
0.1% |
42% |
|
161 |
0.5% |
42% |
|
162 |
2% |
42% |
|
163 |
0% |
40% |
|
164 |
0.3% |
40% |
|
165 |
6% |
40% |
|
166 |
0.2% |
34% |
|
167 |
0.2% |
34% |
|
168 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
169 |
1.0% |
34% |
|
170 |
4% |
33% |
|
171 |
0.2% |
29% |
|
172 |
0.2% |
29% |
|
173 |
2% |
29% |
|
174 |
17% |
27% |
|
175 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
176 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
177 |
0% |
8% |
|
178 |
0% |
8% |
|
179 |
0% |
8% |
|
180 |
0% |
8% |
|
181 |
0% |
8% |
|
182 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
183 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
184 |
0% |
7% |
|
185 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
186 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
187 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
188 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
189 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
190 |
2% |
3% |
|
191 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
192 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
193 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
194 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
195 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
196 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
197 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
198 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
199 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
200 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
201 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
202 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
203 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
204 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
205 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
206 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
207 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
208 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
209 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
210 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
211 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
212 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
213 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
214 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
215 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
136 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
137 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
138 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
139 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
140 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
141 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
142 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
143 |
0% |
97% |
|
144 |
0% |
97% |
|
145 |
0% |
97% |
|
146 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
147 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
148 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
149 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
150 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
151 |
0% |
96% |
|
152 |
9% |
96% |
|
153 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
154 |
0.4% |
86% |
|
155 |
37% |
86% |
Median |
156 |
3% |
49% |
|
157 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
158 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
159 |
3% |
46% |
|
160 |
0.1% |
42% |
|
161 |
0.5% |
42% |
|
162 |
2% |
42% |
|
163 |
0% |
40% |
|
164 |
0.3% |
40% |
|
165 |
6% |
40% |
|
166 |
0.2% |
34% |
|
167 |
0.2% |
34% |
|
168 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
169 |
1.0% |
34% |
|
170 |
4% |
33% |
|
171 |
0.2% |
29% |
|
172 |
0.2% |
29% |
|
173 |
2% |
29% |
|
174 |
17% |
27% |
|
175 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
176 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
177 |
0% |
8% |
|
178 |
0% |
8% |
|
179 |
0% |
8% |
|
180 |
0% |
8% |
|
181 |
0% |
8% |
|
182 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
183 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
184 |
0% |
7% |
|
185 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
186 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
187 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
188 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
189 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
190 |
2% |
3% |
|
191 |
0% |
1.4% |
|
192 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
193 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
194 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
195 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
196 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
197 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
198 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
199 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
200 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
201 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
202 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
203 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
204 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
205 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
206 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
207 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
208 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
209 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
210 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
211 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
212 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
213 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
214 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
215 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
130 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
131 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
132 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
133 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
134 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
135 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
136 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
137 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
138 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
139 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
140 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
141 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
143 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
144 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
145 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
146 |
37% |
96% |
Median |
147 |
9% |
59% |
|
148 |
3% |
50% |
|
149 |
0.4% |
46% |
|
150 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
151 |
6% |
46% |
|
152 |
0.6% |
40% |
|
153 |
5% |
40% |
|
154 |
0.1% |
35% |
|
155 |
0.5% |
34% |
|
156 |
0% |
34% |
|
157 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
158 |
0.2% |
34% |
|
159 |
2% |
34% |
|
160 |
0.9% |
32% |
|
161 |
5% |
31% |
|
162 |
0% |
27% |
|
163 |
0.4% |
27% |
|
164 |
12% |
26% |
|
165 |
1.4% |
14% |
|
166 |
0.6% |
12% |
|
167 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
168 |
1.3% |
12% |
|
169 |
0% |
10% |
|
170 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
171 |
4% |
10% |
|
172 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
173 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
174 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
175 |
2% |
4% |
|
176 |
0% |
3% |
|
177 |
0% |
2% |
|
178 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
179 |
0% |
2% |
|
180 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
181 |
0% |
2% |
|
182 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
183 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
184 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
185 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
186 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
187 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
188 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
189 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
190 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
191 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
192 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
193 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
194 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
195 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
196 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
197 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
198 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
199 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
200 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
201 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
122 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
123 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
124 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
125 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
126 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
127 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
128 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
129 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
130 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
131 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
132 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
133 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
134 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
135 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
136 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
137 |
3% |
96% |
|
138 |
37% |
93% |
Median |
139 |
9% |
55% |
|
140 |
2% |
46% |
|
141 |
0.4% |
44% |
|
142 |
6% |
44% |
|
143 |
1.2% |
38% |
|
144 |
0.3% |
37% |
|
145 |
0.1% |
36% |
|
146 |
2% |
36% |
|
147 |
0.2% |
34% |
|
148 |
0% |
34% |
|
149 |
0% |
34% |
|
150 |
1.1% |
34% |
|
151 |
2% |
33% |
|
152 |
0.5% |
31% |
|
153 |
0% |
31% |
|
154 |
0.2% |
31% |
|
155 |
17% |
31% |
|
156 |
0.2% |
14% |
|
157 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
158 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
159 |
4% |
12% |
|
160 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
161 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
162 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
163 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
164 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
165 |
0% |
4% |
|
166 |
0% |
4% |
|
167 |
2% |
4% |
|
168 |
0% |
2% |
|
169 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
170 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
171 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
172 |
0% |
2% |
|
173 |
0% |
2% |
|
174 |
0% |
2% |
|
175 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
176 |
0% |
2% |
|
177 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
178 |
0% |
2% |
|
179 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
180 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
181 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
182 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
183 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
184 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
185 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
186 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
187 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
188 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
189 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
190 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
191 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
192 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
193 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
86 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
0% |
97% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
91 |
0% |
97% |
|
92 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
93 |
46% |
96% |
Median |
94 |
0.3% |
50% |
|
95 |
4% |
50% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
47% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
47% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
99 |
6% |
46% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
40% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
40% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
39% |
|
103 |
2% |
38% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
36% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
36% |
|
106 |
3% |
35% |
|
107 |
4% |
33% |
|
108 |
0.5% |
28% |
|
109 |
1.5% |
28% |
|
110 |
12% |
26% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
112 |
0.6% |
14% |
|
113 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
114 |
0% |
13% |
|
115 |
2% |
13% |
|
116 |
0% |
11% |
|
117 |
3% |
11% |
|
118 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
119 |
2% |
7% |
|
120 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
121 |
2% |
5% |
|
122 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
123 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
124 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
125 |
0% |
2% |
|
126 |
0% |
2% |
|
127 |
0% |
2% |
|
128 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
129 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
130 |
0% |
2% |
|
131 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
132 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
133 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
134 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
135 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
136 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
137 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
138 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
139 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
140 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
141 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
142 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
143 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
144 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
145 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
146 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
147 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
148 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
149 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
150 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
|
171 |
0% |
0% |
|
172 |
0% |
0% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
176 |
0% |
0% |
|
177 |
0% |
0% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
180 |
0% |
0% |
|
181 |
0% |
0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
183 |
0% |
0% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Change UK
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
84 |
3% |
96% |
|
85 |
46% |
93% |
Median |
86 |
0.1% |
47% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
47% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
46% |
|
90 |
8% |
46% |
|
91 |
1.2% |
38% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
37% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
37% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
36% |
|
95 |
0% |
36% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
36% |
|
97 |
2% |
36% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
99 |
2% |
34% |
|
100 |
0.9% |
33% |
|
101 |
17% |
32% |
|
102 |
0.6% |
15% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
14% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
105 |
4% |
13% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
10% |
|
107 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
108 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
109 |
2% |
8% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
111 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
112 |
0% |
5% |
|
113 |
2% |
5% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
116 |
0% |
2% |
|
117 |
0% |
2% |
|
118 |
0% |
2% |
|
119 |
0% |
2% |
|
120 |
0% |
2% |
|
121 |
0% |
2% |
|
122 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
123 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
124 |
0% |
2% |
|
125 |
0% |
2% |
|
126 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
127 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
128 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
129 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
130 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
131 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
132 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
133 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
134 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
135 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
136 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
137 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
138 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
139 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
140 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
|
171 |
0% |
0% |
|
172 |
0% |
0% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
176 |
0% |
0% |
|
177 |
0% |
0% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
180 |
0% |
0% |
|
181 |
0% |
0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
183 |
0% |
0% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
84 |
3% |
96% |
|
85 |
46% |
93% |
Median |
86 |
0.1% |
47% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
47% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
46% |
|
90 |
8% |
46% |
|
91 |
1.2% |
38% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
37% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
37% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
36% |
|
95 |
0% |
36% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
36% |
|
97 |
2% |
36% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
99 |
2% |
34% |
|
100 |
0.9% |
33% |
|
101 |
17% |
32% |
|
102 |
0.6% |
15% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
14% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
105 |
4% |
13% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
10% |
|
107 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
108 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
109 |
2% |
8% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
111 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
112 |
0% |
5% |
|
113 |
2% |
5% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
116 |
0% |
2% |
|
117 |
0% |
2% |
|
118 |
0% |
2% |
|
119 |
0% |
2% |
|
120 |
0% |
2% |
|
121 |
0% |
2% |
|
122 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
123 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
124 |
0% |
2% |
|
125 |
0% |
2% |
|
126 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
127 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
128 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
129 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
130 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
131 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
132 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
133 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
134 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
135 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
136 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
137 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
138 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
139 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
140 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
|
171 |
0% |
0% |
|
172 |
0% |
0% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
176 |
0% |
0% |
|
177 |
0% |
0% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
180 |
0% |
0% |
|
181 |
0% |
0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
183 |
0% |
0% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): The Sunday Times
- Fieldwork period: 22–23 August 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 2019
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.27%