Catalunya en Comú
Voting Intentions
Last result: 8.9% (General Election of 27 September 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.9% | 5.8–9.6% | 5.4–9.9% | 5.1–10.2% | 4.6–10.9% |
| 13–20 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 12–19 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| 16–18 December 2017 | GESOP El Periòdic |
8.8% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.3–10.6% | 7.0–10.9% | 6.5–11.6% |
| 11–18 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| 15–17 December 2017 | GESOP El Periòdic |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 10–17 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 12–16 December 2017 | Netquest L’Indépendant |
6.6% | 5.6–7.7% | 5.3–8.1% | 5.1–8.4% | 4.7–9.0% |
| 14–16 December 2017 | GESOP El Periòdic |
8.8% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.3–10.6% | 7.0–10.9% | 6.5–11.6% |
| 9–16 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 13–15 December 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
8.5% | 7.3–9.9% | 7.0–10.3% | 6.8–10.6% | 6.2–11.4% |
| 11–15 December 2017 | GAD3 ABC |
7.1% | 6.3–8.0% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.5–9.0% |
| 8–15 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 11–14 December 2017 | Top Position | 5.9% | 5.1–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% | 4.7–7.4% | 4.4–7.9% |
| 1–14 December 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.2–11.1% |
| 12–14 December 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
8.9% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.4–10.7% | 7.1–11.1% | 6.6–11.8% |
| 12–14 December 2017 | GAD3 ABC |
7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| 7–14 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| 11–13 December 2017 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
7.7% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.4–9.1% | 6.1–9.6% |
| 4–13 December 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 5–13 December 2017 | MyWord Cadena SER |
9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.9–11.5% |
| 4–13 December 2017 | Metroscopia El País |
9.3% | 8.7–10.0% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.4–10.3% | 8.1–10.7% |
| 4–13 December 2017 | Infortécnica Segre |
5.5% | 4.8–6.4% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.4–7.0% | 4.0–7.4% |
| 11–13 December 2017 | A+M 20minutos |
6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.8% |
| 5–12 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| 3–11 December 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
9.1% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.1–11.6% |
| 1–9 December 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
8.2% | 7.2–9.3% | 6.9–9.7% | 6.7–10.0% | 6.3–10.5% |
| 27 November–8 December 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
7.4% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.2–8.8% | 6.0–9.1% | 5.5–9.6% |
| 4–8 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 7 December 2017 | Infortécnica Segre |
5.2% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.2–6.4% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.7–7.0% |
| 4–7 December 2017 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 3–7 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 30 November–7 December 2017 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
8.1% | 7.0–9.5% | 6.7–9.9% | 6.4–10.2% | 5.9–10.9% |
| 1–5 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 29 November–2 December 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
8.5% | 7.3–9.9% | 7.0–10.3% | 6.8–10.6% | 6.2–11.4% |
| 27–30 November 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
6.4% | 5.4–7.6% | 5.1–8.0% | 4.9–8.3% | 4.5–8.9% |
| 23–27 November 2017 | IMOP Insights CIS |
8.6% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.8–9.5% | 7.6–9.7% | 7.3–10.0% |
| 13–23 November 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
8.4% | 7.2–9.9% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.6–10.7% | 6.1–11.5% |
| 13–23 November 2017 | Advice Strategic Consultants El Confidencial |
9.2% | 8.4–10.1% | 8.2–10.3% | 8.0–10.6% | 7.6–11.0% |
| 20–22 November 2017 | Metroscopia El País |
6.7% | 5.9–7.6% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.1–8.6% |
| 15–18 November 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
8.6% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.1–10.4% | 6.9–10.8% | 6.4–11.5% |
| 13–16 November 2017 | GAD3 ABC |
7.6% | 6.5–9.0% | 6.2–9.3% | 6.0–9.7% | 5.5–10.3% |
| 30 October–3 November 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
10.4% | 9.1–12.0% | 8.7–12.5% | 8.4–12.9% | 7.8–13.7% |
| 30 October–3 November 2017 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.8–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| 27–31 October 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 16–29 October 2017 | GESOP CEO |
10.5% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.7–12.5% | 8.2–13.2% |
| 23–26 October 2017 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 16–21 October 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| 16–19 October 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 4–9 October 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
12.0% | 10.6–13.6% | 10.2–14.1% | 9.9–14.4% | 9.3–15.2% |
| 19–22 September 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
11.6% | 10.5–12.9% | 10.2–13.2% | 10.0–13.5% | 9.5–14.1% |
| 12–15 September 2017 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
12.2% | 10.9–13.9% | 10.5–14.3% | 10.2–14.7% | 9.5–15.5% |
| 28 August–1 September 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
10.4% | 9.1–12.1% | 8.7–12.5% | 8.4–12.9% | 7.8–13.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Catalunya en Comú.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 16% | 93% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 19% | 77% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 25% | 35% | Last Result |
| 9.5–10.5% | 9% | 10% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 11 seats (General Election of 27 September 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 5–12 | 4–14 |
| 13–20 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| 12–19 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| 16–18 December 2017 | GESOP El Periòdic |
9 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 6–14 |
| 11–18 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| 15–17 December 2017 | GESOP El Periòdic |
10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| 10–17 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–11 |
| 12–16 December 2017 | Netquest L’Indépendant |
7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–11 |
| 14–16 December 2017 | GESOP El Periòdic |
10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 6–14 |
| 9–16 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| 13–15 December 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
9 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| 11–15 December 2017 | GAD3 ABC |
8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| 8–15 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| 11–14 December 2017 | Top Position | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| 1–14 December 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 |
| 12–14 December 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 7–14 |
| 12–14 December 2017 | GAD3 ABC |
8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 7–14 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| 11–13 December 2017 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
8 | 8–9 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| 4–13 December 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| 5–13 December 2017 | MyWord Cadena SER |
10 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| 4–13 December 2017 | Metroscopia El País |
11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
| 4–13 December 2017 | Infortécnica Segre |
5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| 11–13 December 2017 | A+M 20minutos |
6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| 5–12 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| 3–11 December 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
10 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 |
| 1–9 December 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| 27 November–8 December 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 4–8 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–11 | 5–11 |
| 7 December 2017 | Infortécnica Segre |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–8 |
| 4–7 December 2017 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–11 |
| 3–7 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
5 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| 30 November–7 December 2017 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 1–5 December 2017 | Feedback El Nacional |
11 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 |
| 29 November–2 December 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
9 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| 27–30 November 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–11 |
| 23–27 November 2017 | IMOP Insights CIS |
9 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| 13–23 November 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
9 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| 13–23 November 2017 | Advice Strategic Consultants El Confidencial |
11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| 20–22 November 2017 | Metroscopia El País |
7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| 15–18 November 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
9 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 6–14 |
| 13–16 November 2017 | GAD3 ABC |
8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| 30 October–3 November 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
13 | 11–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 8–17 |
| 30 October–3 November 2017 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
9 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| 27–31 October 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
12 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 |
| 16–29 October 2017 | GESOP CEO |
12 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–17 |
| 23–26 October 2017 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
14 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 9–18 |
| 16–21 October 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
14 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| 16–19 October 2017 | GESOP El Periódico |
11 | 9–12 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| 4–9 October 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 19–22 September 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
14 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 |
| 12–15 September 2017 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 28 August–1 September 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
12 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 9–18 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Catalunya en Comú.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 10% | 98% | |
| 6 | 10% | 89% | |
| 7 | 6% | 78% | |
| 8 | 20% | 72% | |
| 9 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 10 | 6% | 30% | |
| 11 | 16% | 23% | Last Result |
| 12 | 5% | 7% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |