Opinion Poll by ComRes for Remain United, 30 October–5 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 43.4% | 35.4% | 34.6–36.2% | 34.4–36.4% | 34.2–36.6% | 33.8–37.0% |
| Labour Party | 41.0% | 28.5% | 27.8–29.3% | 27.6–29.5% | 27.4–29.7% | 27.0–30.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 7.6% | 16.7% | 16.1–17.3% | 15.9–17.5% | 15.8–17.7% | 15.5–18.0% |
| Brexit Party | 0.0% | 10.8% | 10.3–11.3% | 10.2–11.5% | 10.0–11.6% | 9.8–11.9% |
| Scottish National Party | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.4% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% |
| Green Party | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7–3.3% | 2.6–3.3% | 2.5–3.4% | 2.4–3.6% |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.2% | 0.8–1.2% | 0.8–1.3% | 0.7–1.4% |
| UK Independence Party | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2–0.4% | 0.2–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% |
| Change UK | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2–0.4% | 0.2–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 317 | 309 | 303–321 | 297–324 | 293–324 | 288–330 |
| Labour Party | 262 | 215 | 202–221 | 202–222 | 201–225 | 195–231 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12 | 48 | 47–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 46–60 |
| Brexit Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Scottish National Party | 35 | 51 | 50–53 | 49–53 | 48–53 | 46–53 |
| Green Party | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Plaid Cymru | 4 | 5 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| UK Independence Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Change UK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Conservative Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 288 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 289 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 290 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 291 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 292 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 293 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 294 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 295 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 296 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 297 | 2% | 97% | |
| 298 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 299 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 300 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 301 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 302 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 303 | 11% | 91% | |
| 304 | 2% | 79% | |
| 305 | 3% | 78% | |
| 306 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 307 | 20% | 75% | |
| 308 | 2% | 55% | |
| 309 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 310 | 1.3% | 50% | |
| 311 | 4% | 48% | |
| 312 | 1.1% | 45% | |
| 313 | 7% | 44% | |
| 314 | 3% | 36% | |
| 315 | 7% | 34% | |
| 316 | 4% | 27% | |
| 317 | 0.2% | 23% | Last Result |
| 318 | 11% | 23% | |
| 319 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 320 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 321 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 322 | 2% | 10% | |
| 323 | 3% | 8% | |
| 324 | 3% | 6% | |
| 325 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 326 | 0.2% | 2% | Majority |
| 327 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 328 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 329 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 330 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 331 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 196 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 200 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 201 | 2% | 98% | |
| 202 | 6% | 96% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 204 | 3% | 90% | |
| 205 | 2% | 86% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 208 | 11% | 83% | |
| 209 | 2% | 72% | |
| 210 | 8% | 70% | |
| 211 | 1.2% | 62% | |
| 212 | 3% | 61% | |
| 213 | 0.9% | 58% | |
| 214 | 3% | 57% | |
| 215 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 216 | 2% | 46% | |
| 217 | 1.4% | 44% | |
| 218 | 1.2% | 43% | |
| 219 | 2% | 42% | |
| 220 | 12% | 40% | |
| 221 | 22% | 28% | |
| 222 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 223 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 224 | 2% | 4% | |
| 225 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 226 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 227 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 228 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 232 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Liberal Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 43% | 97% | |
| 48 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 49 | 7% | 50% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 43% | |
| 51 | 17% | 42% | |
| 52 | 3% | 24% | |
| 53 | 3% | 22% | |
| 54 | 3% | 19% | |
| 55 | 3% | 16% | |
| 56 | 7% | 13% | |
| 57 | 2% | 6% | |
| 58 | 3% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Brexit Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Scottish National Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 96% | |
| 50 | 18% | 95% | |
| 51 | 54% | 77% | Median |
| 52 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 53 | 22% | 22% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Green Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Plaid Cymru
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 33% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 32% | 67% | Median |
| 6 | 2% | 35% | |
| 7 | 23% | 33% | |
| 8 | 8% | 9% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
UK Independence Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Change UK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Change UK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 356 | 366 | 100% | 359–377 | 355–380 | 349–380 | 344–386 |
| Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK | 329 | 361 | 100% | 354–372 | 351–373 | 350–375 | 343–380 |
| Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats | 329 | 361 | 100% | 354–372 | 351–373 | 350–375 | 343–380 |
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party | 352 | 360 | 100% | 354–373 | 349–375 | 345–375 | 340–381 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru | 314 | 323 | 25% | 311–329 | 308–335 | 308–339 | 302–344 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 313 | 322 | 25% | 310–328 | 307–334 | 307–338 | 301–343 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party | 309 | 315 | 7% | 305–324 | 302–327 | 302–334 | 296–338 |
| Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru | 321 | 316 | 11% | 307–326 | 304–329 | 297–329 | 293–335 |
| Conservative Party – Brexit Party | 317 | 309 | 2% | 303–321 | 297–324 | 293–324 | 288–330 |
| Conservative Party – Change UK | 317 | 309 | 2% | 303–321 | 297–324 | 293–324 | 288–330 |
| Conservative Party | 317 | 309 | 2% | 303–321 | 297–324 | 293–324 | 288–330 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru | 278 | 271 | 0% | 258–277 | 256–282 | 256–286 | 250–291 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK | 274 | 265 | 0% | 254–272 | 251–276 | 251–282 | 245–287 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats | 274 | 265 | 0% | 254–272 | 251–276 | 251–282 | 245–287 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 301 | 270 | 0% | 259–277 | 258–280 | 256–281 | 251–288 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party | 297 | 265 | 0% | 253–273 | 252–274 | 251–277 | 246–283 |
| Labour Party – Plaid Cymru | 266 | 219 | 0% | 209–226 | 207–228 | 206–229 | 200–235 |
| Labour Party – Change UK | 262 | 215 | 0% | 202–221 | 202–222 | 201–225 | 195–231 |
| Labour Party | 262 | 215 | 0% | 202–221 | 202–222 | 201–225 | 195–231 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 342 | 0% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 344 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 345 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 346 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 347 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 348 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 349 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 350 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 351 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 352 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 353 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 354 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 355 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 356 | 1.5% | 95% | Last Result |
| 357 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 358 | 2% | 93% | |
| 359 | 2% | 91% | |
| 360 | 12% | 89% | |
| 361 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 362 | 0.7% | 77% | |
| 363 | 22% | 76% | |
| 364 | 1.3% | 54% | |
| 365 | 0.9% | 53% | Median |
| 366 | 2% | 52% | |
| 367 | 3% | 50% | |
| 368 | 0.6% | 47% | |
| 369 | 8% | 47% | |
| 370 | 9% | 38% | |
| 371 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 372 | 2% | 28% | |
| 373 | 3% | 26% | |
| 374 | 2% | 23% | |
| 375 | 0% | 22% | |
| 376 | 11% | 21% | |
| 377 | 2% | 11% | |
| 378 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 379 | 2% | 8% | |
| 380 | 4% | 6% | |
| 381 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 382 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 383 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 384 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 385 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 386 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 387 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 388 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 389 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 390 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 391 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 392 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 393 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 329 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 344 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 345 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 346 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 347 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 348 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 349 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 350 | 2% | 98% | |
| 351 | 2% | 96% | |
| 352 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 353 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 354 | 32% | 92% | |
| 355 | 2% | 60% | |
| 356 | 1.4% | 58% | |
| 357 | 1.2% | 57% | Median |
| 358 | 2% | 56% | |
| 359 | 0.8% | 53% | |
| 360 | 1.5% | 53% | |
| 361 | 3% | 51% | |
| 362 | 8% | 48% | |
| 363 | 2% | 39% | |
| 364 | 7% | 37% | |
| 365 | 11% | 30% | |
| 366 | 2% | 19% | |
| 367 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 368 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 369 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 370 | 1.3% | 16% | |
| 371 | 4% | 15% | |
| 372 | 3% | 10% | |
| 373 | 4% | 8% | |
| 374 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 375 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 376 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 377 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 378 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 379 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 380 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 381 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 382 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 383 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 384 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 385 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 386 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 387 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 329 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 344 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 345 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 346 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 347 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 348 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 349 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 350 | 2% | 98% | |
| 351 | 2% | 96% | |
| 352 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 353 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 354 | 32% | 92% | |
| 355 | 2% | 60% | |
| 356 | 1.4% | 58% | |
| 357 | 1.2% | 57% | Median |
| 358 | 2% | 56% | |
| 359 | 0.8% | 53% | |
| 360 | 1.5% | 53% | |
| 361 | 3% | 51% | |
| 362 | 8% | 48% | |
| 363 | 2% | 39% | |
| 364 | 7% | 37% | |
| 365 | 11% | 30% | |
| 366 | 2% | 19% | |
| 367 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 368 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 369 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 370 | 1.3% | 16% | |
| 371 | 4% | 15% | |
| 372 | 3% | 10% | |
| 373 | 4% | 8% | |
| 374 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 375 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 376 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 377 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 378 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 379 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 380 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 381 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 382 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 383 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 384 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 385 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 386 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 387 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 340 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 341 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 342 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 343 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 344 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 345 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 346 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 347 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 348 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 349 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 350 | 2% | 95% | |
| 351 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 352 | 0.8% | 92% | Last Result |
| 353 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 354 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 355 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 356 | 14% | 89% | |
| 357 | 0.7% | 75% | |
| 358 | 20% | 74% | |
| 359 | 3% | 54% | |
| 360 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 361 | 0.1% | 48% | |
| 362 | 2% | 48% | |
| 363 | 6% | 46% | |
| 364 | 3% | 40% | |
| 365 | 9% | 36% | |
| 366 | 2% | 28% | |
| 367 | 1.1% | 26% | |
| 368 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 369 | 12% | 23% | |
| 370 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 371 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 372 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 373 | 2% | 10% | |
| 374 | 3% | 8% | |
| 375 | 3% | 6% | |
| 376 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 377 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 378 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 379 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 380 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 381 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 382 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 383 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 384 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 385 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 386 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 299 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 300 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 301 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 302 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 303 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 304 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 305 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 306 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 307 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 308 | 3% | 98% | |
| 309 | 3% | 94% | |
| 310 | 2% | 92% | |
| 311 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 312 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 313 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 314 | 11% | 88% | Last Result |
| 315 | 0.2% | 77% | |
| 316 | 4% | 77% | |
| 317 | 7% | 73% | |
| 318 | 3% | 66% | |
| 319 | 7% | 64% | |
| 320 | 1.1% | 56% | Median |
| 321 | 4% | 55% | |
| 322 | 1.3% | 52% | |
| 323 | 3% | 50% | |
| 324 | 2% | 48% | |
| 325 | 20% | 45% | |
| 326 | 0.4% | 25% | Majority |
| 327 | 3% | 25% | |
| 328 | 2% | 22% | |
| 329 | 11% | 21% | |
| 330 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 331 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 332 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 333 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 334 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 335 | 2% | 5% | |
| 336 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 337 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 338 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 339 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 340 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 341 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 342 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 343 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 344 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 345 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 347 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 298 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 299 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 300 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 301 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 302 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 303 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 304 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 305 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 306 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 307 | 3% | 98% | |
| 308 | 3% | 94% | |
| 309 | 2% | 92% | |
| 310 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 311 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 312 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 313 | 11% | 88% | Last Result |
| 314 | 0.2% | 77% | |
| 315 | 4% | 77% | |
| 316 | 7% | 73% | |
| 317 | 3% | 66% | |
| 318 | 7% | 64% | |
| 319 | 1.1% | 56% | Median |
| 320 | 4% | 55% | |
| 321 | 1.3% | 52% | |
| 322 | 3% | 50% | |
| 323 | 2% | 48% | |
| 324 | 20% | 45% | |
| 325 | 0.4% | 25% | |
| 326 | 3% | 25% | Majority |
| 327 | 2% | 22% | |
| 328 | 11% | 21% | |
| 329 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 330 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 331 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 332 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 333 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 334 | 2% | 5% | |
| 335 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 336 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 337 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 338 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 339 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 340 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 341 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 342 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 343 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 344 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 345 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 292 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 293 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 294 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 295 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 296 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 297 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 298 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 299 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 300 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 301 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 302 | 3% | 98% | |
| 303 | 2% | 94% | |
| 304 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 305 | 2% | 91% | |
| 306 | 11% | 89% | |
| 307 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 308 | 4% | 78% | |
| 309 | 0.1% | 74% | Last Result |
| 310 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 311 | 8% | 73% | |
| 312 | 9% | 65% | |
| 313 | 2% | 56% | |
| 314 | 1.0% | 54% | Median |
| 315 | 4% | 53% | |
| 316 | 3% | 50% | |
| 317 | 0.8% | 47% | |
| 318 | 2% | 46% | |
| 319 | 21% | 45% | |
| 320 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 321 | 0.1% | 23% | |
| 322 | 2% | 23% | |
| 323 | 2% | 21% | |
| 324 | 12% | 20% | |
| 325 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 326 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 327 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 328 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 329 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 330 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 331 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 332 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 333 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 334 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 335 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 336 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 338 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 339 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 340 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 341 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 291 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 293 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 294 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 295 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 296 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 297 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 298 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 299 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 300 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 301 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 302 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 303 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 304 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 305 | 2% | 95% | |
| 306 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 307 | 12% | 92% | |
| 308 | 2% | 80% | |
| 309 | 2% | 79% | |
| 310 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 311 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 312 | 21% | 76% | |
| 313 | 2% | 55% | |
| 314 | 0.8% | 54% | Median |
| 315 | 3% | 53% | |
| 316 | 4% | 50% | |
| 317 | 1.0% | 47% | |
| 318 | 2% | 46% | |
| 319 | 9% | 44% | |
| 320 | 8% | 35% | |
| 321 | 1.0% | 27% | Last Result |
| 322 | 0.1% | 26% | |
| 323 | 4% | 26% | |
| 324 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 325 | 11% | 21% | |
| 326 | 2% | 11% | Majority |
| 327 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 328 | 2% | 8% | |
| 329 | 3% | 6% | |
| 330 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 331 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 332 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 333 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 334 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 335 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 336 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 338 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 339 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 340 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 341 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 342 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Brexit Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 288 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 289 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 290 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 291 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 292 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 293 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 294 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 295 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 296 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 297 | 2% | 97% | |
| 298 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 299 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 300 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 301 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 302 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 303 | 11% | 91% | |
| 304 | 2% | 79% | |
| 305 | 3% | 78% | |
| 306 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 307 | 20% | 75% | |
| 308 | 2% | 55% | |
| 309 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 310 | 1.3% | 50% | |
| 311 | 4% | 48% | |
| 312 | 1.1% | 45% | |
| 313 | 7% | 44% | |
| 314 | 3% | 36% | |
| 315 | 7% | 34% | |
| 316 | 4% | 27% | |
| 317 | 0.2% | 23% | Last Result |
| 318 | 11% | 23% | |
| 319 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 320 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 321 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 322 | 2% | 10% | |
| 323 | 3% | 8% | |
| 324 | 3% | 6% | |
| 325 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 326 | 0.2% | 2% | Majority |
| 327 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 328 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 329 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 330 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 331 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Change UK
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 288 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 289 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 290 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 291 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 292 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 293 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 294 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 295 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 296 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 297 | 2% | 97% | |
| 298 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 299 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 300 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 301 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 302 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 303 | 11% | 91% | |
| 304 | 2% | 79% | |
| 305 | 3% | 78% | |
| 306 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 307 | 20% | 75% | |
| 308 | 2% | 55% | |
| 309 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 310 | 1.3% | 50% | |
| 311 | 4% | 48% | |
| 312 | 1.1% | 45% | |
| 313 | 7% | 44% | |
| 314 | 3% | 36% | |
| 315 | 7% | 34% | |
| 316 | 4% | 27% | |
| 317 | 0.2% | 23% | Last Result |
| 318 | 11% | 23% | |
| 319 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 320 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 321 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 322 | 2% | 10% | |
| 323 | 3% | 8% | |
| 324 | 3% | 6% | |
| 325 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 326 | 0.2% | 2% | Majority |
| 327 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 328 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 329 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 330 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 331 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 288 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 289 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 290 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 291 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 292 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 293 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 294 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 295 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 296 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 297 | 2% | 97% | |
| 298 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 299 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 300 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 301 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 302 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 303 | 11% | 91% | |
| 304 | 2% | 79% | |
| 305 | 3% | 78% | |
| 306 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 307 | 20% | 75% | |
| 308 | 2% | 55% | |
| 309 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 310 | 1.3% | 50% | |
| 311 | 4% | 48% | |
| 312 | 1.1% | 45% | |
| 313 | 7% | 44% | |
| 314 | 3% | 36% | |
| 315 | 7% | 34% | |
| 316 | 4% | 27% | |
| 317 | 0.2% | 23% | Last Result |
| 318 | 11% | 23% | |
| 319 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 320 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 321 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 322 | 2% | 10% | |
| 323 | 3% | 8% | |
| 324 | 3% | 6% | |
| 325 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 326 | 0.2% | 2% | Majority |
| 327 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 328 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 329 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 330 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 331 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 248 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 249 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 250 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 251 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 252 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 253 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 254 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 255 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 256 | 3% | 98% | |
| 257 | 3% | 94% | |
| 258 | 2% | 92% | |
| 259 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 261 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 262 | 12% | 89% | |
| 263 | 1.3% | 77% | |
| 264 | 1.1% | 75% | |
| 265 | 2% | 74% | |
| 266 | 9% | 72% | |
| 267 | 3% | 64% | |
| 268 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 269 | 2% | 54% | |
| 270 | 0.1% | 52% | |
| 271 | 3% | 52% | |
| 272 | 3% | 49% | |
| 273 | 20% | 46% | |
| 274 | 0.7% | 26% | |
| 275 | 14% | 25% | |
| 276 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 277 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 278 | 0.7% | 10% | Last Result |
| 279 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 280 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 281 | 2% | 7% | |
| 282 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 283 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 284 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 285 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 286 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 287 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 288 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 289 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 291 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Change UK
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 241 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 242 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 243 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 245 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 246 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 247 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 248 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 249 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 250 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 251 | 4% | 98% | |
| 252 | 2% | 94% | |
| 253 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 254 | 2% | 91% | |
| 255 | 11% | 89% | |
| 256 | 0% | 79% | |
| 257 | 2% | 78% | |
| 258 | 3% | 77% | |
| 259 | 2% | 74% | |
| 260 | 1.2% | 72% | |
| 261 | 9% | 70% | |
| 262 | 8% | 62% | |
| 263 | 0.6% | 53% | Median |
| 264 | 3% | 53% | |
| 265 | 2% | 50% | |
| 266 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 267 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 268 | 22% | 46% | |
| 269 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 270 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 271 | 12% | 23% | |
| 272 | 2% | 11% | |
| 273 | 2% | 9% | |
| 274 | 0.6% | 7% | Last Result |
| 275 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 276 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 277 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 278 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 279 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 280 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 281 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 282 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 283 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 284 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 285 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 287 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 241 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 242 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 243 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 245 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 246 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 247 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 248 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 249 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 250 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 251 | 4% | 98% | |
| 252 | 2% | 94% | |
| 253 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 254 | 2% | 91% | |
| 255 | 11% | 89% | |
| 256 | 0% | 79% | |
| 257 | 2% | 78% | |
| 258 | 3% | 77% | |
| 259 | 2% | 74% | |
| 260 | 1.2% | 72% | |
| 261 | 9% | 70% | |
| 262 | 8% | 62% | |
| 263 | 0.6% | 53% | Median |
| 264 | 3% | 53% | |
| 265 | 2% | 50% | |
| 266 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 267 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 268 | 22% | 46% | |
| 269 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 270 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 271 | 12% | 23% | |
| 272 | 2% | 11% | |
| 273 | 2% | 9% | |
| 274 | 0.6% | 7% | Last Result |
| 275 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 276 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 277 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 278 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 279 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 280 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 281 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 282 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 283 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 284 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 285 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 287 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 247 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 248 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 249 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 250 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 251 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 253 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 254 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 255 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 256 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 257 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 258 | 4% | 96% | |
| 259 | 3% | 92% | |
| 260 | 4% | 90% | |
| 261 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 263 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 264 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 265 | 2% | 83% | |
| 266 | 11% | 81% | |
| 267 | 7% | 70% | |
| 268 | 2% | 63% | |
| 269 | 8% | 61% | |
| 270 | 3% | 52% | |
| 271 | 1.5% | 49% | Median |
| 272 | 0.8% | 47% | |
| 273 | 2% | 47% | |
| 274 | 1.2% | 44% | |
| 275 | 1.4% | 43% | |
| 276 | 2% | 42% | |
| 277 | 32% | 40% | |
| 278 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 279 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 280 | 2% | 6% | |
| 281 | 2% | 4% | |
| 282 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 283 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 284 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 285 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 286 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 287 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 288 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 289 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | |
| 298 | 0% | 0% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 240 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 241 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 242 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 243 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 244 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 245 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 246 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 247 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 248 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 249 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 250 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 251 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 252 | 4% | 97% | |
| 253 | 3% | 93% | |
| 254 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 255 | 2% | 89% | |
| 256 | 2% | 87% | |
| 257 | 2% | 85% | |
| 258 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 259 | 11% | 82% | |
| 260 | 7% | 70% | |
| 261 | 2% | 63% | |
| 262 | 0.2% | 62% | |
| 263 | 3% | 61% | |
| 264 | 0.4% | 59% | |
| 265 | 10% | 58% | |
| 266 | 2% | 48% | Median |
| 267 | 0.7% | 47% | |
| 268 | 3% | 46% | |
| 269 | 1.4% | 43% | |
| 270 | 2% | 42% | |
| 271 | 2% | 40% | |
| 272 | 21% | 38% | |
| 273 | 12% | 17% | |
| 274 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 275 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 276 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 277 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 278 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 279 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 280 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 281 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 282 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 283 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 284 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 285 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0% | |
| 287 | 0% | 0% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 197 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 198 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 199 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 202 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 204 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 205 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 206 | 2% | 98% | |
| 207 | 4% | 97% | |
| 208 | 2% | 93% | |
| 209 | 6% | 91% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 211 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 213 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 214 | 1.2% | 83% | |
| 215 | 10% | 82% | |
| 216 | 3% | 72% | |
| 217 | 8% | 69% | |
| 218 | 3% | 60% | |
| 219 | 9% | 58% | |
| 220 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 221 | 0.7% | 46% | |
| 222 | 0.3% | 46% | |
| 223 | 1.3% | 45% | |
| 224 | 14% | 44% | |
| 225 | 2% | 30% | |
| 226 | 21% | 29% | |
| 227 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 228 | 2% | 6% | |
| 229 | 2% | 4% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 232 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 233 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 235 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 236 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | |
| 263 | 0% | 0% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party – Change UK
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 196 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 200 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 201 | 2% | 98% | |
| 202 | 6% | 96% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 204 | 3% | 90% | |
| 205 | 2% | 86% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 208 | 11% | 83% | |
| 209 | 2% | 72% | |
| 210 | 8% | 70% | |
| 211 | 1.2% | 62% | |
| 212 | 3% | 61% | |
| 213 | 0.9% | 58% | |
| 214 | 3% | 57% | |
| 215 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 216 | 2% | 46% | |
| 217 | 1.4% | 44% | |
| 218 | 1.2% | 43% | |
| 219 | 2% | 42% | |
| 220 | 12% | 40% | |
| 221 | 22% | 28% | |
| 222 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 223 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 224 | 2% | 4% | |
| 225 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 226 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 227 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 228 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 232 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 196 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 200 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 201 | 2% | 98% | |
| 202 | 6% | 96% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 204 | 3% | 90% | |
| 205 | 2% | 86% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 208 | 11% | 83% | |
| 209 | 2% | 72% | |
| 210 | 8% | 70% | |
| 211 | 1.2% | 62% | |
| 212 | 3% | 61% | |
| 213 | 0.9% | 58% | |
| 214 | 3% | 57% | |
| 215 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 216 | 2% | 46% | |
| 217 | 1.4% | 44% | |
| 218 | 1.2% | 43% | |
| 219 | 2% | 42% | |
| 220 | 12% | 40% | |
| 221 | 22% | 28% | |
| 222 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 223 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 224 | 2% | 4% | |
| 225 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 226 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 227 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 228 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 232 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: ComRes
- Commissioner(s): Remain United
- Fieldwork period: 30 October–5 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 6097
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.49%