Opinion Poll by ComRes for Daily Telegraph, 4–6 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 43.4% 32.4% 31.0–33.7% 30.7–34.1% 30.3–34.4% 29.7–35.1%
Labour Party 41.0% 26.5% 25.2–27.8% 24.9–28.1% 24.6–28.5% 24.0–29.1%
Liberal Democrats 7.6% 18.6% 17.6–19.8% 17.3–20.1% 17.0–20.4% 16.5–21.0%
Brexit Party 0.0% 12.8% 11.8–13.8% 11.6–14.1% 11.4–14.3% 10.9–14.8%
Scottish National Party 3.1% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 2.9–5.2%
Green Party 1.7% 2.9% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
UK Independence Party 1.9% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 291 275–312 273–315 270–322 259–332
Labour Party 262 219 197–229 192–231 187–232 179–243
Liberal Democrats 12 65 60–72 59–74 58–75 55–76
Brexit Party 0 2 1–3 0–4 0–5 0–7
Scottish National Party 35 52 48–53 48–53 48–54 45–54
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Plaid Cymru 4 4 4–9 4–10 4–10 3–12
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0.1% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.8%  
252 0% 99.7%  
253 0% 99.7%  
254 0% 99.7%  
255 0% 99.7%  
256 0% 99.6%  
257 0.1% 99.6%  
258 0% 99.5%  
259 0.1% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.4%  
261 0.1% 99.4%  
262 0.1% 99.3%  
263 0.2% 99.2%  
264 0.1% 99.1%  
265 0.3% 99.0%  
266 0.1% 98.7%  
267 0.5% 98.6%  
268 0.2% 98%  
269 0.3% 98%  
270 0.9% 98%  
271 0.6% 97%  
272 0.2% 96%  
273 2% 96%  
274 4% 94%  
275 6% 90%  
276 2% 84%  
277 2% 83%  
278 1.3% 81%  
279 0.8% 80%  
280 3% 79%  
281 0.9% 76%  
282 4% 75%  
283 1.5% 71%  
284 2% 70%  
285 3% 67%  
286 2% 64%  
287 4% 62%  
288 3% 59%  
289 1.3% 56%  
290 3% 55%  
291 2% 51% Median
292 2% 49%  
293 11% 47%  
294 3% 36%  
295 3% 33%  
296 2% 30%  
297 1.0% 29%  
298 0.9% 28%  
299 2% 27%  
300 2% 25%  
301 1.5% 23%  
302 0.5% 22%  
303 1.5% 21%  
304 1.2% 20%  
305 1.0% 18%  
306 2% 17%  
307 0.4% 15%  
308 1.0% 15%  
309 0.5% 14%  
310 2% 13%  
311 1.1% 11%  
312 1.0% 10%  
313 1.3% 9%  
314 2% 8%  
315 1.3% 6%  
316 0.2% 5%  
317 0.3% 5% Last Result
318 0.4% 4%  
319 0.2% 4%  
320 0.5% 4%  
321 0.7% 3%  
322 0.3% 3%  
323 0.2% 2%  
324 0.4% 2%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.1% 1.5% Majority
327 0.2% 1.4%  
328 0.1% 1.2%  
329 0.3% 1.1%  
330 0% 0.8%  
331 0.2% 0.8%  
332 0.1% 0.6%  
333 0.1% 0.5%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0.2% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.8%  
177 0.2% 99.8%  
178 0% 99.6%  
179 0.2% 99.5%  
180 0.2% 99.4%  
181 0.2% 99.2%  
182 0.1% 99.0%  
183 0.3% 98.9%  
184 0.4% 98.6%  
185 0.2% 98%  
186 0.1% 98%  
187 0.5% 98%  
188 0.6% 97%  
189 0.2% 97%  
190 0.6% 96%  
191 0.5% 96%  
192 0.5% 95%  
193 0.5% 95%  
194 0.9% 94%  
195 1.3% 93%  
196 0.5% 92%  
197 2% 92%  
198 0.8% 90%  
199 2% 89%  
200 1.1% 87%  
201 0.7% 86%  
202 2% 85%  
203 2% 83%  
204 0.6% 81%  
205 0.6% 81%  
206 1.1% 80%  
207 2% 79%  
208 1.0% 77%  
209 2% 76%  
210 0.6% 74%  
211 3% 74%  
212 1.4% 71%  
213 3% 69%  
214 1.0% 67%  
215 2% 66%  
216 1.1% 64%  
217 7% 62%  
218 3% 55%  
219 9% 53% Median
220 9% 44%  
221 3% 35%  
222 2% 32%  
223 5% 30%  
224 2% 25%  
225 2% 23%  
226 4% 21%  
227 0.9% 17%  
228 1.3% 17%  
229 7% 15%  
230 2% 8%  
231 2% 6%  
232 1.4% 4%  
233 0.3% 2%  
234 0.1% 2%  
235 0.1% 2%  
236 0.4% 2%  
237 0.2% 1.5%  
238 0.1% 1.3%  
239 0.1% 1.1%  
240 0.4% 1.0%  
241 0% 0.6%  
242 0% 0.6%  
243 0.1% 0.6%  
244 0% 0.5%  
245 0% 0.4%  
246 0% 0.4%  
247 0.1% 0.4%  
248 0% 0.3%  
249 0% 0.3%  
250 0.1% 0.3%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.3% 99.7%  
56 0.7% 99.5%  
57 0.7% 98.8%  
58 3% 98%  
59 5% 95%  
60 15% 90%  
61 5% 75%  
62 6% 71%  
63 2% 65%  
64 7% 63%  
65 7% 56% Median
66 8% 49%  
67 5% 40%  
68 10% 35%  
69 3% 25%  
70 8% 22%  
71 4% 14%  
72 4% 10%  
73 0.8% 6%  
74 1.1% 5%  
75 3% 4%  
76 1.1% 1.5%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 31% 92%  
2 40% 60% Median
3 12% 20%  
4 4% 8%  
5 2% 4%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.6% 0.7%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.6%  
45 0.6% 99.6%  
46 1.1% 99.0%  
47 0% 98%  
48 9% 98%  
49 16% 89%  
50 2% 73%  
51 20% 71%  
52 9% 51% Median
53 39% 42%  
54 3% 3%  
55 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 96% 100% Last Result, Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.6% 100%  
4 57% 99.4% Last Result, Median
5 12% 42%  
6 3% 30%  
7 5% 27%  
8 8% 22%  
9 7% 14%  
10 6% 7%  
11 0.3% 1.1%  
12 0.6% 0.8%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 354 99.6% 343–375 342–379 339–384 328–392
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 347 98% 331–368 328–374 326–380 315–391
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 341 93% 326–362 324–366 321–374 310–383
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 314 340 81% 318–355 314–357 309–360 299–371
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 339 81% 317–354 313–356 308–359 298–370
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 333 74% 312–350 306–352 300–355 290–364
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 297 4% 279–318 278–323 275–329 263–340
Conservative Party – Brexit Party 317 292 2% 277–314 275–318 272–323 261–333
Conservative Party 317 291 1.5% 275–312 273–315 270–322 259–332
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 288 0.2% 267–303 262–305 256–308 247–319
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 282 0.1% 261–298 255–301 249–303 239–314
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 275 0% 255–286 250–287 246–290 238–300
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 270 0% 248–282 243–282 237–284 229–295
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 223 0% 205–234 200–235 194–237 187–248
Labour Party 262 219 0% 197–229 192–231 187–232 179–243

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.8%  
321 0% 99.8%  
322 0% 99.8%  
323 0.1% 99.7%  
324 0% 99.7%  
325 0% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.6% Majority
327 0% 99.6%  
328 0.1% 99.6%  
329 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
330 0.1% 99.4%  
331 0.1% 99.3%  
332 0.1% 99.3%  
333 0.2% 99.2%  
334 0.2% 99.0%  
335 0.3% 98.8%  
336 0.2% 98%  
337 0.1% 98%  
338 0.3% 98%  
339 0.4% 98%  
340 0.7% 97%  
341 1.2% 97%  
342 3% 95%  
343 6% 93%  
344 3% 87%  
345 1.4% 84%  
346 2% 83%  
347 2% 80%  
348 4% 79%  
349 3% 75%  
350 2% 72%  
351 4% 70%  
352 3% 66%  
353 12% 63%  
354 4% 52%  
355 5% 47%  
356 3% 43% Median
357 1.3% 39%  
358 4% 38%  
359 2% 34%  
360 2% 32%  
361 2% 30%  
362 2% 27%  
363 1.1% 26%  
364 2% 25%  
365 0.8% 23%  
366 1.3% 22%  
367 0.3% 21%  
368 2% 21%  
369 1.1% 18%  
370 2% 17%  
371 0.8% 16%  
372 2% 15%  
373 2% 13%  
374 0.5% 11%  
375 2% 11%  
376 1.5% 8%  
377 1.0% 7%  
378 0.6% 6%  
379 0.6% 5%  
380 0.9% 5%  
381 0.2% 4%  
382 0.3% 4%  
383 0.5% 3%  
384 0.4% 3%  
385 0.3% 2%  
386 0.1% 2%  
387 0.3% 2%  
388 0.5% 2%  
389 0.3% 1.2%  
390 0.1% 0.9%  
391 0.3% 0.8%  
392 0.1% 0.5%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.4%  
395 0% 0.3%  
396 0.1% 0.3%  
397 0.1% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0.1% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.8%  
308 0% 99.8%  
309 0% 99.8%  
310 0% 99.8%  
311 0% 99.7%  
312 0.1% 99.7%  
313 0% 99.6%  
314 0.1% 99.6%  
315 0.1% 99.5%  
316 0.1% 99.4%  
317 0% 99.3%  
318 0.2% 99.3%  
319 0.1% 99.1%  
320 0% 99.1%  
321 0.2% 99.0%  
322 0.4% 98.8%  
323 0.1% 98%  
324 0.4% 98%  
325 0.1% 98%  
326 0.7% 98% Majority
327 0.6% 97%  
328 2% 97%  
329 2% 95%  
330 3% 93%  
331 0.5% 90%  
332 6% 90%  
333 0.8% 84%  
334 2% 83%  
335 1.5% 81%  
336 1.2% 80%  
337 4% 78%  
338 2% 75%  
339 4% 73%  
340 2% 69%  
341 2% 67%  
342 2% 65%  
343 4% 63%  
344 3% 59%  
345 1.0% 57%  
346 4% 56%  
347 2% 52% Median
348 3% 50%  
349 0.4% 47%  
350 11% 47%  
351 3% 36%  
352 3% 33%  
353 3% 31%  
354 0.7% 28%  
355 2% 27%  
356 1.2% 25% Last Result
357 0.9% 24%  
358 1.1% 23%  
359 2% 22%  
360 1.1% 21%  
361 0.8% 19%  
362 1.4% 19%  
363 0.8% 17%  
364 1.1% 16%  
365 1.2% 15%  
366 2% 14%  
367 2% 12%  
368 1.1% 11%  
369 1.0% 10%  
370 0.9% 9%  
371 1.0% 8%  
372 0.5% 7%  
373 0.6% 6%  
374 1.0% 6%  
375 0.6% 5%  
376 0.5% 4%  
377 0.1% 4%  
378 0.4% 3%  
379 0.3% 3%  
380 0.3% 3%  
381 0.3% 2%  
382 0.1% 2%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.4% 2%  
385 0.2% 2%  
386 0.2% 1.3%  
387 0.3% 1.2%  
388 0% 0.9%  
389 0.3% 0.9%  
390 0.1% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0.1% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.8%  
302 0.1% 99.8%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.7%  
305 0% 99.7%  
306 0.1% 99.7%  
307 0% 99.6%  
308 0.1% 99.6%  
309 0% 99.5%  
310 0.1% 99.5%  
311 0.1% 99.4%  
312 0.1% 99.4%  
313 0.1% 99.3%  
314 0.2% 99.2%  
315 0.1% 99.0%  
316 0.1% 98.9%  
317 0.2% 98.8%  
318 0.4% 98.6%  
319 0.2% 98%  
320 0.4% 98%  
321 0.6% 98%  
322 0.5% 97%  
323 0.7% 96%  
324 2% 96%  
325 1.3% 94%  
326 4% 93% Majority
327 2% 89%  
328 5% 87%  
329 1.3% 81%  
330 2% 80%  
331 2% 78%  
332 1.0% 76%  
333 4% 76%  
334 2% 72%  
335 3% 70%  
336 3% 66%  
337 2% 63%  
338 1.2% 61%  
339 5% 60%  
340 3% 55%  
341 3% 53%  
342 2% 49%  
343 0.7% 48% Median
344 2% 47%  
345 1.0% 45%  
346 11% 44%  
347 4% 33%  
348 2% 29%  
349 2% 28%  
350 1.2% 26%  
351 2% 25%  
352 0.6% 23% Last Result
353 0.9% 22%  
354 2% 21%  
355 1.4% 20%  
356 1.1% 18%  
357 1.1% 17%  
358 2% 16%  
359 2% 14%  
360 0.7% 13%  
361 1.0% 12%  
362 1.4% 11%  
363 1.4% 10%  
364 1.4% 8%  
365 0.9% 7%  
366 1.0% 6%  
367 0.2% 5%  
368 0.3% 5%  
369 0.9% 4%  
370 0.4% 4%  
371 0.2% 3%  
372 0.1% 3%  
373 0.3% 3%  
374 0.5% 3%  
375 0.3% 2%  
376 0.2% 2%  
377 0.4% 2%  
378 0.1% 1.2%  
379 0.2% 1.2%  
380 0.1% 1.0%  
381 0.1% 0.8%  
382 0.2% 0.8%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.4%  
385 0.2% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0.1% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0.1% 99.9%  
296 0.1% 99.8%  
297 0.2% 99.7%  
298 0.1% 99.6%  
299 0.2% 99.5%  
300 0.1% 99.3%  
301 0.2% 99.2%  
302 0.1% 99.1%  
303 0.2% 99.0%  
304 0.1% 98.7%  
305 0.3% 98.6%  
306 0.3% 98%  
307 0.2% 98%  
308 0.3% 98%  
309 0.2% 98%  
310 0.7% 97%  
311 0.4% 97%  
312 0.3% 96%  
313 0.2% 96%  
314 0.8% 96% Last Result
315 0.9% 95%  
316 0.9% 94%  
317 1.4% 93%  
318 2% 92%  
319 2% 90%  
320 1.1% 88%  
321 1.1% 87%  
322 0.4% 86%  
323 1.4% 86%  
324 0.4% 84%  
325 2% 84%  
326 0.8% 81% Majority
327 1.3% 81%  
328 1.2% 79%  
329 0.6% 78%  
330 1.4% 77%  
331 2% 76%  
332 1.2% 74%  
333 1.4% 72%  
334 3% 71%  
335 2% 69%  
336 1.3% 66%  
337 7% 65%  
338 6% 58%  
339 1.4% 52%  
340 5% 50%  
341 0.8% 45% Median
342 3% 44%  
343 2% 41%  
344 3% 39%  
345 5% 36%  
346 0.9% 31%  
347 1.1% 30%  
348 4% 29%  
349 1.2% 25%  
350 2% 23%  
351 2% 21%  
352 0.6% 19%  
353 1.0% 19%  
354 2% 17%  
355 6% 16%  
356 2% 10%  
357 3% 8%  
358 1.0% 4%  
359 0.4% 4%  
360 0.9% 3%  
361 0.2% 2%  
362 0.2% 2%  
363 0.4% 2%  
364 0.2% 1.4%  
365 0.2% 1.2%  
366 0.1% 1.0%  
367 0.1% 0.9%  
368 0.1% 0.8%  
369 0.1% 0.7%  
370 0.1% 0.6%  
371 0.1% 0.5%  
372 0% 0.5%  
373 0.1% 0.4%  
374 0% 0.4%  
375 0% 0.3%  
376 0% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.3%  
378 0.1% 0.3%  
379 0.1% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0.1% 99.9%  
295 0.1% 99.8%  
296 0.2% 99.7%  
297 0.1% 99.6%  
298 0.2% 99.5%  
299 0.1% 99.3%  
300 0.2% 99.2%  
301 0.1% 99.1%  
302 0.2% 98.9%  
303 0.1% 98.7%  
304 0.3% 98.6%  
305 0.3% 98%  
306 0.2% 98%  
307 0.3% 98%  
308 0.2% 98%  
309 0.7% 97%  
310 0.4% 97%  
311 0.3% 96%  
312 0.3% 96%  
313 0.7% 96% Last Result
314 0.9% 95%  
315 0.9% 94%  
316 2% 93%  
317 2% 91%  
318 2% 90%  
319 1.1% 88%  
320 1.2% 87%  
321 0.4% 86%  
322 1.4% 86%  
323 0.5% 84%  
324 2% 84%  
325 0.8% 81%  
326 1.5% 81% Majority
327 1.0% 79%  
328 0.6% 78%  
329 1.4% 77%  
330 2% 76%  
331 1.2% 74%  
332 1.3% 72%  
333 3% 71%  
334 3% 68%  
335 0.8% 66%  
336 7% 65%  
337 6% 58%  
338 1.3% 52%  
339 5% 50%  
340 0.9% 45% Median
341 3% 44%  
342 2% 41%  
343 3% 39%  
344 5% 36%  
345 1.0% 31%  
346 1.0% 30%  
347 4% 29%  
348 1.2% 25%  
349 2% 23%  
350 2% 21%  
351 0.6% 19%  
352 1.0% 18%  
353 2% 17%  
354 6% 16%  
355 2% 10%  
356 3% 8%  
357 0.9% 4%  
358 0.4% 4%  
359 0.9% 3%  
360 0.2% 2%  
361 0.2% 2%  
362 0.4% 2%  
363 0.1% 1.4%  
364 0.2% 1.2%  
365 0.1% 1.0%  
366 0.1% 0.9%  
367 0.1% 0.8%  
368 0.1% 0.7%  
369 0.1% 0.6%  
370 0.1% 0.5%  
371 0% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0% 0.4%  
374 0% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.3%  
376 0% 0.3%  
377 0.1% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.9%  
287 0.1% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0.2% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.4%  
292 0.1% 99.2%  
293 0.2% 99.1%  
294 0.2% 99.0%  
295 0.4% 98.8%  
296 0% 98%  
297 0.2% 98%  
298 0.1% 98%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0.4% 98%  
301 0.3% 97%  
302 0.3% 97%  
303 0.3% 97%  
304 0.5% 96%  
305 0.7% 96%  
306 0.4% 95%  
307 0.6% 95%  
308 0.7% 94%  
309 2% 93% Last Result
310 0.8% 92%  
311 0.8% 91%  
312 2% 90%  
313 2% 88%  
314 0.6% 86%  
315 0.7% 85%  
316 1.0% 85%  
317 1.0% 84%  
318 0.9% 83%  
319 0.8% 82%  
320 2% 81%  
321 2% 79%  
322 0.9% 78%  
323 1.3% 77%  
324 0.8% 76%  
325 0.8% 75%  
326 2% 74% Majority
327 0.6% 71%  
328 4% 71%  
329 1.3% 67%  
330 3% 66%  
331 0.6% 63%  
332 7% 62%  
333 8% 55%  
334 4% 48%  
335 3% 44%  
336 1.4% 41% Median
337 2% 40%  
338 3% 38%  
339 4% 35%  
340 3% 31%  
341 0.7% 29%  
342 1.4% 28%  
343 4% 26%  
344 1.1% 22%  
345 2% 21%  
346 2% 19%  
347 0.7% 17%  
348 2% 16%  
349 1.1% 14%  
350 6% 13%  
351 2% 8%  
352 3% 6%  
353 0.5% 3%  
354 0.2% 3%  
355 0.6% 3%  
356 0.2% 2%  
357 0.2% 2%  
358 0.4% 2%  
359 0.1% 1.2%  
360 0.2% 1.1%  
361 0.1% 0.8%  
362 0.1% 0.8%  
363 0.1% 0.6%  
364 0.1% 0.6%  
365 0% 0.5%  
366 0% 0.5%  
367 0% 0.4%  
368 0.1% 0.4%  
369 0% 0.3%  
370 0% 0.3%  
371 0% 0.3%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0.1% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0.1% 99.8%  
256 0% 99.8%  
257 0% 99.8%  
258 0% 99.8%  
259 0% 99.7%  
260 0% 99.7%  
261 0.1% 99.6%  
262 0% 99.6%  
263 0.1% 99.6%  
264 0% 99.5%  
265 0.1% 99.5%  
266 0.1% 99.4%  
267 0.1% 99.3%  
268 0.1% 99.2%  
269 0.2% 99.1%  
270 0.1% 98.9%  
271 0.4% 98.8%  
272 0.1% 98%  
273 0.4% 98%  
274 0.3% 98%  
275 0.6% 98%  
276 0.1% 97%  
277 1.4% 97%  
278 4% 95%  
279 5% 92%  
280 1.0% 87%  
281 2% 86%  
282 1.1% 83%  
283 1.4% 82%  
284 3% 81%  
285 1.0% 78%  
286 4% 77%  
287 2% 73%  
288 3% 72%  
289 2% 69%  
290 2% 68%  
291 4% 66%  
292 2% 62%  
293 1.0% 60%  
294 2% 59%  
295 5% 58% Median
296 3% 53%  
297 11% 50%  
298 3% 39%  
299 2% 36%  
300 3% 34%  
301 2% 31%  
302 0.9% 29%  
303 1.3% 28%  
304 2% 27%  
305 0.8% 25%  
306 0.9% 24%  
307 2% 23%  
308 1.0% 22%  
309 1.3% 21%  
310 1.5% 19%  
311 0.6% 18%  
312 0.9% 17%  
313 0.9% 17%  
314 1.0% 16%  
315 1.2% 15%  
316 0.6% 13%  
317 1.3% 13%  
318 3% 12%  
319 1.2% 9%  
320 0.7% 8%  
321 1.4% 7% Last Result
322 0.7% 6%  
323 0.5% 5%  
324 0.5% 5%  
325 0.2% 4%  
326 0.2% 4% Majority
327 0.7% 4%  
328 0.2% 3%  
329 0.4% 3%  
330 0.2% 2%  
331 0.4% 2%  
332 0.1% 2%  
333 0.1% 2%  
334 0.3% 2%  
335 0% 1.3%  
336 0.3% 1.3%  
337 0.1% 1.0%  
338 0.2% 0.9%  
339 0.1% 0.7%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Brexit Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0.1% 99.8%  
254 0.1% 99.8%  
255 0% 99.7%  
256 0% 99.7%  
257 0% 99.7%  
258 0% 99.7%  
259 0.1% 99.6%  
260 0% 99.6%  
261 0.1% 99.5%  
262 0.1% 99.5%  
263 0.1% 99.4%  
264 0.1% 99.3%  
265 0.1% 99.2%  
266 0.1% 99.1%  
267 0.2% 99.0%  
268 0.2% 98.8%  
269 0.4% 98.6%  
270 0.2% 98%  
271 0.2% 98%  
272 0.9% 98%  
273 0.4% 97%  
274 1.0% 96%  
275 3% 96%  
276 2% 92%  
277 6% 90%  
278 2% 84%  
279 1.0% 83%  
280 0.6% 81%  
281 2% 81%  
282 2% 79%  
283 1.2% 77%  
284 4% 75%  
285 1.1% 71%  
286 0.9% 70%  
287 5% 69%  
288 3% 64%  
289 2% 61%  
290 3% 59%  
291 0.8% 56%  
292 5% 55%  
293 1.4% 50% Median
294 6% 48%  
295 7% 42%  
296 1.3% 35%  
297 2% 34%  
298 3% 31%  
299 1.4% 29%  
300 1.2% 28%  
301 2% 26%  
302 1.4% 24%  
303 0.6% 23%  
304 1.2% 22%  
305 1.3% 21%  
306 0.8% 19%  
307 2% 19%  
308 0.4% 16%  
309 1.4% 16%  
310 0.4% 14%  
311 1.1% 14%  
312 1.1% 13%  
313 2% 12%  
314 2% 10%  
315 1.4% 8%  
316 0.9% 7%  
317 0.9% 6% Last Result
318 0.8% 5%  
319 0.2% 4%  
320 0.3% 4%  
321 0.4% 4%  
322 0.7% 3%  
323 0.2% 3%  
324 0.3% 2%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.3% 2% Majority
327 0.3% 2%  
328 0.1% 1.4%  
329 0.2% 1.3%  
330 0.1% 1.0%  
331 0.2% 0.9%  
332 0.1% 0.8%  
333 0.2% 0.7%  
334 0.1% 0.5%  
335 0.2% 0.4%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0.1% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0.1% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.8%  
252 0% 99.7%  
253 0% 99.7%  
254 0% 99.7%  
255 0% 99.7%  
256 0% 99.6%  
257 0.1% 99.6%  
258 0% 99.5%  
259 0.1% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.4%  
261 0.1% 99.4%  
262 0.1% 99.3%  
263 0.2% 99.2%  
264 0.1% 99.1%  
265 0.3% 99.0%  
266 0.1% 98.7%  
267 0.5% 98.6%  
268 0.2% 98%  
269 0.3% 98%  
270 0.9% 98%  
271 0.6% 97%  
272 0.2% 96%  
273 2% 96%  
274 4% 94%  
275 6% 90%  
276 2% 84%  
277 2% 83%  
278 1.3% 81%  
279 0.8% 80%  
280 3% 79%  
281 0.9% 76%  
282 4% 75%  
283 1.5% 71%  
284 2% 70%  
285 3% 67%  
286 2% 64%  
287 4% 62%  
288 3% 59%  
289 1.3% 56%  
290 3% 55%  
291 2% 51% Median
292 2% 49%  
293 11% 47%  
294 3% 36%  
295 3% 33%  
296 2% 30%  
297 1.0% 29%  
298 0.9% 28%  
299 2% 27%  
300 2% 25%  
301 1.5% 23%  
302 0.5% 22%  
303 1.5% 21%  
304 1.2% 20%  
305 1.0% 18%  
306 2% 17%  
307 0.4% 15%  
308 1.0% 15%  
309 0.5% 14%  
310 2% 13%  
311 1.1% 11%  
312 1.0% 10%  
313 1.3% 9%  
314 2% 8%  
315 1.3% 6%  
316 0.2% 5%  
317 0.3% 5% Last Result
318 0.4% 4%  
319 0.2% 4%  
320 0.5% 4%  
321 0.7% 3%  
322 0.3% 3%  
323 0.2% 2%  
324 0.4% 2%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.1% 1.5% Majority
327 0.2% 1.4%  
328 0.1% 1.2%  
329 0.3% 1.1%  
330 0% 0.8%  
331 0.2% 0.8%  
332 0.1% 0.6%  
333 0.1% 0.5%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0.2% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0.1% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0% 99.7%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0.1% 99.6%  
248 0.2% 99.5%  
249 0.3% 99.3%  
250 0.1% 99.0%  
251 0.1% 98.9%  
252 0.3% 98.8%  
253 0.1% 98%  
254 0.2% 98%  
255 0.4% 98%  
256 0.3% 98%  
257 0.4% 97%  
258 0.1% 97%  
259 0.3% 97%  
260 0.6% 97%  
261 0.6% 96%  
262 0.5% 95%  
263 1.0% 95%  
264 0.3% 94%  
265 2% 94%  
266 0.8% 92%  
267 2% 91%  
268 0.6% 89%  
269 3% 89%  
270 0.6% 86%  
271 2% 86%  
272 0.7% 84%  
273 0.8% 83%  
274 1.4% 82%  
275 2% 81%  
276 1.3% 79%  
277 0.7% 77%  
278 1.0% 77% Last Result
279 2% 76%  
280 0.7% 74%  
281 4% 73%  
282 2% 69%  
283 6% 67%  
284 7% 61%  
285 1.1% 55%  
286 1.5% 54%  
287 2% 52%  
288 4% 51% Median
289 2% 47%  
290 4% 45%  
291 3% 41%  
292 3% 38%  
293 3% 35%  
294 2% 33%  
295 3% 30%  
296 4% 28%  
297 1.4% 24%  
298 1.3% 23%  
299 2% 21%  
300 0.9% 19%  
301 5% 19%  
302 3% 13%  
303 2% 11%  
304 3% 9%  
305 2% 6%  
306 1.1% 4%  
307 0.2% 3%  
308 0.8% 3%  
309 0.3% 2%  
310 0.2% 2%  
311 0.5% 2%  
312 0.1% 1.3%  
313 0.1% 1.1%  
314 0.1% 1.1%  
315 0.2% 1.0%  
316 0.1% 0.8%  
317 0.1% 0.7%  
318 0.1% 0.6%  
319 0.1% 0.5%  
320 0% 0.5%  
321 0.1% 0.4%  
322 0.1% 0.4%  
323 0% 0.3%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.3%  
326 0.1% 0.2% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100%  
234 0.1% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.6%  
239 0.1% 99.5%  
240 0.1% 99.4%  
241 0% 99.3%  
242 0.4% 99.3%  
243 0.1% 98.8%  
244 0.1% 98.7%  
245 0.1% 98.6%  
246 0.3% 98%  
247 0.3% 98%  
248 0.3% 98%  
249 0.1% 98%  
250 0.2% 97%  
251 0.5% 97%  
252 0.4% 97%  
253 0.4% 96%  
254 0.4% 96%  
255 0.9% 96%  
256 0.9% 95%  
257 0.4% 94%  
258 0.7% 93%  
259 1.2% 93%  
260 1.2% 92%  
261 1.1% 90%  
262 0.9% 89%  
263 2% 88%  
264 2% 87%  
265 2% 85%  
266 0.7% 83%  
267 0.8% 83%  
268 1.1% 82%  
269 0.8% 81%  
270 1.3% 80%  
271 2% 79%  
272 0.9% 76%  
273 0.8% 75%  
274 0.7% 75% Last Result
275 2% 74%  
276 3% 72%  
277 3% 69%  
278 2% 66%  
279 6% 65%  
280 6% 59%  
281 1.5% 53%  
282 3% 51%  
283 4% 48%  
284 1.2% 44% Median
285 1.3% 43%  
286 2% 42%  
287 5% 39%  
288 3% 35%  
289 2% 32%  
290 3% 30%  
291 2% 27%  
292 4% 25%  
293 2% 21%  
294 0.5% 19%  
295 2% 19%  
296 0.9% 17%  
297 6% 16%  
298 1.1% 11%  
299 1.5% 9%  
300 3% 8%  
301 1.4% 5%  
302 0.9% 4%  
303 0.2% 3%  
304 0.4% 2%  
305 0.3% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.5% 2%  
308 0.1% 1.1%  
309 0.1% 1.0%  
310 0% 0.9%  
311 0.2% 0.9%  
312 0% 0.7%  
313 0.1% 0.6%  
314 0.1% 0.5%  
315 0% 0.4%  
316 0% 0.4%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0% 0.3%  
319 0% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.7%  
236 0% 99.6%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0.3% 99.5%  
239 0.1% 99.2%  
240 0.3% 99.2%  
241 0.2% 98.9%  
242 0.5% 98.7%  
243 0.3% 98%  
244 0.1% 98%  
245 0.3% 98%  
246 0.6% 98%  
247 0.6% 97%  
248 0.2% 96%  
249 0.3% 96%  
250 0.9% 96%  
251 0.9% 95%  
252 0.6% 94%  
253 1.4% 94%  
254 2% 92%  
255 2% 91%  
256 1.5% 88%  
257 1.2% 87%  
258 1.5% 86%  
259 1.2% 84%  
260 1.5% 83%  
261 1.1% 81%  
262 1.4% 80%  
263 0.4% 79%  
264 1.2% 79%  
265 3% 77%  
266 1.3% 75%  
267 0.4% 74%  
268 4% 73%  
269 0.9% 69%  
270 2% 68%  
271 3% 67%  
272 3% 64%  
273 5% 60%  
274 5% 55%  
275 3% 51% Median
276 5% 47%  
277 7% 42%  
278 3% 35%  
279 3% 32%  
280 3% 28%  
281 4% 25%  
282 2% 22%  
283 3% 19%  
284 0.5% 17%  
285 1.5% 16%  
286 8% 15%  
287 2% 7%  
288 1.3% 5%  
289 0.6% 3%  
290 0.4% 3%  
291 0.3% 2%  
292 0.1% 2%  
293 0.3% 2%  
294 0.3% 1.5%  
295 0.2% 1.2%  
296 0.1% 1.0%  
297 0.2% 0.9%  
298 0.1% 0.7%  
299 0% 0.6%  
300 0.1% 0.6%  
301 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
302 0% 0.4%  
303 0% 0.4%  
304 0% 0.4%  
305 0.1% 0.3%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.2%  
310 0% 0.2%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
223 0.1% 100%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0.1% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.8%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.7%  
229 0.1% 99.5%  
230 0.1% 99.4%  
231 0.1% 99.2%  
232 0.2% 99.2%  
233 0.1% 98.9%  
234 0.4% 98.8%  
235 0.1% 98%  
236 0.5% 98%  
237 0.5% 98%  
238 0.4% 97%  
239 0.1% 97%  
240 0.5% 97%  
241 0.4% 96%  
242 0.7% 96%  
243 0.7% 95%  
244 1.0% 95%  
245 0.7% 94%  
246 0.4% 93%  
247 1.2% 93%  
248 2% 91%  
249 1.0% 90%  
250 1.1% 89%  
251 3% 88%  
252 1.4% 84%  
253 0.8% 83%  
254 0.6% 82%  
255 0.6% 82%  
256 2% 81%  
257 0.6% 79%  
258 1.4% 79%  
259 1.2% 77%  
260 2% 76%  
261 2% 74%  
262 0.6% 72%  
263 2% 72%  
264 3% 70%  
265 1.2% 66%  
266 2% 65%  
267 2% 63%  
268 7% 61%  
269 4% 55%  
270 2% 51%  
271 4% 48% Median
272 8% 45%  
273 7% 37%  
274 2% 29%  
275 4% 27%  
276 0.5% 24%  
277 4% 23%  
278 3% 19%  
279 3% 17%  
280 0.5% 14%  
281 1.4% 13%  
282 8% 12%  
283 1.1% 4%  
284 0.4% 3%  
285 0.3% 2%  
286 0.3% 2%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.1% 2%  
289 0.3% 1.4%  
290 0.1% 1.1%  
291 0.2% 1.0%  
292 0.1% 0.8%  
293 0.1% 0.7%  
294 0% 0.6%  
295 0% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.5%  
297 0% 0.4% Last Result
298 0.1% 0.4%  
299 0% 0.3%  
300 0% 0.3%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
182 0% 100%  
183 0.1% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.9%  
185 0.1% 99.7%  
186 0.1% 99.6%  
187 0.2% 99.5%  
188 0% 99.3%  
189 0.3% 99.3%  
190 0.3% 99.0%  
191 0.3% 98.7%  
192 0.2% 98%  
193 0.4% 98%  
194 0.6% 98%  
195 0.1% 97%  
196 0.5% 97%  
197 0.8% 97%  
198 0.5% 96%  
199 0.3% 95%  
200 0.5% 95%  
201 0.9% 95%  
202 1.0% 94%  
203 1.3% 93%  
204 1.3% 91%  
205 2% 90%  
206 2% 88%  
207 3% 86%  
208 0.5% 83%  
209 0.6% 82%  
210 0.4% 82%  
211 0.8% 81%  
212 2% 80%  
213 2% 78%  
214 0.3% 76%  
215 0.7% 76%  
216 3% 75%  
217 4% 72%  
218 0.8% 68%  
219 0.9% 68%  
220 0.6% 67%  
221 5% 66%  
222 5% 61%  
223 10% 57% Median
224 9% 47%  
225 2% 38%  
226 0.7% 36%  
227 5% 35%  
228 3% 30%  
229 3% 27%  
230 3% 25%  
231 1.5% 21%  
232 1.4% 20%  
233 7% 19%  
234 4% 11%  
235 3% 8%  
236 2% 5%  
237 0.6% 3%  
238 0.1% 2%  
239 0% 2%  
240 0.4% 2%  
241 0.4% 2%  
242 0.2% 2%  
243 0.1% 1.3%  
244 0.4% 1.2%  
245 0.1% 0.8%  
246 0% 0.7%  
247 0.1% 0.7%  
248 0.1% 0.5%  
249 0% 0.5%  
250 0% 0.5%  
251 0.1% 0.4%  
252 0% 0.4%  
253 0% 0.3%  
254 0% 0.3%  
255 0% 0.2%  
256 0% 0.2%  
257 0% 0.2%  
258 0% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1% Last Result
267 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.8%  
177 0.2% 99.8%  
178 0% 99.6%  
179 0.2% 99.5%  
180 0.2% 99.4%  
181 0.2% 99.2%  
182 0.1% 99.0%  
183 0.3% 98.9%  
184 0.4% 98.6%  
185 0.2% 98%  
186 0.1% 98%  
187 0.5% 98%  
188 0.6% 97%  
189 0.2% 97%  
190 0.6% 96%  
191 0.5% 96%  
192 0.5% 95%  
193 0.5% 95%  
194 0.9% 94%  
195 1.3% 93%  
196 0.5% 92%  
197 2% 92%  
198 0.8% 90%  
199 2% 89%  
200 1.1% 87%  
201 0.7% 86%  
202 2% 85%  
203 2% 83%  
204 0.6% 81%  
205 0.6% 81%  
206 1.1% 80%  
207 2% 79%  
208 1.0% 77%  
209 2% 76%  
210 0.6% 74%  
211 3% 74%  
212 1.4% 71%  
213 3% 69%  
214 1.0% 67%  
215 2% 66%  
216 1.1% 64%  
217 7% 62%  
218 3% 55%  
219 9% 53% Median
220 9% 44%  
221 3% 35%  
222 2% 32%  
223 5% 30%  
224 2% 25%  
225 2% 23%  
226 4% 21%  
227 0.9% 17%  
228 1.3% 17%  
229 7% 15%  
230 2% 8%  
231 2% 6%  
232 1.4% 4%  
233 0.3% 2%  
234 0.1% 2%  
235 0.1% 2%  
236 0.4% 2%  
237 0.2% 1.5%  
238 0.1% 1.3%  
239 0.1% 1.1%  
240 0.4% 1.0%  
241 0% 0.6%  
242 0% 0.6%  
243 0.1% 0.6%  
244 0% 0.5%  
245 0% 0.4%  
246 0% 0.4%  
247 0.1% 0.4%  
248 0% 0.3%  
249 0% 0.3%  
250 0.1% 0.3%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations