Opinion Poll by Deltapoll for The Sun on Sunday, 5–7 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 30.9% 29.6–32.3% 29.3–32.7% 29.0–33.0% 28.4–33.6%
Labour Party 40.0% 27.9% 26.7–29.2% 26.3–29.6% 26.0–29.9% 25.4–30.5%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 16.9% 15.9–18.0% 15.6–18.4% 15.4–18.6% 14.9–19.2%
Brexit Party 0.0% 13.0% 12.1–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.5% 11.2–15.0%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.0% 3.9–6.4%
Green Party 1.6% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 265 238–283 231–290 219–291 216–305
Labour Party 262 216 197–239 193–245 191–261 183–265
Liberal Democrats 12 58 54–66 53–67 52–68 47–71
Brexit Party 0 29 19–40 19–43 19–45 14–47
Scottish National Party 35 53 53–54 53–54 53–54 53–54
Green Party 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Plaid Cymru 4 4 4–9 4–9 4–10 3–11
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0.2% 100%  
207 0% 99.8%  
208 0% 99.8%  
209 0% 99.8%  
210 0% 99.8%  
211 0.1% 99.8%  
212 0% 99.7%  
213 0% 99.7%  
214 0% 99.7%  
215 0.1% 99.6%  
216 0.1% 99.6%  
217 0.1% 99.5%  
218 0.1% 99.4%  
219 2% 99.3%  
220 0.1% 97%  
221 0% 97%  
222 0.4% 97%  
223 0.1% 97%  
224 0% 97%  
225 0% 97%  
226 0.2% 97%  
227 0.4% 97%  
228 0% 96%  
229 0% 96%  
230 0.2% 96%  
231 1.1% 96%  
232 0.1% 95%  
233 0.3% 95%  
234 0.3% 94%  
235 0% 94%  
236 0% 94%  
237 0.1% 94%  
238 4% 94%  
239 0.1% 90%  
240 0.3% 90%  
241 0.1% 90%  
242 0% 90%  
243 0.1% 90%  
244 1.0% 89%  
245 0.5% 88%  
246 0.1% 88%  
247 0.2% 88%  
248 2% 88%  
249 1.1% 86%  
250 0.4% 85%  
251 0.1% 85%  
252 15% 85%  
253 2% 70%  
254 0.1% 68%  
255 0% 67%  
256 1.0% 67%  
257 0.1% 66%  
258 1.2% 66%  
259 0.1% 65%  
260 0.1% 65%  
261 5% 65%  
262 3% 59%  
263 3% 57%  
264 0.3% 54%  
265 5% 54% Median
266 2% 49%  
267 2% 47%  
268 0.2% 45%  
269 0.1% 45%  
270 0.2% 45%  
271 2% 45%  
272 2% 43%  
273 3% 41%  
274 3% 38%  
275 0.4% 35%  
276 3% 35%  
277 0.5% 32%  
278 2% 31%  
279 11% 30%  
280 5% 19%  
281 1.5% 13%  
282 2% 12%  
283 0.5% 10%  
284 0.1% 10%  
285 1.4% 10%  
286 1.2% 8%  
287 1.1% 7%  
288 0.9% 6%  
289 0% 5%  
290 0.2% 5%  
291 3% 5%  
292 0% 1.5%  
293 0.1% 1.5%  
294 0.4% 1.4%  
295 0% 1.0%  
296 0% 0.9%  
297 0.1% 0.9%  
298 0% 0.9%  
299 0.1% 0.8%  
300 0% 0.8%  
301 0% 0.8%  
302 0% 0.7%  
303 0.1% 0.7%  
304 0% 0.6%  
305 0.5% 0.6%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.8%  
175 0% 99.8%  
176 0.1% 99.8%  
177 0% 99.6%  
178 0% 99.6%  
179 0% 99.6%  
180 0% 99.5%  
181 0% 99.5%  
182 0% 99.5%  
183 0% 99.5%  
184 0.2% 99.5%  
185 0.7% 99.3%  
186 0.2% 98.6%  
187 0.2% 98%  
188 0.1% 98%  
189 0.1% 98%  
190 0.1% 98%  
191 2% 98%  
192 0.5% 96%  
193 2% 96%  
194 0.1% 94%  
195 0% 94%  
196 0.1% 94%  
197 4% 94%  
198 4% 90%  
199 0.4% 86%  
200 0.3% 85%  
201 2% 85%  
202 1.3% 83%  
203 0.4% 82%  
204 1.4% 81%  
205 3% 80%  
206 2% 76%  
207 0.7% 75%  
208 5% 74%  
209 1.3% 69%  
210 0.3% 67%  
211 1.3% 67%  
212 0.9% 66%  
213 0.1% 65%  
214 2% 65%  
215 0.2% 63%  
216 17% 62% Median
217 6% 45%  
218 2% 39%  
219 0.1% 37%  
220 0.4% 37%  
221 0.7% 36%  
222 3% 36%  
223 0.1% 33%  
224 2% 33%  
225 0.7% 31%  
226 0.5% 30%  
227 0.1% 30%  
228 1.4% 30%  
229 0% 28%  
230 0.3% 28%  
231 0.2% 28%  
232 0% 28%  
233 0.1% 28%  
234 0.6% 28%  
235 0.2% 27%  
236 0% 27%  
237 0.3% 27%  
238 1.0% 27%  
239 19% 25%  
240 0% 6%  
241 0.8% 6%  
242 0.1% 5%  
243 0.1% 5%  
244 0% 5%  
245 0.3% 5%  
246 0.2% 5%  
247 0% 5%  
248 0.1% 5%  
249 0.1% 5%  
250 0.2% 5%  
251 0% 4%  
252 0% 4%  
253 0% 4%  
254 0.3% 4%  
255 1.0% 4%  
256 0% 3%  
257 0.4% 3%  
258 0% 3%  
259 0% 3%  
260 0% 3%  
261 2% 3%  
262 0% 0.7% Last Result
263 0.1% 0.6%  
264 0% 0.5%  
265 0% 0.5%  
266 0% 0.5%  
267 0% 0.5%  
268 0.1% 0.5%  
269 0% 0.4%  
270 0% 0.3%  
271 0% 0.3%  
272 0% 0.3%  
273 0.1% 0.3%  
274 0.2% 0.2%  
275 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0.4% 99.9%  
47 1.0% 99.5%  
48 0.1% 98%  
49 0.1% 98%  
50 0% 98%  
51 0.5% 98%  
52 2% 98%  
53 0.7% 95%  
54 6% 95%  
55 15% 89%  
56 7% 74%  
57 6% 68%  
58 19% 62% Median
59 9% 43%  
60 1.4% 34%  
61 2% 33%  
62 6% 30%  
63 13% 24%  
64 0.3% 11%  
65 0.2% 11%  
66 5% 11%  
67 3% 5%  
68 1.2% 3%  
69 0.1% 1.4%  
70 0.1% 1.3%  
71 0.9% 1.2%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0.1% 99.9%  
13 0.1% 99.8%  
14 0.4% 99.7%  
15 0.1% 99.3%  
16 0.6% 99.2%  
17 0.1% 98.6%  
18 0.1% 98%  
19 11% 98%  
20 2% 88%  
21 0.2% 86%  
22 2% 86%  
23 2% 83%  
24 16% 81%  
25 4% 65%  
26 0.4% 61%  
27 6% 61%  
28 2% 55%  
29 4% 53% Median
30 25% 49%  
31 2% 23%  
32 3% 22%  
33 0.5% 19%  
34 0% 18%  
35 2% 18%  
36 2% 16%  
37 0.2% 14%  
38 0.5% 14%  
39 3% 13%  
40 0.6% 10%  
41 0.1% 10%  
42 0.6% 10%  
43 5% 9%  
44 1.0% 4%  
45 3% 3%  
46 0.1% 0.9%  
47 0.3% 0.8%  
48 0.3% 0.5%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0% 99.7%  
53 70% 99.7% Median
54 29% 30%  
55 0.3% 0.3%  
56 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 17% 100% Last Result
2 82% 83% Median
3 0.3% 0.4%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.1% 100%  
4 52% 98.9% Last Result, Median
5 7% 47%  
6 0.2% 40%  
7 11% 39%  
8 18% 29%  
9 8% 11%  
10 1.3% 3%  
11 1.5% 2%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 334 68% 315–362 309–370 308–383 298–389
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 329 54% 308–356 305–364 301–376 291–385
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 326 52% 296–343 292–348 277–350 273–366
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 324 49% 304–340 297–346 286–346 280–358
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 319 43% 292–336 285–343 272–344 269–358
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 280 3% 261–309 256–317 255–330 244–336
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 275 2% 255–303 252–311 248–323 237–332
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 277 0.5% 257–296 252–303 250–318 242–324
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 270 0.3% 251–292 246–298 245–314 237–318
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 272 0% 243–290 239–295 223–296 220–313
Conservative Party 317 265 0% 238–283 231–290 219–291 216–305
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 223 0% 203–243 198–250 197–265 189–271
Labour Party 262 216 0% 197–239 193–245 191–261 183–265

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
285 0.1% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.8%  
290 0% 99.8%  
291 0% 99.8%  
292 0% 99.8%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0% 99.6%  
297 0% 99.6%  
298 0.1% 99.5%  
299 0.7% 99.5%  
300 0.1% 98.8%  
301 0.1% 98.7%  
302 0% 98.6%  
303 0.1% 98.6%  
304 0.1% 98.6%  
305 0.3% 98%  
306 0.6% 98%  
307 0% 98%  
308 0.6% 98%  
309 3% 97%  
310 1.3% 94%  
311 0.1% 92%  
312 0.1% 92%  
313 0.1% 92% Last Result
314 2% 92%  
315 2% 90%  
316 0% 88%  
317 2% 88%  
318 0.2% 86%  
319 0.6% 86%  
320 5% 86%  
321 2% 81%  
322 4% 79%  
323 1.0% 75%  
324 4% 74%  
325 2% 70%  
326 0% 68% Majority
327 0.3% 68%  
328 3% 68%  
329 0% 65%  
330 2% 65%  
331 0.4% 63% Median
332 11% 62%  
333 0.4% 51%  
334 0.9% 51%  
335 3% 50%  
336 4% 47%  
337 0.8% 43%  
338 6% 42%  
339 1.1% 36%  
340 2% 35%  
341 0.2% 33%  
342 1.4% 33%  
343 0.1% 32%  
344 0.2% 31%  
345 0.2% 31%  
346 1.2% 31%  
347 0.8% 30%  
348 0% 29%  
349 0.6% 29%  
350 0.2% 28%  
351 0.4% 28%  
352 0.6% 28%  
353 0.3% 27%  
354 15% 27%  
355 0% 12%  
356 0% 12%  
357 0.2% 12%  
358 0.2% 12%  
359 0.7% 12%  
360 0% 11%  
361 0% 11%  
362 5% 11%  
363 0.1% 6%  
364 0.1% 6%  
365 0% 6%  
366 0.2% 6%  
367 0.1% 6%  
368 0.5% 6%  
369 0.1% 5%  
370 0.4% 5%  
371 0% 5%  
372 0.4% 5%  
373 0.9% 4%  
374 0% 3%  
375 0% 3%  
376 0% 3%  
377 0.1% 3%  
378 0% 3%  
379 0.1% 3%  
380 0.4% 3%  
381 0.1% 3%  
382 0% 3%  
383 0% 3%  
384 0% 2%  
385 2% 2%  
386 0% 0.6%  
387 0% 0.6%  
388 0% 0.6%  
389 0.1% 0.5%  
390 0.1% 0.5%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0% 0.3%  
393 0% 0.3%  
394 0% 0.3%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0.2% 0.2%  
398 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0.2% 99.7%  
289 0% 99.6%  
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0.7% 99.5%  
292 0% 98.9%  
293 0.1% 98.9%  
294 0.1% 98.8%  
295 0% 98.7%  
296 0.2% 98.7%  
297 0% 98%  
298 0.6% 98%  
299 0% 98%  
300 0.3% 98%  
301 0% 98%  
302 0% 97%  
303 0.1% 97%  
304 0.6% 97%  
305 3% 97%  
306 1.4% 93%  
307 0.1% 92%  
308 2% 92%  
309 2% 90% Last Result
310 2% 88%  
311 0.8% 87%  
312 0.1% 86%  
313 3% 86%  
314 0.5% 83%  
315 8% 82%  
316 0.3% 75%  
317 3% 74%  
318 2% 71%  
319 0.3% 70%  
320 0% 70%  
321 3% 70%  
322 0% 67%  
323 0.1% 67%  
324 13% 66%  
325 0.2% 54%  
326 3% 54% Majority
327 0.4% 51% Median
328 0.1% 51%  
329 4% 51%  
330 2% 46%  
331 3% 44%  
332 0.1% 41%  
333 0.6% 41%  
334 5% 40%  
335 1.4% 35%  
336 2% 34%  
337 0.1% 32%  
338 1.3% 31%  
339 0.1% 30%  
340 0.1% 30%  
341 0.7% 30%  
342 0% 29%  
343 0.8% 29%  
344 0.6% 28%  
345 0.4% 28%  
346 0.1% 27%  
347 0.2% 27%  
348 0.1% 27%  
349 0.3% 27%  
350 15% 27%  
351 0.1% 12%  
352 0% 12%  
353 0% 12%  
354 1.1% 12%  
355 0.7% 11%  
356 0.1% 10%  
357 0% 10%  
358 4% 10%  
359 0% 6%  
360 0.1% 6%  
361 0% 6%  
362 0.1% 6%  
363 0.6% 6%  
364 0.3% 5%  
365 1.1% 5%  
366 0.3% 4%  
367 0% 3%  
368 0% 3%  
369 0% 3%  
370 0.2% 3%  
371 0.4% 3%  
372 0% 3%  
373 0% 3%  
374 0.2% 3%  
375 0.1% 3%  
376 0% 3%  
377 0% 2%  
378 0% 2%  
379 0% 2%  
380 0% 2%  
381 2% 2%  
382 0% 0.5%  
383 0% 0.5%  
384 0% 0.5%  
385 0% 0.5%  
386 0.1% 0.5%  
387 0.2% 0.4%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0.2% 0.2%  
394 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0.2% 100%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.8%  
270 0% 99.8%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0.2% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.6%  
274 0% 99.5%  
275 0% 99.5%  
276 2% 99.4%  
277 0.1% 98%  
278 0% 97%  
279 0% 97%  
280 0% 97%  
281 0% 97%  
282 0% 97%  
283 0.2% 97%  
284 0.4% 97%  
285 0.1% 97%  
286 0% 97%  
287 0% 97%  
288 0% 97%  
289 0.6% 97%  
290 0.5% 96%  
291 0% 95%  
292 1.2% 95%  
293 0% 94%  
294 0% 94%  
295 4% 94%  
296 0.2% 90%  
297 0.1% 90%  
298 0.1% 90%  
299 0% 90%  
300 0% 90%  
301 0.1% 90%  
302 0% 90%  
303 0% 90%  
304 0.1% 90%  
305 1.1% 89%  
306 1.0% 88%  
307 0.3% 87%  
308 0% 87%  
309 16% 87%  
310 1.0% 71%  
311 2% 70%  
312 0% 68%  
313 0.9% 68%  
314 0% 67%  
315 0.2% 67%  
316 0.2% 67%  
317 0.2% 66%  
318 0% 66%  
319 5% 66%  
320 3% 61%  
321 0.6% 58%  
322 0% 57% Median
323 2% 57%  
324 3% 55%  
325 0.2% 52%  
326 5% 52% Majority
327 0.1% 47%  
328 1.2% 47%  
329 1.5% 46%  
330 2% 44%  
331 4% 42%  
332 0.1% 38%  
333 2% 38%  
334 0% 36%  
335 2% 36%  
336 0.5% 34%  
337 0.6% 33%  
338 8% 33%  
339 4% 25%  
340 11% 22%  
341 0.3% 11%  
342 0.1% 10%  
343 1.2% 10%  
344 0.6% 9%  
345 2% 9%  
346 0% 7%  
347 0% 7%  
348 3% 7%  
349 0.2% 3%  
350 0.7% 3%  
351 1.0% 2%  
352 0.1% 1.2%  
353 0% 1.1%  
354 0.1% 1.1%  
355 0% 1.0%  
356 0% 1.0% Last Result
357 0% 0.9%  
358 0% 0.9%  
359 0.1% 0.9%  
360 0% 0.9%  
361 0% 0.8%  
362 0.1% 0.8%  
363 0% 0.6%  
364 0% 0.6%  
365 0% 0.6%  
366 0.5% 0.6%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0.2% 100%  
273 0% 99.8%  
274 0% 99.8%  
275 0% 99.8%  
276 0.1% 99.8%  
277 0.1% 99.7%  
278 0.1% 99.6%  
279 0% 99.5%  
280 0% 99.5%  
281 0% 99.5%  
282 0% 99.5%  
283 0.4% 99.4%  
284 0.1% 99.1%  
285 0% 98.9%  
286 2% 98.9%  
287 0.1% 97%  
288 0.9% 97%  
289 0% 96%  
290 0.1% 96%  
291 0% 96%  
292 0.3% 96%  
293 0.2% 95%  
294 0% 95%  
295 0% 95%  
296 0% 95%  
297 0.2% 95%  
298 0.7% 95%  
299 0.5% 94%  
300 0.1% 94%  
301 0.3% 94%  
302 0% 93%  
303 0% 93%  
304 4% 93%  
305 0.1% 89%  
306 0% 89%  
307 1.1% 89%  
308 0.1% 88%  
309 0.2% 88%  
310 16% 88%  
311 4% 72%  
312 0.1% 68%  
313 0% 68%  
314 1.2% 68%  
315 0.4% 67%  
316 0% 67%  
317 0.1% 66%  
318 0% 66%  
319 2% 66%  
320 0.3% 64%  
321 1.1% 64%  
322 0.1% 63%  
323 0.3% 62% Median
324 13% 62%  
325 0.2% 49%  
326 0.6% 49% Majority
327 0.4% 49%  
328 0.3% 48%  
329 6% 48% Last Result
330 1.0% 42%  
331 1.1% 41%  
332 2% 40%  
333 5% 38%  
334 16% 32%  
335 3% 17%  
336 0.2% 14%  
337 0.1% 14%  
338 0.8% 14%  
339 0.6% 13%  
340 2% 12%  
341 0.7% 10%  
342 2% 9%  
343 0.4% 7%  
344 1.3% 7%  
345 0% 6%  
346 4% 6%  
347 0.1% 2%  
348 0.1% 2%  
349 0% 1.4%  
350 0.4% 1.4%  
351 0.1% 1.0%  
352 0.1% 0.9%  
353 0% 0.9%  
354 0% 0.9%  
355 0% 0.8%  
356 0.1% 0.8%  
357 0% 0.7%  
358 0.5% 0.6%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0.2% 100%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.8%  
262 0% 99.8%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.7%  
266 0% 99.7%  
267 0% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0.1% 99.5%  
270 0.1% 99.5%  
271 0.1% 99.4%  
272 2% 99.3%  
273 0.1% 97%  
274 0% 97%  
275 0.4% 97%  
276 0% 97%  
277 0.1% 97%  
278 0% 97%  
279 0.2% 97%  
280 0.4% 97%  
281 0% 96%  
282 0% 96%  
283 0.1% 96%  
284 0.9% 96%  
285 0.2% 95%  
286 0.4% 95%  
287 0% 95%  
288 0.3% 94%  
289 0.1% 94%  
290 0.1% 94%  
291 4% 94%  
292 0% 90%  
293 0.3% 90%  
294 0.1% 90%  
295 0% 90%  
296 0.1% 90%  
297 1.0% 89%  
298 0% 88%  
299 0.5% 88%  
300 0.1% 88%  
301 0.2% 88%  
302 3% 88%  
303 0.4% 85%  
304 0% 85%  
305 15% 85%  
306 0.2% 70%  
307 2% 70%  
308 0% 67%  
309 1.0% 67%  
310 0.1% 66%  
311 0% 66%  
312 1.3% 66%  
313 0.1% 65%  
314 0.2% 65%  
315 8% 65%  
316 2% 57%  
317 0.7% 55%  
318 0.6% 54% Median
319 7% 54%  
320 0.5% 47%  
321 1.3% 46%  
322 0.3% 45%  
323 0.1% 45%  
324 0.4% 45%  
325 1.3% 44%  
326 3% 43% Majority
327 4% 40%  
328 1.3% 36%  
329 3% 35%  
330 0.2% 32%  
331 2% 32%  
332 11% 30%  
333 5% 19%  
334 2% 13%  
335 1.4% 12%  
336 0.6% 10%  
337 0.1% 10%  
338 1.4% 10%  
339 1.1% 8%  
340 0.3% 7%  
341 1.1% 7%  
342 0.8% 6%  
343 0.1% 5%  
344 3% 5%  
345 0% 1.5%  
346 0% 1.5%  
347 0.5% 1.5%  
348 0% 1.0%  
349 0% 1.0%  
350 0% 0.9%  
351 0.1% 0.9%  
352 0% 0.8% Last Result
353 0% 0.8%  
354 0% 0.8%  
355 0% 0.7%  
356 0% 0.7%  
357 0.1% 0.7%  
358 0.5% 0.6%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
231 0.1% 100%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0% 99.8%  
238 0% 99.8%  
239 0% 99.8%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0.2% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.6%  
243 0% 99.6%  
244 0.1% 99.6%  
245 0.7% 99.5%  
246 0% 98.8%  
247 0% 98.8%  
248 0% 98.8%  
249 0.1% 98.7%  
250 0% 98.6%  
251 0.1% 98.6%  
252 0.3% 98%  
253 0.5% 98%  
254 0% 98%  
255 0.6% 98%  
256 3% 97%  
257 1.3% 93%  
258 0% 92%  
259 0.2% 92%  
260 0.3% 92%  
261 4% 92%  
262 0.1% 88%  
263 0.1% 88%  
264 2% 88%  
265 0.1% 86%  
266 0.7% 86%  
267 5% 85%  
268 2% 81%  
269 5% 78%  
270 1.0% 74%  
271 3% 73%  
272 2% 70%  
273 0.3% 68%  
274 1.5% 68%  
275 1.4% 66%  
276 2% 65%  
277 0.1% 63%  
278 0.4% 63% Last Result, Median
279 11% 62%  
280 1.2% 51%  
281 0.8% 50%  
282 6% 49%  
283 0.2% 43%  
284 6% 43%  
285 2% 37%  
286 2% 35%  
287 0.2% 33%  
288 1.5% 33%  
289 0% 32%  
290 0.1% 32%  
291 0.2% 31%  
292 1.4% 31%  
293 0% 30%  
294 0.8% 30%  
295 0.1% 29%  
296 0.6% 29%  
297 0.1% 28%  
298 0.9% 28%  
299 0.3% 27%  
300 0% 27%  
301 15% 27%  
302 0% 12%  
303 0.2% 12%  
304 0.1% 12%  
305 0.3% 12%  
306 0.6% 12%  
307 0% 11%  
308 0% 11%  
309 5% 11%  
310 0% 6%  
311 0.1% 6%  
312 0.1% 6%  
313 0.2% 6%  
314 0% 6%  
315 0.5% 6%  
316 0% 5%  
317 0.4% 5%  
318 0% 5%  
319 0.4% 5%  
320 0.9% 4%  
321 0% 3%  
322 0% 3%  
323 0% 3%  
324 0.1% 3%  
325 0% 3%  
326 0.1% 3% Majority
327 0.4% 3%  
328 0.1% 3%  
329 0% 3%  
330 0% 3%  
331 0% 2%  
332 2% 2%  
333 0% 0.6%  
334 0% 0.6%  
335 0% 0.6%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0.1% 0.5%  
338 0.1% 0.4%  
339 0% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.3%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0.2% 0.2%  
345 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0.1% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0% 99.8%  
230 0% 99.8%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0% 99.8%  
233 0% 99.7%  
234 0.1% 99.7%  
235 0% 99.6%  
236 0% 99.6%  
237 0.7% 99.6%  
238 0% 98.9%  
239 0% 98.9%  
240 0.1% 98.8%  
241 0% 98.7%  
242 0.1% 98.7%  
243 0.1% 98.6%  
244 0.1% 98.5%  
245 0.6% 98%  
246 0% 98%  
247 0.3% 98%  
248 0% 98%  
249 0% 97%  
250 0.1% 97%  
251 0.6% 97%  
252 3% 97%  
253 1.4% 93%  
254 2% 92%  
255 0.2% 90%  
256 2% 90%  
257 2% 88%  
258 0.5% 86%  
259 0.6% 86%  
260 3% 85%  
261 0.8% 82%  
262 7% 82%  
263 0.9% 74%  
264 2% 74%  
265 1.5% 71%  
266 0.2% 70%  
267 0.7% 70%  
268 2% 69%  
269 0.1% 67%  
270 0.6% 66%  
271 12% 66%  
272 3% 54%  
273 0.1% 51%  
274 0.5% 51% Last Result, Median
275 4% 51%  
276 2% 46%  
277 1.1% 44%  
278 2% 43%  
279 0% 41%  
280 6% 41%  
281 1.4% 35%  
282 2% 34%  
283 0.1% 32%  
284 1.3% 32%  
285 0.1% 30%  
286 0.2% 30%  
287 0.1% 30%  
288 0.7% 30%  
289 0% 29%  
290 0.9% 29%  
291 0.8% 28%  
292 0% 27%  
293 0.2% 27%  
294 0.1% 27%  
295 0.3% 27%  
296 0% 27%  
297 15% 27%  
298 0% 12%  
299 0% 12%  
300 0.1% 12%  
301 1.2% 12%  
302 0.6% 11%  
303 0.1% 10%  
304 0.2% 10%  
305 4% 10%  
306 0% 6%  
307 0.1% 6%  
308 0% 6%  
309 0.2% 6%  
310 0.5% 6%  
311 0.3% 5%  
312 1.1% 5%  
313 0.3% 4%  
314 0% 3%  
315 0% 3%  
316 0% 3%  
317 0.1% 3%  
318 0.4% 3%  
319 0% 3%  
320 0% 3%  
321 0.2% 3%  
322 0.1% 3%  
323 0% 3%  
324 0% 2%  
325 0% 2%  
326 0% 2% Majority
327 0% 2%  
328 2% 2%  
329 0% 0.5%  
330 0% 0.5%  
331 0% 0.5%  
332 0% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.5%  
334 0.2% 0.4%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0.2% 0.2%  
341 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0.2% 99.8%  
238 0% 99.6%  
239 0% 99.6%  
240 0% 99.5%  
241 0% 99.5%  
242 0.1% 99.5%  
243 0% 99.4%  
244 0% 99.3%  
245 0.3% 99.3%  
246 0% 99.0%  
247 0.7% 99.0%  
248 0.2% 98%  
249 0.1% 98%  
250 2% 98%  
251 0.1% 96%  
252 2% 96%  
253 0.6% 94%  
254 3% 94%  
255 0.1% 90%  
256 0.1% 90%  
257 0.3% 90%  
258 4% 90%  
259 0.4% 86%  
260 3% 86%  
261 0.6% 83%  
262 1.5% 82%  
263 2% 81%  
264 0.1% 79%  
265 0.8% 79%  
266 5% 78%  
267 4% 73%  
268 0.5% 69%  
269 2% 68%  
270 0.3% 66%  
271 1.2% 66%  
272 0.2% 64%  
273 0.1% 64% Median
274 2% 64%  
275 7% 62%  
276 0.7% 55%  
277 16% 55%  
278 0.9% 39%  
279 4% 38%  
280 0.5% 34%  
281 0.2% 33%  
282 2% 33%  
283 0% 31%  
284 0% 31%  
285 0.3% 31%  
286 0.7% 31%  
287 0.6% 30%  
288 0% 29%  
289 0% 29%  
290 1.2% 29%  
291 0.3% 28%  
292 0.2% 28%  
293 0.2% 28%  
294 0% 27%  
295 0.5% 27%  
296 19% 27%  
297 0.1% 8%  
298 0.7% 8%  
299 1.1% 7%  
300 0% 6%  
301 0.5% 6% Last Result
302 0.4% 5%  
303 0.3% 5%  
304 0% 5%  
305 0% 5%  
306 0% 5%  
307 0.2% 5%  
308 0% 5%  
309 0.1% 5%  
310 0.3% 4%  
311 0% 4%  
312 0.1% 4%  
313 0% 4%  
314 0.1% 4%  
315 0% 4%  
316 0.9% 4%  
317 0% 3%  
318 2% 3%  
319 0.4% 1.1%  
320 0.1% 0.7%  
321 0% 0.6%  
322 0% 0.5%  
323 0% 0.5%  
324 0% 0.5%  
325 0% 0.5%  
326 0% 0.5% Majority
327 0% 0.5%  
328 0% 0.4%  
329 0.1% 0.4%  
330 0.1% 0.3%  
331 0.2% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0% 99.6%  
232 0% 99.6%  
233 0% 99.5%  
234 0% 99.5%  
235 0% 99.5%  
236 0% 99.5%  
237 0.2% 99.5%  
238 0% 99.3%  
239 0.7% 99.3%  
240 0.2% 98.5%  
241 0.2% 98%  
242 0.1% 98%  
243 0.1% 98%  
244 0% 98%  
245 2% 98%  
246 2% 96%  
247 0.1% 94%  
248 0.1% 94%  
249 0% 94%  
250 4% 94%  
251 4% 90%  
252 0.4% 86%  
253 0.6% 86%  
254 2% 85%  
255 0.1% 83%  
256 2% 83%  
257 1.4% 81%  
258 3% 80%  
259 2% 77%  
260 0.5% 75%  
261 5% 74%  
262 2% 70%  
263 0.6% 68%  
264 0.4% 67%  
265 2% 67%  
266 0.1% 65%  
267 1.1% 65%  
268 1.1% 64%  
269 11% 63% Median
270 6% 51%  
271 7% 45%  
272 1.4% 38%  
273 0.4% 37%  
274 0.7% 36%  
275 3% 36%  
276 0% 33%  
277 0.1% 33%  
278 2% 33%  
279 0.9% 30%  
280 0% 30%  
281 0.3% 30%  
282 1.2% 29%  
283 0.2% 28%  
284 0.1% 28%  
285 0.2% 28%  
286 0.1% 28%  
287 0.2% 28%  
288 0.4% 27%  
289 0.2% 27%  
290 0% 27%  
291 1.3% 27%  
292 19% 25%  
293 0.1% 6%  
294 0.6% 6%  
295 0.3% 6%  
296 0% 5%  
297 0% 5% Last Result
298 0.3% 5%  
299 0.2% 5%  
300 0.1% 5%  
301 0.1% 5%  
302 0.1% 5%  
303 0.2% 5%  
304 0% 4%  
305 0% 4%  
306 0% 4%  
307 0.3% 4%  
308 1.0% 4%  
309 0% 3%  
310 0.4% 3%  
311 0% 3%  
312 0% 3%  
313 0% 3%  
314 2% 3%  
315 0% 0.7%  
316 0.1% 0.6%  
317 0% 0.5%  
318 0% 0.5%  
319 0% 0.5%  
320 0% 0.5%  
321 0.1% 0.5%  
322 0% 0.4%  
323 0% 0.4%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.3%  
326 0.1% 0.3% Majority
327 0.2% 0.2%  
328 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
210 0.2% 100%  
211 0% 99.8%  
212 0% 99.8%  
213 0% 99.8%  
214 0% 99.8%  
215 0% 99.8%  
216 0% 99.8%  
217 0% 99.8%  
218 0% 99.8%  
219 0.2% 99.8%  
220 0.1% 99.6%  
221 0% 99.5%  
222 0% 99.5%  
223 2% 99.4%  
224 0.1% 97%  
225 0% 97%  
226 0% 97%  
227 0% 97%  
228 0% 97%  
229 0% 97%  
230 0.2% 97%  
231 0.5% 97%  
232 0% 97%  
233 0% 97%  
234 0% 97%  
235 0.2% 97%  
236 0.4% 96%  
237 0.5% 96%  
238 0.3% 95%  
239 1.0% 95%  
240 0% 94%  
241 0% 94%  
242 4% 94%  
243 0.2% 90%  
244 0.1% 90%  
245 0.1% 90%  
246 0% 90%  
247 0.1% 90%  
248 0% 90%  
249 0% 90%  
250 0.1% 90%  
251 0% 89%  
252 2% 89%  
253 0.8% 88%  
254 0% 87%  
255 1.3% 87%  
256 15% 86%  
257 3% 71%  
258 0.1% 68%  
259 0% 68%  
260 0.9% 68%  
261 0% 67%  
262 0.3% 67%  
263 0% 66%  
264 0.2% 66%  
265 5% 66%  
266 1.3% 61%  
267 2% 60%  
268 0.1% 57%  
269 0.2% 57% Median
270 2% 57%  
271 3% 55%  
272 4% 52%  
273 0.2% 47%  
274 0.8% 47%  
275 1.4% 46%  
276 2% 45%  
277 3% 43%  
278 2% 40%  
279 2% 38%  
280 0.1% 36%  
281 0.7% 36%  
282 2% 36%  
283 0.5% 34%  
284 0.8% 33%  
285 8% 33%  
286 3% 24%  
287 11% 21%  
288 0.2% 11%  
289 0.1% 10%  
290 1.3% 10%  
291 0.9% 9%  
292 2% 8%  
293 0% 7%  
294 0% 7%  
295 4% 7%  
296 0.7% 3%  
297 0.6% 2%  
298 0.5% 2%  
299 0.1% 1.2%  
300 0.1% 1.1%  
301 0% 1.0%  
302 0% 1.0%  
303 0% 1.0%  
304 0% 0.9%  
305 0% 0.9%  
306 0.1% 0.9%  
307 0.1% 0.8%  
308 0.1% 0.8%  
309 0.1% 0.7%  
310 0% 0.6%  
311 0% 0.6%  
312 0% 0.6%  
313 0.5% 0.6%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0.2% 100%  
207 0% 99.8%  
208 0% 99.8%  
209 0% 99.8%  
210 0% 99.8%  
211 0.1% 99.8%  
212 0% 99.7%  
213 0% 99.7%  
214 0% 99.7%  
215 0.1% 99.6%  
216 0.1% 99.6%  
217 0.1% 99.5%  
218 0.1% 99.4%  
219 2% 99.3%  
220 0.1% 97%  
221 0% 97%  
222 0.4% 97%  
223 0.1% 97%  
224 0% 97%  
225 0% 97%  
226 0.2% 97%  
227 0.4% 97%  
228 0% 96%  
229 0% 96%  
230 0.2% 96%  
231 1.1% 96%  
232 0.1% 95%  
233 0.3% 95%  
234 0.3% 94%  
235 0% 94%  
236 0% 94%  
237 0.1% 94%  
238 4% 94%  
239 0.1% 90%  
240 0.3% 90%  
241 0.1% 90%  
242 0% 90%  
243 0.1% 90%  
244 1.0% 89%  
245 0.5% 88%  
246 0.1% 88%  
247 0.2% 88%  
248 2% 88%  
249 1.1% 86%  
250 0.4% 85%  
251 0.1% 85%  
252 15% 85%  
253 2% 70%  
254 0.1% 68%  
255 0% 67%  
256 1.0% 67%  
257 0.1% 66%  
258 1.2% 66%  
259 0.1% 65%  
260 0.1% 65%  
261 5% 65%  
262 3% 59%  
263 3% 57%  
264 0.3% 54%  
265 5% 54% Median
266 2% 49%  
267 2% 47%  
268 0.2% 45%  
269 0.1% 45%  
270 0.2% 45%  
271 2% 45%  
272 2% 43%  
273 3% 41%  
274 3% 38%  
275 0.4% 35%  
276 3% 35%  
277 0.5% 32%  
278 2% 31%  
279 11% 30%  
280 5% 19%  
281 1.5% 13%  
282 2% 12%  
283 0.5% 10%  
284 0.1% 10%  
285 1.4% 10%  
286 1.2% 8%  
287 1.1% 7%  
288 0.9% 6%  
289 0% 5%  
290 0.2% 5%  
291 3% 5%  
292 0% 1.5%  
293 0.1% 1.5%  
294 0.4% 1.4%  
295 0% 1.0%  
296 0% 0.9%  
297 0.1% 0.9%  
298 0% 0.9%  
299 0.1% 0.8%  
300 0% 0.8%  
301 0% 0.8%  
302 0% 0.7%  
303 0.1% 0.7%  
304 0% 0.6%  
305 0.5% 0.6%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.9%  
180 0% 99.9%  
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.8%  
183 0.2% 99.8%  
184 0% 99.6%  
185 0% 99.6%  
186 0% 99.6%  
187 0% 99.5%  
188 0% 99.5%  
189 0.1% 99.5%  
190 0% 99.4%  
191 0.1% 99.3%  
192 0.1% 99.2%  
193 0.6% 99.1%  
194 0.2% 98%  
195 0.1% 98%  
196 0% 98%  
197 2% 98%  
198 2% 96%  
199 0.1% 94%  
200 0.6% 94%  
201 3% 94%  
202 0.1% 90%  
203 0.2% 90%  
204 0.2% 90%  
205 4% 90%  
206 0.6% 86%  
207 2% 85%  
208 0.6% 83%  
209 2% 82%  
210 2% 81%  
211 0.9% 79%  
212 0% 78%  
213 6% 78%  
214 3% 72%  
215 3% 69%  
216 0.5% 66%  
217 0.2% 66%  
218 1.2% 66%  
219 0.2% 64%  
220 2% 64% Median
221 6% 63%  
222 1.1% 56%  
223 6% 55%  
224 11% 49%  
225 2% 38%  
226 3% 36%  
227 0.5% 34%  
228 2% 33%  
229 0% 31%  
230 0% 31%  
231 0% 31%  
232 0.5% 31%  
233 0.5% 30%  
234 0.6% 30%  
235 0% 29%  
236 1.2% 29%  
237 0.1% 28%  
238 0.5% 28%  
239 0.1% 28%  
240 0.1% 27%  
241 0.5% 27%  
242 0.3% 27%  
243 19% 27%  
244 0% 8%  
245 0.8% 8%  
246 1.0% 7%  
247 0.1% 6%  
248 0.4% 6%  
249 0.4% 5%  
250 0.2% 5%  
251 0% 5%  
252 0% 5%  
253 0% 5%  
254 0.2% 5%  
255 0% 5%  
256 0.1% 5%  
257 0.4% 4%  
258 0% 4%  
259 0.1% 4%  
260 0% 4%  
261 0.1% 4%  
262 0% 4%  
263 0.9% 4%  
264 0% 3%  
265 2% 3%  
266 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
267 0.1% 0.7%  
268 0% 0.6%  
269 0% 0.5%  
270 0% 0.5%  
271 0% 0.5%  
272 0% 0.5%  
273 0% 0.5%  
274 0% 0.5%  
275 0% 0.4%  
276 0.1% 0.4%  
277 0.1% 0.3%  
278 0.2% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.8%  
175 0% 99.8%  
176 0.1% 99.8%  
177 0% 99.6%  
178 0% 99.6%  
179 0% 99.6%  
180 0% 99.5%  
181 0% 99.5%  
182 0% 99.5%  
183 0% 99.5%  
184 0.2% 99.5%  
185 0.7% 99.3%  
186 0.2% 98.6%  
187 0.2% 98%  
188 0.1% 98%  
189 0.1% 98%  
190 0.1% 98%  
191 2% 98%  
192 0.5% 96%  
193 2% 96%  
194 0.1% 94%  
195 0% 94%  
196 0.1% 94%  
197 4% 94%  
198 4% 90%  
199 0.4% 86%  
200 0.3% 85%  
201 2% 85%  
202 1.3% 83%  
203 0.4% 82%  
204 1.4% 81%  
205 3% 80%  
206 2% 76%  
207 0.7% 75%  
208 5% 74%  
209 1.3% 69%  
210 0.3% 67%  
211 1.3% 67%  
212 0.9% 66%  
213 0.1% 65%  
214 2% 65%  
215 0.2% 63%  
216 17% 62% Median
217 6% 45%  
218 2% 39%  
219 0.1% 37%  
220 0.4% 37%  
221 0.7% 36%  
222 3% 36%  
223 0.1% 33%  
224 2% 33%  
225 0.7% 31%  
226 0.5% 30%  
227 0.1% 30%  
228 1.4% 30%  
229 0% 28%  
230 0.3% 28%  
231 0.2% 28%  
232 0% 28%  
233 0.1% 28%  
234 0.6% 28%  
235 0.2% 27%  
236 0% 27%  
237 0.3% 27%  
238 1.0% 27%  
239 19% 25%  
240 0% 6%  
241 0.8% 6%  
242 0.1% 5%  
243 0.1% 5%  
244 0% 5%  
245 0.3% 5%  
246 0.2% 5%  
247 0% 5%  
248 0.1% 5%  
249 0.1% 5%  
250 0.2% 5%  
251 0% 4%  
252 0% 4%  
253 0% 4%  
254 0.3% 4%  
255 1.0% 4%  
256 0% 3%  
257 0.4% 3%  
258 0% 3%  
259 0% 3%  
260 0% 3%  
261 2% 3%  
262 0% 0.7% Last Result
263 0.1% 0.6%  
264 0% 0.5%  
265 0% 0.5%  
266 0% 0.5%  
267 0% 0.5%  
268 0.1% 0.5%  
269 0% 0.4%  
270 0% 0.3%  
271 0% 0.3%  
272 0% 0.3%  
273 0.1% 0.3%  
274 0.2% 0.2%  
275 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations