Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 1–4 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 43.4% 37.7% 36.6–38.8% 36.3–39.1% 36.1–39.4% 35.6–39.9%
Labour Party 41.0% 24.8% 23.9–25.8% 23.6–26.1% 23.4–26.3% 22.9–26.8%
Liberal Democrats 7.6% 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.0% 14.7–17.2% 14.3–17.6%
Brexit Party 0.0% 10.9% 10.3–11.7% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.1% 9.6–12.4%
Green Party 1.7% 5.0% 4.5–5.5% 4.4–5.6% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0%
Scottish National Party 3.1% 4.0% 3.6–4.4% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.7% 3.2–4.9%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.8–1.3% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.6%
UK Independence Party 1.9% 0.2% 0.2–0.4% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6%
Change UK 0.0% 0.2% 0.2–0.4% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 353 342–360 337–366 337–370 329–377
Labour Party 262 172 163–182 162–185 156–190 149–195
Liberal Democrats 12 48 45–49 44–49 43–50 41–53
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Green Party 1 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–4
Scottish National Party 35 50 48–52 47–53 47–54 41–54
Plaid Cymru 4 7 4–10 4–10 4–10 4–11
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change UK 0 0 0 0 0 0

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0.1% 100%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.8% Majority
327 0% 99.8%  
328 0.3% 99.8%  
329 0% 99.5%  
330 0% 99.5%  
331 0.1% 99.4%  
332 0% 99.3%  
333 0% 99.3%  
334 0.4% 99.3%  
335 0% 98.9%  
336 0.1% 98.9%  
337 4% 98.7%  
338 0.2% 95%  
339 0.1% 95%  
340 0.1% 95%  
341 0.4% 95%  
342 5% 94%  
343 3% 89%  
344 4% 86%  
345 2% 83%  
346 0.9% 80%  
347 8% 79%  
348 6% 71%  
349 0.9% 64%  
350 3% 64%  
351 8% 61%  
352 2% 53%  
353 1.0% 51% Median
354 4% 50%  
355 1.0% 46%  
356 0.7% 45%  
357 10% 45%  
358 15% 35%  
359 2% 20%  
360 10% 18%  
361 2% 8%  
362 0.2% 6%  
363 0.1% 6%  
364 0.2% 6%  
365 0.5% 6%  
366 1.0% 5%  
367 0.7% 4%  
368 0.1% 3%  
369 0.8% 3%  
370 0.2% 3%  
371 0.3% 2%  
372 0.5% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.1% 1.3%  
375 0.1% 1.2%  
376 0.6% 1.2%  
377 0.1% 0.6%  
378 0.2% 0.5%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0.1% 100%  
147 0.2% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.5% 99.6%  
150 0.2% 99.2%  
151 0.1% 99.0%  
152 0% 98.8%  
153 0.1% 98.8%  
154 0.2% 98.7%  
155 0.5% 98.6%  
156 0.7% 98%  
157 0.1% 97%  
158 0% 97%  
159 0.2% 97%  
160 0.6% 97%  
161 0.4% 96%  
162 6% 96%  
163 2% 90%  
164 2% 89%  
165 0.5% 87%  
166 15% 86%  
167 5% 71%  
168 2% 66%  
169 10% 63%  
170 0.8% 54%  
171 0.8% 53%  
172 5% 52% Median
173 2% 47%  
174 2% 45%  
175 8% 42%  
176 2% 35%  
177 0.4% 33%  
178 9% 33%  
179 4% 24%  
180 1.0% 19%  
181 6% 18%  
182 4% 13%  
183 0.2% 9%  
184 3% 8%  
185 0.3% 5%  
186 0.1% 5%  
187 0.4% 5%  
188 0% 4%  
189 0.3% 4%  
190 3% 4%  
191 0% 0.7%  
192 0% 0.7%  
193 0% 0.6%  
194 0% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0% 0.5%  
197 0.3% 0.4%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.6%  
41 0.8% 99.6%  
42 1.2% 98.8%  
43 0.8% 98%  
44 4% 97%  
45 4% 93%  
46 11% 90%  
47 24% 79%  
48 21% 55% Median
49 31% 34%  
50 1.4% 3%  
51 0.5% 1.3%  
52 0.2% 0.8%  
53 0.1% 0.6%  
54 0.2% 0.5%  
55 0.1% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100% Last Result
2 67% 98% Median
3 29% 31%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.3% 99.7%  
42 0% 99.4%  
43 0.9% 99.4%  
44 0% 98.5%  
45 0.5% 98.5%  
46 0.2% 98%  
47 7% 98%  
48 11% 91%  
49 0.3% 80%  
50 35% 80% Median
51 34% 44%  
52 3% 10%  
53 4% 7%  
54 3% 3%  
55 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 15% 100% Last Result
5 3% 85%  
6 0.7% 82%  
7 46% 81% Median
8 20% 34%  
9 4% 14%  
10 9% 11%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Change UK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Change UK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 410 100% 400–421 396–421 391–427 387–436
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 403 100% 393–411 389–414 387–419 381–426
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK 329 400 100% 391–409 386–411 386–415 377–423
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 400 100% 391–409 386–411 386–415 377–423
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 361 99.9% 349–370 345–373 341–379 336–386
Conservative Party – Brexit Party 317 353 99.8% 342–360 337–366 337–370 329–377
Conservative Party – Change UK 317 353 99.8% 342–360 337–366 337–370 329–377
Conservative Party 317 353 99.8% 342–360 337–366 337–370 329–377
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 314 279 0% 272–290 266–295 262–295 255–303
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 276 0% 270–288 264–292 260–293 253–300
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 269 0% 260–281 257–285 252–289 244–294
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 229 0% 221–239 219–244 215–244 206–253
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 227 0% 219–237 215–241 210–243 204–249
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 222 0% 213–232 213–238 206–240 199–246
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK 274 220 0% 209–230 209–234 202–239 194–243
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 220 0% 209–230 209–234 202–239 194–243
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 179 0% 172–188 171–193 165–194 157–202
Labour Party – Change UK 262 172 0% 163–182 162–185 156–190 149–195
Labour Party 262 172 0% 163–182 162–185 156–190 149–195

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
356 0% 100% Last Result
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0.3% 99.8%  
385 0% 99.6%  
386 0% 99.5%  
387 0% 99.5%  
388 0% 99.5%  
389 0% 99.5%  
390 0.1% 99.4%  
391 3% 99.3%  
392 0% 96%  
393 0.1% 96%  
394 0.4% 96%  
395 0.2% 95%  
396 0.5% 95%  
397 2% 95%  
398 0.6% 93%  
399 0.6% 92%  
400 10% 92%  
401 0.5% 82%  
402 3% 81%  
403 2% 78%  
404 8% 76%  
405 2% 68%  
406 8% 67%  
407 0.9% 59%  
408 2% 58%  
409 6% 56%  
410 0.2% 50% Median
411 1.0% 50%  
412 3% 49%  
413 1.4% 46%  
414 5% 45%  
415 10% 40%  
416 15% 30%  
417 1.2% 15%  
418 0.3% 14%  
419 0.4% 13%  
420 0.7% 13%  
421 7% 12%  
422 0.7% 5%  
423 0.1% 4%  
424 0.8% 4%  
425 0.6% 3%  
426 0% 3%  
427 0.2% 3%  
428 0.4% 2%  
429 0.6% 2%  
430 0.1% 2%  
431 0.3% 1.5%  
432 0.1% 1.1%  
433 0% 1.1%  
434 0.2% 1.0%  
435 0.2% 0.9%  
436 0.4% 0.7%  
437 0.1% 0.3%  
438 0.1% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
352 0% 100% Last Result
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0.1% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0.3% 99.8%  
380 0% 99.5%  
381 0.1% 99.5%  
382 0.1% 99.4%  
383 0% 99.3%  
384 0.1% 99.3%  
385 0% 99.2%  
386 0.1% 99.2%  
387 4% 99.1%  
388 0.3% 95%  
389 0.3% 95%  
390 0.1% 95%  
391 0.3% 95%  
392 0.2% 94%  
393 7% 94%  
394 0.7% 87%  
395 5% 86%  
396 6% 81%  
397 8% 75%  
398 0.3% 68%  
399 7% 67%  
400 2% 61%  
401 1.4% 58%  
402 7% 57%  
403 0.6% 50% Median
404 2% 50%  
405 3% 48%  
406 0.8% 45%  
407 5% 44%  
408 24% 39%  
409 0.3% 15%  
410 1.3% 15%  
411 6% 13%  
412 1.4% 7%  
413 0.2% 6%  
414 1.1% 6%  
415 0.4% 5%  
416 0.2% 4%  
417 0.5% 4%  
418 0.3% 4%  
419 0.8% 3%  
420 0.1% 2%  
421 0.4% 2%  
422 0.5% 2%  
423 0.1% 1.4%  
424 0.2% 1.3%  
425 0.2% 1.1%  
426 0.5% 0.9%  
427 0.1% 0.4%  
428 0.1% 0.3%  
429 0.1% 0.3%  
430 0% 0.2%  
431 0.1% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
329 0% 100% Last Result
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0.1% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0.3% 99.7%  
378 0% 99.4%  
379 0% 99.4%  
380 0% 99.4%  
381 0% 99.4%  
382 0.3% 99.3%  
383 0.4% 99.0%  
384 0.1% 98.7%  
385 0.1% 98.6%  
386 4% 98%  
387 0.1% 95%  
388 0.2% 95%  
389 0.6% 94%  
390 0.5% 94%  
391 6% 93%  
392 3% 87%  
393 5% 84%  
394 1.4% 79%  
395 8% 78%  
396 4% 70%  
397 3% 66%  
398 3% 63%  
399 2% 60%  
400 9% 58%  
401 1.4% 49% Median
402 0.2% 48%  
403 12% 47%  
404 0.9% 35%  
405 15% 34%  
406 1.4% 19%  
407 7% 18%  
408 0.8% 11%  
409 4% 10%  
410 0.5% 6%  
411 1.0% 5%  
412 0.1% 4%  
413 1.1% 4%  
414 0.6% 3%  
415 0.4% 3%  
416 0.5% 2%  
417 0.2% 2%  
418 0.1% 1.5%  
419 0% 1.4%  
420 0.1% 1.3%  
421 0.5% 1.2%  
422 0.1% 0.7%  
423 0.2% 0.6%  
424 0.1% 0.4%  
425 0.1% 0.3%  
426 0.1% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0.2% 0.2%  
430 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
329 0% 100% Last Result
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0.1% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0.3% 99.7%  
378 0% 99.4%  
379 0% 99.4%  
380 0% 99.4%  
381 0% 99.4%  
382 0.3% 99.3%  
383 0.4% 99.0%  
384 0.1% 98.7%  
385 0.1% 98.6%  
386 4% 98%  
387 0.1% 95%  
388 0.2% 95%  
389 0.6% 94%  
390 0.5% 94%  
391 6% 93%  
392 3% 87%  
393 5% 84%  
394 1.4% 79%  
395 8% 78%  
396 4% 70%  
397 3% 66%  
398 3% 63%  
399 2% 60%  
400 9% 58%  
401 1.4% 49% Median
402 0.2% 48%  
403 12% 47%  
404 0.9% 35%  
405 15% 34%  
406 1.4% 19%  
407 7% 18%  
408 0.8% 11%  
409 4% 10%  
410 0.5% 6%  
411 1.0% 5%  
412 0.1% 4%  
413 1.1% 4%  
414 0.6% 3%  
415 0.4% 3%  
416 0.5% 2%  
417 0.2% 2%  
418 0.1% 1.5%  
419 0% 1.4%  
420 0.1% 1.3%  
421 0.5% 1.2%  
422 0.1% 0.7%  
423 0.2% 0.6%  
424 0.1% 0.4%  
425 0.1% 0.3%  
426 0.1% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0.2% 0.2%  
430 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
321 0% 100% Last Result
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 99.9% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.8%  
333 0.3% 99.8%  
334 0% 99.5%  
335 0% 99.5%  
336 0% 99.5%  
337 0% 99.5%  
338 0% 99.4%  
339 0.1% 99.4%  
340 0% 99.3%  
341 4% 99.2%  
342 0% 96%  
343 0.1% 95%  
344 0.2% 95%  
345 0.4% 95%  
346 0.4% 95%  
347 3% 95%  
348 0.1% 92%  
349 6% 92%  
350 0.5% 86%  
351 4% 86%  
352 4% 82%  
353 2% 78%  
354 8% 76%  
355 4% 68%  
356 0.7% 64%  
357 3% 63%  
358 6% 60%  
359 1.2% 53%  
360 0.8% 52% Median
361 4% 51%  
362 2% 48%  
363 1.2% 45%  
364 9% 44%  
365 0.4% 35%  
366 16% 34%  
367 5% 18%  
368 0.1% 13%  
369 0.4% 13%  
370 7% 13%  
371 0.4% 6%  
372 0.1% 5%  
373 0.6% 5%  
374 1.1% 5%  
375 0.6% 3%  
376 0.2% 3%  
377 0.1% 3%  
378 0% 3%  
379 0.7% 3%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.4% 2%  
382 0.1% 1.2%  
383 0% 1.1%  
384 0.2% 1.1%  
385 0.2% 0.9%  
386 0.4% 0.7%  
387 0.1% 0.3%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Brexit Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0.1% 100%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.8% Majority
327 0% 99.8%  
328 0.3% 99.8%  
329 0% 99.5%  
330 0% 99.5%  
331 0.1% 99.4%  
332 0% 99.3%  
333 0% 99.3%  
334 0.4% 99.3%  
335 0% 98.9%  
336 0.1% 98.9%  
337 4% 98.7%  
338 0.2% 95%  
339 0.1% 95%  
340 0.1% 95%  
341 0.4% 95%  
342 5% 94%  
343 3% 89%  
344 4% 86%  
345 2% 83%  
346 0.9% 80%  
347 8% 79%  
348 6% 71%  
349 0.9% 64%  
350 3% 64%  
351 8% 61%  
352 2% 53%  
353 1.0% 51% Median
354 4% 50%  
355 1.0% 46%  
356 0.7% 45%  
357 10% 45%  
358 15% 35%  
359 2% 20%  
360 10% 18%  
361 2% 8%  
362 0.2% 6%  
363 0.1% 6%  
364 0.2% 6%  
365 0.5% 6%  
366 1.0% 5%  
367 0.7% 4%  
368 0.1% 3%  
369 0.8% 3%  
370 0.2% 3%  
371 0.3% 2%  
372 0.5% 2%  
373 0.3% 2%  
374 0.1% 1.3%  
375 0.1% 1.2%  
376 0.6% 1.2%  
377 0.1% 0.6%  
378 0.2% 0.5%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0.1% 100%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.8% Majority
327 0% 99.8%  
328 0.3% 99.8%  
329 0% 99.5%  
330 0% 99.5%  
331 0.1% 99.4%  
332 0% 99.3%  
333 0% 99.3%  
334 0.4% 99.3%  
335 0% 98.9%  
336 0.1% 98.9%  
337 4% 98.7%  
338 0.2% 95%  
339 0.1% 95%  
340 0.1% 95%  
341 0.4% 95%  
342 5% 94%  
343 3% 89%  
344 4% 86%  
345 2% 83%  
346 0.9% 80%  
347 8% 79%  
348 6% 71%  
349 0.9% 64%  
350 3% 64%  
351 8% 61%  
352 2% 53%  
353 1.0% 51% Median
354 4% 50%  
355 1.0% 46%  
356 0.7% 45%  
357 10% 45%  
358 15% 35%  
359 2% 20%  
360 10% 18%  
361 2% 8%  
362 0.2% 6%  
363 0.1% 6%  
364 0.2% 6%  
365 0.5% 6%  
366 1.0% 5%  
367 0.7% 4%  
368 0.1% 3%  
369 0.8% 3%  
370 0.2% 3%  
371 0.3% 2%  
372 0.5% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.1% 1.3%  
375 0.1% 1.2%  
376 0.6% 1.2%  
377 0.1% 0.6%  
378 0.2% 0.5%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0.1% 100%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.8% Majority
327 0% 99.8%  
328 0.3% 99.8%  
329 0% 99.5%  
330 0% 99.5%  
331 0.1% 99.4%  
332 0% 99.3%  
333 0% 99.3%  
334 0.4% 99.3%  
335 0% 98.9%  
336 0.1% 98.9%  
337 4% 98.7%  
338 0.2% 95%  
339 0.1% 95%  
340 0.1% 95%  
341 0.4% 95%  
342 5% 94%  
343 3% 89%  
344 4% 86%  
345 2% 83%  
346 0.9% 80%  
347 8% 79%  
348 6% 71%  
349 0.9% 64%  
350 3% 64%  
351 8% 61%  
352 2% 53%  
353 1.0% 51% Median
354 4% 50%  
355 1.0% 46%  
356 0.7% 45%  
357 10% 45%  
358 15% 35%  
359 2% 20%  
360 10% 18%  
361 2% 8%  
362 0.2% 6%  
363 0.1% 6%  
364 0.2% 6%  
365 0.5% 6%  
366 1.0% 5%  
367 0.7% 4%  
368 0.1% 3%  
369 0.8% 3%  
370 0.2% 3%  
371 0.3% 2%  
372 0.5% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.1% 1.3%  
375 0.1% 1.2%  
376 0.6% 1.2%  
377 0.1% 0.6%  
378 0.2% 0.5%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.8%  
254 0.2% 99.7%  
255 0.1% 99.5%  
256 0.6% 99.4%  
257 0.1% 98.8%  
258 0.1% 98.8%  
259 0.3% 98.7%  
260 0.5% 98%  
261 0.3% 98%  
262 0.2% 98%  
263 0.8% 97%  
264 0.1% 97%  
265 0.7% 97%  
266 1.0% 96%  
267 0.5% 95%  
268 0.2% 94%  
269 0.1% 94%  
270 0.2% 94%  
271 2% 94%  
272 10% 92%  
273 2% 82%  
274 15% 80%  
275 10% 65%  
276 0.7% 55%  
277 1.0% 55%  
278 4% 54%  
279 1.0% 50% Median
280 2% 49%  
281 8% 47%  
282 3% 39%  
283 0.9% 36%  
284 6% 36%  
285 8% 29%  
286 0.9% 21%  
287 2% 20%  
288 4% 17%  
289 3% 14%  
290 5% 11%  
291 0.4% 6%  
292 0.1% 5%  
293 0.1% 5%  
294 0.2% 5%  
295 4% 5%  
296 0.1% 1.3%  
297 0% 1.1%  
298 0.4% 1.1%  
299 0% 0.7%  
300 0% 0.7%  
301 0.1% 0.7%  
302 0% 0.6%  
303 0% 0.5%  
304 0.3% 0.5%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0.1% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.8%  
250 0% 99.8%  
251 0.2% 99.8%  
252 0.1% 99.6%  
253 0% 99.5%  
254 0.7% 99.5%  
255 0.1% 98.8%  
256 0.2% 98.7%  
257 0.5% 98.5%  
258 0.2% 98%  
259 0.2% 98%  
260 0.3% 98%  
261 0.1% 97%  
262 1.3% 97%  
263 0.3% 96%  
264 0.9% 96%  
265 0.4% 95%  
266 0.3% 94%  
267 0.1% 94%  
268 0.1% 94%  
269 2% 94%  
270 11% 92%  
271 15% 81%  
272 0.6% 66%  
273 10% 65%  
274 0.2% 55%  
275 4% 54%  
276 1.0% 51%  
277 0.9% 50% Median
278 3% 49%  
279 10% 46%  
280 0.5% 37%  
281 2% 36%  
282 6% 34%  
283 8% 29%  
284 1.4% 20%  
285 2% 19%  
286 4% 17%  
287 2% 13%  
288 5% 11%  
289 0.3% 6%  
290 0.1% 5%  
291 0.2% 5%  
292 0.3% 5%  
293 4% 5%  
294 0.1% 1.3%  
295 0% 1.1%  
296 0.4% 1.1%  
297 0% 0.7%  
298 0% 0.7%  
299 0.1% 0.6%  
300 0% 0.5%  
301 0% 0.5%  
302 0.3% 0.5%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0.1% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.8%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0% 99.8%  
244 0.6% 99.7%  
245 0% 99.1%  
246 0.2% 99.1%  
247 0% 98.9%  
248 0.1% 98.9%  
249 0.4% 98.7%  
250 0.7% 98%  
251 0.1% 98%  
252 0.2% 98%  
253 0.2% 97%  
254 0.7% 97%  
255 0.2% 97%  
256 0.5% 96%  
257 1.1% 96%  
258 0.3% 95%  
259 0.1% 94%  
260 7% 94%  
261 0.2% 87%  
262 0.4% 87%  
263 20% 86%  
264 0.3% 66%  
265 1.0% 66%  
266 9% 65%  
267 2% 56%  
268 4% 54%  
269 1.5% 50%  
270 2% 49% Median
271 0.8% 47%  
272 9% 46%  
273 0.7% 38%  
274 3% 37%  
275 3% 34%  
276 8% 31%  
277 2% 24%  
278 4% 22%  
279 4% 18%  
280 0.2% 14%  
281 5% 14%  
282 0.5% 8%  
283 2% 8%  
284 0.5% 6%  
285 0.4% 5%  
286 0.1% 5%  
287 0.2% 5%  
288 0% 4%  
289 4% 4%  
290 0% 0.7%  
291 0.1% 0.7%  
292 0% 0.6%  
293 0% 0.6%  
294 0% 0.5%  
295 0% 0.5%  
296 0% 0.5%  
297 0.3% 0.4%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0.2% 100%  
201 0% 99.8%  
202 0% 99.8%  
203 0% 99.8%  
204 0% 99.7%  
205 0.1% 99.7%  
206 0.2% 99.7%  
207 0.1% 99.5%  
208 0.1% 99.3%  
209 0.5% 99.2%  
210 0.1% 98.7%  
211 0.1% 98.7%  
212 0% 98.5%  
213 0.7% 98.5%  
214 0.3% 98%  
215 0.4% 98%  
216 0.6% 97%  
217 0.2% 96%  
218 1.2% 96%  
219 0.4% 95%  
220 0.5% 95%  
221 5% 94%  
222 1.0% 89%  
223 6% 88%  
224 16% 82%  
225 0.6% 66%  
226 2% 65%  
227 11% 63%  
228 0.1% 53%  
229 3% 52% Median
230 9% 50%  
231 3% 41%  
232 2% 38%  
233 3% 36%  
234 4% 34%  
235 8% 30%  
236 1.2% 22%  
237 6% 20%  
238 3% 15%  
239 6% 12%  
240 0.4% 7%  
241 0.7% 6%  
242 0.2% 6%  
243 0.1% 5%  
244 4% 5%  
245 0.1% 2%  
246 0.1% 1.4%  
247 0.3% 1.3%  
248 0.3% 1.0%  
249 0% 0.7%  
250 0% 0.6%  
251 0% 0.6%  
252 0% 0.6%  
253 0.3% 0.6%  
254 0.1% 0.3%  
255 0% 0.2%  
256 0.1% 0.2%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0.1% 99.9%  
201 0.1% 99.8%  
202 0.1% 99.7%  
203 0% 99.6%  
204 0.6% 99.6%  
205 0.1% 99.0%  
206 0.2% 98.9%  
207 0.5% 98.7%  
208 0.3% 98%  
209 0.2% 98%  
210 0.4% 98%  
211 0.1% 97%  
212 0.8% 97%  
213 0.6% 96%  
214 0% 96%  
215 0.9% 96%  
216 0.7% 95%  
217 0.2% 94%  
218 1.4% 94%  
219 7% 93%  
220 0.3% 86%  
221 15% 85%  
222 10% 71%  
223 4% 60%  
224 2% 56%  
225 3% 54%  
226 1.1% 51%  
227 4% 50% Median
228 4% 46%  
229 1.2% 42%  
230 2% 41%  
231 7% 39%  
232 0.5% 32%  
233 9% 32%  
234 5% 23%  
235 5% 18%  
236 0.6% 13%  
237 7% 13%  
238 0.2% 6%  
239 0.1% 5%  
240 0.1% 5%  
241 0.3% 5%  
242 0.4% 5%  
243 4% 4%  
244 0.1% 0.8%  
245 0% 0.8%  
246 0% 0.7%  
247 0% 0.7%  
248 0.1% 0.6%  
249 0.1% 0.5%  
250 0% 0.5%  
251 0.3% 0.5%  
252 0% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.2%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0.1% 0.1%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
192 0% 100%  
193 0.2% 99.9%  
194 0% 99.8%  
195 0% 99.8%  
196 0% 99.7%  
197 0.1% 99.7%  
198 0.1% 99.6%  
199 0.5% 99.5%  
200 0.1% 99.0%  
201 0.2% 99.0%  
202 0.1% 98.8%  
203 0.1% 98.7%  
204 0% 98.6%  
205 0.3% 98.6%  
206 0.8% 98%  
207 0.3% 97%  
208 0.2% 97%  
209 0.1% 97%  
210 0.8% 97%  
211 0.7% 96%  
212 0.1% 95%  
213 7% 95%  
214 5% 88%  
215 2% 84%  
216 15% 82%  
217 1.1% 67%  
218 0.3% 66%  
219 2% 65%  
220 12% 63%  
221 0.4% 51%  
222 2% 51% Median
223 6% 49%  
224 4% 43%  
225 2% 39%  
226 4% 37%  
227 1.3% 33%  
228 8% 32%  
229 2% 25%  
230 7% 23%  
231 0.4% 16%  
232 6% 15%  
233 0.6% 9%  
234 2% 8%  
235 0.3% 6%  
236 0.2% 6%  
237 0.6% 6%  
238 0.2% 5%  
239 0.2% 5%  
240 4% 5%  
241 0% 0.7%  
242 0% 0.7%  
243 0% 0.6%  
244 0% 0.6%  
245 0% 0.6%  
246 0.1% 0.6%  
247 0% 0.5%  
248 0.3% 0.4%  
249 0% 0.2%  
250 0% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0.1% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0.1% 99.9%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0% 99.8%  
193 0% 99.8%  
194 0.6% 99.7%  
195 0% 99.2%  
196 0.2% 99.1%  
197 0.1% 99.0%  
198 0.1% 98.9%  
199 0.3% 98.8%  
200 0.6% 98.5%  
201 0.3% 98%  
202 0.3% 98%  
203 0.2% 97%  
204 0.1% 97%  
205 0.4% 97%  
206 0.2% 97%  
207 1.3% 96%  
208 0.1% 95%  
209 7% 95%  
210 0.5% 88%  
211 0.6% 87%  
212 1.2% 87%  
213 15% 85%  
214 0.2% 70%  
215 10% 70%  
216 4% 60%  
217 3% 55%  
218 2% 52%  
219 0.3% 51%  
220 4% 50% Median
221 3% 46%  
222 1.1% 43%  
223 2% 42%  
224 8% 40%  
225 1.1% 32%  
226 8% 31%  
227 2% 23%  
228 3% 21%  
229 0.6% 18%  
230 9% 18%  
231 0.7% 8%  
232 0.4% 8%  
233 2% 7%  
234 0.5% 5%  
235 0.2% 5%  
236 0.4% 4%  
237 0.1% 4%  
238 0.1% 4%  
239 3% 4%  
240 0.1% 0.7%  
241 0% 0.6%  
242 0% 0.5%  
243 0% 0.5%  
244 0% 0.5%  
245 0.1% 0.5%  
246 0.3% 0.4%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0.1% 99.9%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0% 99.8%  
193 0% 99.8%  
194 0.6% 99.7%  
195 0% 99.2%  
196 0.2% 99.1%  
197 0.1% 99.0%  
198 0.1% 98.9%  
199 0.3% 98.8%  
200 0.6% 98.5%  
201 0.3% 98%  
202 0.3% 98%  
203 0.2% 97%  
204 0.1% 97%  
205 0.4% 97%  
206 0.2% 97%  
207 1.3% 96%  
208 0.1% 95%  
209 7% 95%  
210 0.5% 88%  
211 0.6% 87%  
212 1.2% 87%  
213 15% 85%  
214 0.2% 70%  
215 10% 70%  
216 4% 60%  
217 3% 55%  
218 2% 52%  
219 0.3% 51%  
220 4% 50% Median
221 3% 46%  
222 1.1% 43%  
223 2% 42%  
224 8% 40%  
225 1.1% 32%  
226 8% 31%  
227 2% 23%  
228 3% 21%  
229 0.6% 18%  
230 9% 18%  
231 0.7% 8%  
232 0.4% 8%  
233 2% 7%  
234 0.5% 5%  
235 0.2% 5%  
236 0.4% 4%  
237 0.1% 4%  
238 0.1% 4%  
239 3% 4%  
240 0.1% 0.7%  
241 0% 0.6%  
242 0% 0.5%  
243 0% 0.5%  
244 0% 0.5%  
245 0.1% 0.5%  
246 0.3% 0.4%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.4% 99.8%  
158 0.2% 99.4%  
159 0.5% 99.2%  
160 0% 98.7%  
161 0% 98.7%  
162 0.2% 98.6%  
163 0.8% 98%  
164 0.1% 98%  
165 0.5% 98%  
166 0.6% 97%  
167 0.2% 97%  
168 1.0% 96%  
169 0.1% 95%  
170 0.2% 95%  
171 1.5% 95%  
172 7% 94%  
173 2% 87%  
174 19% 86%  
175 2% 67%  
176 9% 64%  
177 1.0% 55%  
178 2% 54%  
179 8% 52% Median
180 2% 45%  
181 1.2% 43%  
182 7% 42%  
183 1.0% 35%  
184 1.5% 34%  
185 8% 33%  
186 8% 24%  
187 1.4% 16%  
188 9% 15%  
189 0.3% 6%  
190 0.5% 6%  
191 0.1% 5%  
192 0% 5%  
193 0.3% 5%  
194 4% 5%  
195 0.1% 1.1%  
196 0.1% 1.0%  
197 0.3% 1.0%  
198 0% 0.7%  
199 0% 0.7%  
200 0.1% 0.6%  
201 0% 0.6%  
202 0.3% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Change UK

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0.1% 100%  
147 0.2% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.5% 99.6%  
150 0.2% 99.2%  
151 0.1% 99.0%  
152 0% 98.8%  
153 0.1% 98.8%  
154 0.2% 98.7%  
155 0.5% 98.6%  
156 0.7% 98%  
157 0.1% 97%  
158 0% 97%  
159 0.2% 97%  
160 0.6% 97%  
161 0.4% 96%  
162 6% 96%  
163 2% 90%  
164 2% 89%  
165 0.5% 87%  
166 15% 86%  
167 5% 71%  
168 2% 66%  
169 10% 63%  
170 0.8% 54%  
171 0.8% 53%  
172 5% 52% Median
173 2% 47%  
174 2% 45%  
175 8% 42%  
176 2% 35%  
177 0.4% 33%  
178 9% 33%  
179 4% 24%  
180 1.0% 19%  
181 6% 18%  
182 4% 13%  
183 0.2% 9%  
184 3% 8%  
185 0.3% 5%  
186 0.1% 5%  
187 0.4% 5%  
188 0% 4%  
189 0.3% 4%  
190 3% 4%  
191 0% 0.7%  
192 0% 0.7%  
193 0% 0.6%  
194 0% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0% 0.5%  
197 0.3% 0.4%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0.1% 100%  
147 0.2% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.5% 99.6%  
150 0.2% 99.2%  
151 0.1% 99.0%  
152 0% 98.8%  
153 0.1% 98.8%  
154 0.2% 98.7%  
155 0.5% 98.6%  
156 0.7% 98%  
157 0.1% 97%  
158 0% 97%  
159 0.2% 97%  
160 0.6% 97%  
161 0.4% 96%  
162 6% 96%  
163 2% 90%  
164 2% 89%  
165 0.5% 87%  
166 15% 86%  
167 5% 71%  
168 2% 66%  
169 10% 63%  
170 0.8% 54%  
171 0.8% 53%  
172 5% 52% Median
173 2% 47%  
174 2% 45%  
175 8% 42%  
176 2% 35%  
177 0.4% 33%  
178 9% 33%  
179 4% 24%  
180 1.0% 19%  
181 6% 18%  
182 4% 13%  
183 0.2% 9%  
184 3% 8%  
185 0.3% 5%  
186 0.1% 5%  
187 0.4% 5%  
188 0% 4%  
189 0.3% 4%  
190 3% 4%  
191 0% 0.7%  
192 0% 0.7%  
193 0% 0.6%  
194 0% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0% 0.5%  
197 0.3% 0.4%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations