Opinion Poll by ICM Research, 6–9 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 43.4% 42.2% 40.8–43.7% 40.4–44.0% 40.1–44.4% 39.4–45.1%
Labour Party 41.0% 36.2% 34.8–37.6% 34.4–38.0% 34.1–38.3% 33.5–39.0%
Liberal Democrats 7.6% 12.1% 11.2–13.1% 10.9–13.4% 10.7–13.6% 10.3–14.1%
Scottish National Party 3.1% 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.2%
Brexit Party 0.0% 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.2%
Green Party 1.7% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–2.9%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
UK Independence Party 1.9% 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 329 316–342 310–345 303–351 291–362
Labour Party 262 235 224–252 218–258 214–264 205–277
Liberal Democrats 12 30 28–32 27–33 26–35 24–37
Scottish National Party 35 38 22–45 19–47 17–48 5–50
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 0 0–2 0–3 0–3 0–3
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0% 99.7%  
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.1% 99.5%  
293 0.2% 99.4%  
294 0.1% 99.2%  
295 0.4% 99.2%  
296 0.1% 98.8%  
297 0% 98.7%  
298 0.3% 98.7%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0% 98%  
301 0.3% 98%  
302 0.3% 98%  
303 0.4% 98%  
304 0.2% 97%  
305 0.4% 97%  
306 0.4% 97%  
307 0.1% 96%  
308 0.1% 96%  
309 0.9% 96%  
310 0.5% 95%  
311 0.4% 95%  
312 1.4% 94%  
313 0.4% 93%  
314 0.9% 92%  
315 0.7% 91%  
316 2% 91%  
317 1.2% 88% Last Result
318 2% 87%  
319 1.1% 85%  
320 4% 84%  
321 1.0% 79%  
322 4% 78%  
323 5% 75%  
324 10% 69%  
325 2% 60%  
326 3% 58% Majority
327 0.9% 55%  
328 3% 54%  
329 6% 51% Median
330 3% 45%  
331 2% 42%  
332 2% 40%  
333 7% 38%  
334 0.8% 31%  
335 6% 30%  
336 2% 24%  
337 1.2% 22%  
338 4% 21%  
339 4% 17%  
340 0.7% 13%  
341 2% 13%  
342 3% 11%  
343 1.5% 8%  
344 0.3% 6%  
345 2% 6%  
346 0.4% 5%  
347 0.6% 4%  
348 0.4% 4%  
349 0.4% 3%  
350 0.1% 3%  
351 0.2% 3%  
352 0.3% 2%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 0.1% 2%  
355 0.2% 2%  
356 0.2% 2%  
357 0.1% 1.4%  
358 0.4% 1.3%  
359 0.2% 1.0%  
360 0.1% 0.8%  
361 0.1% 0.7%  
362 0.3% 0.6%  
363 0.1% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0.1% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9%  
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.8%  
204 0.2% 99.8%  
205 0.2% 99.7%  
206 0.1% 99.5%  
207 0.3% 99.4%  
208 0.1% 99.1%  
209 0.4% 98.9%  
210 0.3% 98%  
211 0.1% 98%  
212 0.2% 98%  
213 0.2% 98%  
214 0.4% 98%  
215 0.6% 97%  
216 0.3% 97%  
217 0.3% 96%  
218 2% 96%  
219 0.9% 95%  
220 2% 94%  
221 0.4% 92%  
222 0.4% 91%  
223 0.5% 91%  
224 5% 90%  
225 8% 86%  
226 2% 78%  
227 2% 77%  
228 0.8% 75%  
229 0.6% 74%  
230 6% 73%  
231 5% 67%  
232 5% 62%  
233 4% 57%  
234 1.2% 53%  
235 2% 52% Median
236 4% 50%  
237 4% 46%  
238 2% 42%  
239 11% 40%  
240 4% 29%  
241 3% 25%  
242 2% 22%  
243 0.4% 20%  
244 2% 20%  
245 0.6% 18%  
246 0.6% 17%  
247 0.9% 17%  
248 1.0% 16%  
249 2% 15%  
250 0.9% 12%  
251 1.2% 11%  
252 1.1% 10%  
253 2% 9%  
254 1.3% 8%  
255 0.2% 6%  
256 0.2% 6%  
257 0.5% 6%  
258 0.6% 5%  
259 0.5% 5%  
260 0.2% 4%  
261 0.3% 4%  
262 0.6% 4% Last Result
263 0.3% 3%  
264 0.6% 3%  
265 0.1% 2%  
266 0.1% 2%  
267 0.6% 2%  
268 0.1% 1.4%  
269 0.1% 1.3%  
270 0.3% 1.2%  
271 0.2% 1.0%  
272 0.1% 0.8%  
273 0% 0.7%  
274 0% 0.7%  
275 0.1% 0.6%  
276 0% 0.5%  
277 0.1% 0.5%  
278 0% 0.4%  
279 0% 0.4%  
280 0.1% 0.4%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.2%  
286 0% 0.2%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0.6% 99.9%  
25 0.2% 99.3%  
26 3% 99.1%  
27 3% 96%  
28 7% 93%  
29 9% 86%  
30 27% 77% Median
31 30% 50%  
32 12% 20%  
33 4% 7%  
34 0.4% 3%  
35 1.5% 3%  
36 0.5% 1.3%  
37 0.5% 0.8%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0.2% 99.9%  
5 0.4% 99.7%  
6 0.5% 99.3%  
7 0.1% 98.8%  
8 0% 98.7%  
9 0% 98.6%  
10 0.1% 98.6%  
11 0.1% 98.6%  
12 0.1% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0.1% 98%  
16 0.2% 98%  
17 0.5% 98%  
18 2% 97%  
19 1.4% 95%  
20 1.1% 94%  
21 2% 93%  
22 2% 91%  
23 4% 90%  
24 2% 86%  
25 0.5% 84%  
26 1.4% 83%  
27 0.6% 82%  
28 0.4% 81%  
29 2% 81%  
30 0.3% 79%  
31 0.7% 79%  
32 2% 78%  
33 1.2% 76%  
34 1.4% 75%  
35 2% 74% Last Result
36 7% 72%  
37 14% 65%  
38 4% 50% Median
39 3% 46%  
40 11% 43%  
41 13% 32%  
42 6% 19%  
43 0.1% 13%  
44 0.1% 13%  
45 6% 13%  
46 0% 7%  
47 3% 7%  
48 3% 4%  
49 0.1% 1.3%  
50 1.0% 1.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Median
1 0.1% 32%  
2 22% 32%  
3 9% 9%  
4 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 365 99.4% 349–377 343–383 336–388 323–396
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 364 99.3% 347–377 342–382 336–386 322–396
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 358 99.2% 346–372 341–375 334–380 322–390
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 329 59% 316–342 311–347 303–352 293–362
Conservative Party – Brexit Party 317 329 58% 316–342 310–345 303–351 291–362
Conservative Party 317 329 58% 316–342 310–345 303–351 291–362
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 314 303 4% 290–316 287–322 281–329 270–341
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 302 3% 289–315 286–321 280–328 269–340
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 302 3% 289–315 284–320 279–328 269–338
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 273 0% 259–285 256–290 251–297 241–309
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 271 0% 259–284 254–290 250–297 240–308
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 267 0% 254–284 249–289 245–295 235–309
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 266 0% 254–282 248–288 243–295 235–308
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 236 0% 224–252 218–259 215–264 207–277
Labour Party 262 235 0% 224–252 218–258 214–264 205–277

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.8%  
317 0% 99.8%  
318 0% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0% 99.6%  
323 0.1% 99.6%  
324 0% 99.5%  
325 0.1% 99.4%  
326 0% 99.4% Majority
327 0.1% 99.3%  
328 0% 99.2%  
329 0.1% 99.2%  
330 0.3% 99.1%  
331 0% 98.8%  
332 0.2% 98.8%  
333 0.4% 98.6%  
334 0.3% 98%  
335 0.1% 98%  
336 0.4% 98%  
337 0.5% 97%  
338 0.5% 97%  
339 0.1% 96%  
340 0.3% 96%  
341 0.6% 96%  
342 0.3% 95%  
343 0.2% 95%  
344 0.4% 95%  
345 2% 94%  
346 2% 93%  
347 0.2% 91%  
348 0.1% 91%  
349 0.9% 91%  
350 2% 90%  
351 2% 88%  
352 0.6% 86%  
353 0.9% 85%  
354 0.6% 84%  
355 0.7% 84%  
356 1.2% 83% Last Result
357 1.3% 82%  
358 2% 80%  
359 2% 79%  
360 3% 77%  
361 10% 73%  
362 3% 63%  
363 4% 60%  
364 5% 56%  
365 2% 51%  
366 2% 50%  
367 5% 48% Median
368 0.6% 43%  
369 5% 42%  
370 0.8% 37%  
371 9% 36%  
372 2% 27%  
373 1.3% 26%  
374 2% 24%  
375 3% 23%  
376 7% 20%  
377 3% 13%  
378 0.8% 10%  
379 0.5% 9%  
380 0.5% 9%  
381 2% 8%  
382 1.1% 6%  
383 1.0% 5%  
384 0.1% 4%  
385 0.3% 4%  
386 0.8% 4%  
387 0.3% 3%  
388 0.4% 3%  
389 0.2% 2%  
390 0% 2%  
391 0.4% 2%  
392 0.4% 2%  
393 0.2% 1.2%  
394 0.2% 1.0%  
395 0.1% 0.8%  
396 0.3% 0.7%  
397 0.2% 0.4%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.2%  
402 0.1% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.8%  
317 0% 99.8%  
318 0% 99.8%  
319 0.2% 99.8%  
320 0% 99.6%  
321 0% 99.6%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0.1% 99.5%  
324 0% 99.4%  
325 0.1% 99.4%  
326 0% 99.3% Majority
327 0.1% 99.2%  
328 0% 99.1%  
329 0.1% 99.1%  
330 0.3% 99.1%  
331 0.1% 98.8%  
332 0.3% 98.7%  
333 0.4% 98%  
334 0.3% 98%  
335 0.2% 98%  
336 0.4% 98%  
337 0.5% 97%  
338 0.5% 97%  
339 0.1% 96%  
340 0.2% 96%  
341 0.7% 96%  
342 0.2% 95%  
343 0.7% 95%  
344 0.4% 94%  
345 1.2% 94%  
346 2% 93%  
347 0.6% 91%  
348 0.4% 90%  
349 2% 90%  
350 2% 88%  
351 1.1% 86%  
352 0.5% 85% Last Result
353 0.7% 84%  
354 1.0% 84%  
355 1.1% 83%  
356 2% 82%  
357 1.0% 80%  
358 1.4% 79%  
359 3% 77%  
360 4% 75%  
361 10% 71%  
362 4% 61%  
363 4% 57%  
364 4% 53%  
365 3% 50%  
366 2% 46%  
367 3% 45% Median
368 0.7% 42%  
369 8% 41%  
370 0.9% 33%  
371 6% 32%  
372 1.5% 26%  
373 2% 25%  
374 4% 23%  
375 3% 19%  
376 5% 16%  
377 2% 11%  
378 0.6% 9%  
379 1.3% 9%  
380 0.4% 7%  
381 1.3% 7%  
382 1.1% 6%  
383 0.9% 5%  
384 0.5% 4%  
385 0.2% 3%  
386 0.5% 3%  
387 0.2% 2%  
388 0.3% 2%  
389 0.1% 2%  
390 0.1% 2%  
391 0.3% 2%  
392 0.3% 1.4%  
393 0.2% 1.1%  
394 0.3% 0.9%  
395 0% 0.6%  
396 0.2% 0.5%  
397 0.2% 0.4%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0.1% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.8%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.2% 99.7%  
322 0% 99.5%  
323 0.1% 99.5%  
324 0% 99.3%  
325 0.1% 99.3%  
326 0.5% 99.2% Majority
327 0.1% 98.7%  
328 0.1% 98.6%  
329 0.1% 98.5% Last Result
330 0.2% 98%  
331 0.2% 98%  
332 0.1% 98%  
333 0.3% 98%  
334 0.6% 98%  
335 0.3% 97%  
336 0.4% 97%  
337 0.3% 96%  
338 0.4% 96%  
339 0.3% 96%  
340 0.3% 95%  
341 0.5% 95%  
342 1.5% 95%  
343 0.3% 93%  
344 1.1% 93%  
345 0.7% 92%  
346 1.4% 91%  
347 2% 90%  
348 0.8% 88%  
349 2% 87%  
350 3% 85%  
351 5% 82%  
352 2% 78%  
353 2% 75%  
354 6% 74%  
355 9% 67%  
356 1.1% 58%  
357 3% 57%  
358 6% 54%  
359 1.0% 49% Median
360 6% 47%  
361 1.3% 42%  
362 3% 40%  
363 6% 37%  
364 1.1% 32%  
365 5% 30%  
366 4% 26%  
367 1.0% 22%  
368 2% 21%  
369 5% 19%  
370 1.0% 14%  
371 2% 13%  
372 2% 10%  
373 1.0% 8%  
374 1.0% 7%  
375 2% 6%  
376 0.4% 5%  
377 0.4% 4%  
378 0.5% 4%  
379 0.6% 3%  
380 0.3% 3%  
381 0.2% 2%  
382 0.2% 2%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.1% 2%  
385 0.3% 2%  
386 0.1% 1.5%  
387 0.1% 1.4%  
388 0.4% 1.3%  
389 0.2% 0.9%  
390 0.3% 0.7%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0.1% 0.2%  
397 0.1% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0% 99.8%  
289 0% 99.8%  
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0% 99.7%  
292 0.1% 99.6%  
293 0.2% 99.5%  
294 0% 99.4%  
295 0.5% 99.3%  
296 0.1% 98.9%  
297 0.1% 98.8%  
298 0.1% 98.7%  
299 0.1% 98.6%  
300 0.2% 98%  
301 0.3% 98%  
302 0.3% 98%  
303 0.3% 98%  
304 0.2% 97%  
305 0.4% 97%  
306 0.4% 97%  
307 0.1% 96%  
308 0.1% 96%  
309 0.3% 96%  
310 0.5% 96%  
311 0.8% 95%  
312 1.5% 95%  
313 0.4% 93%  
314 0.7% 93%  
315 0.6% 92%  
316 2% 91%  
317 0.7% 89%  
318 2% 89%  
319 1.4% 87%  
320 4% 85%  
321 2% 81% Last Result
322 3% 79%  
323 2% 77%  
324 10% 74%  
325 5% 64%  
326 2% 59% Majority
327 1.0% 57%  
328 4% 56%  
329 3% 52% Median
330 4% 49%  
331 5% 46%  
332 2% 41%  
333 4% 40%  
334 1.1% 36%  
335 9% 35%  
336 2% 26%  
337 2% 24%  
338 3% 22%  
339 4% 19%  
340 0.9% 15%  
341 2% 14%  
342 2% 12%  
343 2% 10%  
344 0.7% 7%  
345 1.4% 7%  
346 0.3% 5%  
347 1.0% 5%  
348 0.6% 4%  
349 0.4% 4%  
350 0.3% 3%  
351 0.2% 3%  
352 0.3% 3%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 0.1% 2%  
355 0.3% 2%  
356 0.1% 2%  
357 0.1% 1.5%  
358 0.3% 1.4%  
359 0.2% 1.1%  
360 0.1% 0.9%  
361 0% 0.8%  
362 0.3% 0.7%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0.1% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Brexit Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0% 99.7%  
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.1% 99.5%  
293 0.2% 99.4%  
294 0.1% 99.2%  
295 0.4% 99.2%  
296 0.1% 98.8%  
297 0% 98.7%  
298 0.3% 98.7%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0% 98%  
301 0.3% 98%  
302 0.3% 98%  
303 0.4% 98%  
304 0.2% 97%  
305 0.4% 97%  
306 0.4% 97%  
307 0.1% 96%  
308 0.1% 96%  
309 0.9% 96%  
310 0.5% 95%  
311 0.4% 95%  
312 1.4% 94%  
313 0.4% 93%  
314 0.9% 92%  
315 0.7% 91%  
316 2% 91%  
317 1.2% 88% Last Result
318 2% 87%  
319 1.1% 85%  
320 4% 84%  
321 1.0% 79%  
322 4% 78%  
323 5% 75%  
324 10% 69%  
325 2% 60%  
326 3% 58% Majority
327 0.9% 55%  
328 3% 54%  
329 6% 51% Median
330 3% 45%  
331 2% 42%  
332 2% 40%  
333 7% 38%  
334 0.8% 31%  
335 6% 30%  
336 2% 24%  
337 1.2% 22%  
338 4% 21%  
339 4% 17%  
340 0.7% 13%  
341 2% 13%  
342 3% 11%  
343 1.5% 8%  
344 0.3% 6%  
345 2% 6%  
346 0.4% 5%  
347 0.6% 4%  
348 0.4% 4%  
349 0.4% 3%  
350 0.1% 3%  
351 0.2% 3%  
352 0.3% 2%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 0.1% 2%  
355 0.2% 2%  
356 0.2% 2%  
357 0.1% 1.4%  
358 0.4% 1.3%  
359 0.2% 1.0%  
360 0.1% 0.8%  
361 0.1% 0.7%  
362 0.3% 0.6%  
363 0.1% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0.1% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0% 99.7%  
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.1% 99.5%  
293 0.2% 99.4%  
294 0.1% 99.2%  
295 0.4% 99.2%  
296 0.1% 98.8%  
297 0% 98.7%  
298 0.3% 98.7%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0% 98%  
301 0.3% 98%  
302 0.3% 98%  
303 0.4% 98%  
304 0.2% 97%  
305 0.4% 97%  
306 0.4% 97%  
307 0.1% 96%  
308 0.1% 96%  
309 0.9% 96%  
310 0.5% 95%  
311 0.4% 95%  
312 1.4% 94%  
313 0.4% 93%  
314 0.9% 92%  
315 0.7% 91%  
316 2% 91%  
317 1.2% 88% Last Result
318 2% 87%  
319 1.1% 85%  
320 4% 84%  
321 1.0% 79%  
322 4% 78%  
323 5% 75%  
324 10% 69%  
325 2% 60%  
326 3% 58% Majority
327 0.9% 55%  
328 3% 54%  
329 6% 51% Median
330 3% 45%  
331 2% 42%  
332 2% 40%  
333 7% 38%  
334 0.8% 31%  
335 6% 30%  
336 2% 24%  
337 1.2% 22%  
338 4% 21%  
339 4% 17%  
340 0.7% 13%  
341 2% 13%  
342 3% 11%  
343 1.5% 8%  
344 0.3% 6%  
345 2% 6%  
346 0.4% 5%  
347 0.6% 4%  
348 0.4% 4%  
349 0.4% 3%  
350 0.1% 3%  
351 0.2% 3%  
352 0.3% 2%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 0.1% 2%  
355 0.2% 2%  
356 0.2% 2%  
357 0.1% 1.4%  
358 0.4% 1.3%  
359 0.2% 1.0%  
360 0.1% 0.8%  
361 0.1% 0.7%  
362 0.3% 0.6%  
363 0.1% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0.1% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.8%  
270 0.3% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.4%  
272 0.1% 99.3%  
273 0.2% 99.2%  
274 0.4% 99.0%  
275 0.1% 98.7%  
276 0.2% 98.6%  
277 0.2% 98%  
278 0.1% 98%  
279 0.2% 98%  
280 0.3% 98%  
281 0.2% 98%  
282 0.1% 97%  
283 0.4% 97%  
284 0.4% 97%  
285 0.6% 96%  
286 0.4% 96%  
287 2% 95%  
288 0.3% 94%  
289 1.5% 94%  
290 3% 92%  
291 2% 89%  
292 0.7% 87%  
293 4% 87%  
294 4% 83%  
295 1.2% 79%  
296 2% 78%  
297 6% 76%  
298 0.8% 70%  
299 7% 69%  
300 2% 62%  
301 2% 60%  
302 3% 58%  
303 6% 55%  
304 3% 49% Median
305 0.9% 46%  
306 3% 45%  
307 2% 42%  
308 10% 40%  
309 5% 31%  
310 4% 25%  
311 1.0% 22%  
312 4% 21%  
313 1.1% 16%  
314 2% 15% Last Result
315 1.2% 13%  
316 2% 12%  
317 0.7% 9%  
318 0.9% 9%  
319 0.4% 8%  
320 1.4% 7%  
321 0.4% 6%  
322 0.5% 5%  
323 0.9% 5%  
324 0.1% 4%  
325 0.1% 4%  
326 0.4% 4% Majority
327 0.4% 3%  
328 0.2% 3%  
329 0.4% 3%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0.3% 2%  
332 0% 2%  
333 0.2% 2%  
334 0.3% 2%  
335 0% 1.3%  
336 0.1% 1.3%  
337 0.4% 1.2%  
338 0.1% 0.8%  
339 0.2% 0.8%  
340 0.1% 0.6%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0.3% 99.7%  
270 0.1% 99.4%  
271 0.1% 99.3%  
272 0.2% 99.2%  
273 0.4% 99.0%  
274 0.1% 98.7%  
275 0.2% 98.6%  
276 0.2% 98%  
277 0.1% 98%  
278 0.2% 98%  
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0.2% 98%  
281 0.1% 97%  
282 0.4% 97%  
283 0.4% 97%  
284 0.6% 96%  
285 0.4% 96%  
286 2% 95%  
287 0.3% 94%  
288 1.5% 94%  
289 3% 92%  
290 2% 89%  
291 0.7% 87%  
292 4% 87%  
293 4% 83%  
294 1.2% 79%  
295 2% 78%  
296 6% 76%  
297 0.8% 70%  
298 7% 69%  
299 2% 62%  
300 2% 60%  
301 3% 58%  
302 6% 55%  
303 3% 49% Median
304 0.9% 46%  
305 3% 45%  
306 2% 42%  
307 10% 40%  
308 5% 31%  
309 4% 25%  
310 1.0% 22%  
311 4% 21%  
312 1.1% 16%  
313 2% 15% Last Result
314 1.2% 13%  
315 2% 12%  
316 0.7% 9%  
317 0.9% 9%  
318 0.4% 8%  
319 1.4% 7%  
320 0.4% 6%  
321 0.5% 5%  
322 0.9% 5%  
323 0.1% 4%  
324 0.1% 4%  
325 0.4% 4%  
326 0.4% 3% Majority
327 0.2% 3%  
328 0.4% 3%  
329 0.3% 2%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0% 2%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0% 1.3%  
335 0.1% 1.3%  
336 0.4% 1.2%  
337 0.1% 0.8%  
338 0.2% 0.8%  
339 0.1% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0.3% 99.6%  
270 0% 99.3%  
271 0.1% 99.2%  
272 0.2% 99.1%  
273 0.3% 98.9%  
274 0.1% 98.6%  
275 0.1% 98.5%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 0.1% 98%  
278 0.2% 98%  
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0.2% 97%  
281 0.3% 97%  
282 0.4% 97%  
283 0.6% 96%  
284 1.0% 96%  
285 0.3% 95%  
286 1.4% 95%  
287 0.7% 93%  
288 2% 93%  
289 2% 90%  
290 2% 88%  
291 0.9% 86%  
292 4% 85%  
293 3% 81%  
294 2% 78%  
295 2% 76%  
296 9% 74%  
297 1.1% 65%  
298 4% 64%  
299 2% 60%  
300 5% 59%  
301 4% 54%  
302 3% 51%  
303 4% 48% Median
304 1.0% 44%  
305 2% 43%  
306 5% 41%  
307 10% 36%  
308 2% 26%  
309 3% 23% Last Result
310 2% 21%  
311 4% 19%  
312 1.4% 15%  
313 2% 13%  
314 0.7% 11%  
315 2% 11%  
316 0.6% 9%  
317 0.7% 8%  
318 0.4% 7%  
319 1.5% 7%  
320 0.8% 5%  
321 0.5% 5%  
322 0.3% 4%  
323 0.1% 4%  
324 0.1% 4%  
325 0.4% 4%  
326 0.4% 3% Majority
327 0.2% 3%  
328 0.3% 3%  
329 0.3% 2%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0.2% 2%  
332 0.1% 2%  
333 0.1% 1.4%  
334 0.1% 1.3%  
335 0.1% 1.2%  
336 0.5% 1.1%  
337 0% 0.7%  
338 0.2% 0.6%  
339 0.1% 0.5%  
340 0% 0.4%  
341 0.1% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0% 99.6%  
240 0.1% 99.6%  
241 0.3% 99.6%  
242 0.2% 99.3%  
243 0.4% 99.1%  
244 0.1% 98.7%  
245 0.1% 98.6%  
246 0.3% 98.5%  
247 0.1% 98%  
248 0.2% 98%  
249 0.2% 98%  
250 0.2% 98%  
251 0.3% 98%  
252 0.6% 97%  
253 0.5% 97%  
254 0.4% 96%  
255 0.4% 96%  
256 2% 95%  
257 1.0% 94%  
258 1.0% 93%  
259 2% 92%  
260 2% 90%  
261 1.0% 87%  
262 5% 86%  
263 2% 81%  
264 1.0% 79%  
265 4% 78%  
266 5% 74%  
267 1.1% 70%  
268 6% 68%  
269 3% 63%  
270 1.3% 60%  
271 6% 58%  
272 1.0% 53%  
273 6% 51% Median
274 3% 46%  
275 1.1% 43%  
276 9% 42%  
277 6% 33%  
278 2% 26%  
279 2% 25%  
280 5% 22%  
281 3% 18%  
282 2% 15%  
283 0.8% 13%  
284 2% 12%  
285 1.4% 10%  
286 0.7% 9%  
287 1.1% 8%  
288 0.3% 7%  
289 1.5% 7%  
290 0.5% 5%  
291 0.3% 5%  
292 0.3% 5%  
293 0.4% 4%  
294 0.3% 4%  
295 0.4% 4%  
296 0.3% 3%  
297 0.6% 3%  
298 0.3% 2%  
299 0.1% 2%  
300 0.2% 2%  
301 0.2% 2% Last Result
302 0.1% 2%  
303 0.1% 1.5%  
304 0.1% 1.4%  
305 0.5% 1.3%  
306 0.1% 0.8%  
307 0% 0.7%  
308 0.1% 0.7%  
309 0% 0.5%  
310 0.2% 0.5%  
311 0.1% 0.3%  
312 0% 0.3%  
313 0.1% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.2%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.6%  
240 0.1% 99.5%  
241 0.3% 99.5%  
242 0.2% 99.2%  
243 0.4% 99.0%  
244 0.1% 98.6%  
245 0.1% 98.6%  
246 0.4% 98%  
247 0.1% 98%  
248 0.2% 98%  
249 0.2% 98%  
250 0.1% 98%  
251 0.5% 97%  
252 0.7% 97%  
253 0.6% 96%  
254 0.8% 96%  
255 0.4% 95%  
256 1.5% 94%  
257 1.3% 93%  
258 2% 92%  
259 2% 90%  
260 2% 88%  
261 2% 86%  
262 5% 85%  
263 2% 79%  
264 1.1% 77%  
265 3% 76%  
266 7% 73%  
267 2% 66%  
268 4% 64%  
269 1.3% 60%  
270 2% 59%  
271 9% 57%  
272 2% 48%  
273 3% 46% Median
274 1.5% 43%  
275 4% 42%  
276 9% 38%  
277 4% 29%  
278 1.1% 24%  
279 3% 23%  
280 4% 20%  
281 2% 16%  
282 2% 14%  
283 0.7% 12%  
284 2% 11%  
285 1.0% 9%  
286 0.6% 8%  
287 1.3% 8%  
288 0.3% 7%  
289 1.2% 6%  
290 0.3% 5%  
291 0.3% 5%  
292 0.5% 4%  
293 0.5% 4%  
294 0.1% 4%  
295 0.4% 3%  
296 0.3% 3%  
297 0.5% 3% Last Result
298 0.3% 2%  
299 0.2% 2%  
300 0.1% 2%  
301 0.1% 2%  
302 0.1% 1.5%  
303 0.1% 1.4%  
304 0.1% 1.3%  
305 0.5% 1.2%  
306 0.1% 0.7%  
307 0% 0.6%  
308 0.1% 0.6%  
309 0% 0.4%  
310 0.1% 0.4%  
311 0.1% 0.3%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.8%  
233 0% 99.8%  
234 0.2% 99.8%  
235 0.2% 99.6%  
236 0% 99.5%  
237 0.3% 99.4%  
238 0.2% 99.1%  
239 0.3% 98.9%  
240 0.3% 98.6%  
241 0.1% 98%  
242 0.1% 98%  
243 0.3% 98%  
244 0.2% 98%  
245 0.5% 98%  
246 0.2% 97%  
247 0.5% 97%  
248 0.9% 96%  
249 1.1% 95%  
250 1.3% 94%  
251 0.4% 93%  
252 1.3% 93%  
253 0.6% 91%  
254 2% 91%  
255 5% 89%  
256 3% 84%  
257 4% 81%  
258 2% 77%  
259 1.5% 75%  
260 6% 74%  
261 0.9% 68%  
262 8% 67%  
263 0.7% 59%  
264 3% 58%  
265 2% 55% Median
266 3% 54%  
267 4% 50%  
268 4% 47%  
269 4% 43%  
270 10% 39%  
271 4% 29%  
272 3% 25%  
273 1.4% 23%  
274 1.0% 21%  
275 2% 20%  
276 1.1% 18%  
277 1.0% 17%  
278 0.7% 16% Last Result
279 0.5% 16%  
280 1.1% 15%  
281 2% 14%  
282 2% 12%  
283 0.4% 10%  
284 0.6% 10%  
285 2% 9%  
286 1.2% 7%  
287 0.4% 6%  
288 0.7% 6%  
289 0.2% 5%  
290 0.7% 5%  
291 0.2% 4%  
292 0.1% 4%  
293 0.5% 4%  
294 0.5% 3%  
295 0.4% 3%  
296 0.2% 2%  
297 0.3% 2%  
298 0.4% 2%  
299 0.3% 2%  
300 0.1% 1.3%  
301 0.3% 1.2%  
302 0.1% 0.9%  
303 0% 0.9%  
304 0.1% 0.9%  
305 0% 0.8%  
306 0.1% 0.7%  
307 0% 0.6%  
308 0.1% 0.6%  
309 0.1% 0.5%  
310 0% 0.4%  
311 0% 0.4%  
312 0.2% 0.4%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.2%  
316 0.1% 0.2%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0% 99.8%  
233 0% 99.8%  
234 0.2% 99.8%  
235 0.3% 99.6%  
236 0.1% 99.3%  
237 0.2% 99.2%  
238 0.2% 99.0%  
239 0.4% 98.8%  
240 0.4% 98%  
241 0% 98%  
242 0.2% 98%  
243 0.4% 98%  
244 0.3% 97%  
245 0.8% 97%  
246 0.3% 96%  
247 0.1% 96%  
248 1.0% 96%  
249 1.1% 95%  
250 2% 94%  
251 0.5% 92%  
252 0.5% 91%  
253 0.8% 91%  
254 3% 90%  
255 7% 87%  
256 3% 80%  
257 2% 77%  
258 1.3% 76%  
259 2% 74%  
260 9% 73%  
261 0.8% 64%  
262 5% 63%  
263 0.6% 58%  
264 5% 57%  
265 2% 52% Median
266 2% 50%  
267 5% 49%  
268 4% 44%  
269 3% 40%  
270 10% 37%  
271 3% 27%  
272 2% 23%  
273 2% 21%  
274 1.3% 20% Last Result
275 1.2% 18%  
276 0.7% 17%  
277 0.6% 16%  
278 0.9% 16%  
279 0.6% 15%  
280 2% 14%  
281 2% 12%  
282 0.9% 10%  
283 0.1% 9%  
284 0.2% 9%  
285 2% 9%  
286 2% 7%  
287 0.4% 6%  
288 0.2% 5%  
289 0.3% 5%  
290 0.6% 5%  
291 0.3% 4%  
292 0.1% 4%  
293 0.5% 4%  
294 0.5% 3%  
295 0.4% 3%  
296 0.1% 2%  
297 0.3% 2%  
298 0.4% 2%  
299 0.2% 1.4%  
300 0% 1.2%  
301 0.3% 1.2%  
302 0.1% 0.9%  
303 0% 0.8%  
304 0.1% 0.8%  
305 0% 0.7%  
306 0.1% 0.6%  
307 0% 0.6%  
308 0.1% 0.5%  
309 0% 0.4%  
310 0.1% 0.4%  
311 0% 0.3%  
312 0.1% 0.3%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.2%  
316 0.1% 0.2%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9%  
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.8%  
204 0.1% 99.8%  
205 0% 99.7%  
206 0.1% 99.7%  
207 0.4% 99.6%  
208 0.2% 99.2%  
209 0.4% 99.1%  
210 0.3% 98.6%  
211 0.2% 98%  
212 0.1% 98%  
213 0% 98%  
214 0.2% 98%  
215 0.5% 98%  
216 0.4% 97%  
217 0.5% 97%  
218 1.4% 96%  
219 0.4% 95%  
220 1.5% 95%  
221 0.8% 93%  
222 0.9% 92%  
223 0.4% 91%  
224 4% 91%  
225 5% 88%  
226 2% 83%  
227 5% 81%  
228 1.0% 76%  
229 1.0% 75%  
230 5% 74%  
231 2% 69%  
232 6% 67%  
233 5% 61%  
234 0.6% 56%  
235 3% 55% Median
236 4% 52%  
237 3% 48%  
238 2% 45%  
239 12% 43%  
240 4% 31%  
241 3% 27%  
242 3% 24%  
243 0.4% 21%  
244 1.0% 21%  
245 0.6% 20%  
246 1.4% 19%  
247 0.8% 18%  
248 1.1% 17%  
249 0.8% 16%  
250 0.9% 15%  
251 3% 14%  
252 1.5% 11%  
253 2% 9%  
254 0.9% 8%  
255 0.3% 7%  
256 0.4% 7%  
257 0.7% 6%  
258 0.1% 6%  
259 0.5% 5%  
260 0.6% 5%  
261 0.3% 4%  
262 0.8% 4%  
263 0.4% 3%  
264 0.6% 3%  
265 0.1% 2%  
266 0.1% 2% Last Result
267 0.5% 2%  
268 0.1% 2%  
269 0.2% 2%  
270 0.3% 1.3%  
271 0.2% 1.0%  
272 0.1% 0.8%  
273 0% 0.8%  
274 0% 0.8%  
275 0.1% 0.7%  
276 0% 0.6%  
277 0.1% 0.6%  
278 0% 0.5%  
279 0% 0.4%  
280 0.1% 0.4%  
281 0% 0.3%  
282 0.1% 0.3%  
283 0% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.2%  
286 0% 0.2%  
287 0% 0.2%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9%  
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.8%  
204 0.2% 99.8%  
205 0.2% 99.7%  
206 0.1% 99.5%  
207 0.3% 99.4%  
208 0.1% 99.1%  
209 0.4% 98.9%  
210 0.3% 98%  
211 0.1% 98%  
212 0.2% 98%  
213 0.2% 98%  
214 0.4% 98%  
215 0.6% 97%  
216 0.3% 97%  
217 0.3% 96%  
218 2% 96%  
219 0.9% 95%  
220 2% 94%  
221 0.4% 92%  
222 0.4% 91%  
223 0.5% 91%  
224 5% 90%  
225 8% 86%  
226 2% 78%  
227 2% 77%  
228 0.8% 75%  
229 0.6% 74%  
230 6% 73%  
231 5% 67%  
232 5% 62%  
233 4% 57%  
234 1.2% 53%  
235 2% 52% Median
236 4% 50%  
237 4% 46%  
238 2% 42%  
239 11% 40%  
240 4% 29%  
241 3% 25%  
242 2% 22%  
243 0.4% 20%  
244 2% 20%  
245 0.6% 18%  
246 0.6% 17%  
247 0.9% 17%  
248 1.0% 16%  
249 2% 15%  
250 0.9% 12%  
251 1.2% 11%  
252 1.1% 10%  
253 2% 9%  
254 1.3% 8%  
255 0.2% 6%  
256 0.2% 6%  
257 0.5% 6%  
258 0.6% 5%  
259 0.5% 5%  
260 0.2% 4%  
261 0.3% 4%  
262 0.6% 4% Last Result
263 0.3% 3%  
264 0.6% 3%  
265 0.1% 2%  
266 0.1% 2%  
267 0.6% 2%  
268 0.1% 1.4%  
269 0.1% 1.3%  
270 0.3% 1.2%  
271 0.2% 1.0%  
272 0.1% 0.8%  
273 0% 0.7%  
274 0% 0.7%  
275 0.1% 0.6%  
276 0% 0.5%  
277 0.1% 0.5%  
278 0% 0.4%  
279 0% 0.4%  
280 0.1% 0.4%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.2%  
286 0% 0.2%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations