Opinion Poll by Celeste-Tel for eldiario.es, 12–15 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 39.6% 24.8% 22.9–26.8% 22.3–27.4% 21.9–27.9% 21.0–28.9%
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 17.9% 17.4% 15.7–19.2% 15.3–19.7% 14.9–20.2% 14.2–21.1%
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 12.7% 14.8% 13.2–16.5% 12.8–17.0% 12.5–17.4% 11.8–18.2%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 39.6% 13.6% 12.2–15.3% 11.8–15.8% 11.4–16.2% 10.8–17.0%
Catalunya en Comú 8.9% 12.2% 10.9–13.9% 10.5–14.3% 10.2–14.7% 9.5–15.5%
Partit Popular 8.5% 9.4% 8.2–10.8% 7.8–11.2% 7.5–11.6% 7.0–12.3%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 8.2% 5.9% 4.9–7.1% 4.7–7.4% 4.5–7.7% 4.0–8.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 20 38 35–41 34–42 33–43 31–44
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 25 24 20–25 20–26 19–27 18–29
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 16 19 16–22 16–23 15–23 15–24
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 29 20 17–23 17–23 17–24 15–25
Catalunya en Comú 11 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
Partit Popular 11 12 10–14 10–14 10–14 8–16
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 10 8 5–9 5–9 4–9 3–10

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.5% 100%  
32 2% 99.5%  
33 2% 98%  
34 3% 96%  
35 8% 93%  
36 14% 85%  
37 20% 71%  
38 23% 52% Median
39 8% 29%  
40 8% 22%  
41 6% 14%  
42 4% 8%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.9% 1.1%  
45 0.2% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.8%  
19 2% 99.5%  
20 9% 97%  
21 6% 88%  
22 15% 82%  
23 9% 66%  
24 27% 57% Median
25 21% 31% Last Result
26 7% 10%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.9% 1.5%  
29 0.4% 0.6%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 3% 99.8%  
16 12% 97% Last Result
17 14% 85%  
18 15% 71%  
19 10% 56% Median
20 19% 46%  
21 9% 27%  
22 12% 18%  
23 5% 7%  
24 1.1% 1.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.9% 99.9%  
16 1.1% 99.0%  
17 11% 98%  
18 16% 87%  
19 12% 72%  
20 12% 59% Median
21 26% 47%  
22 9% 21%  
23 9% 13%  
24 3% 4%  
25 0.4% 0.7%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

Catalunya en Comú

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 1.0% 99.8% Last Result
12 6% 98.8%  
13 4% 92%  
14 23% 88%  
15 26% 65% Median
16 8% 38%  
17 21% 30%  
18 8% 9%  
19 1.5% 2%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100%  
8 0.5% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.4%  
10 16% 98%  
11 6% 81% Last Result
12 34% 75% Median
13 30% 40%  
14 9% 11%  
15 0.8% 2%  
16 0.7% 0.8%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 2% 100%  
4 2% 98%  
5 9% 96%  
6 7% 87%  
7 13% 80%  
8 47% 68% Median
9 18% 20%  
10 2% 2% Last Result
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Catalunya en Comú 60 73 98% 70–77 69–78 68–78 66–80
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular 63 70 81% 66–73 65–74 64–75 63–77
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 59 65 19% 62–69 61–70 60–71 58–72
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 49 58 0% 54–61 54–62 53–63 51–65
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular 52 55 0% 51–58 50–59 49–60 47–61

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.6% 99.8%  
67 1.4% 99.2%  
68 3% 98% Majority
69 5% 95%  
70 8% 90%  
71 12% 82%  
72 15% 70%  
73 14% 54% Median
74 13% 41%  
75 9% 28%  
76 7% 19%  
77 5% 11%  
78 3% 6%  
79 1.3% 2%  
80 0.7% 1.1%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.3% 99.9%  
63 0.9% 99.6% Last Result
64 2% 98.7%  
65 3% 97%  
66 5% 94%  
67 7% 88%  
68 12% 81% Majority
69 14% 69%  
70 15% 55% Median
71 14% 39%  
72 10% 26%  
73 7% 15%  
74 4% 8%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.8%  
59 1.0% 99.4% Last Result
60 2% 98%  
61 4% 96%  
62 7% 92%  
63 10% 85%  
64 14% 74%  
65 15% 61%  
66 14% 45% Median
67 12% 31%  
68 7% 19% Majority
69 5% 12%  
70 3% 6%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.9% 1.3%  
73 0.3% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100% Last Result
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 0.4% 99.7%  
52 1.2% 99.3%  
53 3% 98%  
54 6% 95%  
55 10% 89%  
56 13% 80%  
57 16% 67%  
58 14% 51% Median
59 13% 37%  
60 9% 24%  
61 7% 15%  
62 4% 9%  
63 3% 5%  
64 1.2% 2%  
65 0.4% 0.6%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0% Majority

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.8%  
48 0.9% 99.5%  
49 2% 98.5%  
50 4% 96%  
51 6% 92%  
52 8% 86% Last Result
53 12% 78%  
54 14% 66%  
55 16% 52% Median
56 13% 36%  
57 9% 23%  
58 6% 13%  
59 4% 7%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.8% 1.2%  
62 0.3% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations