Opinion Poll by ICM Research for Reuters, 1–4 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 43.4% 37.5% 36.2–38.9% 35.8–39.3% 35.4–39.6% 34.8–40.3%
Labour Party 41.0% 30.6% 29.3–32.0% 29.0–32.3% 28.7–32.7% 28.1–33.3%
Liberal Democrats 7.6% 14.8% 13.8–15.9% 13.5–16.2% 13.3–16.4% 12.9–16.9%
Brexit Party 0.0% 8.9% 8.1–9.8% 7.9–10.0% 7.7–10.2% 7.4–10.6%
Scottish National Party 3.1% 3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
Green Party 1.7% 3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
UK Independence Party 1.9% 1.0% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 323 308–339 304–346 301–352 291–361
Labour Party 262 224 207–236 205–238 200–243 191–253
Liberal Democrats 12 43 38–48 36–49 36–49 34–51
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Scottish National Party 35 39 35–48 32–50 28–50 18–51
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 0 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–4

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0% 99.5%  
293 0% 99.4%  
294 0.1% 99.4%  
295 0% 99.3%  
296 0.1% 99.2%  
297 0.2% 99.1%  
298 0.2% 98.9%  
299 0.2% 98.7%  
300 0.5% 98%  
301 1.1% 98%  
302 0.7% 97%  
303 0.7% 96%  
304 0.7% 96%  
305 2% 95%  
306 1.0% 93%  
307 1.2% 92%  
308 1.4% 90%  
309 0.8% 89%  
310 3% 88%  
311 2% 85%  
312 2% 83%  
313 2% 80%  
314 4% 78%  
315 2% 74%  
316 2% 72%  
317 1.2% 70% Last Result
318 3% 69%  
319 1.4% 66%  
320 2% 65%  
321 4% 63%  
322 5% 59%  
323 6% 53% Median
324 3% 47%  
325 6% 44%  
326 3% 38% Majority
327 2% 35%  
328 1.5% 33%  
329 1.2% 32%  
330 5% 31%  
331 1.3% 26%  
332 0.9% 25%  
333 4% 24%  
334 1.2% 19%  
335 2% 18%  
336 2% 17%  
337 2% 15%  
338 0.6% 13%  
339 2% 12%  
340 0.6% 10%  
341 0.8% 9%  
342 0.6% 8%  
343 1.0% 8%  
344 0.7% 7%  
345 0.7% 6%  
346 0.5% 5%  
347 0.8% 5%  
348 0.4% 4%  
349 0.3% 4%  
350 0.1% 3%  
351 0.1% 3%  
352 0.6% 3%  
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.8% 2%  
355 0.1% 1.3%  
356 0.1% 1.2%  
357 0.1% 1.0%  
358 0.1% 0.9%  
359 0.2% 0.8%  
360 0.1% 0.6%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
185 0% 100%  
186 0.1% 99.9%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.7%  
189 0% 99.7%  
190 0% 99.6%  
191 0.1% 99.6%  
192 0.2% 99.5%  
193 0.1% 99.3%  
194 0.2% 99.1%  
195 0.6% 99.0%  
196 0.1% 98%  
197 0.1% 98%  
198 0.3% 98%  
199 0.2% 98%  
200 0.2% 98%  
201 0.2% 97%  
202 0.6% 97%  
203 0.3% 97%  
204 0.9% 96%  
205 1.3% 95%  
206 4% 94%  
207 2% 90%  
208 1.2% 88%  
209 3% 87%  
210 0.5% 84%  
211 0.2% 83%  
212 0.9% 83%  
213 1.3% 82%  
214 4% 81%  
215 0.4% 77%  
216 0.8% 76%  
217 5% 76%  
218 5% 71%  
219 1.3% 66%  
220 4% 65%  
221 2% 61%  
222 1.2% 59%  
223 5% 57%  
224 15% 52% Median
225 2% 38%  
226 2% 35%  
227 1.2% 33%  
228 2% 32%  
229 4% 30%  
230 3% 26%  
231 4% 23%  
232 1.4% 19%  
233 2% 18%  
234 2% 16%  
235 3% 14%  
236 3% 11%  
237 2% 8%  
238 2% 6%  
239 0.3% 4%  
240 0.6% 4%  
241 0.6% 4%  
242 0.5% 3%  
243 0.2% 3%  
244 0.3% 2%  
245 0.4% 2%  
246 0.1% 2%  
247 0.2% 1.5%  
248 0.4% 1.2%  
249 0.1% 0.8%  
250 0.1% 0.7%  
251 0.1% 0.6%  
252 0% 0.5%  
253 0% 0.5%  
254 0.2% 0.5%  
255 0% 0.3%  
256 0% 0.3%  
257 0% 0.3%  
258 0% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1% Last Result
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.3% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.6%  
35 0.4% 99.5%  
36 4% 99.1%  
37 3% 95%  
38 6% 92%  
39 4% 86%  
40 3% 82%  
41 10% 80%  
42 6% 70%  
43 21% 64% Median
44 5% 43%  
45 11% 38%  
46 4% 27%  
47 7% 23%  
48 10% 16%  
49 5% 6%  
50 0.3% 0.8%  
51 0.2% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.4%  
53 0% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0.1% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0.2% 99.6%  
19 0.1% 99.5%  
20 0.1% 99.4%  
21 0% 99.3%  
22 0.4% 99.2%  
23 0.5% 98.9%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0.3% 98%  
26 0.3% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0.6% 98%  
29 0.1% 97%  
30 0% 97%  
31 1.3% 97%  
32 1.1% 96%  
33 3% 94%  
34 1.1% 92%  
35 9% 91% Last Result
36 2% 82%  
37 0.7% 80%  
38 5% 80%  
39 26% 75% Median
40 5% 49%  
41 5% 44%  
42 4% 40%  
43 4% 36%  
44 2% 32%  
45 4% 31%  
46 3% 26%  
47 8% 23%  
48 8% 15%  
49 0.1% 7%  
50 6% 7%  
51 1.0% 1.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Median
1 6% 44%  
2 20% 38%  
3 16% 18%  
4 2% 2% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 366 99.9% 353–383 348–388 345–392 337–401
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 364 99.8% 350–382 347–387 342–390 333–400
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 363 99.8% 349–381 346–386 342–389 332–400
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 324 40% 309–341 305–347 301–354 293–363
Conservative Party – Brexit Party 317 323 38% 308–339 304–346 301–352 291–361
Conservative Party 317 323 38% 308–339 304–346 301–352 291–361
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 314 309 8% 293–324 286–328 280–331 271–341
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 308 7% 292–323 285–327 279–330 270–340
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 307 6% 290–322 284–326 277–330 268–338
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 268 0% 250–282 245–285 242–289 231–299
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 267 0% 249–281 244–284 241–289 231–298
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 265 0% 248–278 243–283 239–286 230–294
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 264 0% 247–278 243–282 238–285 229–292
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 225 0% 209–237 206–239 201–243 193–254
Labour Party 262 224 0% 207–236 205–238 200–243 191–253

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.8% Last Result
330 0% 99.8%  
331 0% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.8%  
333 0% 99.7%  
334 0.1% 99.7%  
335 0% 99.7%  
336 0.1% 99.6%  
337 0.1% 99.5%  
338 0.1% 99.5%  
339 0% 99.4%  
340 0% 99.4%  
341 0.2% 99.3%  
342 0.2% 99.1%  
343 0.2% 98.9%  
344 0.6% 98.7%  
345 0.9% 98%  
346 0.9% 97%  
347 1.2% 96%  
348 0.6% 95%  
349 0.7% 94%  
350 0.9% 94%  
351 1.2% 93%  
352 2% 92%  
353 2% 90%  
354 3% 88%  
355 2% 85%  
356 2% 83%  
357 3% 81%  
358 1.3% 78%  
359 4% 76%  
360 2% 72%  
361 3% 71%  
362 3% 68%  
363 3% 64%  
364 3% 62%  
365 1.0% 59%  
366 10% 58% Median
367 8% 48%  
368 2% 40%  
369 2% 37%  
370 2% 35%  
371 1.0% 33%  
372 2% 32%  
373 2% 31%  
374 2% 29%  
375 3% 27%  
376 4% 24%  
377 1.4% 20%  
378 4% 18%  
379 0.4% 14%  
380 0.6% 14%  
381 2% 13%  
382 1.3% 11%  
383 2% 10%  
384 2% 8%  
385 0.6% 6%  
386 0.2% 6%  
387 0.6% 6%  
388 0.9% 5%  
389 0.4% 4%  
390 0.2% 4%  
391 0.4% 4%  
392 1.1% 3%  
393 0.6% 2%  
394 0.2% 2%  
395 0.2% 1.4%  
396 0.1% 1.2%  
397 0.2% 1.0%  
398 0.2% 0.8%  
399 0.1% 0.6%  
400 0% 0.6%  
401 0% 0.5%  
402 0% 0.5%  
403 0.1% 0.5%  
404 0% 0.4%  
405 0% 0.3%  
406 0% 0.3%  
407 0% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0.1% 0.1%  
411 0.1% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.8%  
326 0% 99.8% Majority
327 0% 99.8%  
328 0% 99.8%  
329 0.1% 99.8%  
330 0% 99.6%  
331 0% 99.6%  
332 0.1% 99.6%  
333 0% 99.5%  
334 0.1% 99.5%  
335 0.3% 99.4%  
336 0.1% 99.0%  
337 0.1% 98.9%  
338 0.1% 98.8%  
339 0.1% 98.7%  
340 0.1% 98.6%  
341 0.6% 98.5%  
342 0.5% 98%  
343 0.5% 97%  
344 0.3% 97%  
345 0.4% 97%  
346 0.7% 96%  
347 1.2% 96%  
348 0.8% 94%  
349 2% 94%  
350 2% 91%  
351 2% 89%  
352 2% 87%  
353 3% 86%  
354 0.7% 83%  
355 4% 82%  
356 2% 78% Last Result
357 2% 77%  
358 3% 75%  
359 4% 72%  
360 3% 68%  
361 2% 65%  
362 6% 63% Median
363 2% 57%  
364 6% 55%  
365 1.4% 49%  
366 4% 48%  
367 1.0% 43%  
368 4% 42%  
369 6% 38%  
370 1.2% 32%  
371 4% 31%  
372 4% 27%  
373 0.7% 23%  
374 1.4% 22%  
375 1.2% 20%  
376 1.0% 19%  
377 0.8% 18%  
378 2% 17%  
379 2% 16%  
380 2% 14%  
381 2% 12%  
382 2% 10%  
383 1.4% 9%  
384 0.5% 7%  
385 0.7% 7%  
386 1.2% 6%  
387 1.1% 5%  
388 0.6% 4%  
389 0.7% 3%  
390 0.2% 3%  
391 0.3% 2%  
392 0.2% 2%  
393 0.2% 2%  
394 0.1% 2%  
395 0.5% 2%  
396 0.1% 1.2%  
397 0.2% 1.1%  
398 0.1% 0.9%  
399 0.2% 0.8%  
400 0.2% 0.6%  
401 0.1% 0.5%  
402 0% 0.4%  
403 0.1% 0.3%  
404 0.1% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.8%  
325 0% 99.8%  
326 0% 99.8% Majority
327 0% 99.8%  
328 0% 99.7%  
329 0.1% 99.7%  
330 0% 99.6%  
331 0% 99.6%  
332 0.1% 99.5%  
333 0% 99.5%  
334 0.1% 99.4%  
335 0.4% 99.3%  
336 0.1% 98.9%  
337 0.1% 98.8%  
338 0.1% 98.7%  
339 0.3% 98.6%  
340 0.1% 98%  
341 0.7% 98%  
342 0.3% 98%  
343 0.6% 97%  
344 0.3% 97%  
345 0.5% 96%  
346 0.8% 96%  
347 2% 95%  
348 1.1% 93%  
349 2% 92%  
350 2% 90%  
351 3% 88%  
352 2% 85% Last Result
353 4% 83%  
354 0.6% 79%  
355 1.5% 78%  
356 3% 77%  
357 2% 74%  
358 2% 72%  
359 5% 70%  
360 3% 66%  
361 6% 63%  
362 6% 56% Median
363 2% 50%  
364 2% 48%  
365 1.4% 46%  
366 3% 45%  
367 1.3% 41%  
368 4% 40%  
369 5% 36%  
370 3% 31%  
371 4% 29%  
372 3% 25%  
373 1.2% 21%  
374 0.7% 20%  
375 1.5% 19%  
376 2% 18%  
377 0.8% 16%  
378 1.3% 15%  
379 1.4% 14%  
380 2% 12%  
381 1.5% 11%  
382 0.8% 9%  
383 2% 8%  
384 0.5% 6%  
385 0.7% 6%  
386 0.5% 5%  
387 1.2% 5%  
388 0.5% 3%  
389 0.4% 3%  
390 0.2% 2%  
391 0.3% 2%  
392 0.3% 2%  
393 0.4% 2%  
394 0.1% 1.3%  
395 0.1% 1.1%  
396 0.1% 1.0%  
397 0.3% 1.0%  
398 0.1% 0.7%  
399 0.1% 0.6%  
400 0.2% 0.6%  
401 0.1% 0.4%  
402 0.1% 0.3%  
403 0.1% 0.2%  
404 0.1% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0% 99.6%  
292 0% 99.6%  
293 0% 99.5%  
294 0.1% 99.5%  
295 0% 99.4%  
296 0.1% 99.3%  
297 0.2% 99.3%  
298 0.2% 99.1%  
299 0.2% 99.0%  
300 0.6% 98.7%  
301 0.8% 98%  
302 0.6% 97%  
303 0.7% 97%  
304 0.3% 96%  
305 2% 96%  
306 1.3% 94%  
307 1.1% 92%  
308 1.1% 91%  
309 0.8% 90%  
310 3% 89%  
311 2% 86%  
312 2% 84%  
313 2% 82%  
314 1.1% 81%  
315 3% 80%  
316 4% 77%  
317 2% 73%  
318 2% 72%  
319 1.5% 69%  
320 3% 68%  
321 2% 64% Last Result
322 0.7% 62%  
323 8% 62% Median
324 5% 54%  
325 9% 49%  
326 3% 40% Majority
327 2% 37%  
328 0.7% 35%  
329 1.3% 34%  
330 6% 33%  
331 2% 27%  
332 0.9% 26%  
333 4% 25%  
334 1.1% 20%  
335 2% 19%  
336 1.5% 18%  
337 0.6% 16%  
338 0.4% 15%  
339 3% 15%  
340 2% 12%  
341 0.9% 10%  
342 1.0% 9%  
343 0.4% 8%  
344 0.5% 8%  
345 0.7% 7%  
346 1.4% 7%  
347 1.0% 5%  
348 0.5% 4%  
349 0.2% 4%  
350 0.2% 3%  
351 0.2% 3%  
352 0.1% 3%  
353 0.3% 3%  
354 1.3% 3%  
355 0.1% 1.4%  
356 0.1% 1.3%  
357 0.1% 1.2%  
358 0.1% 1.1%  
359 0.2% 0.9%  
360 0.1% 0.7%  
361 0.2% 0.7%  
362 0% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.5%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0.1% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Brexit Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0% 99.5%  
293 0% 99.4%  
294 0.1% 99.4%  
295 0% 99.3%  
296 0.1% 99.2%  
297 0.2% 99.1%  
298 0.2% 98.9%  
299 0.2% 98.7%  
300 0.5% 98%  
301 1.1% 98%  
302 0.7% 97%  
303 0.7% 96%  
304 0.7% 96%  
305 2% 95%  
306 1.0% 93%  
307 1.2% 92%  
308 1.4% 90%  
309 0.8% 89%  
310 3% 88%  
311 2% 85%  
312 2% 83%  
313 2% 80%  
314 4% 78%  
315 2% 74%  
316 2% 72%  
317 1.2% 70% Last Result
318 3% 69%  
319 1.4% 66%  
320 2% 65%  
321 4% 63%  
322 5% 59%  
323 6% 53% Median
324 3% 47%  
325 6% 44%  
326 3% 38% Majority
327 2% 35%  
328 1.5% 33%  
329 1.2% 32%  
330 5% 31%  
331 1.3% 26%  
332 0.9% 25%  
333 4% 24%  
334 1.2% 19%  
335 2% 18%  
336 2% 17%  
337 2% 15%  
338 0.6% 13%  
339 2% 12%  
340 0.6% 10%  
341 0.8% 9%  
342 0.6% 8%  
343 1.0% 8%  
344 0.7% 7%  
345 0.7% 6%  
346 0.5% 5%  
347 0.8% 5%  
348 0.4% 4%  
349 0.3% 4%  
350 0.1% 3%  
351 0.1% 3%  
352 0.6% 3%  
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.8% 2%  
355 0.1% 1.3%  
356 0.1% 1.2%  
357 0.1% 1.0%  
358 0.1% 0.9%  
359 0.2% 0.8%  
360 0.1% 0.6%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0% 99.5%  
293 0% 99.4%  
294 0.1% 99.4%  
295 0% 99.3%  
296 0.1% 99.2%  
297 0.2% 99.1%  
298 0.2% 98.9%  
299 0.2% 98.7%  
300 0.5% 98%  
301 1.1% 98%  
302 0.7% 97%  
303 0.7% 96%  
304 0.7% 96%  
305 2% 95%  
306 1.0% 93%  
307 1.2% 92%  
308 1.4% 90%  
309 0.8% 89%  
310 3% 88%  
311 2% 85%  
312 2% 83%  
313 2% 80%  
314 4% 78%  
315 2% 74%  
316 2% 72%  
317 1.2% 70% Last Result
318 3% 69%  
319 1.4% 66%  
320 2% 65%  
321 4% 63%  
322 5% 59%  
323 6% 53% Median
324 3% 47%  
325 6% 44%  
326 3% 38% Majority
327 2% 35%  
328 1.5% 33%  
329 1.2% 32%  
330 5% 31%  
331 1.3% 26%  
332 0.9% 25%  
333 4% 24%  
334 1.2% 19%  
335 2% 18%  
336 2% 17%  
337 2% 15%  
338 0.6% 13%  
339 2% 12%  
340 0.6% 10%  
341 0.8% 9%  
342 0.6% 8%  
343 1.0% 8%  
344 0.7% 7%  
345 0.7% 6%  
346 0.5% 5%  
347 0.8% 5%  
348 0.4% 4%  
349 0.3% 4%  
350 0.1% 3%  
351 0.1% 3%  
352 0.6% 3%  
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.8% 2%  
355 0.1% 1.3%  
356 0.1% 1.2%  
357 0.1% 1.0%  
358 0.1% 0.9%  
359 0.2% 0.8%  
360 0.1% 0.6%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0% 99.6%  
271 0.1% 99.6%  
272 0.1% 99.4%  
273 0.2% 99.4%  
274 0.1% 99.2%  
275 0.1% 99.1%  
276 0.1% 99.0%  
277 0.1% 98.8%  
278 0.8% 98.7%  
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0.6% 98%  
281 0.1% 97%  
282 0.1% 97%  
283 0.3% 97%  
284 0.4% 96%  
285 0.8% 96%  
286 0.5% 95%  
287 0.7% 95%  
288 0.7% 94%  
289 1.0% 93%  
290 0.6% 92%  
291 0.8% 92%  
292 0.6% 91%  
293 2% 90%  
294 0.6% 88%  
295 2% 87%  
296 2% 85%  
297 2% 83%  
298 1.2% 82%  
299 4% 81%  
300 0.9% 76%  
301 1.3% 75%  
302 5% 74%  
303 1.2% 69%  
304 1.5% 68%  
305 2% 67%  
306 3% 65%  
307 6% 62% Median
308 3% 56%  
309 6% 53%  
310 5% 47%  
311 4% 41%  
312 2% 37%  
313 1.4% 35%  
314 3% 34% Last Result
315 1.2% 31%  
316 2% 30%  
317 2% 28%  
318 4% 26%  
319 2% 22%  
320 2% 20%  
321 2% 17%  
322 3% 15%  
323 0.8% 12%  
324 1.4% 11%  
325 1.2% 10%  
326 1.0% 8% Majority
327 2% 7%  
328 0.7% 5%  
329 0.7% 4%  
330 0.7% 4%  
331 1.1% 3%  
332 0.5% 2%  
333 0.2% 2%  
334 0.2% 1.3%  
335 0.2% 1.1%  
336 0.1% 0.9%  
337 0% 0.8%  
338 0.1% 0.7%  
339 0% 0.6%  
340 0% 0.6%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0% 0.4%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.3%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0.1% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.7%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0% 99.6%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0.1% 99.6%  
271 0.1% 99.4%  
272 0.2% 99.4%  
273 0.1% 99.2%  
274 0.1% 99.1%  
275 0.1% 99.0%  
276 0.1% 98.8%  
277 0.8% 98.7%  
278 0.3% 98%  
279 0.6% 98%  
280 0.1% 97%  
281 0.1% 97%  
282 0.3% 97%  
283 0.4% 96%  
284 0.8% 96%  
285 0.5% 95%  
286 0.7% 95%  
287 0.7% 94%  
288 1.0% 93%  
289 0.6% 92%  
290 0.8% 92%  
291 0.6% 91%  
292 2% 90%  
293 0.6% 88%  
294 2% 87%  
295 2% 85%  
296 2% 83%  
297 1.2% 82%  
298 4% 81%  
299 0.9% 76%  
300 1.3% 75%  
301 5% 74%  
302 1.2% 69%  
303 1.5% 68%  
304 2% 67%  
305 3% 65%  
306 6% 62% Median
307 3% 56%  
308 6% 53%  
309 5% 47%  
310 4% 41%  
311 2% 37%  
312 1.4% 35%  
313 3% 34% Last Result
314 1.2% 31%  
315 2% 30%  
316 2% 28%  
317 4% 26%  
318 2% 22%  
319 2% 20%  
320 2% 17%  
321 3% 15%  
322 0.8% 12%  
323 1.4% 11%  
324 1.2% 10%  
325 1.0% 8%  
326 2% 7% Majority
327 0.7% 5%  
328 0.7% 4%  
329 0.7% 4%  
330 1.1% 3%  
331 0.5% 2%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0.2% 1.3%  
334 0.2% 1.1%  
335 0.1% 0.9%  
336 0% 0.8%  
337 0.1% 0.7%  
338 0% 0.6%  
339 0% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0% 0.4%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0.1% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.7%  
266 0% 99.7%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0% 99.5%  
270 0.2% 99.5%  
271 0.1% 99.3%  
272 0.2% 99.3%  
273 0.1% 99.1%  
274 0.1% 98.9%  
275 0.1% 98.8%  
276 0.1% 98.7%  
277 1.3% 98.6%  
278 0.3% 97%  
279 0.1% 97%  
280 0.2% 97%  
281 0.2% 97%  
282 0.2% 97%  
283 0.5% 96%  
284 1.0% 96%  
285 1.4% 95%  
286 0.7% 93%  
287 0.5% 93%  
288 0.4% 92%  
289 1.0% 92%  
290 0.9% 91%  
291 2% 90%  
292 3% 88%  
293 0.4% 85%  
294 0.6% 85%  
295 1.5% 84%  
296 2% 82%  
297 1.1% 81%  
298 4% 80%  
299 0.9% 75%  
300 2% 74%  
301 6% 73%  
302 1.3% 67%  
303 0.7% 66%  
304 2% 65%  
305 3% 63%  
306 9% 60% Median
307 5% 51%  
308 8% 46%  
309 0.7% 38% Last Result
310 2% 38%  
311 3% 36%  
312 1.5% 32%  
313 2% 31%  
314 2% 28%  
315 4% 27%  
316 3% 23%  
317 1.1% 20%  
318 2% 19%  
319 2% 18%  
320 2% 16%  
321 3% 14%  
322 0.8% 11%  
323 1.1% 10%  
324 1.1% 9%  
325 1.3% 8%  
326 2% 6% Majority
327 0.3% 4%  
328 0.7% 4%  
329 0.6% 3%  
330 0.8% 3%  
331 0.6% 2%  
332 0.2% 1.3%  
333 0.2% 1.0%  
334 0.2% 0.9%  
335 0.1% 0.7%  
336 0% 0.7%  
337 0.1% 0.6%  
338 0% 0.5%  
339 0% 0.5%  
340 0% 0.4%  
341 0% 0.4%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.9%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0.2% 99.6%  
232 0.1% 99.4%  
233 0.1% 99.4%  
234 0.3% 99.3%  
235 0.1% 99.0%  
236 0.1% 99.0%  
237 0.1% 98.9%  
238 0.4% 98.7%  
239 0.3% 98%  
240 0.3% 98%  
241 0.2% 98%  
242 0.4% 98%  
243 0.5% 97%  
244 1.2% 97%  
245 0.5% 95%  
246 0.7% 95%  
247 0.5% 94%  
248 2% 94%  
249 0.8% 92%  
250 1.5% 91%  
251 2% 89%  
252 1.4% 88%  
253 1.3% 86%  
254 0.8% 85%  
255 2% 84%  
256 1.5% 82%  
257 0.7% 81%  
258 1.2% 80%  
259 3% 79%  
260 4% 75%  
261 3% 71%  
262 5% 69%  
263 4% 64%  
264 1.3% 60%  
265 3% 59%  
266 1.4% 55%  
267 2% 54% Median
268 2% 52%  
269 6% 50%  
270 6% 44%  
271 3% 37%  
272 5% 34%  
273 2% 30%  
274 2% 28%  
275 3% 26%  
276 1.5% 23%  
277 0.6% 22%  
278 4% 21% Last Result
279 2% 17%  
280 3% 15%  
281 2% 12%  
282 2% 10%  
283 1.1% 8%  
284 2% 7%  
285 0.8% 5%  
286 0.5% 4%  
287 0.3% 4%  
288 0.6% 3%  
289 0.3% 3%  
290 0.7% 2%  
291 0.1% 2%  
292 0.3% 2%  
293 0.1% 1.4%  
294 0.1% 1.3%  
295 0.1% 1.2%  
296 0.4% 1.1%  
297 0.1% 0.7%  
298 0% 0.6%  
299 0.1% 0.5%  
300 0% 0.5%  
301 0% 0.4%  
302 0.1% 0.4%  
303 0% 0.3%  
304 0% 0.3%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.9%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0% 99.7%  
230 0.1% 99.6%  
231 0.2% 99.5%  
232 0.2% 99.4%  
233 0.1% 99.2%  
234 0.2% 99.1%  
235 0.1% 98.9%  
236 0.5% 98.8%  
237 0.1% 98%  
238 0.2% 98%  
239 0.2% 98%  
240 0.3% 98%  
241 0.2% 98%  
242 0.7% 97%  
243 0.6% 97%  
244 1.1% 96%  
245 1.2% 95%  
246 0.7% 94%  
247 0.5% 93%  
248 1.4% 93%  
249 2% 91%  
250 2% 90%  
251 2% 88%  
252 2% 86%  
253 2% 84%  
254 0.8% 83%  
255 1.0% 82%  
256 1.2% 81%  
257 1.4% 80%  
258 0.7% 78%  
259 4% 77%  
260 4% 73%  
261 1.2% 69%  
262 6% 68%  
263 4% 62%  
264 1.0% 58%  
265 4% 57%  
266 1.4% 52%  
267 6% 51% Median
268 2% 45%  
269 6% 43%  
270 2% 37%  
271 3% 35%  
272 4% 32%  
273 3% 28%  
274 2% 25% Last Result
275 2% 23%  
276 4% 22%  
277 0.7% 18%  
278 3% 17%  
279 2% 14%  
280 2% 13%  
281 2% 11%  
282 2% 9%  
283 0.8% 6%  
284 1.2% 6%  
285 0.7% 4%  
286 0.4% 4%  
287 0.3% 3%  
288 0.5% 3%  
289 0.5% 3%  
290 0.6% 2%  
291 0.1% 1.5%  
292 0.1% 1.4%  
293 0.1% 1.3%  
294 0.1% 1.2%  
295 0.1% 1.1%  
296 0.3% 1.0%  
297 0.1% 0.6%  
298 0% 0.5%  
299 0.1% 0.5%  
300 0% 0.4%  
301 0% 0.4%  
302 0.1% 0.4%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0.1% 100%  
221 0.1% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.8%  
224 0% 99.8%  
225 0% 99.8%  
226 0% 99.7%  
227 0% 99.7%  
228 0.1% 99.6%  
229 0% 99.5%  
230 0% 99.5%  
231 0% 99.5%  
232 0.1% 99.4%  
233 0.2% 99.4%  
234 0.2% 99.2%  
235 0.1% 99.0%  
236 0.2% 98.8%  
237 0.2% 98.6%  
238 0.6% 98%  
239 1.1% 98%  
240 0.4% 97%  
241 0.2% 96%  
242 0.4% 96%  
243 0.9% 96%  
244 0.6% 95%  
245 0.2% 94%  
246 0.6% 94%  
247 2% 94%  
248 2% 92%  
249 1.3% 90%  
250 2% 89%  
251 0.6% 87%  
252 0.4% 86%  
253 4% 86%  
254 1.4% 82%  
255 4% 80%  
256 3% 76%  
257 2% 73%  
258 2% 71%  
259 2% 69%  
260 1.0% 68%  
261 2% 67%  
262 2% 65%  
263 2% 63% Median
264 8% 60%  
265 10% 52%  
266 1.0% 42%  
267 3% 41%  
268 3% 38%  
269 3% 36%  
270 3% 32%  
271 2% 29%  
272 4% 28%  
273 1.3% 24%  
274 3% 22%  
275 2% 19%  
276 2% 17%  
277 3% 15%  
278 2% 12%  
279 2% 10%  
280 1.2% 8%  
281 0.9% 7%  
282 0.7% 6%  
283 0.6% 6%  
284 1.2% 5%  
285 0.9% 4%  
286 0.9% 3%  
287 0.6% 2%  
288 0.2% 1.3%  
289 0.2% 1.1%  
290 0.2% 0.9%  
291 0% 0.7%  
292 0% 0.6%  
293 0.1% 0.6%  
294 0.1% 0.5%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.3%  
298 0% 0.3%  
299 0.1% 0.3%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2% Last Result
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0.1% 100%  
221 0.1% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.8%  
223 0% 99.8%  
224 0% 99.8%  
225 0% 99.7%  
226 0% 99.7%  
227 0.1% 99.7%  
228 0.1% 99.6%  
229 0% 99.5%  
230 0.1% 99.5%  
231 0.1% 99.3%  
232 0.1% 99.3%  
233 0.2% 99.1%  
234 0.3% 99.0%  
235 0.1% 98.7%  
236 0.5% 98.6%  
237 0.5% 98%  
238 0.2% 98%  
239 0.7% 97%  
240 0.5% 97%  
241 0.3% 96%  
242 0.4% 96%  
243 0.7% 95%  
244 1.5% 95%  
245 2% 93%  
246 1.4% 91%  
247 0.7% 90%  
248 0.7% 89%  
249 0.5% 89%  
250 2% 88%  
251 1.3% 86%  
252 0.9% 85%  
253 4% 84%  
254 0.7% 80%  
255 4% 79%  
256 4% 75%  
257 2% 71%  
258 2% 70%  
259 2% 67%  
260 0.9% 66%  
261 2% 65%  
262 3% 63%  
263 9% 61% Median
264 4% 51%  
265 8% 47%  
266 1.4% 39%  
267 5% 38%  
268 3% 33%  
269 2% 30%  
270 3% 28%  
271 2% 25%  
272 2% 24%  
273 2% 22%  
274 3% 20%  
275 2% 17%  
276 2% 15%  
277 3% 13%  
278 1.2% 10%  
279 2% 9%  
280 1.0% 7%  
281 0.6% 6%  
282 0.9% 6%  
283 0.3% 5%  
284 1.2% 5%  
285 0.9% 3%  
286 0.8% 2%  
287 0.6% 2%  
288 0.2% 1.0%  
289 0.1% 0.8%  
290 0% 0.7%  
291 0.1% 0.6%  
292 0.1% 0.6%  
293 0.1% 0.5%  
294 0% 0.4%  
295 0.1% 0.4%  
296 0% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
298 0% 0.3%  
299 0.1% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
186 0% 100%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.8%  
189 0% 99.7%  
190 0% 99.7%  
191 0% 99.6%  
192 0.1% 99.6%  
193 0.1% 99.5%  
194 0.2% 99.4%  
195 0.3% 99.2%  
196 0.2% 98.9%  
197 0.5% 98.8%  
198 0.1% 98%  
199 0.1% 98%  
200 0.4% 98%  
201 0.2% 98%  
202 0.2% 97%  
203 0.2% 97%  
204 0.9% 97%  
205 0.8% 96%  
206 2% 95%  
207 2% 94%  
208 2% 92%  
209 4% 90%  
210 0.8% 86%  
211 0.4% 85%  
212 2% 84%  
213 0.9% 83%  
214 4% 82%  
215 0.7% 78%  
216 0.6% 77%  
217 4% 77%  
218 4% 73%  
219 1.2% 68%  
220 6% 67%  
221 0.7% 62%  
222 0.7% 61%  
223 4% 60%  
224 6% 57% Median
225 6% 51%  
226 7% 44%  
227 2% 37%  
228 3% 35%  
229 3% 32%  
230 2% 29%  
231 4% 26%  
232 2% 23%  
233 3% 21%  
234 0.9% 18%  
235 4% 17%  
236 3% 13%  
237 2% 10%  
238 2% 8%  
239 1.4% 6%  
240 0.6% 5%  
241 0.7% 4%  
242 0.5% 3%  
243 0.4% 3%  
244 0.1% 2%  
245 0.4% 2%  
246 0.1% 2%  
247 0.4% 2%  
248 0.4% 1.4%  
249 0.2% 1.0%  
250 0.1% 0.8%  
251 0.1% 0.7%  
252 0% 0.6%  
253 0% 0.6%  
254 0.2% 0.6%  
255 0.1% 0.4%  
256 0.1% 0.3%  
257 0% 0.3%  
258 0% 0.3%  
259 0% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1% Last Result
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
185 0% 100%  
186 0.1% 99.9%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.7%  
189 0% 99.7%  
190 0% 99.6%  
191 0.1% 99.6%  
192 0.2% 99.5%  
193 0.1% 99.3%  
194 0.2% 99.1%  
195 0.6% 99.0%  
196 0.1% 98%  
197 0.1% 98%  
198 0.3% 98%  
199 0.2% 98%  
200 0.2% 98%  
201 0.2% 97%  
202 0.6% 97%  
203 0.3% 97%  
204 0.9% 96%  
205 1.3% 95%  
206 4% 94%  
207 2% 90%  
208 1.2% 88%  
209 3% 87%  
210 0.5% 84%  
211 0.2% 83%  
212 0.9% 83%  
213 1.3% 82%  
214 4% 81%  
215 0.4% 77%  
216 0.8% 76%  
217 5% 76%  
218 5% 71%  
219 1.3% 66%  
220 4% 65%  
221 2% 61%  
222 1.2% 59%  
223 5% 57%  
224 15% 52% Median
225 2% 38%  
226 2% 35%  
227 1.2% 33%  
228 2% 32%  
229 4% 30%  
230 3% 26%  
231 4% 23%  
232 1.4% 19%  
233 2% 18%  
234 2% 16%  
235 3% 14%  
236 3% 11%  
237 2% 8%  
238 2% 6%  
239 0.3% 4%  
240 0.6% 4%  
241 0.6% 4%  
242 0.5% 3%  
243 0.2% 3%  
244 0.3% 2%  
245 0.4% 2%  
246 0.1% 2%  
247 0.2% 1.5%  
248 0.4% 1.2%  
249 0.1% 0.8%  
250 0.1% 0.7%  
251 0.1% 0.6%  
252 0% 0.5%  
253 0% 0.5%  
254 0.2% 0.5%  
255 0% 0.3%  
256 0% 0.3%  
257 0% 0.3%  
258 0% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1% Last Result
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations