Opinion Poll by YouGov, 17–28 October 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Conservative Party |
43.4% |
35.5% |
34.9–36.0% |
34.7–36.2% |
34.6–36.4% |
34.3–36.6% |
Labour Party |
41.0% |
21.7% |
21.2–22.2% |
21.0–22.3% |
20.9–22.4% |
20.7–22.7% |
Liberal Democrats |
7.6% |
18.7% |
18.3–19.2% |
18.1–19.3% |
18.0–19.4% |
17.8–19.7% |
Brexit Party |
0.0% |
11.8% |
11.4–12.2% |
11.3–12.3% |
11.2–12.4% |
11.1–12.6% |
Green Party |
1.7% |
5.9% |
5.6–6.2% |
5.5–6.3% |
5.5–6.4% |
5.4–6.5% |
Scottish National Party |
3.1% |
3.9% |
3.7–4.2% |
3.7–4.3% |
3.6–4.3% |
3.5–4.4% |
Plaid Cymru |
0.5% |
1.0% |
0.9–1.1% |
0.8–1.2% |
0.8–1.2% |
0.8–1.2% |
UK Independence Party |
1.9% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.3% |
0.2–0.4% |
0.2–0.4% |
0.2–0.4% |
Change UK |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.3% |
0.2–0.4% |
0.2–0.4% |
0.2–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Conservative Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
317 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
336 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
337 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
338 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
339 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
340 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
341 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
342 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
343 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
344 |
7% |
94% |
|
345 |
13% |
87% |
|
346 |
2% |
74% |
|
347 |
1.5% |
72% |
|
348 |
3% |
71% |
|
349 |
6% |
68% |
|
350 |
4% |
62% |
|
351 |
1.2% |
58% |
|
352 |
4% |
57% |
|
353 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
354 |
7% |
48% |
|
355 |
4% |
41% |
|
356 |
21% |
37% |
|
357 |
2% |
16% |
|
358 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
359 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
360 |
2% |
13% |
|
361 |
5% |
11% |
|
362 |
2% |
6% |
|
363 |
3% |
4% |
|
364 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
365 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
366 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
367 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
368 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
369 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
370 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
371 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
372 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
137 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
139 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
140 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
141 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
142 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
143 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
144 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
145 |
3% |
96% |
|
146 |
4% |
94% |
|
147 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
148 |
2% |
88% |
|
149 |
5% |
86% |
|
150 |
2% |
81% |
|
151 |
2% |
79% |
|
152 |
8% |
78% |
|
153 |
2% |
70% |
|
154 |
3% |
68% |
|
155 |
20% |
65% |
Median |
156 |
7% |
45% |
|
157 |
2% |
38% |
|
158 |
2% |
36% |
|
159 |
1.1% |
33% |
|
160 |
1.5% |
32% |
|
161 |
2% |
31% |
|
162 |
6% |
29% |
|
163 |
0.9% |
23% |
|
164 |
8% |
22% |
|
165 |
10% |
14% |
|
166 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
167 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
168 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
169 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
170 |
2% |
2% |
|
171 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
172 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
176 |
0% |
0% |
|
177 |
0% |
0% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
180 |
0% |
0% |
|
181 |
0% |
0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
183 |
0% |
0% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Liberal Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
4% |
98% |
|
60 |
3% |
94% |
|
61 |
20% |
91% |
|
62 |
29% |
71% |
Median |
63 |
10% |
42% |
|
64 |
23% |
31% |
|
65 |
7% |
8% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Brexit Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
81% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
12% |
19% |
|
2 |
6% |
7% |
|
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Green Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
98.6% |
98.6% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Scottish National Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
26% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
17% |
74% |
|
50 |
17% |
56% |
Median |
51 |
20% |
39% |
|
52 |
6% |
19% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
54 |
12% |
12% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Plaid Cymru
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
7 |
76% |
98% |
Median |
8 |
14% |
23% |
|
9 |
8% |
9% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
UK Independence Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Change UK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Change UK page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK |
329 |
416 |
100% |
406–423 |
405–425 |
401–425 |
399–428 |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats |
329 |
416 |
100% |
406–423 |
405–425 |
401–425 |
399–428 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
356 |
411 |
100% |
400–418 |
400–421 |
397–421 |
394–423 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party |
352 |
404 |
100% |
393–410 |
393–413 |
390–414 |
387–416 |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru |
321 |
360 |
100% |
351–369 |
350–370 |
346–371 |
344–373 |
Conservative Party – Brexit Party |
317 |
354 |
100% |
344–361 |
343–362 |
339–364 |
337–366 |
Conservative Party – Change UK |
317 |
353 |
100% |
344–361 |
343–362 |
339–363 |
337–366 |
Conservative Party |
317 |
353 |
100% |
344–361 |
343–362 |
339–363 |
337–366 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
314 |
278 |
0% |
271–288 |
270–289 |
268–293 |
266–295 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
313 |
274 |
0% |
267–284 |
266–285 |
264–289 |
262–291 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party |
309 |
267 |
0% |
259–277 |
258–278 |
257–282 |
254–284 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru |
278 |
224 |
0% |
217–235 |
214–235 |
213–238 |
212–240 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK |
274 |
217 |
0% |
210–228 |
207–228 |
206–230 |
204–233 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats |
274 |
217 |
0% |
210–228 |
207–228 |
206–230 |
204–233 |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
301 |
211 |
0% |
204–222 |
203–223 |
202–227 |
199–228 |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party |
297 |
204 |
0% |
197–215 |
195–216 |
195–220 |
192–222 |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru |
266 |
162 |
0% |
154–172 |
153–172 |
152–176 |
150–177 |
Labour Party – Change UK |
262 |
155 |
0% |
146–165 |
145–165 |
144–168 |
142–170 |
Labour Party |
262 |
155 |
0% |
146–165 |
145–165 |
144–168 |
142–170 |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
329 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0% |
100% |
|
353 |
0% |
100% |
|
354 |
0% |
100% |
|
355 |
0% |
100% |
|
356 |
0% |
100% |
|
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0% |
100% |
|
359 |
0% |
100% |
|
360 |
0% |
100% |
|
361 |
0% |
100% |
|
362 |
0% |
100% |
|
363 |
0% |
100% |
|
364 |
0% |
100% |
|
365 |
0% |
100% |
|
366 |
0% |
100% |
|
367 |
0% |
100% |
|
368 |
0% |
100% |
|
369 |
0% |
100% |
|
370 |
0% |
100% |
|
371 |
0% |
100% |
|
372 |
0% |
100% |
|
373 |
0% |
100% |
|
374 |
0% |
100% |
|
375 |
0% |
100% |
|
376 |
0% |
100% |
|
377 |
0% |
100% |
|
378 |
0% |
100% |
|
379 |
0% |
100% |
|
380 |
0% |
100% |
|
381 |
0% |
100% |
|
382 |
0% |
100% |
|
383 |
0% |
100% |
|
384 |
0% |
100% |
|
385 |
0% |
100% |
|
386 |
0% |
100% |
|
387 |
0% |
100% |
|
388 |
0% |
100% |
|
389 |
0% |
100% |
|
390 |
0% |
100% |
|
391 |
0% |
100% |
|
392 |
0% |
100% |
|
393 |
0% |
100% |
|
394 |
0% |
100% |
|
395 |
0% |
100% |
|
396 |
0% |
100% |
|
397 |
0% |
100% |
|
398 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
399 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
400 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
401 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
402 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
403 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
404 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
405 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
406 |
10% |
94% |
|
407 |
1.0% |
84% |
|
408 |
12% |
83% |
|
409 |
1.0% |
71% |
|
410 |
4% |
70% |
|
411 |
5% |
66% |
|
412 |
0.6% |
61% |
|
413 |
3% |
60% |
|
414 |
0.8% |
57% |
|
415 |
1.1% |
56% |
Median |
416 |
8% |
55% |
|
417 |
2% |
47% |
|
418 |
28% |
45% |
|
419 |
2% |
17% |
|
420 |
1.1% |
15% |
|
421 |
2% |
14% |
|
422 |
2% |
13% |
|
423 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
424 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
425 |
7% |
9% |
|
426 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
427 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
428 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
429 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
430 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
431 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
432 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
433 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
434 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
435 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
329 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0% |
100% |
|
353 |
0% |
100% |
|
354 |
0% |
100% |
|
355 |
0% |
100% |
|
356 |
0% |
100% |
|
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0% |
100% |
|
359 |
0% |
100% |
|
360 |
0% |
100% |
|
361 |
0% |
100% |
|
362 |
0% |
100% |
|
363 |
0% |
100% |
|
364 |
0% |
100% |
|
365 |
0% |
100% |
|
366 |
0% |
100% |
|
367 |
0% |
100% |
|
368 |
0% |
100% |
|
369 |
0% |
100% |
|
370 |
0% |
100% |
|
371 |
0% |
100% |
|
372 |
0% |
100% |
|
373 |
0% |
100% |
|
374 |
0% |
100% |
|
375 |
0% |
100% |
|
376 |
0% |
100% |
|
377 |
0% |
100% |
|
378 |
0% |
100% |
|
379 |
0% |
100% |
|
380 |
0% |
100% |
|
381 |
0% |
100% |
|
382 |
0% |
100% |
|
383 |
0% |
100% |
|
384 |
0% |
100% |
|
385 |
0% |
100% |
|
386 |
0% |
100% |
|
387 |
0% |
100% |
|
388 |
0% |
100% |
|
389 |
0% |
100% |
|
390 |
0% |
100% |
|
391 |
0% |
100% |
|
392 |
0% |
100% |
|
393 |
0% |
100% |
|
394 |
0% |
100% |
|
395 |
0% |
100% |
|
396 |
0% |
100% |
|
397 |
0% |
100% |
|
398 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
399 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
400 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
401 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
402 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
403 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
404 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
405 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
406 |
10% |
94% |
|
407 |
1.0% |
84% |
|
408 |
12% |
83% |
|
409 |
1.0% |
71% |
|
410 |
4% |
70% |
|
411 |
5% |
66% |
|
412 |
0.6% |
61% |
|
413 |
3% |
60% |
|
414 |
0.8% |
57% |
|
415 |
1.1% |
56% |
Median |
416 |
8% |
55% |
|
417 |
2% |
47% |
|
418 |
28% |
45% |
|
419 |
2% |
17% |
|
420 |
1.1% |
15% |
|
421 |
2% |
14% |
|
422 |
2% |
13% |
|
423 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
424 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
425 |
7% |
9% |
|
426 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
427 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
428 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
429 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
430 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
431 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
432 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
433 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
434 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
435 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
356 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0% |
100% |
|
359 |
0% |
100% |
|
360 |
0% |
100% |
|
361 |
0% |
100% |
|
362 |
0% |
100% |
|
363 |
0% |
100% |
|
364 |
0% |
100% |
|
365 |
0% |
100% |
|
366 |
0% |
100% |
|
367 |
0% |
100% |
|
368 |
0% |
100% |
|
369 |
0% |
100% |
|
370 |
0% |
100% |
|
371 |
0% |
100% |
|
372 |
0% |
100% |
|
373 |
0% |
100% |
|
374 |
0% |
100% |
|
375 |
0% |
100% |
|
376 |
0% |
100% |
|
377 |
0% |
100% |
|
378 |
0% |
100% |
|
379 |
0% |
100% |
|
380 |
0% |
100% |
|
381 |
0% |
100% |
|
382 |
0% |
100% |
|
383 |
0% |
100% |
|
384 |
0% |
100% |
|
385 |
0% |
100% |
|
386 |
0% |
100% |
|
387 |
0% |
100% |
|
388 |
0% |
100% |
|
389 |
0% |
100% |
|
390 |
0% |
100% |
|
391 |
0% |
100% |
|
392 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
393 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
394 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
395 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
396 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
397 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
398 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
399 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
400 |
7% |
96% |
|
401 |
2% |
89% |
|
402 |
12% |
87% |
|
403 |
2% |
76% |
|
404 |
2% |
74% |
|
405 |
1.4% |
72% |
|
406 |
3% |
70% |
|
407 |
5% |
68% |
|
408 |
2% |
63% |
|
409 |
0.4% |
61% |
|
410 |
6% |
61% |
Median |
411 |
22% |
55% |
|
412 |
7% |
33% |
|
413 |
2% |
26% |
|
414 |
6% |
24% |
|
415 |
2% |
17% |
|
416 |
1.3% |
15% |
|
417 |
2% |
14% |
|
418 |
4% |
12% |
|
419 |
2% |
8% |
|
420 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
421 |
3% |
5% |
|
422 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
423 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
424 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
425 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
426 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
427 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
428 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
352 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
353 |
0% |
100% |
|
354 |
0% |
100% |
|
355 |
0% |
100% |
|
356 |
0% |
100% |
|
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0% |
100% |
|
359 |
0% |
100% |
|
360 |
0% |
100% |
|
361 |
0% |
100% |
|
362 |
0% |
100% |
|
363 |
0% |
100% |
|
364 |
0% |
100% |
|
365 |
0% |
100% |
|
366 |
0% |
100% |
|
367 |
0% |
100% |
|
368 |
0% |
100% |
|
369 |
0% |
100% |
|
370 |
0% |
100% |
|
371 |
0% |
100% |
|
372 |
0% |
100% |
|
373 |
0% |
100% |
|
374 |
0% |
100% |
|
375 |
0% |
100% |
|
376 |
0% |
100% |
|
377 |
0% |
100% |
|
378 |
0% |
100% |
|
379 |
0% |
100% |
|
380 |
0% |
100% |
|
381 |
0% |
100% |
|
382 |
0% |
100% |
|
383 |
0% |
100% |
|
384 |
0% |
100% |
|
385 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
386 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
387 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
388 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
389 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
390 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
391 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
392 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
393 |
8% |
96% |
|
394 |
0.9% |
88% |
|
395 |
12% |
87% |
|
396 |
2% |
75% |
|
397 |
3% |
73% |
|
398 |
1.3% |
70% |
|
399 |
1.4% |
69% |
|
400 |
5% |
67% |
|
401 |
4% |
62% |
|
402 |
0.3% |
58% |
|
403 |
5% |
58% |
Median |
404 |
22% |
53% |
|
405 |
6% |
31% |
|
406 |
3% |
25% |
|
407 |
6% |
22% |
|
408 |
1.2% |
16% |
|
409 |
2% |
15% |
|
410 |
4% |
14% |
|
411 |
2% |
9% |
|
412 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
413 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
414 |
2% |
4% |
|
415 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
416 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
417 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
418 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
419 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
420 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
421 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
321 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
342 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
343 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
344 |
1.5% |
99.5% |
|
345 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
346 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
347 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
348 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
349 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
350 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
351 |
8% |
95% |
|
352 |
12% |
87% |
|
353 |
2% |
75% |
|
354 |
2% |
73% |
|
355 |
1.5% |
71% |
|
356 |
4% |
69% |
|
357 |
5% |
66% |
|
358 |
1.3% |
61% |
|
359 |
6% |
60% |
|
360 |
5% |
54% |
Median |
361 |
8% |
49% |
|
362 |
2% |
41% |
|
363 |
21% |
39% |
|
364 |
3% |
18% |
|
365 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
366 |
1.2% |
14% |
|
367 |
2% |
13% |
|
368 |
0.9% |
11% |
|
369 |
4% |
10% |
|
370 |
3% |
6% |
|
371 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
372 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
373 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
374 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
375 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
376 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
377 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
378 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
379 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Brexit Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
317 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
336 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
337 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
338 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
339 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
340 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
341 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
342 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
343 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
344 |
7% |
95% |
|
345 |
13% |
87% |
|
346 |
1.4% |
75% |
|
347 |
2% |
73% |
|
348 |
4% |
72% |
|
349 |
6% |
68% |
|
350 |
0.9% |
62% |
|
351 |
4% |
61% |
|
352 |
3% |
57% |
|
353 |
2% |
54% |
Median |
354 |
7% |
52% |
|
355 |
6% |
44% |
|
356 |
21% |
38% |
|
357 |
2% |
17% |
|
358 |
0.7% |
15% |
|
359 |
0.6% |
14% |
|
360 |
2% |
14% |
|
361 |
5% |
12% |
|
362 |
3% |
7% |
|
363 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
364 |
2% |
4% |
|
365 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
366 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
367 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
368 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
369 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
370 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
371 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
372 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
373 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Change UK
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
317 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
336 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
337 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
338 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
339 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
340 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
341 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
342 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
343 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
344 |
7% |
94% |
|
345 |
13% |
87% |
|
346 |
2% |
74% |
|
347 |
1.5% |
72% |
|
348 |
3% |
71% |
|
349 |
6% |
68% |
|
350 |
4% |
62% |
|
351 |
1.2% |
58% |
|
352 |
4% |
57% |
|
353 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
354 |
7% |
48% |
|
355 |
4% |
41% |
|
356 |
21% |
37% |
|
357 |
2% |
16% |
|
358 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
359 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
360 |
2% |
13% |
|
361 |
5% |
11% |
|
362 |
2% |
6% |
|
363 |
3% |
4% |
|
364 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
365 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
366 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
367 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
368 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
369 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
370 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
371 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
372 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
317 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
336 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
337 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
338 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
339 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
340 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
341 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
342 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
343 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
344 |
7% |
94% |
|
345 |
13% |
87% |
|
346 |
2% |
74% |
|
347 |
1.5% |
72% |
|
348 |
3% |
71% |
|
349 |
6% |
68% |
|
350 |
4% |
62% |
|
351 |
1.2% |
58% |
|
352 |
4% |
57% |
|
353 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
354 |
7% |
48% |
|
355 |
4% |
41% |
|
356 |
21% |
37% |
|
357 |
2% |
16% |
|
358 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
359 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
360 |
2% |
13% |
|
361 |
5% |
11% |
|
362 |
2% |
6% |
|
363 |
3% |
4% |
|
364 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
365 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
366 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
367 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
368 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
369 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
370 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
371 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
372 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
260 |
0% |
100% |
|
261 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
262 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
263 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
264 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
265 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
266 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
267 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
268 |
2% |
98% |
|
269 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
270 |
3% |
95% |
|
271 |
5% |
93% |
|
272 |
2% |
88% |
|
273 |
0.6% |
86% |
|
274 |
0.7% |
86% |
|
275 |
2% |
85% |
|
276 |
21% |
83% |
|
277 |
6% |
62% |
|
278 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
279 |
2% |
48% |
|
280 |
3% |
46% |
|
281 |
4% |
43% |
|
282 |
0.9% |
39% |
|
283 |
6% |
38% |
|
284 |
4% |
32% |
|
285 |
2% |
28% |
|
286 |
1.4% |
27% |
|
287 |
13% |
25% |
|
288 |
7% |
13% |
|
289 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
290 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
291 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
292 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
293 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
294 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
295 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
296 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
297 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
298 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
|
302 |
0% |
0% |
|
303 |
0% |
0% |
|
304 |
0% |
0% |
|
305 |
0% |
0% |
|
306 |
0% |
0% |
|
307 |
0% |
0% |
|
308 |
0% |
0% |
|
309 |
0% |
0% |
|
310 |
0% |
0% |
|
311 |
0% |
0% |
|
312 |
0% |
0% |
|
313 |
0% |
0% |
|
314 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
256 |
0% |
100% |
|
257 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
258 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
259 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
260 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
261 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
262 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
263 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
264 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
265 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
266 |
2% |
96% |
|
267 |
5% |
93% |
|
268 |
2% |
88% |
|
269 |
0.6% |
86% |
|
270 |
0.7% |
86% |
|
271 |
2% |
85% |
|
272 |
21% |
83% |
|
273 |
6% |
62% |
|
274 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
275 |
2% |
48% |
|
276 |
3% |
46% |
|
277 |
4% |
43% |
|
278 |
0.9% |
39% |
|
279 |
6% |
38% |
|
280 |
4% |
32% |
|
281 |
2% |
28% |
|
282 |
1.5% |
27% |
|
283 |
13% |
25% |
|
284 |
7% |
13% |
|
285 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
286 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
287 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
288 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
289 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
290 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
291 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
292 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
293 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
294 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
|
302 |
0% |
0% |
|
303 |
0% |
0% |
|
304 |
0% |
0% |
|
305 |
0% |
0% |
|
306 |
0% |
0% |
|
307 |
0% |
0% |
|
308 |
0% |
0% |
|
309 |
0% |
0% |
|
310 |
0% |
0% |
|
311 |
0% |
0% |
|
312 |
0% |
0% |
|
313 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
249 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
250 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
251 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
252 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
253 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
254 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
255 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
256 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
257 |
3% |
98% |
|
258 |
2% |
96% |
|
259 |
5% |
94% |
|
260 |
1.5% |
89% |
|
261 |
2% |
88% |
|
262 |
0.7% |
86% |
|
263 |
1.5% |
85% |
|
264 |
2% |
84% |
|
265 |
21% |
82% |
|
266 |
5% |
61% |
|
267 |
8% |
55% |
Median |
268 |
5% |
47% |
|
269 |
3% |
43% |
|
270 |
1.2% |
40% |
|
271 |
5% |
39% |
|
272 |
4% |
34% |
|
273 |
2% |
30% |
|
274 |
2% |
28% |
|
275 |
3% |
27% |
|
276 |
12% |
24% |
|
277 |
7% |
12% |
|
278 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
279 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
280 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
281 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
282 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
283 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
284 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
285 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
286 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
287 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
|
302 |
0% |
0% |
|
303 |
0% |
0% |
|
304 |
0% |
0% |
|
305 |
0% |
0% |
|
306 |
0% |
0% |
|
307 |
0% |
0% |
|
308 |
0% |
0% |
|
309 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
207 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
208 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
209 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
210 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
211 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
212 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
213 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
214 |
2% |
97% |
|
215 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
216 |
2% |
94% |
|
217 |
2% |
92% |
|
218 |
4% |
90% |
|
219 |
4% |
86% |
|
220 |
1.5% |
82% |
|
221 |
3% |
81% |
|
222 |
3% |
78% |
|
223 |
7% |
75% |
|
224 |
21% |
68% |
Median |
225 |
5% |
47% |
|
226 |
3% |
42% |
|
227 |
0.5% |
38% |
|
228 |
6% |
38% |
|
229 |
1.3% |
32% |
|
230 |
2% |
31% |
|
231 |
3% |
29% |
|
232 |
2% |
26% |
|
233 |
12% |
24% |
|
234 |
0.7% |
12% |
|
235 |
8% |
12% |
|
236 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
237 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
238 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
239 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
240 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
241 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
242 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
243 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
200 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
201 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
202 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
203 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
204 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
205 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
206 |
3% |
98% |
|
207 |
2% |
96% |
|
208 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
209 |
2% |
93% |
|
210 |
4% |
91% |
|
211 |
1.0% |
87% |
|
212 |
4% |
86% |
|
213 |
2% |
82% |
|
214 |
4% |
79% |
|
215 |
0.8% |
75% |
|
216 |
7% |
74% |
|
217 |
26% |
67% |
Median |
218 |
3% |
42% |
|
219 |
0.2% |
39% |
|
220 |
1.4% |
38% |
|
221 |
5% |
37% |
|
222 |
3% |
32% |
|
223 |
1.0% |
28% |
|
224 |
2% |
27% |
|
225 |
2% |
26% |
|
226 |
12% |
24% |
|
227 |
2% |
12% |
|
228 |
7% |
11% |
|
229 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
230 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
231 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
232 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
233 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
234 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
235 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
236 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
237 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
200 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
201 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
202 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
203 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
204 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
205 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
206 |
3% |
98% |
|
207 |
2% |
96% |
|
208 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
209 |
2% |
93% |
|
210 |
4% |
91% |
|
211 |
1.0% |
87% |
|
212 |
4% |
86% |
|
213 |
2% |
82% |
|
214 |
4% |
79% |
|
215 |
0.8% |
75% |
|
216 |
7% |
74% |
|
217 |
26% |
67% |
Median |
218 |
3% |
42% |
|
219 |
0.2% |
39% |
|
220 |
1.4% |
38% |
|
221 |
5% |
37% |
|
222 |
3% |
32% |
|
223 |
1.0% |
28% |
|
224 |
2% |
27% |
|
225 |
2% |
26% |
|
226 |
12% |
24% |
|
227 |
2% |
12% |
|
228 |
7% |
11% |
|
229 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
230 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
231 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
232 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
233 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
234 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
235 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
236 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
237 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
193 |
0% |
100% |
|
194 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
195 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
196 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
197 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
198 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
199 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
200 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
201 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
202 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
203 |
5% |
96% |
|
204 |
1.5% |
91% |
|
205 |
2% |
90% |
|
206 |
1.4% |
88% |
|
207 |
1.5% |
87% |
|
208 |
2% |
85% |
|
209 |
0.9% |
83% |
|
210 |
30% |
82% |
|
211 |
2% |
52% |
|
212 |
5% |
50% |
Median |
213 |
1.1% |
45% |
|
214 |
0.6% |
43% |
|
215 |
4% |
43% |
|
216 |
4% |
39% |
|
217 |
2% |
36% |
|
218 |
4% |
34% |
|
219 |
1.5% |
30% |
|
220 |
11% |
28% |
|
221 |
0.7% |
17% |
|
222 |
10% |
16% |
|
223 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
224 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
225 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
226 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
227 |
2% |
3% |
|
228 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
229 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
230 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
186 |
0% |
100% |
|
187 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
188 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
189 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
190 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
191 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
192 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
193 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
194 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
195 |
6% |
98% |
|
196 |
2% |
92% |
|
197 |
2% |
90% |
|
198 |
0.9% |
88% |
|
199 |
2% |
87% |
|
200 |
0.5% |
85% |
|
201 |
2% |
85% |
|
202 |
2% |
83% |
|
203 |
29% |
81% |
|
204 |
3% |
52% |
|
205 |
4% |
48% |
Median |
206 |
3% |
44% |
|
207 |
4% |
42% |
|
208 |
2% |
38% |
|
209 |
1.1% |
36% |
|
210 |
5% |
35% |
|
211 |
0.8% |
30% |
|
212 |
1.3% |
29% |
|
213 |
11% |
28% |
|
214 |
0.7% |
16% |
|
215 |
10% |
16% |
|
216 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
217 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
218 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
219 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
220 |
2% |
3% |
|
221 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
222 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
223 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
144 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
146 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
147 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
148 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
149 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
150 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
151 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
152 |
2% |
98% |
|
153 |
2% |
96% |
|
154 |
6% |
94% |
|
155 |
2% |
88% |
|
156 |
4% |
86% |
|
157 |
2% |
82% |
|
158 |
0.7% |
80% |
|
159 |
9% |
80% |
|
160 |
2% |
70% |
|
161 |
3% |
68% |
|
162 |
20% |
65% |
Median |
163 |
2% |
45% |
|
164 |
3% |
43% |
|
165 |
5% |
40% |
|
166 |
3% |
36% |
|
167 |
0.9% |
32% |
|
168 |
2% |
31% |
|
169 |
5% |
29% |
|
170 |
2% |
25% |
|
171 |
8% |
22% |
|
172 |
11% |
14% |
|
173 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
174 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
175 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
176 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
177 |
2% |
2% |
|
178 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
180 |
0% |
0% |
|
181 |
0% |
0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
183 |
0% |
0% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party – Change UK
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
137 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
139 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
140 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
141 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
142 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
143 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
144 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
145 |
3% |
96% |
|
146 |
4% |
94% |
|
147 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
148 |
2% |
88% |
|
149 |
5% |
86% |
|
150 |
2% |
81% |
|
151 |
2% |
79% |
|
152 |
8% |
78% |
|
153 |
2% |
70% |
|
154 |
3% |
68% |
|
155 |
20% |
65% |
Median |
156 |
7% |
45% |
|
157 |
2% |
38% |
|
158 |
2% |
36% |
|
159 |
1.1% |
33% |
|
160 |
1.5% |
32% |
|
161 |
2% |
31% |
|
162 |
6% |
29% |
|
163 |
0.9% |
23% |
|
164 |
8% |
22% |
|
165 |
10% |
14% |
|
166 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
167 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
168 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
169 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
170 |
2% |
2% |
|
171 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
172 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
176 |
0% |
0% |
|
177 |
0% |
0% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
180 |
0% |
0% |
|
181 |
0% |
0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
183 |
0% |
0% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Labour Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
137 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
139 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
140 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
141 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
142 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
143 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
144 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
145 |
3% |
96% |
|
146 |
4% |
94% |
|
147 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
148 |
2% |
88% |
|
149 |
5% |
86% |
|
150 |
2% |
81% |
|
151 |
2% |
79% |
|
152 |
8% |
78% |
|
153 |
2% |
70% |
|
154 |
3% |
68% |
|
155 |
20% |
65% |
Median |
156 |
7% |
45% |
|
157 |
2% |
38% |
|
158 |
2% |
36% |
|
159 |
1.1% |
33% |
|
160 |
1.5% |
32% |
|
161 |
2% |
31% |
|
162 |
6% |
29% |
|
163 |
0.9% |
23% |
|
164 |
8% |
22% |
|
165 |
10% |
14% |
|
166 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
167 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
168 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
169 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
170 |
2% |
2% |
|
171 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
172 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
176 |
0% |
0% |
|
177 |
0% |
0% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
180 |
0% |
0% |
|
181 |
0% |
0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
183 |
0% |
0% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
198 |
0% |
0% |
|
199 |
0% |
0% |
|
200 |
0% |
0% |
|
201 |
0% |
0% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
203 |
0% |
0% |
|
204 |
0% |
0% |
|
205 |
0% |
0% |
|
206 |
0% |
0% |
|
207 |
0% |
0% |
|
208 |
0% |
0% |
|
209 |
0% |
0% |
|
210 |
0% |
0% |
|
211 |
0% |
0% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
225 |
0% |
0% |
|
226 |
0% |
0% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
228 |
0% |
0% |
|
229 |
0% |
0% |
|
230 |
0% |
0% |
|
231 |
0% |
0% |
|
232 |
0% |
0% |
|
233 |
0% |
0% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
235 |
0% |
0% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
237 |
0% |
0% |
|
238 |
0% |
0% |
|
239 |
0% |
0% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
241 |
0% |
0% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
243 |
0% |
0% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
245 |
0% |
0% |
|
246 |
0% |
0% |
|
247 |
0% |
0% |
|
248 |
0% |
0% |
|
249 |
0% |
0% |
|
250 |
0% |
0% |
|
251 |
0% |
0% |
|
252 |
0% |
0% |
|
253 |
0% |
0% |
|
254 |
0% |
0% |
|
255 |
0% |
0% |
|
256 |
0% |
0% |
|
257 |
0% |
0% |
|
258 |
0% |
0% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
260 |
0% |
0% |
|
261 |
0% |
0% |
|
262 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–28 October 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 11590
- Simulations done: 524,288
- Error estimate: 0.61%